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The Dresden Files => DF Spoilers => DF Reference Collection => Topic started by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 12, 2014, 08:08:41 PM

Title: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 12, 2014, 08:08:41 PM
Quantus noted the other day that I hadn't actually put this all in one readily findable place, so I thought it might be worth doing so.

CORE HYPOTHESIS

Premises:

There's a storm coming. Odin mentions this to Harry at the end of CD. At least some Great Powers have access to foresight and/or intellectus.  They can plausibly have known this for some time.

The Great Powers work together.  Sources; WoJ on Uriel and Odin being in very different divisions pointed at the same general end, Bob in GS telling Harry Mab is working with Uriel. At least those three, and possibly others we've not met yet or not seen enough to know about, are in a loose alliance

The Great Powers have to act indirectly. Sources; WoJ and text on it being minimally possible for Great Powers to act directly on Earth without endangering reality, iirc Mother Winter in CD is an example and Ferro in GP makes sense retrospectively as another.  (This appears to have held up for approximately 2000 years and may have something to do with the WG - cf. the bassanid in "Last Call", Harry in PG talking about old gods existing out in the NN.)

Human free will is Significant: According to WoJ and to Uriel.  Also, it is correlated with ability to summon Outsiders.

Given these premises, the central notion is:

Starborn are a Manhattan Project carried out by the alliance of Uriel, Mab and Odin (and possibly others), hence referred to as Team UMO.  The object of the exercise is to concentrate in a free-willed human, preferably one of good moral character, as much as possible of the different kinds of power available in the DV, to have a champion/weapon/Swiss Army chainsaw/supernatural equivalent of Programming in Perl available come the BAT.

Harry is one of several potential candidates (WoJ confirms this) of whom Elaine may be another.

Elements of the plan in more detail:

The original idea comes from Mab via Lea:
- Motive: Winter is, in this age of the Earth at least, the guardian of reality against the Outsiders (CD)
- Means: The folkloric Leanansidhe's thing was providing inspiration to mortals, and we have a WoJ saying this innovation was how DV Lea got to be so high up in the Winter hierarchy.
- Opportunity: Maggie leFay, powerful wizard, on the outs with the Council over what appear according to Luccio in SmF to be serious political differences, willing, according to Eb in BR to break the Laws; a strong female wizard is a good candidate for parent to a strong wizard given that magic is mostly inherited in the female line (Harry in PG) and Maggie's demonstrably an easier sell than many on her own judgement of the right thing to do being something she will put ahead of Council policy (just like Harry).
- Complementary argument; We know the Council go all Fahrenheit 451 on information about how to break the laws (cf, Kemmler's writings, Bob, chapter 3 of DB).  Therefore, information about Outsider-related magic is difficult and dangerous to find.  Yet Maggie (starborn child) and both her known associates, Justin (summoning HWWBh) and Lord Raith (summoning HWWBh, protection against magic which Harry identifies as feeling Outsidery) all visibly have it to some degree.  It seems most Occamian that it came to them from the same source and was shared among them, which would be a necessary element of them managing the breeding of starborn.

Mab always intended to get her hooks into Harry
- Lea was often hanging around when Harry was a child. (WoJ)
- Lea's deal with Maggie requires her to protect Harry (siren noise and grumpy neighbour in SK, primrose garden and alliance at the end of Changes) but not to inform Harry that she is required to protect him. (It's news to him in SK that she's even trying.)
- Logical deduction from these two facts: Lea expects Harry to get into some form of trouble and turn to her for help, and intends to make a bargain that will give Faerie a hold on him. (Why was it Lea that Harry turned to for assistance against Justin, out of all the possible supernatural entities to deal with ?  We don't know, but her having in some way planted the relevant  information where he could get it is what makes sense to me; I'm not seeing Justin as very likely to teach his apprentices "Twenty Entities You Could Call On To Defeat Me In Battle")
- The way we have seen for a Faerie Court to most invest their power in a human is through Knighthood.
- Therefore, the plausible long-term goal of all Winter manipulation of Harry is to put him in a situation where he will take up the offer of Knighthood.  (cf. offers in SK and DB; Winter keeping their Knight on ice despite major handicap of so doing in PG;  actual knighthood in Changes)
- Odin's direct role in this, in Changes; giving Harry the information he needs to make it absolutely clear he needs to look to a major power source beyond what he has available in order to have a chance against the gathered Red Court.
- Uriel's direct role in this, in Changes; showing Harry Maggie, giving his motivation the final push to call on Mab and accept the Knighthood.
- Odin's indirect role, in Changes; as a member of the Grey Council, capable of influencing them by what information he provided with them (or presumably just making suggestions; I doubt any of them fail to take the All-father seriously).
- Uriel's indirect role in Changes; powering up the Swords is a Heaven thing.

POTENTIAL ADDITiONAL ELEMENTS

(Note: I think any of these might be the case.  I'm not proposing all of them as a unified theory, so if some of them are contradictory to others, that's utterly beside the point.)

Evil
- We see several attempts by villains (Nicodemus in DM, Kumori in DB) to subvert Harry to their particular dark side
- Therefore whatever Harry is being built towards, the character he is along the way has potential utility to evil as well as good.

Heaven
- If the "Swiss army chainsaw" theory is true, Uriel always intended for Harry to have soulfire.
- Therefore (speculative) it may be the case that Nicodemus was in some way serving Heaven's ends by exposing Harry to a coin, thus enabling Harry to fight off (?) Lash and thereby enabling Uriel to give Harry soulfire.  Either unwittingly, or having deniably figured out a way to help Uriel that Uriel does not have to take responsibility for.  (Like Captain Jack in GS; and that might be an explanation for why Nicodemus thinks he could come out of all this a saint.)
- Michael regularly gets missions from On High (we see this on stage in PG)
- Michael met Harry and insisted on a soulgaze when they were both investigating the same missing child (WoJ)
- Therefore it is possible that Michael meeting Harry, and exposing Harry to both his moral influence as a good person and awareness of the Swords, is on Heaven's orders.

The All-Father
- It seems tolerably obvious that anyone in Harry's line of work in DV Chicago will have to be aware of Marcone and will likely cross paths with Marcone sooner or later.
- We don't, IIRC, know when Marcone first became aware of the supernatural world. It is possible (and appealing to me on plot-aesthetic grounds) that his soulgaze with Harry was it.
- Of all the jobbing sorcerers Marcone could have hired, Gard being the one he ends up with suggests the All-Father had an eye on what was going on there.
- Likewise the All-Father being willing to sponsor Marcone as a freeholding lord (WN).
- Gard acquires Harry's professional respect as a sorcerer (the wards of hers that he has to overcome in DM) his personal respect as a warrior and sometime ally (DB, "Heorot") and ultimately serves as the conduit for him to turn to when he contemplates the necessity of looking to the All-Father for help (Changes)
- Given the All-Father's foresight, some or all of this was planned in advance.
- Harry eating in Odin's halls gives, in the original Norse mythos, Odin a claim on him.  Whenever Harry does eventually end up dying for good and facing judgement, whatever he expects, he'll end up in Valhalla being kept handy until Ragnarok.
- Speculative notion; whatever it was that happened about a thousand years ago when Mab last saw Titania is tied into events surrounding the battle of Hastings.  That happened just after the Saxon King Harold had defeated the last great Viking invasion of England at Stamford Bridge, and then marched south to be defeated by the Normans under William the Conqueror.  The Normans (Latin Nortmannii, same root as Northmen/Norsemen) were just Vikings who happened to have lived in northern France for the past century and a half.  Chances of the All-Father not having a hand in there seem low to me.
- Speculative notion 2: Merlin's apprenticeship to the All-Father (cf. Eb in TC) has some connection with the building of Demonreach (CD), likely in acquiring the knowledge of how to do it.
- Speculative notion 3; given Odin's level of foresight, both those prior sets of events are plausibly prep for the coming storm.

Dead Beat
- Incidental observation that feels like it fits in with this model somehow; one thing DB accomplished was to show Harry that necromancy is not inherently evil (Kumori saving the life of random gangster dude) and then give him experience of using it himself in a not inherently evil manner (Sue). One more blade to the Swiss Army chainsaw as needed.

I have a feeling there's one more related point I am forgetting, but I will come back and add it if it comes back to mind.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Quantus on March 12, 2014, 08:14:08 PM
Excellent, thanks.

(comments to follow after proper digestion)
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 12, 2014, 08:24:06 PM
Ah. here's the other potential additional element I was forgetting:

The Grand Alliance
- The original plan for birthing a starborn was presented by Maggie and Lord Raith to Eb, Arianna, and, it is postulated, representatives of other major supernatural powers.  (The meeting Eb alludes to at the end of Changes where Arianna recognised Maggie was his daughter)
- This fell apart partly because of Eb butting heads with Maggie at that meeting (same ref in Changes) and partly, either as a result of that or because one or other of them had always planned it, by Justin and Lord R attempting to subvert the project for their own ends (either separately or together)
- The continued divide-and-conquer approaches of the villains of the piece, most notably the Red Court/White Council war, are because a grand alliance is the thing they fear most, and forming one will be a key element of the BAT.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: peregrine on March 12, 2014, 08:34:54 PM
Doesn't the last Starborn predate Mab being in her position though?  When was the Last Starborn active, about a thousand years ago?  And Mab has been WQ since Hastings, was it?  Which is maybe a thousand years ago, but it's also off by 5%.  And that assumes that she jumps right into it immediately.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Tami Seven on March 12, 2014, 09:04:13 PM
Doesn't the last Starborn predate Mab being in her position though?  When was the Last Starborn active, about a thousand years ago?  And Mab has been WQ since Hastings, was it?  Which is maybe a thousand years ago, but it's also off by 5%.  And that assumes that she jumps right into it immediately.
it is possible that the last Starborn was a fluke,  unplanned,  unexpected.  By the time the Great Powers realized what they had,  it was too late to use it/him. 

Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Tami Seven on March 12, 2014, 09:09:22 PM
Ah. here's the other potential additional element I was forgetting:

The Grand Alliance
- The original plan for birthing a starborn was presented by Maggie and Lord Raith to Eb, Arianna, and, it is postulated, representatives of other major supernatural powers.  (The meeting Eb alludes to at the end of Changes where Arianna recognised Maggie was his daughter)
- This fell apart partly because of Eb butting heads with Maggie at that meeting (same ref in Changes) and partly, either as a result of that or because one or other of them had always planned it, by Justin and Lord R attempting to subvert the project for their own ends (either separately or together)
- The continued divide-and-conquer approaches of the villains of the piece, most notably the Red Court/White Council war, are because a grand alliance is the thing they fear most, and forming one will be a key element of the BAT.

I like this idea,  in general.  Not sure why Lord Raith was given more of a role than anyone else. I do understand why he would get greedy,  power hungry,  and turn against the others. Not sure if he was trying to keep Maggie from having a Starborn child, or if he wanted to be the father of her Starborn child.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Mercutio on March 12, 2014, 10:13:25 PM
Doesn't the last Starborn predate Mab being in her position though?  When was the Last Starborn active, about a thousand years ago?  And Mab has been WQ since Hastings, was it?  Which is maybe a thousand years ago, but it's also off by 5%.  And that assumes that she jumps right into it immediately.

Two points:

1.  Where is this knowledge of previous Starborns coming from?  The only references that come to mind are Lash's comments in the Deeps and Erlking's acknowledgement of Harry's repulsion of Sharkface's mental whammy, there is one more from Maeve IIRC when she has Harry pretty much beat.  Since there is a name for it that at least 2 people know we can assume that they have occurred over the years but I have no other context to place them in the timeline.

If this is WOJ then if someone can include it that would be great.

2.  Why do we think Mab has only been Queen since the Battle of Hastings, that was the last time she saw her sister true but how does that fit with her Mantle.

Again if the is WOJ then could someone find it or at least state it as such?

Many Thanks
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Datakim on March 12, 2014, 11:03:56 PM
it is possible that the last Starborn was a fluke,  unplanned,  unexpected.  By the time the Great Powers realized what they had,  it was too late to use it/him.

Presumably the knowledge on how to create Starborn had to come from somewhere. I cannot recall the WoJ exactly, but was it not said that the previous Starborn was running around when one of the Ladies died? Maybe that Starborn was an unplanned accident, but proved powerfull and usefull, and now people are trying to actively create more based on the knowledge gained from the previous one?
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Snark Knight on March 12, 2014, 11:13:02 PM
Doesn't the last Starborn predate Mab being in her position though?  When was the Last Starborn active, about a thousand years ago?  And Mab has been WQ since Hastings, was it?  Which is maybe a thousand years ago, but it's also off by 5%.  And that assumes that she jumps right into it immediately.

We don't actually know that Mab started the gig exactly in 1066.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 13, 2014, 12:01:26 AM
Doesn't the last Starborn predate Mab being in her position though?  When was the Last Starborn active, about a thousand years ago?  And Mab has been WQ since Hastings, was it?  Which is maybe a thousand years ago, but it's also off by 5%.  And that assumes that she jumps right into it immediately.

If the previous starborn was mortal, fifty years off is doable; if a wizard, even more so.  And that's assuming that thousand years is exactly accurate rather than plus or minus a few years.

I would also note that my hypothesis here does not make any reference to the last starborn; I don't think we know enough there to say more than "probably was involved somehow".
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 13, 2014, 12:05:04 AM
I like this idea,  in general.  Not sure why Lord Raith was given more of a role than anyone else.

I'd say that she had to go to someone who was not part of the White Council, and guess that he was the most plausible alternative compared to, say, the Red Court.

Quote
I do understand why he would get greedy,  power hungry,  and turn against the others.

I have no strong position on that; my own feeling is that he more likely changed plan when the meeting we heard about in Changes failed, but I do not have anything to argue that from.

Quote
Not sure if he was trying to keep Maggie from having a Starborn child, or if he wanted to be the father of her Starborn child.

