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The Dresden Files => DF Spoilers => Topic started by: KurtinStGeorge on February 07, 2018, 10:23:22 PM

Title: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: KurtinStGeorge on February 07, 2018, 10:23:22 PM
There has been a trend of the Dresden Files novels getting longer, though Skin Game had a lower word count than Cold Days.  Also, if you compare the Cinder Spires book with the first book of the Alera series; well, there is no comparison.  "The Aeronaut's Windless"  a much longer and more involved story.  Now we know Jim has had various life issues which have contributed to Peace Talks taking so long to get done, but does anyone else think (because I do) that Peace Talks is going to be a more complex story (or have more stories to tell within it) than what we usually get from a Dresden Files novel?  I mean Skin Game had a pretty basic story idea; a heist story where Harry was forced to work with Nicodemus and both of them would try to double-cross one another.  There were of course unexpected complications, but I'm just talking about the main plot of the novel.  Many of the early novels had easily identifiable A and a B plots.  For example, in "Blood Rites" Harry is trying to stop an unknown foe who is using an entropy curse to kill people on a porn movie set and at the same time he's organizing a strike team to find and kill Mavra.  These A and B plots are often related to each other in ways that Harry didn't understand, but again, I'm just talking about the basic plot structure, not how various elements might be blended into the overall story arc. 

I'm thinking that in Peace Talks, Jim has more balls to juggle than in perhaps any other Dresden Files book before it.  If you've read the preview first chapter you know that
(click to show/hide)
So if you didn't read the spoiler there are two issues that Harry will be involved with in some manner.  However, that leaves many other potential complications that in themselves may become their own, let's call them C and D plots.  Not to mention that the first issue in the spoiler is a rather open-ended one.  It's not a straightforward idea like, I want you work with Nicodemus and “I expect you to skin them alive” or "They've taken our daughter."  We can only guess where this story element may go and there is really nothing in the earlier novels that might give us more than a tiny hint of how this could play out.

Jim has said that Changes, Ghost Story and Cold Days could be described as an internal trilogy within the series, that turns it in a new direction.  I would argue that Skin Game should be added to this list and call it a quadrilogy within the overall story arc, because SG settles the issue of the "parasite" inside Harry's head we learned about in Ghost Story and it demonstrated that Harry; though at times with some difficulty, was learning to control the Winter Knight's mantel.  So we had Harry's life deconstructed in Changes and it has taken until the end of Skin Game to see that a new life is now possible for him.  So now that Jim has fully turned the ship around that means Harry will face more complicated situations to untangle and I think they begin in Peace Talks.

Just to give one example, we don't know what the future holds for the White Council and its most prominent members.  In Changes it almost seemed like a civil war was possible or that a coup was about to take place.  I suspect Jim was setting up serious complications and likely endings for one or more characters on the Council.  I won't be surprised if we see one or more of those complications or endings happen in Peace Talks.  That is just one possible avenue Jim might explore.  Think about all the other possible complications that might arise, and even if only one or two come to a boil, you've got a bigger and hopefully engaging novel for us to (eventually) read, and one that takes some effort to tie together.  All that said, I'm hoping that really soon we will read that Jim has finished or as he has often done in the past, he announces that only the denouement is left to write.   

PS: If you would like to make a guess at likely complications or plot twists we might encounter, feel free to do so.  I think it's about time we start compiling a prediction list and later see who came closest to the mark.       
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: wardenferry419 on February 07, 2018, 10:41:42 PM
I am really hoping that the book has an "And then there were None" or "Clue" type murder mystery going on. BK14 and BK15 were missing the detective elements.
Thomas as new Lord Raith.
Justine gives birth to twins, one WCV and one normal.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: RobReece on February 07, 2018, 10:51:56 PM
I think that we will see a representative from the Government want a seat at the table.  Maybe the Librarians or Tilly.  They've noticed an escalation of the impact that the supernatural is having on the normal world and want in or something along those lines.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: KurtinStGeorge on February 08, 2018, 07:25:27 AM
I think matters between Harry and Marcone will become tense, but it won't lead to open warfare between the two.  Instead, it will set up a meeting between Harry and Alt-Marcone in Mirror Mirror where Harry learns more than he ever could about the crime lord in his own reality.  That's a long-term guess.  In the short run I won't be surprised if at least one member on the White Council dies.  If it should be Ebenezer then Harry's position with the Council becomes more precarious.  Though I have to say I wouldn't be surprised if Luccio or Ramirez bought it in this one. 
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: Kindler on February 09, 2018, 02:49:32 PM
I think you're right. I think Peace Talks is going to be a very, very complex story; it's a UN summit for the supernatural world. You have so many conflicting interests—in fact, to start, let me list what I think will be important players.

