The Dresden Files > DF Spoilers

Small Favor - Arbitrator Choice

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Talby16:

--- Quote from: Quantus on February 13, 2018, 08:55:32 PM ---Hmm, so if Marcone was the base level prize and Ivy was just a possibility, it could jive.  It still represents a metric f*ckton of wasted resources on a vague possibility, given that it took Lucifer Himself to fuel the huge Circles that were only needed for Ivy, a cost equivalent to having to deal with a Soul fire-empowered Dresden there-after.   

--- End quote ---

It is a huge use of resources on a lower probability plan, but the Nickleheads plan long term and seem willing to deal with failure of their plans in pursuit of their overall goal. To them, just ending up with Marcone had to have been worth breaking the Accords while possibly getting Ivy out of the deal a potential windfall.

forumghost:

--- Quote from: Quantus on February 07, 2018, 01:45:05 PM ---Fair point, especially given the missing coin.  Her issues with Marcone's Choice in DB never struck me as her having a problem with Marcone exercising Free Will so much as a Chooser of the Slain being made uncomfortable by her Slain-Choosing powers being foiled/circumvented. 

--- End quote ---

Gard internally: *Dammit I was supposed to recruit him. You just cost me a month's pay John*

wardenferry419:
Chicago is Harry's town. If it happens in Chi-town, Harry will be involved. Harry is a creature of habit. His reaction to new problems is often to return to or reuse that which is most familar. In most books, after taking a hit, he tends to return home to regroup instead of hiding in the strange. Ivy was arbitrator in prior accords dispute, he has a friendly connection to Ivy, she would be on the very short list of members he would trust.

Quantus:

--- Quote from: raidem on February 13, 2018, 10:20:30 PM ---Side note: wojl: mab won big in small favor and the implication was it partly stems from predicting Harry correctly.

--- End quote ---
I got the exact opposite implication from it, actually.  That she always guesses wrong but got lucky that time.


--- Quote ---2009 Independence signing:
The thing is that Mab never really figures Dresden quite right.  She never gets it right when she tries to predict what he will do.  But Small Favor turned out really well for her.
--- End quote ---

raidem:
I was thinking that it was one time in which she came closer than usual in predicting Harry correctly. (But...)

Or, the (But...) just meant she'd throw a Harry Chaos bolt and see what happens. (However, she still figures Dresden mostly right just not really quite right.)

In any event, Mab won big in Small Favor so it was likely there were big bets waged against Mab in this plot.  And Harry's actions in this book compromised Mab's enemies positions.

Who was active during Small Favor
Titania
Summer
Mab
Winter
Uriel
Heaven, 3 Swords
Denarians
Denarians compromised by Nemesis
Hell (assisted Denarians who violated the Accords) (Hell I'm sure also functions to protect reality so they likely wanted to out their traitors)
Marcone and Gard
Archive
Demeter
Harry
White Council?
Black Council via Peabody via Luccio
Murphy
McAnally
Thomas
Hobs
Maeve?
Lily
Nemesis most likely appears somewhere

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