Oh, neither; I am positing that he wanted her to have the Starborn child according to the recipe, but to bring it up as a weapon for himself rather than to protect all of reality.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Tami Seven on March 13, 2014, 12:13:02 AM
I'd say that she had to go to someone who was not part of the White Council, and guess that he was the most plausible alternative compared to, say, the Red Court.

I have no strong position on that; my own feeling is that he more likely changed plan when the meeting we heard about in Changes failed, but I do not have anything to argue that from.

Oh, neither; I am positing that he wanted her to have the Starborn child according to the recipe, but to bring it up as a weapon for himself rather than to protect all of reality.

That last part doesn't make sense,  only in that apparently the recipe for a Starborn involved a man more like Malcolm.  So...when Maggie ran away to find him, LR killed her. Admittedly just as she was giving birth to her Starborn child. Why did LR keep her for 6 years? Why didn't he work with her to make sure she had her Starborn child as per the recipe?  Whatever that recipe is. And why did he put her life at risk by having a child with her (someone Maggie's age, there is always a risk that a pregnancy could have complications.  Unlikely,  but not impossible. )
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Tami Seven on March 13, 2014, 12:25:42 AM
I've had some theories of my own in the past, but in light of this one, which I find very interesting,  I see a conflict. If LR wanted Maggie to have a Starborn,  then Thomas should never have been born. Unless LR was convinced that he would be a suitable father for this child. But considering that Thomas wasn't born anywhere near the auspicious date to make a Starborn,  I question LR's intentions.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: knnn on March 13, 2014, 12:33:13 AM
Hey Neuro great job in putting all these ideas into a very clear and organized format.

My thoughts:

1) Even if UMO aren't actually working hand in hand in the traditional sense, the fact that each of them has omniscient-level omniscience, and that they are all presumably working against Outsiders means that they must be "sharing future threads".

2) WoJ:

Quote
Q:  How/when did Harry find out Lea is his godmother?  Is Lea Thomas’s godmother, too?
A:  Lea was around when Harry was in middle school, although he didn’t know who she was.  She was just a lady who sometimes did nice things for him.  He found out who she is after he became Justin’s apprentice.  Lea is not Thomas’s godmother

Not sure how what this brings to bear on the theory, but worth mentioning.

3) We are told (end of SmF) that the only way Uriel could give Harry Soulfire is if Hell broke the rules first.  It is not impossible that UMO manipulated the Denarians into making a play for Ivy just so Harry could get Soulfire (and possibly have a first meeting with Demonreach).

4) I think we have evidence that a Starborn is a double-edged (or possibly multi-edged) sword from the memory of the HHWB encounter in GS.   Consider that HHWB seems to be toying with Harry.  I submit that if a Starborn had no  use for Outsiders, HHWB would have simply killed him and called it a day.

5) Re: Thousand years and previous starborns, there's the following WoJ:

Quote
You said the Winter, rather, Knights’ mantles change fairly often? How often do the Ladies’, Queens’ and Mothers’ mantles change?

Uh, the Ladies, Queens and Mothers, their mantles change very, very, very rarely in general. I mean, Mab’s been there for better than 1,000 years. And Maeve’s been there….there was a Winter Lady before Maeve, uh, in Mab’s time. And she didn’t fare so well the last time a Starborn was running around. And so….Mab and Maeve, um, **unintelligible**, I leave things here, don’t miss ‘em. I love to drop teases and hints and walk away smiling, but anyway. They don’t change very often at all. The Knights’ mantles change, like, constantly. Most Knights are Knights who pick up a sword for a night. And then they’re done. It’s just some random Joe, who happens to be a decent guy, and it’s like, “Look, magical sword, horrible danger! Do something!”. **unintelligible** Just because you’re a great guy doesn’t mean you’re smart enough to survive an encounter with demons, for example. And we’ll see a bit more of that in the next book, too.

So apparently, there *was* a previous Starborn during Mab's tenure.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: knnn on March 13, 2014, 12:41:28 AM
That last part doesn't make sense,  only in that apparently the recipe for a Starborn involved a man more like Malcolm.  So...when Maggie ran away to find him, LR killed her. Admittedly just as she was giving birth to her Starborn child. Why did LR keep her for 6 years? Why didn't he work with her to make sure she had her Starborn child as per the recipe?  Whatever that recipe is. And why did he put her life at risk by having a child with her (someone Maggie's age, there is always a risk that a pregnancy could have complications.  Unlikely,  but not impossible. )

Personally, I am not 100% convinced that it was really Lord Raith who killed Maggie Sr.  Sure, Ebenezer believes it, but then he may well be blinded by his prejudices -- automatically blaming the "drug dealing scum of a boyfriend" for her death.  We don't really know recipe is required for birthing a Starborn, but the fact that Elaine (known potential per WoJ) is also an orphan suggests to me that we can't rule out death during childbirth as being one of the ingredients. 

1) IMHO it is not impossible that Maggie killed herself deliberately to create a Starborn.

2) It is even possible that the mother needs to die with an entropy curse in order to create a Starborn (HHWB-Entropy curse connection in Blood Rites).  Maggie could well have done this to herself.

3) Note also that technically it was Maggie's Death Curse that killed her.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Tami Seven on March 13, 2014, 01:13:57 AM
Personally, I am not 100% convinced that it was really Lord Raith who killed Maggie Sr.  Sure, Ebenezer believes it, but then he may well be blinded by his prejudices -- automatically blaming the "drug dealing scum of a boyfriend" for her death.  We don't really know recipe is required for birthing a Starborn, but the fact that Elaine (known potential per WoJ) is also an orphan suggests to me that we can't rule out death during childbirth as being one of the ingredients. 

1) IMHO it is not impossible that Maggie killed herself deliberately to create a Starborn.

2) It is even possible that the mother needs to die with an entropy curse in order to create a Starborn (HHWB-Entropy curse connection in Blood Rites).  Maggie could well have done this to herself.

3) Note also that technically it was Maggie's Death Curse that killed her.

Still, to me this whole planning ahead to produce a Starborn, while I agree that it is a strong probability, has one anomaly -- Thomas. If the UMO Alliance, Lord Raith and the others all planned ahead to create a Starborn...Thomas should never have been born. I love Thomas to death, he's my favorite next to Harry, but his very existence makes no sense.

How do you suppose Mab reacted when Lea told her, "My Queen, I know we have been working with Margaret LeFay to produce a Starborn, however It seems she has not stuck to the plan."

Do you think Mab, or Odin would have been thrilled to learn Maggie was pregnant with a 'Bastard' child?
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: forumghost on March 13, 2014, 01:19:35 AM
Still, to me this whole planning ahead to produce a Starborn, while I agree that it is a strong probability, has one anomaly -- Thomas. If the UMO Alliance, Lord Raith and the others all planned ahead to create a Starborn...Thomas should never have been born. I love Thomas to death, he's my favorite next to Harry, but his very existence makes no sense.

His existence makes perfect sense. Lord Raith is an Alcoholic, and Maggie Sr is a bottle of Scotch. I'm surprised it took as long as it did.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Tami Seven on March 13, 2014, 01:23:17 AM
His existence makes perfect sense. Lord Raith is an Alcoholic, and Maggie Sr is a bottle of Scotch. I'm surprised it took as long as it did.

Lord Raith produces a child once every 20-30 years. He chooses the mothers carefully, for reasons of his own. Feeding and having sex, yes, he does or did that like an alcoholic downing the contents of a liquor store. But that is not the case for reproduction. LR doesn't have accidents, if he did Thomas would have far more half-sibilings than he does.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: forumghost on March 13, 2014, 01:25:48 AM
Lord Raith produces a child once every 20-30 years. He chooses the mothers carefully, for reasons of his own. Feeding and having sex, yes, he does or did that like an alcoholic downing the contents of a liquor store. But that is not the case for reproduction. LR doesn't have accidents, if he did Thomas would have far more half-sibilings than he does.

Unless there is some Biological Limitation on the White courts reproduction. Which is my personal theory, because otherwise there would be a lot more of them.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Tami Seven on March 13, 2014, 01:28:31 AM
Unless there is some Biological Limitation on the White courts reproduction. Which is my personal theory, because otherwise there would be a lot more of them.

Consider how many women Thomas has been with just to feed, not to mention Justine. Do you think he takes the time to use 'Protection'? I'm fairly certain that WCV have a way of controlling when and with whom they reproduce.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: forumghost on March 13, 2014, 01:31:12 AM
Consider how many women Thomas has been with just to feed, not to mention Justine. Do you think he takes the time to use 'Protection'? I'm fairly certain that WCV have a way of controlling when and with whom they reproduce.

And I think that they can't, but just have very low birth rates. Either way, I doubt we'll be getting an answer any time soon.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Tami Seven on March 13, 2014, 01:36:48 AM
And I think that they can't, but just have very low birth rates. Either way, I doubt we'll be getting an answer any time soon.

Consider that Lord Raith painted a portrait of every woman who ever gave him a child, male or female. Doesn't that imply a sense of pride or possession, of having chosen the best women to give him children?  I don't see him doing it if his children were all accidents and the mothers just random women. 
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: knnn on March 13, 2014, 01:38:18 AM
Consider that Lord Raith painted a portrait of every woman who ever gave him a child, male or female. Doesn't that imply a sense of pride or possession, of having chosen the best women to give him children?  I don't see him doing it if his children were all accidents and the mothers just random women.

The fact the he kills all his male offspring implies to me that at least some of it is up to chance.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Second Aristh on March 13, 2014, 01:40:45 AM
Neuro, when you get a chance, could you add exactly what you mean by the Swiss Army Chainsaw theory?
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: forumghost on March 13, 2014, 01:41:44 AM
Consider that Lord Raith painted a portrait of every woman who ever gave him a child, male or female. Doesn't that imply a sense of pride or possession, of having chosen the best women to give him children?  I don't see him doing it if his children were all accidents and the mothers just random women.

To me it implied him showing off his ability to "Get so many of dem Beeyachez Knocked up, yoh!".

Sort of like having a dick-measuring contest with the other White Court Vamps "Oh, look how much more Impotent then me you are, what a loser " So yeah, I'd say it was a matter of Pride/Ego. But it's about showing off how awesome he is. The Women are just Symbols of his 'Greatness'.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 13, 2014, 02:05:52 AM
Still, to me this whole planning ahead to produce a Starborn, while I agree that it is a strong probability, has one anomaly -- Thomas. If the UMO Alliance, Lord Raith and the others all planned ahead to create a Starborn...Thomas should never have been born. I love Thomas to death, he's my favorite next to Harry, but his very existence makes no sense.

I read that as Maggie knowing Harry's going to have a very hard life ahead of him whether he succeeds or fails - she seems sorry for all the burdens she put on him in that message in BR - and left Thomas knowing Harry was his brother, and with a message in him to convince Harry when it came up.

Thomas is not a failed Starborn or an interference with the Starborn plan, to my mind.  He's planned - Maggie-planned, at least - support for the Starborn.  I see no reason to think the plan calls for the Starborn to be the only kid she has - if anything, a safe and healthy birth of a previous child is useful evidence that she can handle that part of it.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 13, 2014, 02:07:00 AM
Unless there is some Biological Limitation on the White courts reproduction. Which is my personal theory, because otherwise there would be a lot more of them.

I see no need for it.  Lord R has the self-control not to let it show for thirty years that he's running on empty; he definitely has the self-control not to have kids he doesn't want.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 13, 2014, 02:08:27 AM
Consider how many women Thomas has been with just to feed, not to mention Justine. Do you think he takes the time to use 'Protection'?

I think from what we have seen of Thomas feeding, it doesn't need to involve intercourse specifically.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: forumghost on March 13, 2014, 02:10:01 AM
I see no need for it.  Lord R has the self-control not to let it show for thirty years that he's running on empty; he definitely has the self-control not to have kids he doesn't want.

That statement was more to do with Whites in general then LR specifically.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: peregrine on March 13, 2014, 02:11:36 AM
Given what someone (either Bob or Thomas) says about how making a baby is about mixing a spirits to bring a new one into the world, and how the Wampires feed by mingling and then ripping their spirit back bringing with it some of the victim's spirit with it, I can easily see how they can somehow control the process of conception.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 13, 2014, 02:13:02 AM
Neuro, when you get a chance, could you add exactly what you mean by the Swiss Army Chainsaw theory?

The proposed object of the exercise is for a starborn human (which appears to principally mean, thus far, one with seriously atypical power over/resistance against Outsiders) to have as much access as possible to as many of the various magical power sources as the DF has.

Hence Harry, thus far, is a strong wizard (Maggie's genetics plus lots of exercise); has experienced Hellfire and later been granted soulfire; has some familiarity with necromancy; has faith magic from his faith in what magic is for (lighting up his pentacle); and most recently  acquired a Winter mantle.  All of which are things he can use more efficiently against Outsiders than almost anyone else because of the starborn-ness.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Quantus on March 13, 2014, 02:14:08 AM
Ok, all laid out there I disagree with a lot less of this theory than I thought I would.  While I doubt they often sit down for afternoon tea, I have no problem with both Uriel and Odin working towards a common goal and with a certain amount of accommodation if not active conspiracy. 

My main contention is in characterizing Mab as (knowing/willing) part of that alliance.  Correct me if Im wrong, but the only evidence you site that she is working with them is that bit from bob in GS.  But Bob's theory that they were working together was purely based on the fact that there was an unusually long winter indicating that she was still in town.  Which we later learned was because Uriel had, apparently against her wishes, taken Harry's soul on walkabout, forcing her to sit still on earth and give mouth-to-mouth to a human for months, out of season and at great personal strain.  All so he could teach her new pet that he she was mistaken in her belief that she could mold him at her whim.  And in this case at least we can be certain that she was not simply misleading him as part of some greater manipulation, since we have a WOJ that she was being entirely Truthful, and just happened to be entirely Wrong.  If it were all a collaborative scheme between her and Uriel, that could not have been the case. 