1. The White Council
2. The White Court
3. Winter (and Mab and Molly will likely have some kind of conflict)
4. Summer (Sarissa and Titania
5. Fomor
6. Marcone's Barony
7. Law enforcement
8. Wyldfae (though this may be tied to either of the above Fae courts; Wyldfae seem to have a predilection toward one side or another—although I do think that Kringle or the Erlking will be hanging around, along with the Za Lord's Guard)
9. The Circle/Black Council/Nemesis/Whatever
10. Monoc Securities
11. The Magical Have-Nots Desperately Trying to Stay Off the Radar
12. Miscellaneous others—Alphas, Elaine, Thomas/Justine (cuz I don't count them among the White Court), Mavra, Murphy (though she can be rolled into law enforcement), Mac, the Knights (mostly Butters—there is absolutely zero chance, in my opinion, that Butters doesn't play a part in Peace Talks, not after Skin Game), Paranetters (I'm separating Elaine from that; I also want to know what happened to Abby after getting gutshot in Ghost Story), and probably others I'm missing.
13. A dragon? Ferrovax or Pyrovax?
14. That shapeshifter freeholding lord Harry mentions in the end of White Night?

I do want Tilly to have a seat at the Big Kids' Table. It'll be especially interesting to me if he does it through working with Marcone. But Tilly was too cool of a character to waste, and WOJ confirmed that he'll be back eventually, so I'm thinking it might be in Peace Talks—someone's going to have to be providing the intelligence to the right people to organize a military strike against Kaiju come book 18-20something.

Anyway, with that huge array of conflicting interests, there is definitely going to be a whole swath of things for Harry to have to juggle. Add in Harry's conflicting loyalties—Winter, the White Council, his friends/Chicago, Demonreach—and you have a recipe for a great big mess. It's going to be a beautiful disaster and I can't wait.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: Rasins on February 09, 2018, 03:58:44 PM
I'm wondering WHERE they'll hold the talks?  All those supernaturals and you can't just rent out a conference center.

Since it's in Chicago, do you think Marcone will host it at his place?  That would totally ruin his threshold.

I kind of doubt they'll want to have it at the BFS location.

DemonReach is out.

Any ideas?
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: Kindler on February 09, 2018, 04:08:55 PM
Undertown?
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: peregrine on February 09, 2018, 07:31:57 PM
Justine gives birth to twins, one WCV and one normal.
I doubt it.  There's no real difference between them until they hit puberty as near as we can tell.  They've got to get that first kill before it happens.  Otherwise you get into some really messed up parts, like a toddler who eats sex, basically.  I can't imagine Jim wanting to go down that route.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: Rhetoric on February 09, 2018, 07:50:01 PM
All those supernaturals and you can't just rent out a conference center.

Erm, why not, exactly?
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: Griffyn612 on February 09, 2018, 10:22:44 PM
I said this a few years back, but since it's been a while, I'll rehash it.

My prediction/hope was that the Talks would be held in a hotel in Chicago (maybe the one from Skin Game, maybe the Rothchild from Summer Knight).  Harry would be there as the Winter Knight (escorting the Winter Lady).  It would be hosted by Marcone, with the hotel closed off to the general public, and a bunch of wards protecting the place.

It'd start with the attendees being introduced, and one of the reveals would be the Eebs arriving with a small retinue of Ramps (either as the inheritors of the Red Court, or as Fomor members).

Things would really snap off when one of the Eebs ended up dead, which would trigger wards that would lock down the hotel, preventing anyone from coming or going.  A bunch of powerful beings would be trapped together, none of them trusting each other, and believing the others are trying something.

Harry will be accused of the murder (something on the nose, like the Eeb being found frozen and shattered, a known method of execution for Harry now) and he'll have to solve the murder to clear his name, find the real killer, uncover the plot, and release the wards.

The sealed-off hotel would allow for that Shining-feel of isolated desperation. 

And of course, despite Harry's efforts, the Talks will be a disaster, people and things will die, the war will continue, and everyone will blame him.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: raidem on February 09, 2018, 10:57:12 PM
 Wcv don't need to kill to be a wcv.  There are other ways Lord raith chose to bring his brood into power via kill during sex.  That doesn't mean there isn't a way to bring the phage into the world via a 'better' act.  I believe there is wojl that talks about this option.  It is also likely inari will come to power in a new way of things, maybe by actually loving someone during sex.  No death needed.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: peregrine on February 09, 2018, 11:59:44 PM
I'd like to see that WoJ, because Thomas flat out says the first time they feed it's always fatal.  With Inari possibly killing off her Hunger by having sex with someone she Loves as her first time.  And nothing I've read suggests there's some other way to fully become a WCV without sex (or fear or despair, if they're not of the Raith variety).
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: RobReece on February 10, 2018, 06:14:26 AM
I agree with Griffyn. 
I've also stated this before that since the first chapter stated that Marcone had already agreed to host the talks AND he already owns a hotel in Chicago, it would be be very easy for him to use that location.  And if any of the attendees need to relieve some stress, the Velvet Room, sorry Executive Priority Health Club, in the same building.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: exartiem on February 11, 2018, 12:27:56 AM
The conference will likely be held in Undertown.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: Griffyn612 on February 11, 2018, 12:35:34 AM
I agree with Griffyn. 
I've also stated this before that since the first chapter stated that Marcone had already agreed to host the talks AND he already owns a hotel in Chicago, it would be be very easy for him to use that location.  And if any of the attendees need to relieve some stress, the Velvet Room, sorry Executive Priority Health Club, in the same building.
I don't know that Marcone would risk subjecting any of his employees to the tastes of monsters.  If he offered the service to one tasteful attendee but not an unsavory one, then it would appear to be favoritism, and would start things off on the wrong foot
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: kazimmoinuddin on February 11, 2018, 11:51:47 PM
Don't forget Irwing.

