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The Dresden Files => DF Spoilers => DF Reference Collection => Topic started by: Ms Duck on December 12, 2012, 10:23:03 PM

Title: Pancake Universe
Post by: Ms Duck on December 12, 2012, 10:23:03 PM
A Pancake in a Sphere of Jell-O

Introduction
   We are geeks. And we often wonder ‘who can beat who?’ Jim is a geek, and he sometimes answers. We now know some gods are stronger than others, and some gods are much, much stronger than others. We know that if Mab fought the Erlking, the entire wild hunt, and all the Denarians it would be a game of whack a mole. But being geeks, we wonder why? What is it that makes Mab so much stronger then Odin, and makes Uriel so much stronger then Mab?
   A while back I compiled a rough list, of the approximate magical powers of these beings, based on real world equivalents (in Joules):
    Harry: 10^7th (can throw lightning, blast some houses to pieces)
    Eb: 10^11 (create minor earthquakes, level whole buildings)
    Lea: 10^17 (power enough to level cities) (lesser god)
    Mab: 10^18-10^20 (power of a major hurricane, can change climate on a large scale)(major god)
    solar energy, one day 5*10^22
    asteroid that killed dinosaurs: 5*10^23
    solar output, per second: 3.8*10^26
    power of the death star: 2*10^32 (destroy small planets)(greater god?)
    doomsday machine: 5*10^41 (destroy big planets)
    Galactus approx.: 6.9*10^41 (cosmic god?)
    observable galaxy: 10^59
    what harry thinks Uriel is, minimum: 10^62
    the big G god: over 10^68 (aka, the observable universe)
   Now one thing this list does show is that everyone Lea level and over is a ‘nuclear armed power’ as Jim refers to things. You don’t start wars with nuclear states, because there can’t be a winner. What you do is use agents, proxy wars, small conflicts, and negotiations to solve your conflicts.
On the Origins of Magic
   In the DF, magic is a natural force. It originates form living things, emotions of living things, and by Word of Mother Winter, it is conserved like any other source of power. Therefore, as it comes from life, its total amount on earth must be less than the total amount of energy available on earth, about 274 million Giga watts per year. This sounds like an absurd amount, but realize it’s just a tiny fraction of the power some of these ‘god’ appear to have. How then does one explain this? Either Magic is not conserved, or beings are able to draw on more than one world.
The NN is vast
   We know from Jim the NN expands outwards, from the Earth, to the edge of the moon. We know it is a sphere, and can conclude this is the limit of magical energy radiated from the life on earth. We know from Bob that it exists in far more than the four dimensions humans can normally perceive, and from discussions about precognition we can speculate that higher beings in it can perceive alternate pasts, presents, and futures. First, how big is it?
   Even in conventional dimensions its huge: 237 *10^5th cubic Km… that’s enough for over 23,460 earths even if we just assume normal reality. In 11 dimensions, the number becomes insane.. 9,188,2801,591,004,303,761,991,879,201,232,836,019,976,271,010,838,154,206,141 possible alternate earths. Well, there is your power source.
Conclusion

    Imagine a circle, or a pancake if you will; this is the radius of the NN in our reality. then imagine a cylinder, a giant stack of pancakes; this is the multiverse.

    Some entities, such as the Red Court, feed off only small bites. Others, worldwide beings such as Mab, feed off of a harvest drawn from entire worlds. Still others feed off of collections of worlds, or possibly empires in the thousands or millions of worlds. Scaling upwards, there are beings that eat entire grand slams worth of pancakes on a regular basis. What can we draw from such things?

   First, such beings don’t compete over individual worlds with all their power, it simply not worth it to risk upsetting the table over a single pancake. Instead they send agents, who hire local talent, and have a negotiated game- the influence you can exert over each world is equivalent to the number of worshipers you have. That’s why the classical gods left and the Abrahamic god took over; he won a round of the great game.

   Second the outsiders are very likely just that- from outside. Imagine another world, much like our own, but in another part of the galaxy. Imagine one god there won. It owns all the pancakes. But now its still hungry, and wants more. It’s sending expeditions out to find new pancakes to eat.
This would imply either it’s only attacking our pancake now, or on each pancake, there is a Mab or Mab equivalent who is in charge of the local defense. I’m heading to the latter.. as it would explain why Mab has more power than any other local god, and why she gets power from her purpose. The ‘UN’ of Cosmic Gods is feeding Mab power to help with her ‘local defense’ much like how a superpower would send aid to a local power in the real world.

   The UN isn’t going to get involved at this stage, because they don’t want to start an all-out war between worlds. This is why none of the cosmic powers were involved in Cold Days. At the same time, the outsiders are going to be trying to get them involved, because they think the superpowers are liable to start fighting amongst themselves, and thus cause chaos and let them in.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 12, 2012, 10:30:45 PM
 Link to part 1 (http://www.jimbutcheronline.com/bb/index.php/topic,32663.0.html)
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Elegast on December 12, 2012, 10:37:06 PM
In 11 dimensions, the number becomes insane.. 9,188,2801,591,004,303,761,991,879,201,232,836,019,976,271,010,838,154,206,141 possible alternate earths.

Off-topic, but I'd like to know the equations behind this number... (I suspect an error ;D)
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 12, 2012, 10:38:12 PM
Off-topic, but I'd like to know the equations behind this number... (I suspect an error ;D)

volume of an 11 dimensional sphere divided by volume of the earth, im KM

and errors are possible, i did it on a web calc
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Rasins on December 12, 2012, 10:38:59 PM
So, wouldn't the outsiders be like from the mexican restaurant down the street and stacks of enchiladas?  Pancakes make look good after an eternity of eating just enchiladas!
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 12, 2012, 10:41:10 PM
So, wouldn't the outsiders be like from the mexican restaurant down the street and stacks of enchiladas?  Pancakes make look good after an eternity of eating just enchiladas!

I may use this.

now imaging Cthulu..eating enchilladas

Serrack, if you see this, is there any way i can unlock the orignal thread? id like to merge them, for OCD sake.  :D
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Elegast on December 12, 2012, 10:43:15 PM
volume of an 11 dimensional sphere divided by volume of the earth, im KM

I thought so.  8)

That would lead to a vast overestimation of the actual result, as those extra dimensions are non-euclidian (or we would notice their existence in everyday life).

Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Elegast on December 12, 2012, 10:44:00 PM
I may use this.

now imaging Cthulu..eating enchilladas

Serrack, if you see this, is there any way i can unlock the orignal thread? id like to merge them, for OCD sake.  :D

Done.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 12, 2012, 10:49:21 PM
Thanks!
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Serack on December 12, 2012, 11:08:16 PM
I may use this.

now imaging Cthulu..eating enchilladas

Serrack, if you see this, is there any way i can unlock the orignal thread? id like to merge them, for OCD sake.  :D

the job got did, but a proper "invocation" requires the correct spelling (seeing as to how I find them using the forum search engine)
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 12, 2012, 11:10:37 PM
sorry!