Im not saying Mab isn't a Grade A puppetmaster, but I think she's getting handled as much as she is handling Harry.  In the Grand scheme she isnt master of the house, she is the big scary Guard Dog at the gate to keep trespassers out; and Titania is the slightly less scary violently aggressive Dog in the house that's there to stop the big scary dog if she gets off her leash.




PS. is it just me or does every thread seem to derail into a White Court discussion lately?  I myself derailed the Deidre thread earlier today....
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 13, 2014, 02:17:02 AM
That last part doesn't make sense,  only in that apparently the recipe for a Starborn involved a man more like Malcolm.  So...when Maggie ran away to find him, LR killed her. Admittedly just as she was giving birth to her Starborn child. Why did LR keep her for 6 years? Why didn't he work with her to make sure she had her Starborn child as per the recipe?

My admittedly fairly wild preferred theory there is that Maggie's death at the time of childbirth is part of the Starborn recipe and a willing sacrifice on her part.  I don't believe that she was naive enough about magic to leave anything he could target an Entropy Curse on if she had to escape his thrall, or that if he just wanted her dead it would hit her at that precisely calibrated a moment and not before.

As for keeping her six years, I propose that he is working with her, in helping identify and bring about the conditions needed for a Starborn.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Tami Seven on March 13, 2014, 02:26:34 AM
My admittedly fairly wild preferred theory there is that Maggie's death at the time of childbirth is part of the Starborn recipe and a willing sacrifice on her part.  I don't believe that she was naive enough about magic to leave anything he could target an Entropy Curse on if she had to escape his thrall, or that if he just wanted her dead it would hit her at that precisely calibrated a moment and not before.

As for keeping her six years, I propose that he is working with her, in helping identify and bring about the conditions needed for a Starborn.

I wonder what Thomas and Harry would say if they heard this theory...
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: forumghost on March 13, 2014, 02:27:20 AM
My admittedly fairly wild preferred theory there is that Maggie's death at the time of childbirth is part of the Starborn recipe and a willing sacrifice on her part.  I don't believe that she was naive enough about magic to leave anything he could target an Entropy Curse on if she had to escape his thrall, or that if he just wanted her dead it would hit her at that precisely calibrated a moment and not before.

As for keeping her six years, I propose that he is working with her, in helping identify and bring about the conditions needed for a Starborn.

He had Thomas. That's already enough. And besides, IIRC the Ritual he used in BR didn't actually require anything tied to the victim to target them.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Quantus on March 13, 2014, 02:38:33 AM
And I dont have my nice searchable ebooks here, but didnt they say somewhere in the early books that it didnt absolutely have to be body-part related, that personal items or even a good picture could work?
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Tami Seven on March 13, 2014, 02:44:34 AM
In BR, there were 3 witches. Two doing the ritual,  one close to the target acting to aim it. The details beyond that I'm not sure.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Quantus on March 13, 2014, 02:50:03 AM
In BR, there were 3 witches. Two doing the ritual,  one close to the target acting to aim it. The details beyond that I'm not sure.
three witches but all needed as part of the ritual.  Until the last scene when Ex #1 did it all herself, but she was a legitimate practitioner in her own right slinging spells around.  But they just needed to chant at the right time, and have a human sacrifice. 
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: SAZ on March 13, 2014, 12:30:26 PM
Neuro – great stuff and thanks for laying it out all in one place. I think you are spot on in a broad general way and it is only in the details that some of the darts might be off center.

I like the idea of Lea being a catalyst or at least being involved in the early stages. Her stature in the DV seems overlooked sometimes by us readers. Besides what you have mentioned, I recall that at the party during some tense moment (book is not handy right now) Lea and Ferro even held hands? Or she grabbed his arm I think. Considering WoJs about his importance and power, it speaks volumes that he did not reject her and considered her someone worthy of his company.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Quantus on March 13, 2014, 12:33:27 PM
Neuro – great stuff and thanks for laying it out all in one place. I think you are spot on in a broad general way and it is only in the details that some of the darts might be off center.

I like the idea of Lea being a catalyst or at least being involved in the early stages. Her stature in the DV seems overlooked sometimes by us readers. Besides what you have mentioned, I recall that at the party during some tense moment (book is not handy right now) Lea and Ferro even held hands? Or she grabbed his arm I think. Considering WoJs about his importance and power, it speaks volumes that he did not reject her and considered her someone worthy of his company.
She "laid her hand on Mister Ferro's arm, frowning faintly, standing well out of the way" right as things were going to hell when Mavra was about to destroy Amoracchius.  The implication was that she was restraining him from getting involved.  Ive always been curious which side he would have thrown in on.  Im guessing he would have squished Harry and Michael flat, if for no other reason that helping his Host. 
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Fangz on March 13, 2014, 02:32:45 PM
Ok, all laid out there I disagree with a lot less of this theory than I thought I would.  While I doubt they often sit down for afternoon tea, I have no problem with both Uriel and Odin working towards a common goal and with a certain amount of accommodation if not active conspiracy. 

My main contention is in characterizing Mab as (knowing/willing) part of that alliance.  Correct me if Im wrong, but the only evidence you site that she is working with them is that bit from bob in GS.  But Bob's theory that they were working together was purely based on the fact that there was an unusually long winter indicating that she was still in town.  Which we later learned was because Uriel had, apparently against her wishes, taken Harry's soul on walkabout, forcing her to sit still on earth and give mouth-to-mouth to a human for months, out of season and at great personal strain.  All so he could teach her new pet that he she was mistaken in her belief that she could mold him at her whim.  And in this case at least we can be certain that she was not simply misleading him as part of some greater manipulation, since we have a WOJ that she was being entirely Truthful, and just happened to be entirely Wrong.  If it were all a collaborative scheme between her and Uriel, that could not have been the case. 

Im not saying Mab isn't a Grade A puppetmaster, but I think she's getting handled as much as she is handling Harry.  In the Grand scheme she isnt master of the house, she is the big scary Guard Dog at the gate to keep trespassers out; and Titania is the slightly less scary violently aggressive Dog in the house that's there to stop the big scary dog if she gets off her leash.




PS. is it just me or does every thread seem to derail into a White Court discussion lately?  I myself derailed the Deidre thread earlier today....

Without Harry's interference, Corpsetaker was going to take over Molly, aka Faerie Lady Failsafe #2. That is unacceptable, so Harry's actions in GS did serve Mab's interests. I'm sure that if UMO is the case, the three sides are probably not fully frank with each other. Especially with Mab, since being fully frank with Mab means all sorts of weirdness with respect to 'who owes who a favour now', etc etc.

This might actually explain why Mab wants her allies to act independently of her, even her knight (compare the tighter hold Titania puts on her Lady and Knight, geas and all). Because it circumvents the Winter Queen's big tactical weakness - that she has to follow rules and obligations.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Fangz on March 13, 2014, 02:43:56 PM
Still, I don't really see this as a long standing alliance. Because I don't think Uriel and Winter really interact, until we get to a certain point. I think the alliance, if it exists, probably only really came into existence with the party at Bianca's place - and perhaps afterwards, when Lea's infection was apparent. After which, I assume Uriel and Mab got together and realised: Oh shit, the Adversary very nearly fucked the both of us, didn't it?
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: ballplayer72 on March 13, 2014, 03:18:13 PM
The proposed object of the exercise is for a starborn human (which appears to principally mean, thus far, one with seriously atypical power over/resistance against Outsiders) to have as much access as possible to as many of the various magical power sources as the DF has.

Hence Harry, thus far, is a strong wizard (Maggie's genetics plus lots of exercise); has experienced Hellfire and later been granted soulfire; has some familiarity with necromancy; has faith magic from his faith in what magic is for (lighting up his pentacle); and most recently  acquired a Winter mantle.  All of which are things he can use more efficiently against Outsiders than almost anyone else because of the starborn-ness.

You missed a new source: DR and the Warden mantle.   And possibly a small buff from the wild hunt, afterall thomas picked up a LITTLE somethin somethin (enhanced senses maybe? he seems... sharper I guess after DB) and he just joined up.  Harry didn't just join it, he led it for a bit.  At the behest of santa odin and Herne who pretty much shanghaied him into it.  Maybe a slightly tougher buff? 
Is there any sort of WOJ on how harry picked up TOOTs true name?  Cause toot has saved his bacon a number of times. 
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Tami Seven on March 13, 2014, 03:31:19 PM
Still, I don't really see this as a long standing alliance. Because I don't think Uriel and Winter really interact, until we get to a certain point. I think the alliance, if it exists, probably only really came into existence with the party at Bianca's place - and perhaps afterwards, when Lea's infection was apparent. After which, I assume Uriel and Mab got together and realised: Oh shit, the Adversary very nearly fucked the both of us, didn't it?

I wouldn't have referred to them as a Team, more as a temporary Alliance. It appears that Uriel, Mab and Odin (and maybe others) don't always see eye-to-eye, but they may share a singular common purpose...Harry. But I do like the idea that those three had been plotting something for some time.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 13, 2014, 04:33:22 PM
Hey Neuro great job in putting all these ideas into a very clear and organized format.

Thank you.

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1) Even if UMO aren't actually working hand in hand in the traditional sense, the fact that each of them has omniscient-level omniscience, and that they are all presumably working against Outsiders means that they must be "sharing future threads".

That would seem entirely workable to me, but not really functionally distinguishable from sitting down and planning together in terms of how it affects the plot of the books at Harry's level.

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2) WoJ:
Not sure how what this brings to bear on the theory, but worth mentioning.

That was the one I was thinking of in re Lea being around Harry when he was young.

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3) We are told (end of SmF) that the only way Uriel could give Harry Soulfire is if Hell broke the rules first.  It is not impossible that UMO manipulated the Denarians into making a play for Ivy just so Harry could get Soulfire (and possibly have a first meeting with Demonreach).

Maybe indeed.  I had been thinking, though, that Captain Jack, in GS, motivates Harry by warning him about three of his friends being due to be broken, maimed or killed if he does not go back; this is someone who works for Uriel doing something that attains Uriel's desired end, which Uriel itself cannot do and appears to verbally reprimand him for.  I'm positing that, much as part of the point of a Faerie Knight appears to be for Faerie to have an agent who can exercise free will for Faerie ends in ways Faerie themselves cannot, Uriel having mortals working for him derives similar benefit - and Nicodemus maybe counting under the same logic Captain Jack does.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 13, 2014, 04:40:33 PM
You missed a new source: DR and the Warden mantle.

True, I did not connect all the dots up there for what I was thinking, sorry about that.

I am speculatively positing that Demonreach exists in the first place by virtue of Odin advising Merlin that it would be a good idea and how to do it.  And that Demonreach and the position of Warden of Demonreach may have been set up the way they were as a place to plug the Swiss Army Chainsaw into.

There was a suggestion a few months ago, and annoyingly I forget whose it was, that the location of the Stone Table in Chicago above Chicago in SK, and the location of Harry's dream of Malcolm in DB, are both echoes of Demonreach.  I like that and I can see it fitting with the Team UMO idea - I am pretty convinced Malcolm in DB is an agent of Uriel's.

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  And possibly a small buff from the wild hunt, afterall thomas picked up a LITTLE somethin somethin (enhanced senses maybe? he seems... sharper I guess after DB) and he just joined up.  Harry didn't just join it, he led it for a bit.  At the behest of santa odin and Herne who pretty much shanghaied him into it.  Maybe a slightly tougher buff? 

Perhaps. The impression I have of what the Wild Hunt did for Thomas was that it basically forced him to confront his nature and cleared his head some about stuff he always could have done but was leery of; not seeing any reason it could not have been the sort of buff you describe either, though.

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Is there any sort of WOJ on how harry picked up TOOTs true name?  Cause toot has saved his bacon a number of times.

Not that I recall.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Quantus on March 13, 2014, 04:50:39 PM
That would seem entirely workable to me, but not really functionally distinguishable from sitting down and planning together in terms of how it affects the plot of the books at Harry's level.
The functional difference come in when you start assuming a greater level of shared information outside of the specific instances where you have have evidence of collaboration and/or a common interest. 

Only one has anything close to "omniscient-level omniscience" and in that case JB was very specific to explain that Intellectus is distinct and less than Omniscience.  Odin had, in the myths Im aware of at least, what amounted to a Prophetic vision that has guided his actions (while being hung from the world-tree after sacrificing his Eye), and then had some magical artifacts and minions that kept him apprised of current events by more traditional means.  And Mab doesnt have Intellectus, she's just a clever bitch. 

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Maybe indeed.  I had been thinking, though, that Captain Jack, in GS, motivates Harry by warning him about three of his friends being due to be broken, maimed or killed if he does not go back; this is someone who works for Uriel doing something that attains Uriel's desired end, which Uriel itself cannot do and appears to verbally reprimand him for.  I'm positing that, much as part of the point of a Faerie Knight appears to be for Faerie to have an agent who can exercise free will for Faerie ends in ways Faerie themselves cannot, Uriel having mortals working for him derives similar benefit - and Nicodemus maybe counting under the same logic Captain Jack does.
When you say counting under the same logic so you mean in the sense of the the Host provides his fallen with a Loophole, or that he is counted as one of Uriel's Minions?
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 13, 2014, 05:08:03 PM
My main contention is in characterizing Mab as (knowing/willing) part of that alliance.  Correct me if Im wrong, but the only evidence you site that she is working with them is that bit from bob in GS.  But Bob's theory that they were working together was purely based on the fact that there was an unusually long winter indicating that she was still in town.

I don't have the text to hand, being in work right now; are you sure of that ? I thought that conversation came just after Harry mentioning that he'd had a long conversation with Bob that isn't in the text verbatim, implicitly about events we've already seen, and that the point I made in the original post about Uriel's reaction to being summoned and how that pushes Harry towards choosing to summon Mab could well be relevant there.  I'm not recalling that the excessive winter confirming mab is around in Chicago was in that conversation at all, though I could well be wrong/

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Which we later learned was because Uriel had, apparently against her wishes, taken Harry's soul on walkabout, forcing her to sit still on earth and give mouth-to-mouth to a human for months, out of season and at great personal strain.  All so he could teach her new pet that he she was mistaken in her belief that she could mold him at her whim.  And in this case at least we can be certain that she was not simply misleading him as part of some greater manipulation, since we have a WOJ that she was being entirely Truthful, and just happened to be entirely Wrong.  If it were all a collaborative scheme between her and Uriel, that could not have been the case. 