As a back up location, or high security location, why not demonreach. Attacking it or causing trouble on it will not end well for the bad guys.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: exartiem on February 12, 2018, 01:28:54 PM
Also good incentive for parties to behave themselves, as Alfred could lock them up. 

However, there are likely members of the Accords that you probably wouldn't want to have access to that dark ley line.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: kazimmoinuddin on February 12, 2018, 07:47:57 PM
Harry with his link to the genus loci, could likely deny access to the dark energies of the ley line nexus.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: groinkick on February 12, 2018, 07:59:48 PM
There is no way anyone would agree to meet on DR.  That's nearly like immortals getting together for Peace Talks on Halloween, the only time of the year they can get killed.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: KurtinStGeorge on February 12, 2018, 11:38:45 PM
I said this a few years back, but since it's been a while, I'll rehash it.

My prediction/hope was that the Talks would be held in a hotel in Chicago (maybe the one from Skin Game, maybe the Rothchild from Summer Knight).  Harry would be there as the Winter Knight (escorting the Winter Lady).  It would be hosted by Marcone, with the hotel closed off to the general public, and a bunch of wards protecting the place.

It'd start with the attendees being introduced, and one of the reveals would be the Eebs arriving with a small retinue of Ramps (either as the inheritors of the Red Court, or as Fomor members).

Things would really snap off when one of the Eebs ended up dead, which would trigger wards that would lock down the hotel, preventing anyone from coming or going.  A bunch of powerful beings would be trapped together, none of them trusting each other, and believing the others are trying something.

Harry will be accused of the murder (something on the nose, like the Eeb being found frozen and shattered, a known method of execution for Harry now) and he'll have to solve the murder to clear his name, find the real killer, uncover the plot, and release the wards.

The sealed-off hotel would allow for that Shining-feel of isolated desperation. 

And of course, despite Harry's efforts, the Talks will be a disaster, people and things will die, the war will continue, and everyone will blame him.

I don't know about the entire scenario you've constructed.  For example, I suppose the Eebs making a return could happen, but I'm not jumping on that train just yet.  Though I do like the idea that if the Eebs did return they would now be members of the Fomor.  That is a really cool idea because it would drive Harry absolutely nuts.

However, your basic premise of a murder mystery for Harry to unravel because his ass is on the line and seeing himself and everyone else trapped together is solid.  The only problems I have with it are minor.  I think Molly is going to have to come out to her parents or have them find out on their own about her new job and what it could potentially mean.  So I don't see that happening in a locked down environment.  Also, if someone like Cowl or Mavra shows up to make trouble it's much easier and safer to do that if the talks take place at a certain set time and at the end of each session the parties fall back to safe locations to plan for the next round.

However, I know there are workarounds to both the issues I mentioned.  Molly's issue could come to the fore near the beginning of the story before everyone gets locked down, or near the end of the story and Cowl or Mavra could end up getting locked in with everyone else.

I just had a thought about the location.  In Ghosts Story; I believe Harry was looking for Molly, and he ended up at the location where Splattercon was held, but it was now out of business.  I could see Marrcone buying this property and renovating it.  It's better than just a hotel or stand alone convention center because meetings could be held in the convention center and the members to the talks could retreat to their own rooms and likely their own floors at the end of each session of talks. 

Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: Griffyn612 on February 12, 2018, 11:55:05 PM
I don't know about the entire scenario you've constructed.  For example, I suppose the Eebs making a return could happen, but I'm not jumping on that train just yet.  Though I do like the idea that if the Eebs did return they would now be members of the Fomor.  That is a really cool idea because it would drive Harry absolutely nuts.

However, your basic premise of a murder mystery for Harry to unravel because his ass is on the line and seeing himself and everyone else trapped together is solid.  The only problems I have with it are minor.  I think Molly is going to have to come out to her parents or have them find out on their own about her new job and what it could potentially mean.  So I don't see that happening in a locked down environment.  Also, if someone like Cowl or Mavra shows up to make trouble it's much easier and safer to do that if the talks take place at a certain set time and at the end of each session the parties fall back to safe locations to plan for the next round.

However, I know there are workarounds to both the issues I mentioned.  Molly's issue could come to the fore near the beginning of the story before everyone gets locked down, or near the end of the story and Cowl or Mavra could end up getting locked in with everyone else.