 ;)
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Elegast on December 12, 2012, 11:14:11 PM
Question:

since you use the multi-verse to explain the power of our Mab, does that imply that there is only one Mab?

BTW, do you still possess the post where Mab's power is evaluated?
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Elegast on December 12, 2012, 11:29:22 PM
Here comes my own theory on the energy problem:

I suspect something strange is going on with souls. The way I read it, souls contain a lot of energy: soulfire Harry can break MW's will.

Then where does that energy comes from:
insane theory 1:: the conservation of energy is not respected  ;D. That would explain why free will is possible, and why mortals can open the  Gates (they can break physics, the only way for free will to exist).

insane theory 2: souls are connected to another reality, from where they draw energy. After all, souls to leave our reality once there are not in a body.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 12, 2012, 11:34:02 PM
Question:

since you use the multi-verse to explain the power of our Mab, does that imply that there is only one Mab?

BTW, do you still possess the post where Mab's power is evaluated?

id have to dig. its the power inherint in a full force blizzard, in one second. I got it from a government website.

as to the ammount of energy in a soul, that would conflict with what mother winter said..and shes been eating souls since the invention of mud
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Elegast on December 12, 2012, 11:37:37 PM
as to the ammount of energy in a soul, that would conflict with what mother winter said..

What did she say?
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Second Aristh on December 12, 2012, 11:45:01 PM
Yay for pancakes and covering spaces ;D
But you did lose me with the jello
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 13, 2012, 12:00:22 AM
What did she say?

that magical energy was conserved, as per physics.. it could niether be created or destroyed.

i suspect that when people metabolize food, they release some 'magica' in the way of felelings or faith but conatin most of it as a 'reserve' and thats what the soul is made of.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: peregrine on December 13, 2012, 12:29:20 AM
Matter has a lot of energy, it's just mostly bound up in being physical.  When we release that energy, or even a fraction of it, we get nuclear blasts.  I would argue that soul energy is a similar thing.

Especially since conservation of energy is still in effect, bringing things from Outside just stops the equation from being a closed system, in the same way as fueling a car, or the sun radiating on a photocell.

I do question your numbers about Mab and her power levels though.  We saw her bring snow to Chicago out of season, but that took a LOT out of her, and while it's large in relation to things like your average vegetable garden, it's still small in relation to actual weather, like cold fronts, hurricanes, and so on.

(also, technically that's the ability to control weather, not climate.  Weather is snow, rain, clouds; climate is temperate, desert, arctic, subtropical, etc...  Pedantry ho!)

We saw her and Titania start moving massive air fronts, but I don't know if we have any way of determining what power was involved with that, it could have been a pebble=landslide thing.  Wheras the snow was out of season, and more likely to require a more brute force application.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: TheCuriousFan on December 13, 2012, 12:33:52 AM
insane theory 1:: the conservation of energy is not respected  ;D.

Of course it isn't. :D The prisoners under Demonreach oozing energy without any way of there own to refuel kind of indicates that (unless it turns out that the older prisoners are basically powerless due to oozing power for so long) it isn't an absolute.

Quote
I do question your numbers about Mab and her power levels though.  We saw her bring snow to Chicago out of season, but that took a LOT out of her, and while it's large in relation to things like your average vegetable garden, it's still small in relation to actual weather, like cold fronts, hurricanes, and so on.

Wasn't it the being in the mortal world out of season that took a lot out of her rather than the weather changing?
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 13, 2012, 12:55:17 AM
Matter has a lot of energy, it's just mostly bound up in being physical.  When we release that energy, or even a fraction of it, we get nuclear blasts.  I would argue that soul energy is a similar thing.

Especially since conservation of energy is still in effect, bringing things from Outside just stops the equation from being a closed system, in the same way as fueling a car, or the sun radiating on a photocell.

I do question your numbers about Mab and her power levels though.  We saw her bring snow to Chicago out of season, but that took a LOT out of her, and while it's large in relation to things like your average vegetable garden, it's still small in relation to actual weather, like cold fronts, hurricanes, and so on.

(also, technically that's the ability to control weather, not climate.  Weather is snow, rain, clouds; climate is temperate, desert, arctic, subtropical, etc...  Pedantry ho!)

We saw her and Titania start moving massive air fronts, but I don't know if we have any way of determining what power was involved with that, it could have been a pebble=landslide thing.  Wheras the snow was out of season, and more likely to require a more brute force application.

my numbers for mab are based on the idea that she covered all of the chicago region in snow in the middle of summer. that requires an enormous amount of power- more I figure, then contained in a similar storm during winter. so if my numbers off, its on the conservative side. The figure is from a governemnt website esstimating the ammount of power, per second , contained in a major blizzard.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 13, 2012, 01:00:27 AM
as to soul energy being relased by the destruction of matter.. its possible, but im not aware of people glowing light blue lately.

my theory is based upon the idea that:

Magic comes from living things
the energy for life comes from the sun

if a being has more energy than can be explained by solar output, then obviusly they have soem other source. th easiest explanation for this is the (largely proven) existance of other worlds to draw on.

 ;D
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Orbweaver on December 13, 2012, 01:13:18 AM
as to soul energy being relased by the destruction of matter.. its possible, but im not aware of people glowing light blue lately.

my theory is based upon the idea that:

Magic comes from living things
the energy for life comes from the sun

if a being has more energy than can be explained by solar output, then obviusly they have soem other source. th easiest explanation for this is the (largely proven) existance of other worlds to draw on.

 ;D

Mmm. Bob stated that Uriel is made of nothing but soul- and via a WOJ, he can obliterate planets just by thinking about it.

I think there is most definitely evidence that Souls are either (a) their own source of energy, or (b) their own material, from which energy can then be derived. The Darkhallow and most necromantic acts would be indicative of B, although (a) is also possible as Harry wound up 'discorporated' thanks to Eternal Silence in Ghost Story. Souls can be affected by things like time, other energies (Corpsetaker vs. Harry), will, and a lot of other 'primal' forces.

Harry danced around the subject of what would happen if he threw a punch with all his heart, soul, and mind behind it against the Skinwalker in Turn Coat. It's possible that by entwining Sacrificial energy with that derived from his soul, something on the level of God's son dying on the cross would have come charging out at Shaggy that night. And/or obliterated the island along with everything in Chicago, but again, Jim couldn't have Harry dead until the next book, so we missed out.