The "apparently against her wishes" there strikes me as rather clever.

Mab says she's cross with Uriel for sending Harry's soul walkabout.  She also says that had Harry not made it through that he'd have been lost and gone forever.  She puts those two sentences right next to each other and leaves Harry and us to infer a causal linkage.  However, the grammatical form "had Harry died as a wandering soul, he'd have been gone forever" (I paraphrase from memory) is the same as "had I a billion dollars free and clear of obligation, I know exactly which good causes would receive the first $800 million of it"; it can be (and in my case is) perfectly true without requiring me to actually have a billion dollars, or for it to be a remotely plausible eventuality that I might have any time soon.

I think "She cannot change who you are" makes sense because Mab and Uriel see the universe in very very different ways.  Mab cares about results.  Uriel cares about choices.  Mab's is an ethic of consequence, Uriel's one of free will.  I'm not seeing that the ways the Winter mantle may change Harry matter a bent penny to Mab except to the extent that they make Harry more likely to do what she asks of him without qualm.

We have the evidence of SmF that Mab can seriously change the range of options Harry is aware of, and in so doing, guide the choices he makes toward a desired end.  This does not seem to count as a violation of free will, at least at the scale at which Uriel cares about and is allowed/required to oppose such violations.  We know from BR (and I can never remember whether this is Harry having breakfast with Kincaid and Murphy, or the screen with Harry and Bob immediately before; it's the conversation about Renfields) that it is possible for humans to be enthralled with such a fine touch that they do not even notice.  Harry does not notice Mab messing with his memory in SmF; it takes Molly looking through his mind to find it, it takes Michael being suspicious that Harry has not lost Lasciel's shadow after all to motivate that search, and even when the mental block is found, Harry actively cannot resist or overcome it by will alone; that takes Michael's prayer, which looks to me like direct divine intervention.

The take-home message at the end of the day would appear to be: Mab can't change what Harry is in the sense Uriel cares about.  But apart from that, she has pretty much free rein to manipulate what he does, which is what she cares about. 

And what that achieves, that benefits all participants of Team UMO, is a Winter Knight who is willing to go along with being Winter Knight for the moment, rather than engaging in elaborate suicide attempts, because he is under the impression that Mab not being able to change who he is means he can meaningfully resist her wanting him to do something he finds objectionable.  Harry saying "I will go along with this for the moment and make trouble if i see a need for it" is much more productive than Harry saying "I'm not doing any of this under any circumstances because it makes me a monster", and I think we have plenty of evidence for Mab's ability to convince Harry to do what she wants in any specific case where that's important (as seen in SK and SmF.)
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 13, 2014, 05:09:31 PM
Without Harry's interference, Corpsetaker was going to take over Molly, aka Faerie Lady Failsafe #2. That is unacceptable, so Harry's actions in GS did serve Mab's interests.

Good point; I hadn't thought of that, but it's another thing that aligns neatly with this theory.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 13, 2014, 05:11:16 PM
Still, I don't really see this as a long standing alliance. Because I don't think Uriel and Winter really interact, until we get to a certain point. I think the alliance, if it exists, probably only really came into existence with the party at Bianca's place - and perhaps afterwards, when Lea's infection was apparent. After which, I assume Uriel and Mab got together and realised: Oh shit, the Adversary very nearly fucked the both of us, didn't it?

That would require a remarkable lack of forethought from interests both of whom have definite connection with Harry's life before then, and both of whom are supposedly to be some combination of superhumanly intelligent and foresighted.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Agravaine on March 13, 2014, 05:15:15 PM
Nice theory, really like it.  UMO have definitely worked on this a long time.  You can add DR and Herne to the A-Team as well now.

So let's go back to the dinner of future woe.  I don't think that there's any evidence that Justin was at the dinner.  However, I do agree that Justin figured out the Star Born plan and worked hard to coopt it for himself.  If they are as rare as they seem to be, it was quite a coup for Justin to have Harry AND Elaine under his influence.  Lea watched over Harry, I wonder who watched over Elaine?

Anyway, I think that the implication of the evidence surrounding the Dinner points more to some kind of White Council Reform plan.  She wanted to change the Council, had not enough support within it and thought she could use outside pressure groups -- The Whites, The Reds, etc. to affect change.  She probably figured that her Father, being somewhat of a renegade himself would be more open to the possibility. 

I believe that after Eb didn't cooperate, she started having second thoughts and tried to work free of LR. Perhaps she realized the danger she was putting everyone in (at least according to Luccio). 

In short, the Starborn plan was something that she came to later -- after she had been on the run for a few years.  Justin was likely one of her former (few) allies on the council and may have confided in him.  Maggie may have even made Justin Harry's Godfather, which is why Eb never collected him. 
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 13, 2014, 05:21:44 PM
The functional difference come in when you start assuming a greater level of shared information outside of the specific instances where you have have evidence of collaboration and/or a common interest. 

I find it more plausible that the scales of tactical collaboration, or at least, joint efforts that contribute towards a common goal, we see in the text are part of a larger strategic collaboration than otherwise.

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Only one has anything close to "omniscient-level omniscience" and in that case JB was very specific to explain that Intellectus is distinct and less than Omniscience.

Yeah, you have to think of the question to get the answer in the first place.

One thing I really want to know is whether it is possible for a being with intellectus to deliberately avoid thinking of a specific question in order not to have the answer.  I am inclined to think not, and I think that has implications for how much Uriel knows about Harry's likely reaction to their conversations given that Uriel kind of has to be thinking about talking to Harry while actually talking to Harry.

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  Odin had, in the myths Im aware of at least, what amounted to a Prophetic vision that has guided his actions (while being hung from the world-tree after sacrificing his Eye), and then had some magical artifacts and minions that kept him apprised of current events by more traditional means.  And Mab doesnt have Intellectus, she's just a clever bitch.

If some degree of pooling underlying intelligence is accepted, then information any one team member gets from intellectus is plausibly available to any team member.

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When you say counting under the same logic so you mean in the sense of the the Host provides his fallen with a Loophole, or that he is counted as one of Uriel's Minions?

I am positing Nicodemus, the host, counting as a minion of Uriel in this context, in  a way not directly connected to anything Anduriel is doing.  (And in a way he maybe hopes to parlay into sainthood; an incidental but vital role in saving the universe during the BAT by preparing Harry might not be a bad start towards that objective.)
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 13, 2014, 05:33:21 PM
Nice theory, really like it.  UMO have definitely worked on this a long time.  You can add DR and Herne to the A-Team as well now.

I think they are plausibly allies at this point but am not seeing anything to tie them in to the larger plan from the get-go. (Unless you count DR's existence as indirectly a consequence of Odin mentoring Merlin.)

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So let's go back to the dinner of future woe.  I don't think that there's any evidence that Justin was at the dinner.  However, I do agree that Justin figured out the Star Born plan and worked hard to coopt it for himself.

We don't know whether Justin was at that dinner, and I'm inclined to guess he wasn't; we know he abducted Bob during the final fall of Kemmler which, whether the dates in DB or GS turn out to be right, is I think before that meeting.  We do however know from Eb in BR that Justin was a known associate of Maggie. 

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  If they are as rare as they seem to be, it was quite a coup for Justin to have Harry AND Elaine under his influence.  Lea watched over Harry, I wonder who watched over Elaine?

I would guess, someone from Summer. From what Mab says in her first appearance in SK, having a hold over Harry is a significant thing for Lea and her standing within Winter, and there is a balance to be kept; and why it was Summer that Elaine ran to is the same scale of question as why it was lea that Harry ran to.

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Anyway, I think that the implication of the evidence surrounding the Dinner points more to some kind of White Council Reform plan.  She wanted to change the Council, had not enough support within it and thought she could use outside pressure groups -- The Whites, The Reds, etc. to affect change.

Looking at what we know of the more conservative elements of the Senior Council, I'm not seeing how on Earth it's plausible that Maggie might think the opinions of the vampire courts are going to be taken into account or make a difference there.

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  She probably figured that her Father, being somewhat of a renegade himself would be more open to the possibility. 

I think it makes more sense that (presuming she knew he was Blackstaff, which is not something i recall evidence on either way) knowing he had licence to, and experience with, operating outside the Laws would have made him seem open to the possibility of the degree of playing fast and loose with knowledge about Outsiders it would take to create an anti-Outsider weapon.

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I believe that after Eb didn't cooperate, she started having second thoughts and tried to work free of LR. Perhaps she realized the danger she was putting everyone in (at least according to Luccio). 

Maybe. I am much more inclined to think that Luccio's description of Maggie as political agitator occurs before Maggie left the Council and took up with company such as Justin and Lord Raith. 

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Maggie may have even made Justin Harry's Godfather, which is why Eb never collected him.

Pshaw, and Pbeckett and Pwilde as well.  Harry's Godfather is obviously Marcone.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Tami Seven on March 13, 2014, 05:39:51 PM
Marcone is Everybody's Godfather.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: ballplayer72 on March 13, 2014, 05:48:04 PM
True, I did not connect all the dots up there for what I was thinking, sorry about that.

I am speculatively positing that Demonreach exists in the first place by virtue of Odin advising Merlin that it would be a good idea and how to do it.  And that Demonreach and the position of Warden of Demonreach may have been set up the way they were as a place to plug the Swiss Army Chainsaw into.

There was a suggestion a few months ago, and annoyingly I forget whose it was, that the location of the Stone Table in Chicago above Chicago in SK, and the location of Harry's dream of Malcolm in DB, are both echoes of Demonreach.  I like that and I can see it fitting with the Team UMO idea - I am pretty convinced Malcolm in DB is an agent of Uriel's.

Perhaps. The impression I have of what the Wild Hunt did for Thomas was that it basically forced him to confront his nature and cleared his head some about stuff he always could have done but was leery of; not seeing any reason it could not have been the sort of buff you describe either, though.

Not that I recall.

Yeah putting it in chicago more than a 1000 years before america is even thought about seems to indicate some long term planning to me as well.  Especially with the odin merlin connection.

In PG I think it was, Thomas notes he can SENSE the wild hunt coming from afar.  He mentions he'd been "different" IIRC since joining up.  And not a "i'm more in touch with the Hunger" different, you'd think he'd just say that, but just a "i'm different" thing.  Couple that with his apparent increase in badass level from GP/DM/BR- then see PG when he is vastly improved (to my mind at least.  )   And further into WN he is 2nd only to lara who is CENTURIES his senior.  That's quite a boost.  I always figured the Hunt had a little something to do with it. 

Too bad.  It doesn't mention how long he's had the name either.  Might be interesting if Toots name and maybe simple instructions on the trap were something Lea had given him.  Even more interesting if its something he learned from justin or eb.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Quantus on March 13, 2014, 06:02:49 PM
One thing I really want to know is whether it is possible for a being with intellectus to deliberately avoid thinking of a specific question in order not to have the answer.  I am inclined to think not, and I think that has implications for how much Uriel knows about Harry's likely reaction to their conversations given that Uriel kind of has to be thinking about talking to Harry while actually talking to Harry.
Hmm, Can an Angel practice denial?  Interesting Question.  In a case like Harry's intellectus, Id say its easily possible, all one would have to do is trust their own assumptions.  But if Uriel's Intellectus is as broadly emcompassing as I think, and more importantly he is a being that has never NOT had it, then is it even possible for him to make an "assumption"?  But if his every possible thought is instantly verified by the Intellectis Akashic Universal Truth, where does his personality and individuality come in? Why is he not simply a personification of the Universe itself?  Or is that what his boss is?
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If some degree of pooling underlying intelligence is accepted, then information any one team member gets from intellectus is plausibly available to any team member.
See thats where you loose me, because you make the leap from "Some degree of information sharing" to "All available information resources are freely available to all member at all times".  NOBODY shares information that freely.  And in Mab's case at least she is fundamentally incapable of it, because her nature requires an exchange of equal value every time. 
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I am positing Nicodemus, the host, counting as a minion of Uriel in this context, in  a way not directly connected to anything Anduriel is doing.  (And in a way he maybe hopes to parlay into sainthood; an incidental but vital role in saving the universe during the BAT by preparing Harry might not be a bad start towards that objective.)
Do you see much distinction between Minion and Catspaw? Because to me Minion implies that both parties are knowingly and willingly participating.  I could see Nic being Played by Uriel, But Im not as much as a willing subordinate.  The Sainthood thing offers a motive for him cooperate when he otherwise probably wouldnt, but I personally took his Sainthood aspirations to be more about Heaven getting a change of Leadership that would have a different set of Chosen. (which would also be scarily cool)



I don't have the text to hand, being in work right now; are you sure of that ? I thought that conversation came just after Harry mentioning that he'd had a long conversation with Bob that isn't in the text verbatim, implicitly about events we've already seen, and that the point I made in the original post about Uriel's reaction to being summoned and how that pushes Harry towards choosing to summon Mab could well be relevant there.  I'm not recalling that the excessive winter confirming mab is around in Chicago was in that conversation at all, though I could well be wrong/
Yup, I looked it up after reading your post:

the complete conversation:
(click to show/hide)
Bob is specifically saying that he only thinks Mabs' involved simply because she is in town, and seems to be specifically saying that IF they are working together its more of a one-time Marvel team-up sort of deal.  He goes on to say that in the same way all the players are involved (Fomor, servators, Aristedes) but not that they are all on the same team, just on the same gameboard. 
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Fangz on March 13, 2014, 07:47:10 PM
That would require a remarkable lack of forethought from interests both of whom have definite connection with Harry's life before then, and both of whom are supposedly to be some combination of superhumanly intelligent and foresighted.