I just had a thought about the location.  In Ghosts Story; I believe Harry was looking for Molly, and he ended up at the location where Splattercon was held, but it was now out of business.  I could see Marrcone buying this property and renovating it.  It's better than just a hotel or stand alone convention center because meetings could be held in the convention center and the members to the talks could retreat to their own rooms and likely their own floors at the end of each session of talks.
The benefit of it being at a hotel is that the facility can provide food, lodging, conference rooms for talks, and a ballroom for formal events.  A large hotel reserved just for the event would have plenty of floors for each faction to have their own, as well as empty floors between.  And it would lend itself to creepy hallway scenes.
(https://static.independent.co.uk/s3fs-public/styles/article_small/public/thumbnails/image/2015/11/02/13/the-shining.jpg)

As for the Eebs, they're a convenient plot tool.  Harry has every reason to hate them, and no-one would doubt that he'd want to kill them.  Which makes them the perfect victims to frame him.

I'm not sure that Molly's status has to be revealed in PT.  But if it was, it could easily be at the end.  There could be some circumstances that bring Michael to the hotel for the grand finale in time to see her using Winter magic.

Cowl should absolutely be there.  It'd be even better if his identity were revealed at the end, as he drops pretenses and leads an attack on some of the attendees while working with others.  Same for Mavra.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: groinkick on February 13, 2018, 05:19:58 AM
Does anyone else think that Mac may make an appearance
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: peregrine on February 13, 2018, 05:22:58 AM
In the story?  Almost certainly.  In the talks? Probably not.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: groinkick on February 13, 2018, 05:36:51 AM
In the story?  Almost certainly.  In the talks? Probably not.

Well of everyone in the story so far he's the only one I can think of declared "neutral" territory.  I could see him being some kind of arbiter
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: peregrine on February 13, 2018, 05:52:42 AM
For peace talks, you don't actually need an arbiter or moderator.  Just two (or more) sides willing to talk.  Plenty of times they've just been between the different sides and nothing else.

And as for neutral territory, I doubt his pub is actually large enough to fit enough people, nor would it have the dignity of the occasion.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: groinkick on February 13, 2018, 06:01:03 AM
For peace talks, you don't actually need an arbiter or moderator.  Just two (or more) sides willing to talk.  Plenty of times they've just been between the different sides and nothing else.

And as for neutral territory, I doubt his pub is actually large enough to fit enough people, nor would it have the dignity of the occasion.

I didn't think his pub would be used.  When 2 or more sides have a dispute there is often an arbiter who acts to keep things..... civil.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: KurtinStGeorge on February 13, 2018, 08:28:58 AM
The benefit of it being at a hotel is that the facility can provide food, lodging, conference rooms for talks, and a ballroom for formal events.  A large hotel reserved just for the event would have plenty of floors for each faction to have their own, as well as empty floors between.  And it would lend itself to creepy hallway scenes.
(https://static.independent.co.uk/s3fs-public/styles/article_small/public/thumbnails/image/2015/11/02/13/the-shining.jpg)

Maybe I didn't make myself understood.  The reason the place where Splattercon was held would be a good location is because the convention center could hold all the delegates from every supernatural power that showed up, plus any staff and security they brought with them, and it has a hotel attached to it.  So the action could move from a large hall; which might be useful for open discussions or even fighting duels, to the more intimate and claustrophobic setting of hotel corridors, elevator cars, and the rooms themselves, where most of the murder, treachery and backstabbing could occur.  Plus, such a large facility would make it more plausible for Cowl or Marva to set up shop, do whatever they're going to do, and remain undetected. 

Imagine a scene where most or all of the delegates are meeting downstairs in the convention area, and while Harry is doing whatever his security work involves; let's say he's facing off against Fomor security, and he receives a message from Lara Raith that says something like this, "I need to see you in my room after this session ends.  There is a plot that concerns us both of us that you need to know about and I need to speak to the Winter Knight.  I need to know what Winter's position is on (fill in the blank)."  (Of course Lara would throw some sexual innuendo in any note she wrote to Harry.) So if Harry decides to take Lara up on her offer he has to go from one type of dangerous situation and environment into a different type of dangerous situation and environment and yet it's all contained in the same facility.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: KurtinStGeorge on February 13, 2018, 09:03:26 AM
For peace talks, you don't actually need an arbiter or moderator. Just two (or more) sides willing to talk.  Plenty of times they've just been between the different sides and nothing else.

And as for neutral territory, I doubt his pub is actually large enough to fit enough people, nor would it have the dignity of the occasion.

Actually, I think it has already been announced by Jim that Ivy; and presumably Kincaid, will be on hand for the talks.

Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: Kindler on February 13, 2018, 01:55:11 PM
Does anyone else think that Mac may make an appearance

Someone has to cater it. Mac is kind of the perfect person to bring in on that; he's known to be neutral enough that he won't poison the entire conference. He wouldn't really make sense to me as an arbitrator, but I could see everyone trusting him enough to handle their food; every person who has entered Mac's seems to know him, and has given him some sign of respect—even Maeve.