Overall, Duckie, do you think souls are their own form of energy- or that they're made of something, from which energy is derived? Or both?
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 13, 2012, 01:30:04 AM
I think Uriel is the Wg's agent, and can draw on Wg's power just like Harry can draw on Mabs'.. or Murphy can draw on Uriel's

 ;D
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: peregrine on December 13, 2012, 01:32:04 AM
I wasn't saying that soulpower is directly connected to converting matter into energy, but metaphorically speaking.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 13, 2012, 01:52:04 AM
I wasn't saying that soulpower is directly connected to converting matter into energy, but metaphorically speaking.

okies.

thing is, im running on the idea of 'there aint no such thing as a free lunch'- which emans the power has to come from someplace. say Uriel is amde of pure soul stuff, and its very good at storing power. but who made him? the white god? and where does the wg get the power form?

at some point, you need a source

the source for the powe rof life on earth is the sun.

 ;)
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: knnn on December 13, 2012, 02:23:45 AM
I've pointed this out before, but one BIG flaw in this argument is that you are assuming "brute force" to destroy things.  In fact, using brute force is generally the most inefficient way to destroy things.  Consider that nearly every time we've seen how something happens in the DV, it's always using the right leverage. 

- Think about how much gravity Harry would need to generate to cause a building to fall down -- It's immense (you need to at least double the gravity of the Earth.  That's 10^26 right there).  So of course, he doesn't create the Gravity from scratch.  Instead he moves it around, concentrating it.  What's that?  Can't be done using normal physics.  Magic.

- Similarly think of Tunguska.  The amount of energy released was immense.  Megaton bomb level.  This doesn't however mean that Ebenezer has "nuclear bomb level power".  All Ebenezer really needed to do was to nudge an asteroid a little out of its path-- similar to Casaverde.  Ditto for Krakatoa - there's already pressure there, you merely need to encourage it a bit.

- Think of all the times Harry moves energy around -- he's a fulcrum, not a power source.  Why are you assuming that Mab is any different.
"Mab can create a hurricane".  Ever hear of the Butterfly Effect?  Mab is nigh-omniscient.  Surely she knows where exactly she needs to flap her wings. 

- Ditto about "destroying planets".   Archimedes once said "Give me a place to stand on, and I will move the Earth."  Does this mean he was more powerful than Mab?  Of course not, it means that he knew how to use leverage (literally).  Destroying a planet is actually relatively easy, especially if you got tons of magic tricks to get around the pesky Physics, and doubly so if you've got the power to totally ignore (WoJ that powerful beings can remake reality around them).  Harry concentrated gravity in the radius of a parking lot.  Make your circle 10 times bigger, and you've concentrated enough gravity to create a black hole.  Poof to the planet. 

- Heck, why go with small stuff.  What if an archangel simply has the power to change one of the constants of the universe?  Negate the Strong Force for a split second, and all your atoms split up into component part.  Poof to Universe.  No need to brute force it.  That's without resorting into clever magic backdoors. 


-----

Basically, measuring the power of someone by the stuff they can destroy and then assuming they must have used brute force and strictly "real world physics" to do it is at best a flawed overestimate.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: madness on December 13, 2012, 02:40:06 AM
You do have to start somewhere though.

Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 13, 2012, 04:11:46 AM
I've pointed this out before, but one BIG flaw in this argument is that you are assuming "brute force" to destroy things.  In fact, using brute force is generally the most inefficient way to destroy things.  Consider that nearly every time we've seen how something happens in the DV, it's always using the right leverage. 

- Think about how much gravity Harry would need to generate to cause a building to fall down -- It's immense (you need to at least double the gravity of the Earth.  That's 10^26 right there).  So of course, he doesn't create the Gravity from scratch.  Instead he moves it around, concentrating it.  What's that?  Can't be done using normal physics.  Magic.

- Similarly think of Tunguska.  The amount of energy released was immense.  Megaton bomb level.  This doesn't however mean that Ebenezer has "nuclear bomb level power".  All Ebenezer really needed to do was to nudge an asteroid a little out of its path-- similar to Casaverde.  Ditto for Krakatoa - there's already pressure there, you merely need to encourage it a bit.

- Think of all the times Harry moves energy around -- he's a fulcrum, not a power source.  Why are you assuming that Mab is any different.
"Mab can create a hurricane".  Ever hear of the Butterfly Effect?  Mab is nigh-omniscient.  Surely she knows where exactly she needs to flap her wings. 

- Ditto about "destroying planets".   Archimedes once said "Give me a place to stand on, and I will move the Earth."  Does this mean he was more powerful than Mab?  Of course not, it means that he knew how to use leverage (literally).  Destroying a planet is actually relatively easy, especially if you got tons of magic tricks to get around the pesky Physics, and doubly so if you've got the power to totally ignore (WoJ that powerful beings can remake reality around them).  Harry concentrated gravity in the radius of a parking lot.  Make your circle 10 times bigger, and you've concentrated enough gravity to create a black hole.  Poof to the planet. 

- Heck, why go with small stuff.  What if an archangel simply has the power to change one of the constants of the universe?  Negate the Strong Force for a split second, and all your atoms split up into component part.  Poof to Universe.  No need to brute force it.  That's without resorting into clever magic backdoors. 


-----

Basically, measuring the power of someone by the stuff they can destroy and then assuming they must have used brute force and strictly "real world physics" to do it is at best a flawed overestimate.

the power level for harry is equivalent to an artillery shell. im moderatley confident he can do that.

I dont remeber what i based eb on, but its simmilar... it may be based on a small earthquake, which he has caused, without dropping rocks. On the list of major disasters he caused was an earthquake in the midwest. 

and no ammount of butterfly farts can make a blizzard in chciago in the summer. its simply impossible. you have to change the temperature of an enormous amount of air- and hold it against pressure forces- for months from the description. ill say it again, the figure for Mab is on the low side. its very conservative.

a domino type chaos effect assumes that the forces already exist, but are kept in balance by opposing forces. for example, planting the small explosive that triggers the collapse that causes the volcano. In the case of the blizzard in chicago, there are no such forces present. you cant cause a blizzard in summer by leaving your refrigerator door open. its simply far too much energy required.

to put it in persepective, It doesnt matter how many dominoes you have lined up. the last one will not topple over the great pyramid..much less lift it 10,000 feet in the air and hold it here, which is what Mab did.

 
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 13, 2012, 04:39:34 AM
Ok, lets recalulate what Mab did another way:

Ye old:

PV/(nr)=T

Now P in this case has to be mainatined constant by soem force, or the cold air will simply draw in warm air and the effect will be spread all over the conintent instead of focused on chicago. as the volume is constant ( the air over the state) we can roughly assume Mab is , in effect, adding mass.

