I think this being, in anyway, a Fomor plot is shaky. The Fomor have literally 0 reasons to care about infighting with the Accords Nations. They are kicking off their war, and they don't care about what the other side is doing. Thus there are no reasons for the Fomor to be behind Justine's or Thomas' actions.
Eb using some black magic on the other hand to force Thomas is an interesting theory. This would cause Harry to lose any trust he has in Eb. Plus it would suit Eb's plans. He hates the White Court. Them being destroyed or very hurt in a war would very much please him. Though you have to ask the question of why are the feds watching Justine? They shouldn't even have her on their radar. So maybe its something else to do with the government. That whole plotline makes no sense because no one really benefits from it. And I don't see it being resolved very well in Battlegrounds because that book will take place during 1 day if not just the night. Thomas will still be locked up for most if not all the book. All the signs are pointing to Justine causing the assassination, but yet again we are left with no reasons or even any clues about a possible reason why this would happen. I just hope we get payoff otherwise it will be a stupid plotline that went nowhere and has no relevance.
I think the Fomor or their allies threatened Thomas by saying the would go after pregnent Justine. They see the Svartalves as a threat and want payback for killing one of their nobles in Bombshells.
I think they see Dresden as a threat and sent Rudolph to go after Murphy and Harry to distract him. Having Thomas be in trouble also distracts Dresden. As Marcone said, they want to divide their enemies and take them out one at a time. It could be Cowl or Outsiders. They seem to be Fomor allies. They want Dresden and the Svartalves to be at odds too.