But has Marcone ever set foot in Mac's? I don't know that we've seen that on page. I'm sure he knows about it. Would he think to use him? Or would that be Harry saying "Damn it, people have to eat. Believe me, you don't want a bunch of hungry predators in a closed room with only humans to eat. I've cleared Mac for security already, and we can trust him."

Imagine a scene where most or all of the delegates are meeting downstairs in the convention area, and while Harry is doing whatever his security work involves; let's say he's facing off against Fomor security, and he receives a message from Lara Raith that says something like this, "I need to see you in my room after this session ends.  There is a plot that concerns us both of us that you need to know about and I need to speak to the Winter Knight.  I need to know what Winter's position is on (fill in the blank)."  (Of course Lara would throw some sexual innuendo in any note she wrote to Harry.) So if Harry decides to take Lara up on her offer he has to go from one type of dangerous situation and environment into a different type of dangerous situation and environment and yet it's all contained in the same facility.

I agree. Splattercon!!!!'s location is a good fit. Though didn't Harry say something about bad juju hanging around places like that permanently? But he's also frequently commented on how often the same locations seem to crop up (like the Full Moon Garage), so that'd be a perfect segue into revealing where it'll be held, and can explain Harry's heightening anxiety beforehand.

Hotels are awesome locations for stories, because it's insanely convenient to have everyone in your story all in the same place, but separated. With magic involved, you might even have each occupant's room changing dramatically from one to the next. Also, it'll give Harry too many freaking stairs to climb, and you just know he'll be complaining about it the whole time.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: Talby16 on February 13, 2018, 08:42:44 PM
Actually, I think it has already been announced by Jim that Ivy; and presumably Kincaid, will be on hand for the talks.

It is my understanding that Ivy is a member of the Accords in her own right. She is often used as an Arbiter because she is neutral, but I do not think she is actually a full time Arbiter. She could be present as just another Accords member and someone else may serve as an Arbiter if one is needed.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: Quantus on February 13, 2018, 09:16:28 PM
It is my understanding that Ivy is a member of the Accords in her own right. She is often used as an Arbiter because she is neutral, but I do not think she is actually a full time Arbiter. She could be present as just another Accords member and someone else may serve as an Arbiter if one is needed.
This is true.  She's an Independent signatory just like Marcone, Drakul or Ferro.  In DM, Bob said that "The vampires and the Council will pick from a list of neutral emissaries" which is how she was chosen (and it was just Harry's choice in SmF) so we can assume she's on that list, but I think we can also likely assume that there are Independent Signatories that are more politically active and so not considered Neutral parties. 
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: Talby16 on February 13, 2018, 11:00:16 PM
This is true.  She's an Independent signatory just like Marcone, Drakul or Ferro.  In DM, Bob said that "The vampires and the Council will pick from a list of neutral emissaries" which is how she was chosen (and it was just Harry's choice in SmF) so we can assume she's on that list, but I think we can also likely assume that there are Independent Signatories that are more politically active and so not considered Neutral parties.

I see Ivy as being present at the arbitration as a party and not the arbiter given that she was attacked by another accords member fairly recently.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: wardenferry419 on February 14, 2018, 12:13:22 AM
Not everybody appreciates Mac's beer. The monstrous heathens.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: Quantus on February 14, 2018, 02:00:32 PM
I see Ivy as being present at the arbitration as a party and not the arbiter given that she was attacked by another accords member fairly recently.
Oh, Agreed.  I think she has been active enough lately to be willing to take part in the talks, even if the Fomor werent likely making themselves the Enemy of the Oblivion War. 

I also think she'd want to come to see Harry alive.  And Im curious to see how Kincaid looks after Ivy was done with him.   :-\
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: Kindler on February 14, 2018, 04:39:59 PM
Not everybody appreciates Mac's beer. The monstrous heathens.

It's how you know they're bad guys.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: Quantus on February 14, 2018, 04:55:08 PM
It's how you know they're bad guys.
Because they dont like Mac's beer.  What more evidence do you need of their warped inhumanity?
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: KurtinStGeorge on February 14, 2018, 05:19:50 PM
It's how you know they're bad guys.

And yet Duke Ortega did like Mac's Beer, even though he only needed blood to survive.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: Ulfgeir on February 14, 2018, 05:35:29 PM
It is my understanding that Ivy is a member of the Accords in her own right. She is often used as an Arbiter because she is neutral, but I do not think she is actually a full time Arbiter. She could be present as just another Accords member and someone else may serve as an Arbiter if one is needed.

Whoever is the arbiter would need to have enough Power to be able to actually do something about anything that neccesitates involvement.

/Ulfgeir
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: Kindler on February 14, 2018, 05:36:48 PM
And yet Duke Ortega did like Mac's Beer, even though he only needed blood to survive.

Ortega was only pretending to like it. He was a sneaky little bee.