Mab can do this by moving 'potential mass' aka ectoplasm from the NN to earth and holding it stable. so, how much does she have to add?

well looking at the temperatures averages for chicago, she has to change it by about -28 c.

hmm, not too bad, right?

average pressure is 768.9 mm.. not too bad

volume of the air over chicago is..er.. lets see, the metro area is around 28,000 KM^2, and air depth is around 8.5 Km, giving us a box of around 238,000 cubic KM

giving us a constant of around 182,998,200

( i think, its been a long time since ive done this sort of stuff)

ok, divide that by our degree of change and solve for..6,535,600 grams of matter created. and held stable. for months.

eeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeehgawd. and thats the easy way, assuming you can move matter from the NN.



as an alternative, take that volume of air in KM^3, multiply by the known mass of air at 20c, then caluclate it in grams. assume 1 joule of energy for each gram of air.. per degree ( 28).

uuuughhh thats worse.


Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: TheCuriousFan on December 13, 2012, 05:32:35 AM
Quote
Harry concentrated gravity in the radius of a parking lot.  Make your circle 10 times bigger, and you've concentrated enough gravity to create a black hole.  Poof to the planet. 

Wait, really? :o
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: wizard nelson on December 13, 2012, 09:49:15 AM
I think Uriel is the Wg's agent, and can draw on Wg's power just like Harry can draw on Mabs'.. or Murphy can draw on Uriel's

 ;D
by this i take it you feel uriel is the one who used her as a mouth piece in changes?
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: madness on December 13, 2012, 10:40:55 AM
by this i take it you feel uriel is the one who used her as a mouth piece in changes?

One of the Archangels.

Michael (Archangel) is the one who approached Sanya about taking up a sword.  So Uriel isn't the only Archangel who is active.  My guess is that Uriel isn't the Archangel who is the will behind the Swords but we don't really have evidence in the text to support many theories.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: wizard nelson on December 13, 2012, 10:45:28 AM
ms duck specifically said murphy channels uriels power, was wondering if SHE believed that.
plus it had to be a particular being, they can't all talk at once, and say the exact same thing.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: madness on December 13, 2012, 10:48:20 AM
ms duck specifically said murphy channels uriels power, was wondering if SHE believed that.
plus it had to be a particular being, they can't all talk at once, and say the exact same thing.

My understanding is that Ms. Duck does believe that it was Uriel speaking through Murphy.

My point is that it doesn't change the overall theory any if you substitute one of the other (non-fallen) Archangels for Uriel.  They should all be the same relative weight class with the same relative restrictions on power usage.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Gman on December 13, 2012, 11:23:08 AM
My understanding is that Ms. Duck does believe that it was Uriel speaking through Murphy.

My point is that it doesn't change the overall theory any if you substitute one of the other (non-fallen) Archangels for Uriel.  They should all be the same relative weight class with the same relative restrictions on power usage.

It may have been Uriel speaking through Murphy but I think each sword is linked to a specific archangel (Michael, Gabriel and Raphael). Uriel is linked to Harry not a sword. I think Uriel is more a low profile, spy type archangel and does not normally make big announcements of Hey, look at what I'm doing!
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: King Ash on December 13, 2012, 11:30:18 AM
One of the Archangels.

Michael (Archangel) is the one who approached Sanya about taking up a sword.  So Uriel isn't the only Archangel who is active.  My guess is that Uriel isn't the Archangel who is the will behind the Swords but we don't really have evidence in the text to support many theories.

Raphael is also involved in that he warded the Carpenter's safe room.

I would guess that Uriel is not the being behind the swords, he is heavens spook, standing in the background making a small adjustment to make changes. Perhaps he is the one involved in manipulating chance so that the Knights are always where they need to be. The Knights are not spooks, they are The Almighty's Fist, standing on the front-line and bringing light to the darkness.
Raphael as the demon binder protects the families of the Knights, and Michael has given out at least one sword (to Sanya). Michael is the Prince of the Host and the Military leader of the angels, so he may have control over the Knights. Gabriel is the trumpeter who appears in a chorus of light, when Murphy draws the blade she gets covered in light changing her uniform and proclaims vengeance almighty on the LOoNs, so I think he is the best choice for who made the proclamation. 
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 13, 2012, 02:03:04 PM
I do think it was Uriel in specific, just because the dialouge sounds like him. That, and I think the operation was his.. working with Mab? secret meetings? its all very cloak and dagger.

as to a sword to an archangel, its interesting, but im not sure. for one thing, there are three swords and four archangels. for annother, i still believe excalibur, at least, was created by Winter.

I dont think this is the first time the archangels and mab have worked together against a common foe. :)
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: knnn on December 13, 2012, 02:57:29 PM
and no ammount of butterfly farts can make a blizzard in chciago in the summer. its simply impossible. you have to change the temperature of an enormous amount of air- and hold it against pressure forces- for months from the description. ill say it again, the figure for Mab is on the low side. its very conservative.

Where does it say that Mab made a blizzard during the summer?  SmF takes place in October.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 13, 2012, 03:33:18 PM
Where does it say that Mab made a blizzard during the summer?  SmF takes place in October.

Ghost Story

major snow, in may, in chicago

just the ammount of energy needed to create that much temperature drop alone- not including the pressure containment- is huge. far greater than any nuclear blast ever created by man. and she kept it up for months.

there is simply no way this can be any kind of domino effect. there are several ways she could have accomplished this ( bringing in cold air from the NN, etc..) but i honestly think she just willed it to become colder, much like odin willed harry not to get up. this would explain why the effect was limited only to the chicago region, and not the entire hemisphere as would have been caused by some sort of domino effect.

for example: lets say she used a small ammount of power to trigger volcanoes in the south pacific. that would have vented tons of ash into the atmosphere, thus cooling the waters, thus diverting the water flow. thus, instant mini ice age. its happened before, and could be done with far less energy.

but, just like prior mini ice ages, it would have changed the climate for much of the planet.

to change the climate over a multi state region, but only that region? that requires something containing the effect. Like Harry talking about summoning fire, you have to aim and channel things.

Mab not only was dropping the equivalent of a nuke an hour, she was also stabalizing the area outside the blast zone so that it didnt permantly change the climate for the entire continent.

no matter which way you look at it, its impressive as hell. and far more than any mortal wizard could ever do.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: knnn on December 13, 2012, 03:43:50 PM
Ghost Story

major snow, in may, in chicago

Found this:

Snowfall in May is not that unusual in Chicago, having occurred in nearly 25 percent (30 out of 126) of the Mays here since 1885. In most instances the snow has not been measurable, falling as rain mixed with snow or a few flurries. Only eight Mays have produced measurable snow, most recently 0.5 inch May 6, 1989.

So snow is not *that* crazy if it can happen without magic.  So all Mab has to do is recreate the conditions that caused the snow (e.g. bring up a cold front just in time to hit some clouds coming from the east).  Can she do it slowly over the course of 6 months (since Harry was killed)?  I'd say probably yes, and without the equivalent of a magical nuke, just need to modify a few air currents at the right time.  i.e. "flapping wings".
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: taishojojo on December 13, 2012, 03:51:23 PM
at some point, you need a source

the source for the powe rof life on earth is the sun.