Not a lack of forethought, maybe they just weren't playing attention. Both of them have a lot of balls to juggle. Michael was 'off the clock', while Harry was a personal interest of Lea, and Lea might be withholding details from Mab.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 13, 2014, 08:01:07 PM
Not a lack of forethought, maybe they just weren't playing attention. Both of them have a lot of balls to juggle.

I think your assessment of how their capacities compare with the amount of stuff they have to follow is very different from mine, then. I can entirely see Mab and Uriel both keeping track of many orders of magnitude more things at any given time than any human could.

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Michael was 'off the clock',

When he first met Harry ?  I don't recall anything specifying that.

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while Harry was a personal interest of Lea, and Lea might be withholding details from Mab.

At very least Mab knows enough about Harry to know it's worth obtaining a hold on Harry from Lea between GP and SK.  I have difficulty imagining his existence and a rough idea of his capacities being unknown to her considering that Maggie was so familiar with Faerie as to get a whole new surname from it; on the whole it seems more plausible to me that Mab was aware of whatever plans Maggie was into from early on.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 13, 2014, 08:10:50 PM
Yeah putting it in chicago more than a 1000 years before america is even thought about seems to indicate some long term planning to me as well.

Either that or he had something really big going on with the mound-builder civilisations that failed  spectacularly, I suppose.

(Nicodemus with his plague habit connected to collapse and death of native American cultures on contact with European diseases ?  The Little Ice Age starting when all those Native Americans weren't using fires and in many cases slash-and-char agriculture and ending when the Industrial Revolution started replenishing those greenhouse gases again as an echo of stuff going on in Faerie ?  Interesting direction, but not enough ahd data to go on.)

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In PG I think it was, Thomas notes he can SENSE the wild hunt coming from afar.  He mentions he'd been "different" IIRC since joining up. 

OK, I had forgotten that, and that certainly counts as a boost more than just psychological.

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  And further into WN he is 2nd only to lara who is CENTURIES his senior.  That's quite a boost.  I always figured the Hunt had a little something to do with it. 

I don't think we have any real evidence to distinguish that from Thomas always having been that good and just going to great lengths to hide it, though.  It's pretty clear that he's been doing the "useless party animal" act for a long time to avoid being taken as a threat. (I can see Maggie planning Thomas being as strong a White Court vampire as she could make him, and being born on Valentine's Day seems like it should give him a boost there too.)
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Tami Seven on March 13, 2014, 08:36:16 PM
Either that or he had something really big going on with the mound-builder civilisations that failed  spectacularly, I suppose.

(Nicodemus with his plague habit connected to collapse and death of native American cultures on contact with European diseases ?  The Little Ice Age starting when all those Native Americans weren't using fires and in many cases slash-and-char agriculture and ending when the Industrial Revolution started replenishing those greenhouse gases again as an echo of stuff going on in Faerie ?  Interesting direction, but not enough ahd data to go on.)

OK, I had forgotten that, and that certainly counts as a boost more than just psychological.

I don't think we have any real evidence to distinguish that from Thomas always having been that good and just going to great lengths to hide it, though.  It's pretty clear that he's been doing the "useless party animal" act for a long time to avoid being taken as a threat. (I can see Maggie planning Thomas being as strong a White Court vampire as she could make him, and being born on Valentine's Day seems like it should give him a boost there too.)

My own personal assumption was that the Erlking and the Wildhunt targeted Thomas in DB in order to get even with Harry. However, and here is a wild thought. Maybe the Erlking, like Mab, has been in on this whole Starborn thing from the beginning. Maybe the Erlking knew, not only that Thomas was Harry's brother, but that not only was it important for the Starborn to be stronger, but that it was important for the Starborn's brother to be stronger as well.

What if the Erlking took advantage of an opportunity to go after Thomas in order to give him the choice, hide, flee or join. Getting Thomas to join, meant that the Erlking could influence him in such a way as to give him a power boost.

Then there is the Archive (Not necessarily Ivy), who might also be in on this in her own way. Choosing Thomas to be a Venator meant giving him a pathway to becoming stronger as well.

Of course, Mab seems to think she has rights over, not only Harry but Thomas also. Who knows where that might lead.

Maybe this is bigger than we realize, only we don't see the whole picture yet.

Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 13, 2014, 08:45:12 PM
What if the Erlking took advantage of an opportunity to go after Thomas in order to give him the choice, hide, flee or join. Getting Thomas to join, meant that the Erlking could influence him in such a way as to give him a power boost.

That seems quite possible, to me; I'm not seeing evidence enough to argue for it, but I could believe it.

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Then there is the Archive (Not necessarily Ivy), who might also be in on this in her own way. Choosing Thomas to be a Venator meant giving him a pathway to becoming stronger as well.

*nod* i suppose that one would depend on whether Maggie and company wrote anything down, though Mab could also theoretically have informed her.

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Of course, Mab seems to think she has rights over, not only Harry but Thomas also. Who knows where that might lead.

I think her primary motivation in saying that is to give Harry another incentive to be Knight rather than actually much wanting Thomas; he'd certainly not be a bad backup but I doubt it was more than that.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: ballplayer72 on March 13, 2014, 09:33:14 PM
Either that or he had something really big going on with the mound-builder civilisations that failed  spectacularly, I suppose.

(Nicodemus with his plague habit connected to collapse and death of native American cultures on contact with European diseases ?  The Little Ice Age starting when all those Native Americans weren't using fires and in many cases slash-and-char agriculture and ending when the Industrial Revolution started replenishing those greenhouse gases again as an echo of stuff going on in Faerie ?  Interesting direction, but not enough ahd data to go on.)

OK, I had forgotten that, and that certainly counts as a boost more than just psychological.

I don't think we have any real evidence to distinguish that from Thomas always having been that good and just going to great lengths to hide it, though.  It's pretty clear that he's been doing the "useless party animal" act for a long time to avoid being taken as a threat. (I can see Maggie planning Thomas being as strong a White Court vampire as she could make him, and being born on Valentine's Day seems like it should give him a boost there too.)

Thats certainly an interesting WAG.  Or maybe he had something to do with Eric the Red going to newfoundland? Either way very interesting.

;)

I figured just like with the other flavors of supes we've seen, that age would translate to some extra juice/ability.  Blacks seem to run by age, Reds do certainly (though they also use prestige/bloodline which presumably the blacks do as well with the master thing) I figured the white court wouldn't be too terribly different.  Certainly LR kept it together for 30 years + without any food and with some power use (he used it on the fam after all to say nothing of his "hunting trips" with thomas or any other use he might have had) and without going batshit nuts, whereas thomas couldn't handle that during DB.  Not at all.  He was like a junkie trying real hard not to look at the bag of smack and the fresh needle on the table in front of him.  Whereas LR was always cold as ice and while monstrous, not exactly as coo coo for cocoa puffs as say RK was.   I figured his gas tank got bigger as he aged, at the very least, same thing with Lara.  Seems like Thomas maybe didn't pick up an outside the realm of possibility for whampires buff but more along the lines of "here's a few free levels/points" .   Just spitballing.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: raidem on March 13, 2014, 11:48:12 PM
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Dead Beat
- Incidental observation that feels like it fits in with this model somehow; one thing DB accomplished was to show Harry that necromancy is not inherently evil (Kumori saving the life of random gangster dude) and then give him experience of using it himself in a not inherently evil manner (Sue). One more blade to the Swiss Army chainsaw as needed.

It does seem like cowl and kumori were working from a time travel angle or at least information about the future that guided their purposes in Dead Beat.  It seems very important to Harry's acceptance of necromancy that he was exposed to it via Kumori, and found it to be possibly neutral and/or bent toward positive aims.  I also think mavra was playing a game of pointing Harry  at the other Necromancers.  I really do believe she is a 'good' bad guy that is working against the Outsiders.  I realize her magic is Outsiderish but it would be more interesting if the black court were refugees from the Outside.  It is apparent that the Black Court requires the existence of humanity to keep their 'species' going.  I also wonder at Marcones and Gards involvement in giving Harry information that led to him getting significant information of the Necromancy that Kumori was involved in.  I also would like to point out that the ambulance driver/medic appeared in Cold Days when I believe they arrived at Molly's apartment to care for the wounded.  I believe that was Eyes girlfriend that went with them.  It is apparent that the medic will play an important part in the future.  I wonder at Kumori's awareness of this fact.  Neuro, you did a good job coming up with this referential theory.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Orbweaver on March 14, 2014, 09:36:59 AM
Hey Neuro,

I'm curious as to how Harry's death in Changes fits into the theory. Mortal free will is important, according to the theory- except Harry's death was a result of a compromised Free Will, and neither Uriel nor Mab moved or acted to stop it, despite their intelligence level/foresight. I can understand Uriel not being able to act to prevent it, given that he may not be able to act unless his opponent breaks a rule, but Harry had to answer Mab when she asked him about partaking of the death angel, as she put it, to get out of another deal with her (per Changes). Per your theory, wouldn't she have acted, in some way shape or form, to prevent him from taking his own life even though he gave his word that he wouldn't? 

Also, the presence of the parasite within Harry for as long as it was there poses some issues. With it perpetually feeding off of Harry (and, presumably, any / all powerups he received during the time frame in which it was present), coupled with its ability to nearly incapacitate him with headaches (as we see during the opening chapters of SG), you have a really good recipe for a permanently dead starborn swiss army/utility knife.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 14, 2014, 12:28:39 PM
I'm curious as to how Harry's death in Changes fits into the theory. Mortal free will is important, according to the theory- except Harry's death was a result of a compromised Free Will, and neither Uriel nor Mab moved or acted to stop it, despite their intelligence level/foresight. I can understand Uriel not being able to act to prevent it, given that he may not be able to act unless his opponent breaks a rule, but Harry had to answer Mab when she asked him about partaking of the death angel, as she put it, to get out of another deal with her (per Changes). Per your theory, wouldn't she have acted, in some way shape or form, to prevent him from taking his own life even though he gave his word that he wouldn't? 

Not if the knowledge and perspective he can only gain from that walkabout is part and parcel of the training, I would think. 

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Also, the presence of the parasite within Harry for as long as it was there poses some issues. With it perpetually feeding off of Harry (and, presumably, any / all powerups he received during the time frame in which it was present), coupled with its ability to nearly incapacitate him with headaches (as we see during the opening chapters of SG), you have a really good recipe for a permanently dead starborn swiss army/utility knife.

I don't, at this point, have enough handle on what the parasite is to have a strong feel for how it fits with this model.  I can buy it being a resurgent Lash operating against the goals of team UMO; I could also, given the ending of GS, speculate that its presence in Harry is somehow essentialled for keeping his body usable while his soul is on walkabout.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Tami Seven on March 14, 2014, 12:49:07 PM
Not if the knowledge and perspective he can only gain from that walkabout is part and parcel of the training, I would think. 

I don't, at this point, have enough handle on what the parasite is to have a strong feel for how it fits with this model.  I can buy it being a resurgent Lash operating against the goals of team UMO; I could also, given the ending of GS, speculate that its presence in Harry is somehow essentialled for keeping his body usable while his soul is on walkabout.

Mab did say something at the end of GS about The Quiet One (Uriel) and how he Angered Mab and "Had he been incorrect..", they may be working towards the same goal, but obviously Uriel and Mab have different ideas as to how to achieve them. Mab couldn't stop Uriel from playing his Gambit, nor could she have stopped Kincaid from shooting Harry in the first place, but she seemed to have expected both. Was prepared for both. I'd say this is an example of Uriel and Mab working together but being at odds with each other.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 14, 2014, 03:34:20 PM
Mab did say something at the end of GS about The Quiet One (Uriel) and how he Angered Mab and "Had he been incorrect..", they may be working towards the same goal, but obviously Uriel and Mab have different ideas as to how to achieve them.

I thought I'd addressed that point a few posts ago; "had he been incorrect" doesn't mean he could have been incorrect, and I can quite see that Mab could be angry with Uriel insisting this was a necessary part of the plan while still going along with the plan as a whole.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Kscodemonkey on March 14, 2014, 07:16:27 PM
Are we sure Harry being Starborn was planned?  I don't remember anything specific in the books or WOJ saying that.  However, I am sure I am probably wrong considering it is taken as gospel around here.  I was thinking that maybe all this hoopla around Harry being starborn isn't because they planned it but because it just happened.  Maybe the "key" ingredient is that he was born while his mother was killed by outsider enhanced magic.  Not just that she was killed by magic during his birth but that part of the catalyst of his birth was energy from "outside".  The reason Starborn are so rare is that outsider magic isn't used on women in the process of delivery very often.

The reason Elaine is a "candidate" is because her mother died during childbirth.  Maybe even by magic.  She is described as candidate and not a starborn because they don't know if OUTSIDER magic is envolved.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Tami Seven on March 14, 2014, 07:47:58 PM
Are we sure Harry being Starborn was planned?  I don't remember anything specific in the books or WOJ saying that.  However, I am sure I am probably wrong considering it is taken as gospel around here.  I was thinking that maybe all this hoopla around Harry being starborn isn't because they planned it but because it just happened.  Maybe the "key" ingredient is that he was born while his mother was killed by outsider enhanced magic.  Not just that she was killed by magic during his birth but that part of the catalyst of his birth was energy from "outside".  The reason Starborn are so rare is that outsider magic isn't used on women in the process of delivery very often.

The reason Elaine is a "candidate" is because her mother died during childbirth.  Maybe even by magic.  She is described as candidate and not a starborn because they don't know if OUTSIDER magic is envolved.

We really don't know anything about Elaine's background. Being an orphan,  the assumption is that her parents are dead, but when and how they died is unknown.  Forcall we know, her parents are still alive but just abandoned her to the system because they were unable or unwilling to care for her. Her being a Starborn is WOJ. No other evidence,  aside from being adopted by Justin,  is made available. 

As for Harry, it is still speculation.  We know he is Starborn, we know Maggie intended to have a Starborn child. We know she had business dealings with the bigwigs in the Supernatural Community and an association with the Winter Court. But Harry being Starborn is pretty much a given,  and Maggie planning on having a Starborn is fairly well accepted. 
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Sully on March 15, 2014, 01:38:51 AM
I think from what we have seen of Thomas feeding, it doesn't need to involve intercourse specifically.