(https://78.media.tumblr.com/d59d20ab1cecc0b7b2060c39a3c45196/tumblr_mwe601bGwa1r4gei2o2_400.gif)
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: Talby16 on February 14, 2018, 07:17:54 PM
Whoever is the arbiter would need to have enough Power to be able to actually do something about anything that neccesitates involvement.

/Ulfgeir
Yes and no. I would argue that respect of the involved parties is most important. The accords were set up by Mab and thus she has a big investment in seeing them remain intact and accepted. If the arbiter reaches a decision or endorses a certain action/view point then she would lend her power to the fulfillment of that outcome.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: groinkick on February 14, 2018, 07:24:59 PM
Whoever is the arbiter would need to have enough Power to be able to actually do something about anything that neccesitates involvement.

/Ulfgeir

Or be backed by a party, or parties.  A promise, or contract has magical power in the DV.  If the parties involved agreed that a neutral party would be respected as arbiter it would be a bond, one that if broken could come back on the offenders pretty badly.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: Talby16 on February 14, 2018, 07:39:17 PM
Or be backed by a party, or parties.  A promise, or contract has magical power in the DV.  If the parties involved agreed that a neutral party would be respected as arbiter it would be a bond, one that if broken could come back on the offenders pretty badly.

Exactly. Well said.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: Quantus on February 15, 2018, 04:39:45 PM
Or be backed by a party, or parties.  A promise, or contract has magical power in the DV.  If the parties involved agreed that a neutral party would be respected as arbiter it would be a bond, one that if broken could come back on the offenders pretty badly.
Indeed. Case in point: Nic and the events of Skin Game. 

(click to show/hide)
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: Talby16 on February 15, 2018, 08:18:56 PM
Pretty sure if all the parties at the Peace Talks agreed to an Arbiter and then one of the parties crossed that arbiter, every other party would come down on them like a load of bricks. Now that I write that, I kind of want to see it.

Reminds me of the scene in the Eragon series where the Dwarf council punishes one of its members by ignoring him completely no matter what he does. Seeing that dwarf try to get everyones attention and growing more and more frustrated/frantic was extremely gratifying.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: Quantus on February 16, 2018, 01:42:57 PM
Pretty sure if all the parties at the Peace Talks agreed to an Arbiter and then one of the parties crossed that arbiter, every other party would come down on them like a load of bricks. Now that I write that, I kind of want to see it.

Reminds me of the scene in the Eragon series where the Dwarf council punishes one of its members by ignoring him completely no matter what he does. Seeing that dwarf try to get everyones attention and growing more and more frustrated/frantic was extremely gratifying.
I think this is more or less the Role Marcone is playing; not actual Arbiter (with the sort of absolute authority they get) because this is a political Discussion and not a Duel, but he /is/ the Host specifically because he has a reputation for Neutrality in the Supernatural world. 
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: Talby16 on February 16, 2018, 03:57:47 PM
I think this is more or less the Role Marcone is playing; not actual Arbiter (with the sort of absolute authority they get) because this is a political Discussion and not a Duel, but he /is/ the Host specifically because he has a reputation for Neutrality in the Supernatural world.
Hmmm, I could get behind Marcone as an Arbiter type figure. It would be an interesting context to see him in. It could also lead to a change in his relationship with Dresden. Harry has always thought of him as a ambitious crime lord. Seeing him take on the neutral, peace promoting role might cause a crisis of belief. Especially if Harry is put in the position of enforcing Marcone's decision as Arbiter because of his position as Winter Knight.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: Quantus on February 16, 2018, 04:00:25 PM
Hmmm, I could get behind Marcone as an Arbiter type figure. It would be an interesting context to see him in. It could also lead to a change in his relationship with Dresden. Harry has always thought of him as a ambitious crime lord. Seeing him take on the neutral, peace promoting role might cause a crisis of belief. Especially if Harry is put in the position of enforcing Marcone's decision as Arbiter because of his position as Winter Knight.
To be clear, I do Not think Marcone is acting as as Arbiter, because an Arbiter by definition has final Authority over the outcome of the proceedings and Marcone will not.   But from the Peace Talks Ch1 we have, we know he is acting as Host because he has built a reputation for Strength and Neutrality (in no small part form the events of Peace Talks).
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: dspringer1 on February 16, 2018, 11:35:17 PM
Some misunderstandings here are the Arbiter position.   

To be an arbiter, you must be an member of the accords.  Which means either you are a representative of a supernatural nation or a individual freeholding lord like the Archive or Marcone.   By definition, you are either a power, or backed by a power in the supernatural community.

In this context, the arbiter will enforce the conditions of the arbitration.  By that I mean Keep the Peace while negotiating and/or enforcing the terms of a dual.  In this they are backed up by the weight of public opinion (at least the public opinion of the other accorded powers) who have an interest in enforcing the rules.  This is a dangerous commitment at times, which is why many of the lesser powers do not try to act as arbiters. 

The arbiter is NOT signing up to enforce the agreements that are the result of an arbitrated negotiation.  In the real world, if the US hosts peace talks between France and Vietnam, they are not signing up to force the two participants to do what they promised to do.   The supernatural world is no different.   