 ;)
but to use your example of pancakes and spheres.. the sphere being the geographical reach of the NN. You are adding adding energy to your closed system. Conservation of energy cannot be respected.
I think (if I understand) from your earlier statement that Mab pulls from the "god council" while the Uriel pulls from the WG... again... I had a point and I seemed tohave lost it.(this is what I get for doing work inthe middle of a message)


I noticed you used an 11 order number... [in his book Contact]Carl Sagan had the "Vegans" exploring an 11 dimensional number and the main character discovered a secret by calculating PI to absurd decimal places and converting it to base 11.

I'm curious as the significance of 11.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: wyltok on December 13, 2012, 04:18:35 PM
Ghost Story

major snow, in may, in chicago

just the ammount of energy needed to create that much temperature drop alone- not including the pressure containment- is huge. far greater than any nuclear blast ever created by man. and she kept it up for months.

there is simply no way this can be any kind of domino effect. there are several ways she could have accomplished this ( bringing in cold air from the NN, etc..) but i honestly think she just willed it to become colder, much like odin willed harry not to get up. this would explain why the effect was limited only to the chicago region, and not the entire hemisphere as would have been caused by some sort of domino effect.

for example: lets say she used a small ammount of power to trigger volcanoes in the south pacific. that would have vented tons of ash into the atmosphere, thus cooling the waters, thus diverting the water flow. thus, instant mini ice age. its happened before, and could be done with far less energy.

but, just like prior mini ice ages, it would have changed the climate for much of the planet.

to change the climate over a multi state region, but only that region? that requires something containing the effect. Like Harry talking about summoning fire, you have to aim and channel things.

Mab not only was dropping the equivalent of a nuke an hour, she was also stabalizing the area outside the blast zone so that it didnt permantly change the climate for the entire continent.

no matter which way you look at it, its impressive as hell. and far more than any mortal wizard could ever do.

Out of curiosity, it sounds like you're proposing that Mab created the winter-like weather on purpose during the events of Ghost Story. The feeling I got (though I wouldn't be surprised if I got this wrong) was that the weather changed merely as a side-effect of Mab and Lea's presence in the area. It's the equivalent to the temperature change around Maeve during Summer Knight when she tried to bind Lloyd Slate. Do you see anything to point to the weather being a deliberate effect (like the weather in Small Favor) rather than a side effect (like the temperature change in Summer Knight)?

If the weather change is merely a side effect, then using it to gauge Mab's power is like trying to gauge a car's power by figuring out how much energy can be extracted from the exhaust fumes, rather than, you know, how much energy was already extracted by the car's movement.

I believe I've previously mentioned that I don't agree with all of your assumptions with regards to what we already "know". But for the remainder of this topic, I will assume them all to be correct, and just try to extrapolate from your theory (which, to be perfectly honest, I really like a lot).

   Second the outsiders are very likely just that- from outside. Imagine another world, much like our own, but in another part of the galaxy. Imagine one god there won. It owns all the pancakes. But now its still hungry, and wants more. It’s sending expeditions out to find new pancakes to eat.
This would imply either it’s only attacking our pancake now, or on each pancake, there is a Mab or Mab equivalent who is in charge of the local defense. I’m heading to the latter.. as it would explain why Mab has more power than any other local god, and why she gets power from her purpose. The ‘UN’ of Cosmic Gods is feeding Mab power to help with her ‘local defense’ much like how a superpower would send aid to a local power in the real world.

This is the part I found to be most interesting. Would you mind expanding a bit on what you think the relationship is between Mab and these UN cosmic gods? How subservient do you see Mab being to them? Do they get to interfere in Mab's policy practices? Is Mab treating them the same way Harry treats Mab (namely, tell me how to do my job, and I'll become mediocre at it)?

If Mab is forced to deal with beings who are as high above her as she is above Harry, I could see how the Fae's nature could become a defense mechanism; it would force these cosmic gods to deal fairly with Mab (if they don't they would have to take over the defense themselves).

Another question: if as you say, there are Outer Gates in alternate Earths, and each alternate dimension has its own set of defenders (who may not all be the Winter Court), that opens the possibility of dimensions where the Outer Gates have already fallen and the Outsiders have already done... whaterver it is that they want to do once they get here. What then? Why haven't they tried to jump from that alternate universe to ours?

I see three alternatives:
1. Jumping from one alternate world to another is inherently harder  for Outsiders than crossing over from Outside to Inside.
2. Any world where the Outsiders break the Outer Gates becomes a part of the Outside, so we're losing pancakes, but the war remains in a single front
3. The Outer Gates don't only separate Inside from Outside, but also keep alternate realities separate (unlikely, since we know from WoJ that Shagnasty is dimensionally transcendental).

Another option that I've previously offered is the possibility that there is only one set of Outer Gates, and there is only one Mab across all alternate dimensions. If, as you say, Mab doesn't have the power by herself to reach that level, her purpose should still allow her to make that jump. One thing that we're told about the Outsiders in CD is that they all seem to be working toward a single purpose as far as people have been able to determine. Wouldn't it make sense to uplift the leader of the defense of the Gates so that she can also coordinate all defense across all realities, just like the Outsiders are coordinated, instead of risking failure in our defense due to the existence of factions on our side?
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 13, 2012, 04:33:45 PM
@ snowfall in chicago... there is a major differnce between occasional flurries (largely caused by the lake) and several feet of snow. To get the latter, you need to drop the mean temperature about 25-30 degrees c. over an enormous area.

@ it just being because of her pressence.. Mab was obviously worn out durning the months she spent on DR island. Thats why im using it as a gauge of her power. if it was just her pressence, then it makes Mab even stronger. My figures were allways meant to be conservative.. just about every objection so far actually makes Mab out to be far stronger then i figured.

@ the UN for cosmic gods. Id hesitate to make predictions, we dont know enough, and I strongly suspect it will be more evident in the future. "Harry, dear, take this report to the board. and be polite to Tehom this time, or she will slurp your intestines like spagetti."

@ to alternate worlds being allready munched on by outsiders.. its entirely possible. outsiders are being summoned from somewhere, and somehow i dont think its thru the outergates. alternate earths having already been  mucnhed  would explain a lot in that respect, its much easier to summon things from there than the outer gates i think. Maybe. its a WAG.

Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: knnn on December 13, 2012, 04:38:09 PM
@ snowfall in chicago... there is a major differnce between occasional flurries (largely caused by the lake) and several feet of snow. To get the latter, you need to drop the mean temperature about 25-30 degrees c. over an enormous area.