Considering he can nibble while washing hair, I'd say not.

Not a lack of forethought, maybe they just weren't playing attention. Both of them have a lot of balls to juggle. Michael was 'off the clock', while Harry was a personal interest of Lea, and Lea might be withholding details from Mab.

If Heaven has a vested interest in Harry and his behavior, and seeks to influence it(yes), Michael might be on the clock with his every interaction with Harry.   Just not getting hazard pay, for a nice change. 

Shiro's sacrifice fits in neatly too.

Mind you, I'm WAG'ing here.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: peregrine on March 15, 2014, 04:29:07 PM
Elaine is a candidate because she's also effectively the same age as Harry.  We don't actually know that her mom died in childbirth.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Raptor on March 15, 2014, 10:59:50 PM
Without reading a lot of the replies, I support most of this, with a couple modifications:

1) Rename it "Team UFO", The faeries (ie Mothers Summer & Winter) are working in concert, even if Titania is depressed at the moment.

2) Uriel didn't EXACTLY intend for Harry to have access to Soulfire. Rather that is a byproduct of restoring a "spark of the Divine" (for lack of a better term) to Lash, the former shadow of Lasciel. Harry's access to Soulfire is a byproduct that has helped to keep him alive until Lash is done incubating (again, for lack of a better term). I think Lash will get a body (Persephone), and play a pretty important role going forward.

EDIT: One more thought - I don't think Justin, Papa Raith, and Arianna were trying to create a Starborn, but rather prevent a Starborn. If Harry was the ultimate product of their plan, why did they both try very, very hard to kill him?

As a corollary to that, how about the thought that Lord Raith IS Nemesis (or at least it's primary host in our world). That would go to explain how those associated with him have knowledge to summon HWWB. That could explain why mortal magic doesn't affect him.

Maggie's death curse smothering him might explain why Nemesis is limited in who/what it can influence (no mortals as far as we know, and only not-too-powerful immortals).

That also leads to the incredibly scary thought that he/it might be conning Harry and he/it are actually influencing/controlling Lara, who is currently expanding her power base into mortal politics and the BFS.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Sully on March 15, 2014, 11:53:07 PM
I like that Papa Raith idea.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 16, 2014, 03:15:32 AM
Are we sure Harry being Starborn was planned?  I don't remember anything specific in the books or WOJ saying that.  However, I am sure I am probably wrong considering it is taken as gospel around here.

I think the primary evidence we are taking here is Lash's comment in WN about Harry's power being derived from a complex confluence of energies and circumstances; it seems more plausible that that was a deliberate act of Maggie, whom we know was a highly skilled wiard, than random chance.

(Plus also, I'm not sure of any "random chance" in the DV that can be proven not to be the WG's thumb on the scales.)
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 16, 2014, 03:18:44 AM
EDIT: One more thought - I don't think Justin, Papa Raith, and Arianna were trying to create a Starborn, but rather prevent a Starborn. If Harry was the ultimate product of their plan, why did they both try very, very hard to kill him?

In Lord R's case, thirty years of starvation may well have changed a priorities. As for the others, they only go for killing Harry after a long span of attempting to convert him.

Quote
As a corollary to that, how about the thought that Lord Raith IS Nemesis (or at least it's primary host in our world). That would go to explain how those associated with him have knowledge to summon HWWB. That could explain why mortal magic doesn't affect him.

Maggie's death curse smothering him might explain why Nemesis is limited in who/what it can influence (no mortals as far as we know, and only not-too-powerful immortals).

That also leads to the incredibly scary thought that he/it might be conning Harry and he/it are actually influencing/controlling Lara, who is currently expanding her power base into mortal politics and the BFS.

That is creepy, and I cannot see a counterargument, though I do not like it at all.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Raptor on March 16, 2014, 02:56:15 PM
That is creepy, and I cannot see a counterargument, though I do not like it at all.

Yeah, that was just something that was tumbling around in my head while I was out with the dog. But, like you said: There's no counter argument.

Of course, it could also be explained by Raith's Hunger being ohmygoddity strong (so strong it simply absorbs ambient magic within a certain radius, or that could be Maggie's smothering curse), and he's freakin' old and has been hording knowledge in case it became useful, and the spell to summon HWWB is a part of it.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 16, 2014, 03:47:21 PM
Yeah, that was just something that was tumbling around in my head while I was out with the dog. But, like you said: There's no counter argument.

Of course, it could also be explained by Raith's Hunger being ohmygoddity strong (so strong it simply absorbs ambient magic within a certain radius, or that could be Maggie's smothering curse), and he's freakin' old and has been hording knowledge in case it became useful, and the spell to summon HWWB is a part of it.

I prefer the theory that Lord R's protection against magic is a sophisticated Outsider-based spell that Maggie worked out for him, and that she left a trapdoor in it for her death curse.  I'm not seeing why so many people are quite so keen to tie the Hunger to Outsiders, and Harry does describe Lord R's protection as feeling like the mordite in DM.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: peregrine on March 16, 2014, 04:42:31 PM
Why would she have left a trap door into it?  Granted, Eb isn't 100% in on the workings of everything, but given what he's said about it, it's far more likely that since Maggie couldn't reach him, she layered something else on top of his protection.  Otherwise, if she could bypass it, she could just kill him.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Tami Seven on March 16, 2014, 06:09:35 PM
I prefer the theory that Lord Raith made a deal with the Walkers/Outsiders to turn over Maggie's Starborn child to them in exchange for the Antimagic defense spell. Or that LR made the deal with the Outsiders at the time of the first Starborn, and they called in that favor when Maggie was discussing becoming the mother of the next Starborn child.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Arjan on March 16, 2014, 06:35:37 PM
Why would she have left a trap door into it?  Granted, Eb isn't 100% in on the workings of everything, but given what he's said about it, it's far more likely that since Maggie couldn't reach him, she layered something else on top of his protection.  Otherwise, if she could bypass it, she could just kill him.
That was explained in woj. What she did was actually far more effective than killing him. It effectively sandbagged the white court and tortured Lord Raith etc. See the woj
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Tami Seven on March 16, 2014, 06:47:54 PM
That was explained in woj. What she did was actually far more effective than killing him. It effectively sandbagged the white court and tortured Lord Raith etc. See the woj

But she didn't need to have been involved in giving LR  his antimagic shield in order for her to have been able to use her death curse to work around it. In fact, Maggie's death curse had no effect of LRs' anti-magic shield, which is like a Tick's carapace. Her Death curse worked like a blanket, smothering Lord Raith from the outside and keeping him from drawing in the life energy he needed to feed upon. Harry described how it worked in BR.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Arjan on March 16, 2014, 07:38:45 PM
But she didn't need to have been involved in giving LR  his antimagic shield in order for her to have been able to use her death curse to work around it. In fact, Maggie's death curse had no effect of LRs' anti-magic shield, which is like a Tick's carapace. Her Death curse worked like a blanket, smothering Lord Raith from the outside and keeping him from drawing in the life energy he needed to feed upon. Harry described how it worked in BR.
The problem is if she was not the one that gave the protection to Lord Raith, and I think he needed a wizard for that which Lord Raith isn't himself, then he already had the protection. Either Margaret gave Lord Raith the protection or she knowingly consorted with someone who was protected by outsiders. She had visited the outer gates, she knew about outsiders.

That does not have to be that bad, she could have been on a mission for Lea and Mab directed against outsiders but we know she broke some laws, the outsider one could have been one of them. We just do not know enough about her but we know she did some bad things.

Either way she had studied his protection, she had enough nights for that, so she knew how to work around it even if she had not created it herself which is quite possible.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Tami Seven on March 16, 2014, 07:57:59 PM
The problem is if she was not the one that gave the protection to Lord Raith, and I think he needed a wizard for that which Lord Raith isn't himself, then he already had the protection. Either Margaret gave Lord Raith the protection or she knowingly consorted with someone who was protected by outsiders. She had visited the outer gates, she knew about outsiders.

That does not have to be that bad, she could have been on a mission for Lea and Mab directed against outsiders but we know she broke some laws, the outsider one could have been one of them. We just do not know enough about her but we know she did some bad things.

Either way she had studied his protection, she had enough nights for that, so she knew how to work around it even if she had not created it herself which is quite possible.

Assuming that LR had had the shield a long time, and that most experienced Wizards either knew about it or had heard rumors about it, and that Maggie either knew about it or heard rumors about it...she still might have had business dealings with LR for her own (Or Mab's or whatever) reason. It was a dangerous thing to do, but she took the risk.

As much as I find this UMO theory interesting, I still don't think it answers the questions well enough about Maggie and LR. The only thing I can suggest is that, the UMO (Or whomever) ,may have foreseen that the White Court would play an important role in the future war with the Outsiders, and that they had to gain some control or influence over it to make sure the White Court didn't join up with the Outsiders.

If someone predicted this, then I can imagine getting Maggie in close to Lord Raith may have been a calculated gamble. Might also explain why the Outsiders were directly involved in attempting to destroy the White Court in WN.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Jcarlson171 on March 16, 2014, 10:31:32 PM
I like this theory but I think your forgetting a few aspects of the swiss army chainsaw.
1) he has a really good magic tutor in bob
2) he had or may still have a reference librarian in his head(lash may not be gone)
3) he's really good at finding things for his magic skill set
4) he can get anywhere in the world very quickly thanks to a map of the world he aquired again with references
5) he ate a guys magic who was very good a blowing stuff up
6) he has borrowed summer fire at one point so he may count as touched by summer (possible obtaining summer knight mantel if fix dies close to him)
7) he has an ultimate nuclear arsenal for just in case he needs really scary backup

things in parethesse may or may not be true and may just be super wags
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Orbweaver on March 17, 2014, 08:50:37 AM
Not if the knowledge and perspective he can only gain from that walkabout is part and parcel of the training, I would think.

That would depend, I suppose, on what Harry actually gained by way of perspective. Ebenezar gave him the message about Mab and/or other beings not being able to compromise or change his Will, which was pretty well disproved by the Shadow's whisper. (Yes, it was cheating according to Uriel, but it still shoved Harry onto a path he may not have otherwise taken. And if the Fallen are capable of it, I'd be willing to bet that a lot of the higher-tier Old Ones can do it too.) Unless team UMO wanted Harry to consider things from a perspective in which he was nearly powerless to accomplish anything, thereby viewing those around him in a different light, the walkabout itself doesn't seem to have served a purpose beyond demonstrating that the Free Will clause is capable of being violated. And that doesn't really help turn Harry into a utility tool.

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I don't, at this point, have enough handle on what the parasite is to have a strong feel for how it fits with this model.  I can buy it being a resurgent Lash operating against the goals of team UMO; I could also, given the ending of GS, speculate that its presence in Harry is somehow essentialled for keeping his body usable while his soul is on walkabout.

Well... I can quibble about the resurgent Lash bit. There's a text precedent for the parasite having been placed before Harry picked up Lasciel's coin in DM, but the biggest issue I have with it (as it fits with your model) is that Lash is the one who tells Harry about his capabilities versus the Outsiders. If Lash is against one or more of team UMO's goals... why on earth would that shadow have bothered revealing that information to Harry?

The parasite being a necessary component for Dresden keeping his "life"... well, that's sort of ironic, given the result of its current state.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Quantus on March 17, 2014, 12:53:27 PM

Yup, I looked it up after reading your post:

the complete conversation:
(click to show/hide)
Bob is specifically saying that he only thinks Mabs' involved simply because she is in town, and seems to be specifically saying that IF they are working together its more of a one-time Marvel team-up sort of deal.  He goes on to say that in the same way all the players are involved (Fomor, servators, Aristedes) but not that they are all on the same team, just on the same gameboard.
So does the much more limited context of Bob's assertion change you theory RE. Mab's involvement?
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 17, 2014, 03:13:04 PM
Why would she have left a trap door into it?

Insurance against Lord R turning on her.

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Granted, Eb isn't 100% in on the workings of everything, but given what he's said about it, it's far more likely that since Maggie couldn't reach him, she layered something else on top of his protection.  Otherwise, if she could bypass it, she could just kill him.

Killing him would just kill him.  Preventing him from feeding hobbles the whole White Court indefinitely.  I'm not seeing why she'd think killing him was preferable.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: peregrine on March 17, 2014, 03:14:01 PM
Because he'd be dead.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 17, 2014, 03:14:35 PM
Or that LR made the deal with the Outsiders at the time of the first Starborn, and they called in that favor when Maggie was discussing becoming the mother of the next Starborn child.

If you mean the previous starborn a thousand years ago (I do not think we know that was the first) I don't believe Lord Raith is known to be that old; his paintings of the mothers of his children do not go back nearly that far.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 17, 2014, 03:15:30 PM
But she didn't need to have been involved in giving LR  his antimagic shield in order for her to have been able to use her death curse to work around it. In fact, Maggie's death curse had no effect of LRs' anti-magic shield, which is like a Tick's carapace. Her Death curse worked like a blanket, smothering Lord Raith from the outside and keeping him from drawing in the life energy he needed to feed upon. Harry described how it worked in BR.

Harry describes how he thinks it works, yes.  There are at least two other plausible models for what could actually be going on there.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 17, 2014, 03:20:12 PM
Assuming that LR had had the shield a long time, and that most experienced Wizards either knew about it or had heard rumors about it, and that Maggie either knew about it or heard rumors about it.

Didn't Eb only find out about it when trying to kill Lord R after Maggie's death, or am I misremembering ?  If so, I'd say that argues against it being well known or rumoured.

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As much as I find this UMO theory interesting, I still don't think it answers the questions well enough about Maggie and LR.

Well, that wasn't the scale of thing it was intended to explain.  I don't actually see much needing explanation there, though.  We know from Luccio in SmF that Maggie was a political radical within the White Council, and at odds with their power structure;  if she wanted allies elsewhere, the White Court seem to be the least monstrous available option.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 17, 2014, 03:25:06 PM
That would depend, I suppose, on what Harry actually gained by way of perspective.