If Marcone is hosting the peace talks, then all he signed up to do is provide a suitable venue, protect the participants and severely punish/kill any that disrupt the peace talks (in some way contrary to the agreed procedures).  That might be a commitment beyond his capability to deliver on, but the presumption is that --- as a free standing lord - he can deliver it.  If he fails, his status as a free standing lord would be put at serious risk.  Of course if he succeeds, then that also lends a lot to his reputation.   

Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: KurtinStGeorge on February 17, 2018, 11:35:19 PM
If Marcone is hosting the peace talks, then all he signed up to do is provide a suitable venue, protect the participants and severely punish/kill any that disrupt the peace talks (in some way contrary to the agreed procedures).  That might be a commitment beyond his capability to deliver on, but the presumption is that --- as a free standing lord - he can deliver it.  If he fails, his status as a free standing lord would be put at serious risk.  Of course if he succeeds, then that also lends a lot to his reputation.

How does that conform with the White Council having it's own security?  I mean it could be for when the White Council representatives are not being protected by Marcone, at whatever safe house they use while in Chicago, but that doesn't feel right to me.  I think it's more likely that Marcone made an agreement that goes something like this; Marcone will provide external security for the venue while the individual parties are responsible for providing their own security while inside the venue. 

Of course it's highly likely that the parties to the talks are supposed to pledge to a non-aggression pact while taking part in the talks, but no one really trusts each other so everyone wants to have their own protection with them.  Someone like Ivy would have to power to punish (obliterate) any transgressors of the non-aggression pact.  In fact, I could see one or more parties involved; assuming there are more than two, demanding Ivy or some other neutral arbiter; with a similar scary level of destructive magic ability, be on hand to insure everyone abides by the agreement.   
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: exartiem on February 18, 2018, 01:59:01 PM
Would Marcone's active war with the Fomor invading his city compromise his neutrality?
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: Griffyn612 on February 18, 2018, 05:53:58 PM
Would Marcone's active war with the Fomor invading his city compromise his neutrality?
I don't know that there's any faction in the Dresdenverse that could be considered neutral.  Individuals like the Archive are, but she's not an organization.

Marcone seems to have established himself as a somewhat neutral party due to his business with the supernatural community.  Accords members trust him with their valuables.  He retaliates against intrusions to his territory, but he hasn't attacked anyone else in theirs.

The events of SG have probably bought him a lot of street cred at a very convenient time.  Sure, his security was compromised, but people are going to know that Nico went in with four Denarians and came out alone, with his daughter dead, and nothing missing from Marcone's vault.  (Marcone and Mab roll make sure that much gets out)
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: exartiem on February 18, 2018, 11:35:43 PM
That doesn't actually answer my question.

That being said, the only person I see being trusted to be neutral is Mac.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: Griffyn612 on February 19, 2018, 01:00:54 AM
That doesn't actually answer my question.

That being said, the only person I see being trusted to be neutral is Mac.
Doesn't it?  In a world without any true neutrality, Marcone's balanced and measured response to things is as "neutral" as things get.  He's not going to jeopardize his people and resources, much less his reputation, to betray anyone.

As for Mac, he has no authority, nor ability to enforce anything.  His bar is neutral ground, not him.  Unless he has the ability to take his sign and hang it on any wall he wants (which I wouldn't doubt) he can't hope to host the talks.  If he can, then he could certainly go set up a mobile bar in a corner of the hotel/convention hall/etc where the talks are held (which might be funny), but it wouldn't be anything more than a sign depending on everyone's respect for the rules of the Accords.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: exartiem on February 19, 2018, 02:52:12 PM
But Marcone is actively hostile towards the Fomor, and they are the subject of the talks.  In modern times, that would be like having Ukraine host talks between the US and Russia and expecting them to be neutral.

As for Mac, the Accords have their own power.  Mac would be backed up by Mab.  The bar could be big enough to host, depending on how many signatories there actually are.  Each one would have one or two, the rep and the second.  Mac's place could handle 40 or 50, maybe more.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: Lost Merlin on February 19, 2018, 03:06:22 PM
As for Mac, the Accords have their own power.  Mac would be backed up by Mab. 

The accords don't have power; Mab has the Power.  The accords are only powerful and binding because Mab backs them.  Look at Nic when he violated the accords he was removed as a signatory and Mab was hunting for vengeance.   
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: Talby16 on February 19, 2018, 03:43:05 PM
Some misunderstandings here are the Arbiter position.   

To be an arbiter, you must be an member of the accords.  Which means either you are a representative of a supernatural nation or a individual freeholding lord like the Archive or Marcone.   By definition, you are either a power, or backed by a power in the supernatural community.

In this context, the arbiter will enforce the conditions of the arbitration.  By that I mean Keep the Peace while negotiating and/or enforcing the terms of a dual.  In this they are backed up by the weight of public opinion (at least the public opinion of the other accorded powers) who have an interest in enforcing the rules.  This is a dangerous commitment at times, which is why many of the lesser powers do not try to act as arbiters. 