Several feet?  Yeesh.  I remember that it was snowing, but I do not remember several feet.  Can you give me a text reference to the depth of snow?
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 13, 2012, 04:42:49 PM
ghost story, page 29

"there is snow  a foot and half deep on the ground.."

and this was at Morty's

there are plenty of other references as well, that was just the first one i found while skimming.

sorry Knnn.. no matter how she did it or why (or even if she did it conciously at all) .. what happened in gS was an enormous amount of power.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: knnn on December 13, 2012, 04:45:38 PM
I doff my cap to your superior Dresden-Fu.  My fault I suppose for not re-reading GS.  One of my less favorites.

 ;D
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 13, 2012, 04:48:19 PM
yah its my less favorites as well.. I like the book but i dont like the ending, having this whole emotional lead up too 'find your killer' and it turns out ' its a shadow, sorry you cant knwo which one.' was a let down.

 ;D
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Rasins on December 13, 2012, 05:29:23 PM
I may use this.

now imaging Cthulu..eating enchilladas

Serrack, if you see this, is there any way i can unlock the orignal thread? id like to merge them, for OCD sake.  :D

No, no, no, Duck.  Cthulu would be the Crack-head who tries to rob everyone to get more crack.  No rhyme or reason, just the acquisition of crack.  Robbing other Outsiders, Us, the WG ANYONE and Everyone for a fix.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 13, 2012, 06:49:20 PM
No, no, no, Duck.  Cthulu would be the Crack-head who tries to rob everyone to get more crack.  No rhyme or reason, just the acquisition of crack.  Robbing other Outsiders, Us, the WG ANYONE and Everyone for a fix.

I am dissapointed in the intertubes. i searched for pictures of cthulu eating pizza, and enchilladas, and found them both, but honestly the art was terrible.

 ;)
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Elegast on December 13, 2012, 06:55:33 PM
Actually, I agree with Knnn on that one.

Mab didn't make a blizzard happen, it was just colder where she resides during 6 months. So there is no proof her own power made the air colder, it seems more probable that a "butterfly-effect" tended to bring all cold air toward Chicago. There is no proof that the actual average temperature on Earth diminished that year.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 13, 2012, 07:00:01 PM
Actually, I agree with Knnn on that one.

Mab didn't make a blizzard happen, it was just colder where she resides during 6 months. So there is no proof her own power made the air colder, it seems more probable that a "butterfly-effect" tended to bring all cold air toward Chicago. There is no proof that the actual average temperature on Earth diminished that year.

thats the point.

if it didnt, its becuase the effect was local- and the math says the power to do that would be enormous.

even 'drawing the cold air to her' implies massive power on a global scale. if its something that just happnes, and not an intended effect, that means shes even far more powerfull then calculated.

which is scarier.. godzilla knocking over a gigantic skyscraper, or the power of godzillas snores knocking it over while she sleeps? either which way this incredibly huge mass got moved.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Paladino on December 13, 2012, 07:07:54 PM
Um, Mab is the winter Queen. One would think that messing with winter/cold is a natural part of her and her court.  Such affinity to it gives credit to the idea that it has a facility when dealing with cold. In another words, it probally takes Mab a lot less power to get snow in Chicago in May that we puny mortals would need with technology or even a regular bunch of wizards who dosen't have this affinity. 

I just think that there is no evidence that it is costy for Mab to mess with the weather. For her it could be pretty easy and effortless. And her apparance at the end of GS is more for oposing Summer who wanted her out of there than for making it snow.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: wyltok on December 13, 2012, 07:08:50 PM
thats the point.

if it didnt, its becuase the effect was local- and the math says the power to do that would be enormous.

even 'drawing the cold air to her' implies massive power on a global scale. if its something that just happnes, and not an intended effect, that means shes even far more powerfull then calculated.

which is scarier.. godzilla knocking over a gigantic skyscraper, or the power of godzillas snores knocking it over while she sleeps? either which way this incredibly huge mass got moved.

This is why I still posit that Mab is not a single pancake entity, but rather a multi-pancake being. I'm willing to agree that she didn't get there by her own power, but rather, that the cosmic-UN did something to her to make her reach that level in order to be capable of serving her purpose effectively, though I personally believe her purpose alone is enough to rate her at the multi-pancake level without need of this cosmic UN idea.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Elegast on December 13, 2012, 07:13:13 PM
thats the point.

if it didnt, its becuase the effect was local- and the math says the power to do that would be enormous.

even 'drawing the cold air to her' implies massive power on a global scale. if its something that just happnes, and not an intended effect, that means shes even far more powerfull then calculated.

which is scarier.. godzilla knocking over a gigantic skyscraper, or the power of godzillas snores knocking it over while she sleeps? either which way this incredibly huge mass got moved.

Sure.

But Knnn's point was that moving air doesn't require that much energy. According to chaos theory a small effect at the right place and the right moment can have huge consequences (propriety of many non-linear dynamic systems). The way I see it, Mab acts like a weird force of gravity: imagine if each cold molecule of air had a very, very slightly bigger chance of moving in Mab's direction? In 6 months it would have an important impact on the weather (as it's a chaotic system after 7-14 days), with a small expenditure of power.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: knnn on December 13, 2012, 07:30:40 PM
FWIW, take a look at the following WoJ:

Quote
You've talked about beings who were on similar (or greater) power levels as Mab - Titania (obviously), Drakul, and Ferrovax to name a few. However, I believe that list was generated before Changes. Where does Odin fall on that list? Hypothetically (assuming they exist), where would entities such as Zeus or Quetzalcoatl fall?

Your question presupposes a linear hierarchy--which isn't surprising, since the series has come from Harry's viewpoint, and Harry is a straight-lines kind of thinker. Power is a much more nebulous thing than that, and something that is problematic to quantify. I think a reasonably simple argument could be made that Molly is a /much/ more powerful wizard than Dresden, for example. And in many situations, she probably is. Dresden tends to think in terms of "who would win this slugfest" when he's dealing with the supernatural world because, well, of all the slugfests. Odin isn't gonna slugfest with you. He /could/. But that isn't the Allfather's style. Odin saw you coming last year, and he made his countermoves to what you're doing right now a week and a half ago. For guys like him, fights are what happen when you /fail/ to win with /real/ power--knowledge and forethought.  Of course, sometimes everyone's knowledge and forethought cancels each other's actions out, and then it's time to get all Monday Night Nitro. No one in the Dresden Files universe is really sure how that would shake out. But everyone on that level knows that they might be about to find out.

Emphasis mine.

It's the same thing here.  The main strength of Mab is through her foresight, not muscle.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: wyltok on December 13, 2012, 07:35:38 PM
... And here I thought Odin (or rather, Kringle) is Mab's source of foresight.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 13, 2012, 09:46:02 PM
Sure.

But Knnn's point was that moving air doesn't require that much energy. According to chaos theory a small effect at the right place and the right moment can have huge consequences (propriety of many non-linear dynamic systems). The way I see it, Mab acts like a weird force of gravity: imagine if each cold molecule of air had a very, very slightly bigger chance of moving in Mab's direction? In 6 months it would have an important impact on the weather (as it's a chaotic system after 7-14 days), with a small expenditure of power.