"Lies. She cannot change who you are."

Harry gained the impression that that meant he had some degree of control over his destiny at the scales he cares about.  Mab then gains a Knight who is willing to stay Knight because he believes he can resist if asked to do anything he finds unpalatable.

Harry also gained, via Molly, a wake-up call on the degree of collateral damage it can cause when he goes with his gut and does not think things through, which i hope will sink in and make a significant difference.

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If Lash is against one or more of team UMO's goals... why on earth would that shadow have bothered revealing that information to Harry?

I'm not convinced she is against their goals; I speculate that her purpose is to challenge him in order to enable him to be granted soulfire.  Challenge specifically as opposed to defeat.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 17, 2014, 03:25:48 PM
So does the much more limited context of Bob's assertion change you theory RE. Mab's involvement?

Not really; Uriel pushing Harry into Mab's arms in Changes is still there, as is the benefit to Uriel and Mab both of the end of GS.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 17, 2014, 03:28:32 PM
Because he'd be dead.

Why would she be thinking on that scale ?

Remember, we know from Luccio that Maggie is a political idealist who wants to change things for the better.  Even if you don't find my notion of her planning a starborn as an extension of that tenable, I'm really not seeing why assume she would find killing him a more emotionally appealing use of her death curse than combining an enduring revenge on him with placing a restraint on his entire supernatural nation.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: peregrine on March 17, 2014, 03:31:57 PM
But even so, what she did doesn't require any sort of trap door.  Like Harry said, she can just overlap her curse without needing to penetrate his protection.  Stop the energy from ever getting to him, rather than stop him from absorbing it, or whatever.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Quantus on March 17, 2014, 04:53:00 PM
Not really; Uriel pushing Harry into Mab's arms in Changes is still there, as is the benefit to Uriel and Mab both of the end of GS.
What then would support the idea that she is an active participant getting getting a quid pro quo in terms of unrelated Intell, rather than just another catspaw scenario?
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 17, 2014, 06:20:00 PM
What then would support the idea that she is an active participant getting getting a quid pro quo in terms of unrelated Intell, rather than just another catspaw scenario?

Uriel phrasing his reassurance to Harry in ways which, while literally true, led to a change in Harry's position (viz, Harry believing he can balk Mab's orders if he needs to) which is immediately beneficial to Mab (in that without it, it's been demonstrated, Harry finds living as a monster untenable and arranges own death).

As for catspaws... Mab has no free will. Uriel has no free will relevant to tactical details here - the scale at which he has free will is "choose to crash and burn and become a second Morningstar or not".   So it seems quite plausible to me that either of them are exactly predictable to the other given a defined initial circumstance; I would not count that as catspaws, exactly, myself, but I can see how it might look like that.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Quantus on March 17, 2014, 06:34:26 PM
Uriel phrasing his reassurance to Harry in ways which, while literally true, led to a change in Harry's position (viz, Harry believing he can balk Mab's orders if he needs to) which is immediately beneficial to Mab (in that without it, it's been demonstrated, Harry finds living as a monster untenable and arranges own death).

As for catspaws... Mab has no free will. Uriel has no free will relevant to tactical details here - the scale at which he has free will is "choose to crash and burn and become a second Morningstar or not".   So it seems quite plausible to me that either of them are exactly predictable to the other given a defined initial circumstance; I would not count that as catspaws, exactly, myself, but I can see how it might look like that.
I would challenge this part, specifically (the bolded text).  For one thing the "did she lie" WOJ clearly (to me) sets Uriel on a higher (Cosmic) tier, one which she apparently does not grasp very well.  I think that the Mothers might on that tier and be aware enough for that sort of insight, but not the queens. 
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Kscodemonkey on March 20, 2014, 04:13:08 PM
But even so, what she did doesn't require any sort of trap door.  Like Harry said, she can just overlap her curse without needing to penetrate his protection.  Stop the energy from ever getting to him, rather than stop him from absorbing it, or whatever.

My WAG is that she didn't do anything to Lord Raith.  I think this is a hint to us that the hunger demon isn't just a metaphor, it is an actual entity.  Maybe not a physical one, but a spiritual one, and that Maggie targeted her curse at the entity and not at Lord Raith.  That is how come she was able to stop him from feeding when he can't be targeted.  She knew she couldn't do anything to him, but correctly guessed that she could cripple the demon.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Quantus on March 20, 2014, 04:53:48 PM
My WAG is that she didn't do anything to Lord Raith.  I think this is a hint to us that the hunger demon isn't just a metaphor, it is an actual entity.  Maybe not a physical one, but a spiritual one, and that Maggie targeted her curse at the entity and not at Lord Raith.  That is how come she was able to stop him from feeding when he can't be targeted.  She knew she couldn't do anything to him, but correctly guessed that she could cripple the demon.
fwiw he could still use his wampire powers, just not rejuvenate his reserves. 
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Tami Seven on March 20, 2014, 07:24:00 PM
But even so, what she did doesn't require any sort of trap door.  Like Harry said, she can just overlap her curse without needing to penetrate his protection.  Stop the energy from ever getting to him, rather than stop him from absorbing it, or whatever.

This is how I see it being done, like a blanket smothering him. Just as Harry described it. Any other way is too complicated and/or less effective.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: magnusth on March 21, 2014, 12:53:08 AM
Not if the knowledge and perspective he can only gain from that walkabout is part and parcel of the training, I would think. 

I think a much simpler reason exists: Harry did not, technicaly, lie to Mab. I remain convinced that, when  Harry dealt with Mab, telling her that he had come to deal in good faith, he honestly believed he was telling the truth. That's the whole point of having Molly remove the memory of contacting Kinkaid - so that he could lie without lying. Harry understood that he would be willing to serve Mab, become the winter knight, to save his daughter, and took steps to prevent that, guided by the shadow. When he told Mab that he would not try to cheat her by killing himself, he was unaware that he had, in effect, already killed himself.
Similarly, I think we can assume that Harry has not, in fact, been proven to be willing to kill himself. The central plot point of GS was, after all, that Harry's free will had been compromised when he chose to kill himself. And while Mab might not care about or understand the discintion between an action and a choice, I'm pretty sure she understands the concept of having one's actions manipulated. Though i doubt she knew about the angel beforehand, it's plausible that Uriel has told her.

Another thing: you claim that mab used elaborate word play to pretend to be in oppostition to Uriel while actualy working with him. For example, that while she says that "had he been wrong ect. ect," It's possible that uriel simply could not have been wrong. I'd disagree with this view. The nature of the future in the Dreden files does not seem to be set in stone. In DM, we see an angelic prophecy be wrong/thwarted, and Uriel himself claims that freewill can always change things. Now, it might be almost impossible for him to be mistaken, but if it weren't a possibility, if it were not actually possible for Harry to, say, make use of Uriel's offer to join captain Jack and the others, or to simply make bad choices and overspend himself, not only does free will loose its meaning, the story becomes boring and trite, as conflict loses its value. I believe we are seeing the real thing when we are led to believe that Mab is genuinely displeased with Uriel.

That said, I do believe that Mab went along with it, probably grudgingly, and that she did, in fact, gain an asset from the whole ordeal: she got a more powerfull, willfull and headstrong knight. I think Mab values obstinence, pride, and willpower over obedience, as we see both her and her mother compliment and expect Harry's resistance, and in fact enjoy it. It is after all after Harry recieves an earfull of truth from Uriel that he challenges Mab again, promising to smite her foes and lay low her enemies, and threatening her with mediocrity. What she has gotten out of the deal is a knight who dares challenge Mab herself. I think that is, in its own way, worth it in Mab's book. If he was simply meekly obedient and dependant on Mab, he would be of much lesser use. Without the lesson that Uriel taught him, he would, for one, have been killed by Mother winter and unable to stop the battle at demonreach, or might well have chosen to become a plaything of Maeve's, going with with "I'm already a monster," line of reasoning, the meak defeatism he shows before Uriel gives him seven words. He would, in other words, not have been willfull enough to resist Mab's enemies.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Quantus on March 21, 2014, 02:23:00 AM
...
That said, I do believe that Mab went along with it, probably grudgingly, and that she did, in fact, gain an asset from the whole ordeal: she got a more powerfull, willfull and headstrong knight. I think Mab values obstinence, pride, and willpower over obedience, as we see both her and her mother compliment and expect Harry's resistance, and in fact enjoy it. It is after all after Harry recieves an earfull of truth from Uriel that he challenges Mab again, promising to smite her foes and lay low her enemies, and threatening her with mediocrity. What she has gotten out of the deal is a knight who dares challenge Mab herself. I think that is, in its own way, worth it in Mab's book. If he was simply meekly obedient and dependant on Mab, he would be of much lesser use. Without the lesson that Uriel taught him, he would, for one, have been killed by Mother winter and unable to stop the battle at demonreach, or might well have chosen to become a plaything of Maeve's, going with with "I'm already a monster," line of reasoning, the meak defeatism he shows before Uriel gives him seven words. He would, in other words, not have been willfull enough to resist Mab's enemies.
I think it's hard to denie that Mab went along with it to some degree, since Lea wanted to ans was compelled by bargain to reveal to harry who actually killed him.  Uriel was the only one that wanted Harry to muddle around figuring that part out.  Both Mab and Demonreach were bound (for some reason) to play along with that part of the charade.  My objection is taking that isolated incident and using it as an excuse to to say Mab can know anything that Odin or Uriel can know in other circumstances.  That same scene is where Lea explained that such an open relationship is impossible for Fae, by their very natures which are so literally tied to balance.

Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 21, 2014, 11:06:32 AM
I think a much simpler reason exists: Harry did not, technicaly, lie to Mab. I remain convinced that, when  Harry dealt with Mab, telling her that he had come to deal in good faith, he honestly believed he was telling the truth. That's the whole point of having Molly remove the memory of contacting Kinkaid - so that he could lie without lying.

Without realising he was lying at the time, certainly.

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Another thing: you claim that mab used elaborate word play to pretend to be in oppostition to Uriel while actualy working with him. For example, that while she says that "had he been wrong ect. ect," It's possible that uriel simply could not have been wrong. I'd disagree with this view. The nature of the future in the Dreden files does not seem to be set in stone. In DM, we see an angelic prophecy be wrong/thwarted, and Uriel himself claims that freewill can always change things.

Uriel also states, iirc, that this happens very rarely.

Quote
Now, it might be almost impossible for him to be mistaken, but if it weren't a possibility, if it were not actually possible for Harry to, say, make use of Uriel's offer to join captain Jack and the others, or to simply make bad choices and overspend himself, not only does free will loose its meaning, the story becomes boring and trite, as conflict loses its value.

I would entirely disagree with that; seeing Uriel well manipulate a particular situation of extreme significance does not make the story as a whole lose conflict, it just illustrates that the conflict will have to be at a much more sophisticated and interesting level than Harry then thinks it is.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 21, 2014, 11:09:36 AM
  My objection is taking that isolated incident and using it as an excuse to to say Mab can know anything that Odin or Uriel can know in other circumstances.  That same scene is where Lea explained that such an open relationship is impossible for Fae, by their very natures which are so literally tied to balance.

Nothing prevents Lea from snatching up Amoracchius when it is undefended, in GP; she is not required to give any balancing response to Heaven.   I am positing this as a reasonable model for Mab's potential interaction with Uriel.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: magnusth on March 21, 2014, 02:44:42 PM
Without realising he was lying at the time, certainly.
And about my assertion that *Harry* has not been proven to be willing to kill himself because it was the shadow that manipulated him into it?

Uriel also states, iirc, that this happens very rarely.
I believe he also claims in the warrior that Harry does it far more often than most other people - probably at least every book. I haven't got my books with me, though. Someone check side jobs?

I would entirely disagree with that; seeing Uriel well manipulate a particular situation of extreme significance does not make the story as a whole lose conflict, it just illustrates that the conflict will have to be at a much more sophisticated and interesting level than Harry then thinks it is.
I can see this argument, but i'm not sure I quite agree. At least some of the conflict in the dresdenfiles comes from Harry's willingness to put himself in danger for others, and from his willingness to constantly make free-willed choices. That doesn't mean I don't appreciate higher levels of conflict, such as Harry's internal struggle with some measure of darkness, or the conflict of trying not to be manipulated. But in ghost storry, I think park of the conflict, at least, is "Will harry wear his soul/spirit/memories thin trying to protect his friends?," and i think that's a relevant conflict that looses weight if it's already been perfectly precalculated that he won't.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Quantus on March 23, 2014, 02:15:54 AM
Nothing prevents Lea from snatching up Amoracchius when it is undefended, in GP; she is not required to give any balancing response to Heaven.   I am positing this as a reasonable model for Mab's potential interaction with Uriel.
Well, one could say she took it up in payment for harry trying to break his word with her yet again.  He was able to make it vulnerable and she was able to take it because at that point it didnt belong to heave, it belonged to its wielder :P

But we're not talking about an oject that just happened to be lying on the ground, we're talkign about Mab's supposed ability to query Odin and/or Uriel about future events and plans, discuss possible outcomes, etc.  Your model would by its nature have to be entirely one-way, and even then I think she wouldnt be capable of accepting it without giving something of equal value back, in the same way that Lea could not accept a gift from Bianca.  Otherwise the other party would always be theoretically able to show up and say "remember when?  You own me and Im calling it in"

Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: vultur on March 23, 2014, 04:54:33 AM
On the 'swiss army' bit, Harry has actually used Summer power once, in PG. Don't know if that's significant.

We know from Luccio in SmF that Maggie was a political radical within the White Council, and at odds with their power structure;  if she wanted allies elsewhere, the White Court seem to be the least monstrous available option.

I'd say Faerie (with which she is known to have had dealings) would have been a much less monstrous choice (especially Summer) -- maybe not a wise one for most people, but she presumably knew what she was doing around them. (Although she doesn't seem to have made a very good bargain with Lea... but there may be something else going on there - eg Mab messing with things to keep Harry from being too protected and thus not developing his potential)

Honestly I'm kind of surprised she didn't end up a Knight...