The arbiter is NOT signing up to enforce the agreements that are the result of an arbitrated negotiation.  In the real world, if the US hosts peace talks between France and Vietnam, they are not signing up to force the two participants to do what they promised to do.   The supernatural world is no different.   

If Marcone is hosting the peace talks, then all he signed up to do is provide a suitable venue, protect the participants and severely punish/kill any that disrupt the peace talks (in some way contrary to the agreed procedures).  That might be a commitment beyond his capability to deliver on, but the presumption is that --- as a free standing lord - he can deliver it.  If he fails, his status as a free standing lord would be put at serious risk.  Of course if he succeeds, then that also lends a lot to his reputation.

Nice summary of an arbiter.
Title: Re: Just a guess about Peace Talks
Post by: Quantus on February 19, 2018, 08:39:18 PM
Some misunderstandings here are the Arbiter position.   

To be an arbiter, you must be an member of the accords.  Which means either you are a representative of a supernatural nation or a individual freeholding lord like the Archive or Marcone.   By definition, you are either a power, or backed by a power in the supernatural community.

In this context, the arbiter will enforce the conditions of the arbitration.  By that I mean Keep the Peace while negotiating and/or enforcing the terms of a dual.  In this they are backed up by the weight of public opinion (at least the public opinion of the other accorded powers) who have an interest in enforcing the rules.  This is a dangerous commitment at times, which is why many of the lesser powers do not try to act as arbiters. 

The arbiter is NOT signing up to enforce the agreements that are the result of an arbitrated negotiation.  In the real world, if the US hosts peace talks between France and Vietnam, they are not signing up to force the two participants to do what they promised to do.   The supernatural world is no different.   

If Marcone is hosting the peace talks, then all he signed up to do is provide a suitable venue, protect the participants and severely punish/kill any that disrupt the peace talks (in some way contrary to the agreed procedures).  That might be a commitment beyond his capability to deliver on, but the presumption is that --- as a free standing lord - he can deliver it.  If he fails, his status as a free standing lord would be put at serious risk.  Of course if he succeeds, then that also lends a lot to his reputation.   
I more or less agree with your description of what Marcone's role is going to be, but I really dont think Arbiter is the correct term for it.  Arbiter is the term used for what the Archive was during the Duel, which was providing the mechanism of the Duel while Enforcing the terms of the Accords, but it was notably within her purview to Declare one party or the other the Winner or Looser or in Violation of the terms of the Duel (she declared it Void but did not have a witness to definitively call a winner).  Marcone is acting as the Host of the Talks, meaning he has to provide for the attendee's needs like food, lodging, etc and is nominally responsible for providing security, at least from Outside threats.  But nobody expects him to be able to Enforce much, but since Mab is personally in attendance he shouldnt need to address that sort of internal squabbling, because they'd be insulting the Unseelie Accords before they'd be insulting the Host.  At the end of the day it is always Mab that is Enforcing the Accords, that's the crux of how they operate; Out of everybody, the Council or the various Courts or the Erlking or anybody, it is Mab that is the Power and the Threat behind the Accords. 



Would Marcone's active war with the Fomor invading his city compromise his neutrality?
Not in this context, though it's fuzzy on the specifics. I think it just doesnt really matter to this specifically since it's the Fomor that have been repeatedly violating the Accords, so they are arguably at war (or at least at odds) with All the Accords members.

How does that conform with the White Council having it's own security?  I mean it could be for when the White Council representatives are not being protected by Marcone, at whatever safe house they use while in Chicago, but that doesn't feel right to me.  I think it's more likely that Marcone made an agreement that goes something like this; Marcone will provide external security for the venue while the individual parties are responsible for providing their own security while inside the venue. 
I think those would more or less be separate issues.  Marcone is acting as the Host, so per normal Guest-rights he is responsible for protecting his guests from outside threats, but those rules are less cut & dry when it's a matter of one guest being aggressive toward another (Erlking was well able to declare a friendly combat to the Death, for example).  So it would be on Marcone if, say, a local threat were to hassle one of the Accorded Attendee's.  But if a pair of underlings got into a brawl it would be a diplomatic matter between those two parties, with the slight getting aimed more at the Accords themselves (and Mab) more than Marcone. 

In other words, Marcone is responsible for the venue, but Mab is still leading the Coalition. 

Quote
Of course it's highly likely that the parties to the talks supposed to pledge to a non-aggression pact while taking part in the talks, but no one really trusts each other so everyone wants to have their own protection with them.  Someone like Ivy would have to power to punish (obliterate) any transgressors of the non-aggression pact.  In fact, I could see one or more parties involved; assuming there are more than two, demanding Ivy or some other neutral arbiter; with a similar scary level of destructive magic ability, be hand to insure everyone abides by the agreement.   
Yup, that's how Carlos described it: 
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Everyone will be conducting themselves under guest-right, but they’ll all bring their own muscle too.” “Trust but verify,”