I understand, but chaos theory and domino effect do not apply in this case. in order to work, such forces have to apply to a balanced system- something where a small push can set off a chain reaction.. for example, using a small bomb to change the pressure slightly in an active volcano system to cause a controlled eruption.

please note, the eruption will occur sooner or later anyway, the bomb simply changes the when and how. the power in the system was allready there- the original 'butterfly effect' was termed by  physicst Lorenz due to the theory that the butterfly flapping its wings could change the path of a tornado, not to let it create one out of thin air.

a butterfly effect or domino effect cannot be used to explain the effects of GS as A: there was no such system in place and B: it was a local effect only.

if there is no tornado occuring, no numbers of butterflies flapping could ever create one. 
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: knnn on December 13, 2012, 09:55:42 PM
if there is no tornado occuring, no numbers of butterflies flapping could ever create one.

Thing is, Tornadoes, Hurricanes, et al.  are always being created.  The only thing that stops them from turning into the likes of Hurricane Sandy is that they are generally destroyed (i.e. friction with other systems) before they get pick up enough energy.  If Mab made sure to nurture one of these proto-hurricanes (or heck, even create one herself - they are not that powerful when they start off), then soon enough it will grow up to be big by itself.  I.e. butterflies.

Edit:  Look at this quote from Wikipedia (emphasis mine)
Quote
Note that the butterfly does not power or directly create the tornado. The flap of the wings is a part of the initial conditions; one set of conditions leads to a tornado while the other set of conditions doesn't.

So yes, a single butterfly can move around starting conditions so that a tornado suddenly occurs where before it wouldn't have.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: wizard nelson on December 13, 2012, 09:58:32 PM
yah its my less favorites as well.. I like the book but i dont like the ending, having this whole emotional lead up too 'find your killer' and it turns out ' its a shadow, sorry you cant knwo which one.' was a let down.

 ;D
point of fact harry never bothered to ask which shadow it was, the dolt >:(
'you must ask the right questions' is prominent in several things(other series, movies)
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 13, 2012, 09:59:53 PM
Thing is, Tornadoes, Hurricanes, et al.  are always being created.  The only thing that stops them from turning into the likes of Hurricane Sandy is that they are generally destroyed (i.e. friction with other systems) before they get pick up enough energy.  If Mab made sure to nurture one of these proto-hurricanes (or heck, even create one herself - they are not that powerful when they start off), then soon enough it will grow up to be big by itself.  I.e. butterflies.

ok, ill duck out on this one. youre missing the whole point and then half.. conservation of energy in the DF does still apply. any secnario you ahve metioned would cause worldwide changes, whcih is not what happened. You dont like my conclusions, fine. you dont have too.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Elegast on December 13, 2012, 10:01:05 PM
if there is no tornado occuring, no numbers of butterflies flapping could ever create one.

Yes and no.  :D

If tornadoes never happens, then yes butterflies do nothing.

If there is a tornado one year out of two, then a butterfly may change which year it happens.

In the real world, weather is changing, with colds spells and hot ones. If Mab is somewhere, all the cold ones will come near her.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Elegast on December 13, 2012, 10:03:47 PM
ok, ill duck out on this one. youre missing the whole point and then half.. conservation of energy in the DF does still apply. any secnario you ahve metioned would cause worldwide changes, whcih is not what happened. You dont like my conclusions, fine. you dont have too.

It would create worldwide changes, but very minor: the rest of the world would be very slightly hotter. The law of conservation of energy is conserved.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: knnn on December 13, 2012, 10:13:28 PM
ok, ill duck out on this one. youre missing the whole point and then half.. conservation of energy in the DF does still apply. any secnario you ahve metioned would cause worldwide changes, whcih is not what happened. You dont like my conclusions, fine. you dont have too.

Fair enough.

I think you are wrong on the hurricane angle, but I will admit that I'm less convinced of my stance regarding the snow in Chicago during Summer.  I personally don't think Harry would have noticed worldwide changes if they had occurred (he was busy), but this is certainly a point I have to work around.

Regarding conservation of energy, what if Mab simply opens a portal to Arctis Tor for a few months?  The temperature there is so low that it is bound to cool off the surrounding areas.  Add in a bit of thermodynamics and you get snow at minimal cost.

Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: wizard nelson on December 13, 2012, 10:20:11 PM
Fair enough.

I think you are wrong on the hurricane angle, but I will admit that I'm less convinced of my stance regarding the snow in Chicago during Summer.  I personally don't think Harry would have noticed worldwide changes if they had occurred (he was busy), but this is certainly a point I have to work around.

Regarding conservation of energy, what if Mab simply opens a portal to Arctis Tor for a few months?  The temperature there is so low that it is bound to cool off the surrounding areas.  Add in a bit of thermodynamics and you get snow at minimal cost.
since arctis tor is the wellspring for winter, she kinda did in a roundabout way. she drew power from her strong places to fuel the may winter. this brings up the question, is mab stronger when she draws from arctis tor like harry is with DR. its totally possible she could create that connection while elsewhere btw. like i think harry will do with his new staff.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 14, 2012, 12:56:06 AM
Fair enough.

I think you are wrong on the hurricane angle, but I will admit that I'm less convinced of my stance regarding the snow in Chicago during Summer.  I personally don't think Harry would have noticed worldwide changes if they had occurred (he was busy), but this is certainly a point I have to work around.

Regarding conservation of energy, what if Mab simply opens a portal to Arctis Tor for a few months?  The temperature there is so low that it is bound to cool off the surrounding areas.  Add in a bit of thermodynamics and you get snow at minimal cost.

that was the second calculation.. shed have to bring in 6,535,600 Kg of cold air, and maintain it to equalize the required pressure drop.( ammount would have to constantly refreshed at a rate determined by the pressure differnce (in degrees k)(to the fourth power) and area of surface action) (it would have to be very fast) (yall can do that math, assume a hemisphere with a volume of the city of chicago...)(ive done enough math) (lol)

I still think from a purely physics point of view, just 'making things colder' by use of some magic cold force is much cheaper energy wise then either bringing in tons of cold air, or diverting large scale climate forces, or any of the other suggestions... consideirng bleed off, youre talking about bringing in the equivalent of an empire state building a day there (365,000,000 kg)

and when it comes down on it, do you realy want to mess with a being that could toss an empire state building at you? shes still many bhundreds of times stronger then all the white council put together.. much like Jim said.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 14, 2012, 01:03:06 AM
It would create worldwide changes, but very minor: the rest of the world would be very slightly hotter. The law of conservation of energy is conserved.

not in the case of diverting major currents..then static forces would be realized. its what causes ice ages.. for example, diverting heat from the chicago area to the artic would cause artic ice to melt at an accelerated rate, which would change the salinity of the water level. this casues a change in the thermocline level ( the vast majority of the water in the oceans is actauly below freezing, but held liquid due to pressure and salinity).. drasticaly rasing the water level, which then increases the amount of heat we absorb from the sun..

then this:

(http://gashouseradio.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/600full-waterworld-screenshot.jpg)

is Harry's fault.