I would challenge this part, specifically (the bolded text).  For one thing the "did she lie" WOJ clearly (to me) sets Uriel on a higher (Cosmic) tier, one which she apparently does not grasp very well.  I think that the Mothers might on that tier and be aware enough for that sort of insight, but not the queens.

I agree. Uriel may very well perfectly understand Mab, but given that WoJ probably not vice versa.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: forumghost on March 23, 2014, 06:09:11 AM
On the 'swiss army' bit, Harry has actually used Summer power once, in PG. Don't know if that's significant.

Pretty sure that Harry mentions something about how the fact he used Summer Fire in PG is why the Gruffs can track him by his fire magic in SF, so there should be some impact.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: huangjimmy108 on March 23, 2014, 01:01:09 PM
The "apparently against her wishes" there strikes me as rather clever.

Mab says she's cross with Uriel for sending Harry's soul walkabout.  She also says that had Harry not made it through that he'd have been lost and gone forever.  She puts those two sentences right next to each other and leaves Harry and us to infer a causal linkage.  However, the grammatical form "had Harry died as a wandering soul, he'd have been gone forever" (I paraphrase from memory) is the same as "had I a billion dollars free and clear of obligation, I know exactly which good causes would receive the first $800 million of it"; it can be (and in my case is) perfectly true without requiring me to actually have a billion dollars, or for it to be a remotely plausible eventuality that I might have any time soon.

I think "She cannot change who you are" makes sense because Mab and Uriel see the universe in very very different ways.  Mab cares about results.  Uriel cares about choices.  Mab's is an ethic of consequence, Uriel's one of free will.  I'm not seeing that the ways the Winter mantle may change Harry matter a bent penny to Mab except to the extent that they make Harry more likely to do what she asks of him without qualm.

We have the evidence of SmF that Mab can seriously change the range of options Harry is aware of, and in so doing, guide the choices he makes toward a desired end.  This does not seem to count as a violation of free will, at least at the scale at which Uriel cares about and is allowed/required to oppose such violations.  We know from BR (and I can never remember whether this is Harry having breakfast with Kincaid and Murphy, or the screen with Harry and Bob immediately before; it's the conversation about Renfields) that it is possible for humans to be enthralled with such a fine touch that they do not even notice.  Harry does not notice Mab messing with his memory in SmF; it takes Molly looking through his mind to find it, it takes Michael being suspicious that Harry has not lost Lasciel's shadow after all to motivate that search, and even when the mental block is found, Harry actively cannot resist or overcome it by will alone; that takes Michael's prayer, which looks to me like direct divine intervention.

The take-home message at the end of the day would appear to be: Mab can't change what Harry is in the sense Uriel cares about.  But apart from that, she has pretty much free rein to manipulate what he does, which is what she cares about. 

And what that achieves, that benefits all participants of Team UMO, is a Winter Knight who is willing to go along with being Winter Knight for the moment, rather than engaging in elaborate suicide attempts, because he is under the impression that Mab not being able to change who he is means he can meaningfully resist her wanting him to do something he finds objectionable.  Harry saying "I will go along with this for the moment and make trouble if i see a need for it" is much more productive than Harry saying "I'm not doing any of this under any circumstances because it makes me a monster", and I think we have plenty of evidence for Mab's ability to convince Harry to do what she wants in any specific case where that's important (as seen in SK and SmF.)

Complete agreement.

The "Mab cannot change who you are." might as well be translated into "You can still do all of winter's work and maintain the path of light at the same time."

Uriel only cares about the disposition of Harry's soul and free wil, while Mab only cares about getting the job done. It seem that Harry's beliefs that those two things are irreconcilable is somewhat in error.
 
Winter doesn't equal evil. Which is something that pre-CD Harry don't quite understand. He believes that becoming Mab's knight automatically make him a monster, because in Harry's mind Mab is a monster. Which is not nessasarily true. In a certain sense, Mab is the "Karren Murphy" of the supranatural world.

It reminds me about the scene in PG where Murphy mentioned how civilians viewed police work as brutal and uncivilize because they cannot see what is at stake. Mab and winter as a whole is somewhat like that.

In a sense, Mab have taken Murphy's role in the story.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: KurtinStGeorge on March 25, 2014, 12:46:37 AM
I'm late to commenting on the OP, but I want to thank Neuro for laying out this thesis and its relevant details.  However, there are some questions that I have and a few comments I would like to make, but some of the comments are so minor I may just do them in a separate post. 

If I understand the OP correctly the proposed plan by Maggie and Lord Raith was to create a Startborn with the ability to oppose the Outsiders; and possibly unnamed others, for the benefit of all the major powers on Earth, be they mortal human wizards or vampires, and the supernatural powers of the Nevernever as well.  However, while Margaret LeFay and Lord Raith openly proposed this plan; possibly with the support of Justin DuMorne, the truly major supernatural powers; represented by Uriel, Odin and Mab, have been working in a covert fashion, and generally speaking their efforts have been indirectly linked to one another, rather than a formal alliance with distinct roles spelled out by an agreed upon treaty.  Because the truly great powers have foresight, they don't really need to talk to each other very often.  They know where their individual strengths lay and what their counterparts are likely to do as well.

(Boy is Harry going to be pissed if he finds out he is something of a group science experiment; though Lash kind of hinted to him that this might be the case in their final discussion in the Raith Deeps.)

I'm not sure why Maggie and Lord Raith would have to announced their plan or why they needed the agreement of the Red Court or Ebenezer McCoy.  What part were these two parties supposed to have played in creating a Starborn?  However, I think it is easy to see why different factions would have wanted to get control of Harry or kill him. 

If one party didn't really understand or believe the threat the Outsiders represented, then it might seem like a good idea to kill a Starborn wizard before he becomes the White Council's newest super weapon.  The reverse applies if the WC doesn't believe or fully understand the threat, and instead see a Starborn wizard as a super weapon who has been created as a tool of other dangerous supernatural powers.

I can understand why Lord Raith would want to create a Starborn wizard, especially one he could control.  He might have been protected by Outsider magic or some variant of it, and he did use human summoners to call up HWWB, but he could have thought that having a Starborn working for House Raith was a way to balance the scales between himself and the Outsiders.  In this way LR couldn't merely become an Outsider puppet, he could be their equal.   

If the OP is correct, or at least close to being correct, I would hypothesize that Margaret LeFay figured out how to create a Starborn child without assistance from the WC (Ebenezer), the WCV or the RC.  This would explain why LR didn't try to track down Harry as a child.  He didn't realize how important he was, and not just important to the curse which Margaret placed on LR.

I want to comment on Lea, Marcone and Nicodemus, but my observations aren't relevant to major idea of the OP.     
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: KurtinStGeorge on March 25, 2014, 01:34:14 AM
Lea - While reading the original OP I realized we have never been given a description of how Lea first introduced herself to Harry.  It must have occurred shortly after the scene we were given in Ghost Story when Harry first met and defeated HWWB.  That has got to be a great scene.  I really want to read Harry's reaction when Lea tells him she is his Fairy Godmother.  His psychotically murderous Fairy Godmother, but his Fairy Godmother just the same.  I believe it is possible that Lea had made deals with more than just Margaret.  I won't be surprised if we discover she made a deal with Justin DuMorne as well as Maggie, without ever telling either of them.  What I don't understand is what she would have gotten from Mab by acting as her proxy, if it turns out Mab has been following Harry's progress from the very beginning.  Though I suppose Mab might have given Lea the chance that she would gain strength and influence from controlling the Starborn wizard herself, though if that is correct I would suspect that Mab would have wanted a Starborn who could resist Lea's influence.  Mab told Harry that she watched him frustrate his Godmother in the Nevernever in GP.  That suggests Mab was watching Harry's progress and Lea was a kind of test that Harry had to pass in order to prove that he might eventually be worthy of being her Knight.   

Nicodemus - I don't think he believes that he might be recognized as a Saint because his actions eventually result in carrying out the wishes of the White God.  I suspect his beliefs are much darker than that and I'm hoping that aside from the snappy banter we expect when Harry and Nic cross verbal swords, Nicodemus will explain his personal philosophy (for lack of a better term) in more detail in the upcoming book.

Marcone - I don't believe that when Marcone shared a soulgaze with Harry that it was his introduction to the supernatural world.  However, it was probably proof that everything he had heard about the supernatural world was real.  I don't have Storm Front in front of me, but I remember Marcone said to Harry, "Mr Dresden, they say your the real Magus," (Not the exact quote, but very close.) which tells us that Marcone did his homework before he had that conversation with Harry.  There was also the scene much later in the story when Harry confronted Marcone; and the thug who was working for Victor Sells, at the Varsity Club.  Marcone told Harry that the few people who had been caught working for the Three-Eye distributor (Victor Sells) could only tell him them that he (Sells) appeared only in shadows.  Sells was obviously using the same spell he used when he confronted Harry outside his apartment in the thunder storm, while Harry and Susan were trying to escape the toad demon.  Hearing about an enemy who appeared as a disincorporate shadow was Marcone's first clue that the supernatural world was real.     

 
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 26, 2014, 05:12:52 PM
If I understand the OP correctly the proposed plan by Maggie and Lord Raith was to create a Startborn with the ability to oppose the Outsiders; and possibly unnamed others, for the benefit of all the major powers on Earth, be they mortal human wizards or vampires, and the supernatural powers of the Nevernever as well. 

Yes. If the world is eaten by Cthulhu everybody loses.

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However, while Margaret LeFay and Lord Raith openly proposed this plan; possibly with the support of Justin DuMorne, the truly major supernatural powers; represented by Uriel, Odin and Mab, have been working in a covert fashion, and generally speaking their efforts have been indirectly linked to one another, rather than a formal alliance with distinct roles spelled out by an agreed upon treaty.

This particular theory is agnostic on whether Uriel and Mab and Odin work together overtly or just have foresight/intellectus enough to plan based on what each other will do.  To my mind it is equally workable in either case; I have a personal preference for the notion that they overtly work together but not based ion anything strong enough to argue for it.

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I'm not sure why Maggie and Lord Raith would have to announced their plan or why they needed the agreement of the Red Court or Ebenezer McCoy.  What part were these two parties supposed to have played in creating a Starborn? 

I'm not arguing for them having a direct role, more for this being a plan that would, had all gone smoothly, have protected them all from a major threat.  At very least, DV supernaturals being what they are, this could have been spun as leaving the Red Court, White Council, et potential alii indebted to Maggie and Lord R, if you want a less than altruistic motivation here,

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I can understand why Lord Raith would want to create a Starborn wizard, especially one he could control.  He might have been protected by Outsider magic or some variant of it, and he did use human summoners to call up HWWB, but he could have thought that having a Starborn working for House Raith was a way to balance the scales between himself and the Outsiders.  In this way LR couldn't merely become an Outsider puppet, he could be their equal.

I really want to know when and how Lord R acquired his protection.

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If the OP is correct, or at least close to being correct, I would hypothesize that Margaret LeFay figured out how to create a Starborn child without assistance from the WC (Ebenezer), the WCV or the RC.  This would explain why LR didn't try to track down Harry as a child.  He didn't realize how important he was, and not just important to the curse which Margaret placed on LR.

Lord R seems not to have known about Harry being Maggie's child prior to overhearing Thomas and Harry's talk around their soulgaze in BR.  I can see that either as Lord R not knowing Maggie had given birth (strikes me as unlikely) or alternatively that he's not kept in the loop on keeping track of Harry afterwards (which would fit with my suspicion that Justin's attempt to enthrall Harry is Justin going rogue and not part of anyone else's plan.)
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on March 26, 2014, 05:16:07 PM
Lea - While reading the original OP I realized we have never been given a description of how Lea first introduced herself to Harry.  It must have occurred shortly after the scene we were given in Ghost Story when Harry first met and defeated HWWB.  That has got to be a great scene.  I really want to read Harry's reaction when Lea tells him she is his Fairy Godmother.  His psychotically murderous Fairy Godmother, but his Fairy Godmother just the same.  I believe it is possible that Lea had made deals with more than just Margaret.  I won't be surprised if we discover she made a deal with Justin DuMorne as well as Maggie, without ever telling either of them.  What I don't understand is what she would have gotten from Mab by acting as her proxy, if it turns out Mab has been following Harry's progress from the very beginning.

The impression I got from SK is that having a hold over Harry is itself an asset to Lea, and a matter of prestige.  Once she gets hold of the athame as well, the combined worth of those is unbalancing enough that Mab has to take personal charge of Harry's debt.

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Marcone - I don't believe that when Marcone shared a soulgaze with Harry that it was his introduction to the supernatural world.  However, it was probably proof that everything he had heard about the supernatural world was real.  I don't have Storm Front in front of me, but I remember Marcone said to Harry, "Mr Dresden, they say your the real Magus," (Not the exact quote, but very close.) which tells us that Marcone did his homework before he had that conversation with Harry.

I should check that scene again, because I do not recall anything to unambiguously say Marcone knows the supernatural is real, rather than merely being aware of Harry's reputation, at that point.
Title: Re: Team UMO: a theory, for reference purposes
Post by: Quantus on March 26, 2014, 05:36:14 PM
I should check that scene again, because I do not recall anything to unambiguously say Marcone knows the supernatural is real, rather than merely being aware of Harry's reputation, at that point.
Well, given that he was aware enough to know of and intend a Soulgaze indicated that at the very least he has done his homework.  Said homework, however, could have been as simple as a visit to the back room of Bock Ordered Books. Though the line about "I choose which 'they' I listen to very carefully" makes me think he had a more specific informant on the matter.  Lacking other evidence, I just assumed that Vadderung had already made some level of contact by that point.  Marcone had, after all, been operating in the city and competing with various supernatural interests for years by that point.  If the cops had been aware of the supernatural for generations, he probably was as well to some degree.