 ;D
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: knnn on December 14, 2012, 04:15:12 AM
So let's take a look at the math.

1) First of all, I think you are overstating the need to "maintain pressure".  It's true, given enough time the cold Mab brings in will dissipate over the entire planet, but as you yourself noted, the only way heat can transfer is through the surface of the sphere around Chicago.  Given that air at different temperatures will create their own natural insulation, and I don't think you need to worry as much about "bleeding energy". 

As an example, take the inverse scenario, the Urban Heat Island (http://www.weatherquestions.com/What_is_the_urban_heat_island.htm).  Temperatures difference of 10F inside the city are regularly, simply because the amount of vegetation is less.  Note that this temperature is generally sustained even at night, despite winds/etc., because heat transfer in the atmosphere is so inefficient.

Historically, there have been years when the average temperature in Chicago during the month of May has been as low as 50.  Lets take 55 degrees as a start.  best snow temperature is when it just gets to 32F in the air, call it 35F on the ground (remember, if it is too cold  -- you don't get snow).  You really need 32F on the ground for snow to stick, but remember that the snow could have accumulated earlier in the winter.  Once enough snow is on the ground it can last a long while, because as the top layer melts, it cools the air around it.  So really, you only need keep things cooler than the surrounding area by around 20F, and since the area around is cooler than the city itself to start with, 55 in the city can easily mean 50 in the surrounding area.

So what do we know?  A differential of 10F will stay relatively easy without any special power (just make sure it doesn't get too windy), but you need a differential of 15-20F.  How long do you need to maintain it?  Not as long as you'd think -- it could easily have been naturally cold during the Winter, and Mab only needed to keep it until Harry came back in mid-end of May.  Heck, if it was a really snow-heavy winter, you still have snow on the ground till May slowly melting and keeping things cool.  So, what's the real energy requirement?

2) The rules for heat transfer are quite complicated, so instead of computing estimate for the various methods of transfer, lets take a shortcut:

- When the sun goes out at night, the temperature drops very quickly.  For Chicago this number comes out on average to about 30 degrees Fahrenheit, over the course of the eight hours of the night much more than the 20F I'm looking at.  And remember that isn't just about sustaining a lower temperature -- the temperature actually drops.  Huge difference.

- So let's assume we need need 1 Watt per square foot to keep things cool.  Bear in mind that this is still probably over-estimating things by a factor of 10-100.  With snow on the ground, your energy absorption is going to be much lower anyhow, so you don't need to worry as much about cooling.  Note that 1 watt per square foot also matches with the energy requirements for melting snow, so this isn't a bad estimate.

3) Using your numbers, I've got a surface area of ~30,000 square kilometers (P.S.  I like how you took the largest possible estimate for "Chicago" - including all of the suburbs.  The size of the city itself is 50-60 times smaller), that's roughly 300,000,000,000 square feet, coming out to a total of 3 Trillion watts as an upper bound. 

-- Actually this number is much bigger than I thought it would be.  For comparison, an average nuclear power plant produces about 1 billion watts, so this is on the order of 1000 nuclear power plants.  Another comparison would be to say that this is about 7-8 times the amount of power to run everything in the US. 

Granted, I've made some grandiose assumptions (i.e. we can use a number at least 10 times smaller size for Chicago, more efficient cooling, energy from snow melt, average temperature for May, etc.), but the power to cool down Chicago is not insignificant.

Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: madness on December 14, 2012, 04:35:53 AM
Granted, I've made some grandiose assumptions (i.e. we can use a number at least 10 times smaller size for Chicago, more efficient cooling, energy from snow melt, average temperature for May, etc.), but the power to cool down Chicago is not insignificant.

I think that is why she was getting a little bit testy.  No matter how you work it out the power involved is on a different scale completely from most of the beings that we are familiar with.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 14, 2012, 04:57:24 AM
two thoughts:

 the law of heat transference says that energy transfers between the two points to the exponetial power of the differnce between the two, limited by the area of the surface and the resistance of the material.

ie , the greater the differnce, the faster the energy ballances.

(http://mikemmth21201.files.wordpress.com/2010/02/loc.jpg)
various liquids cooling

 in the case of heat bloom from a city, the differnce- 10 f- is not that much. furthermore, much of the difference is not in the air but trapped in the ground, which has a very high resitance. put your hand on black asphalt at miday, its dang hot. and it holds that heat, and raidates it all night long. the old joke about streets so hot you can cook on them.. is actually true in some places

 snow in may is more like 90 degrees F difference. and shes fighting the heat bloom effect.. all that lovely heat coming down on all those streets..

  now in the case of that extreme a temp differnce, the rate of heat transfer is so fast it should be more then the air can hold, and thus become kinetic energy (this is a very simplified view of where storm fronts come from).. the largest such differnetial ever recorded in the US was the Great Blue Northeaster on 11,11, 1911. the hot front was 76 f, the cold 11 f. it caused multiple tornados throughout the missippi valley ( nine in illinois alone), blizzards in ohio, and dust storms in oklahoma. its effects were felt accross the continental US.. this is what you would expect from a natural or triggered event, widespread damage and change accross all of north america.

now, we dont know what happened outside chicago in GS. But i think if there were massive tornados using the midwest for a game of whack a mole for months someone would have mentioned it.  ;)

as harry himself snarks, when told that mortals belive the snow is being caused by global warming " youd think magic would be more believable."

I think that is why she was getting a little bit testy.  No matter how you work it out the power involved is on a different scale completely from most of the beings that we are familiar with.

yea sorry if i was getting grouchy there. (hugs)



Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: wizard nelson on December 14, 2012, 05:07:16 AM
ms duck are you some kinda ferromancer?  ???
your making einstein look like an apprentice :o
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 14, 2012, 05:11:35 AM
No, i was an engineering/ applied math major for three years before ending up in accounting.

and i am way out of date on this stuff.. if a meteorologist wants to chip in and tell me im wrong, please feel free.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: wizard nelson on December 14, 2012, 05:17:51 AM
ahh a numeromancer  ;)
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 14, 2012, 05:22:48 AM
ahh a numeromancer  ;)

yep. i drove one of my DM's nuts years ago when i played a mage that cast spells in calculus.

 ;D
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: wizard nelson on December 14, 2012, 05:30:44 AM
yep. i drove one of my DM's nuts years ago when i played a mage that cast spells in calculus.

 ;D
lmao... i really gotta find some people to bring me into the old school rpg loop. i like it but i don't know anyone nerdy enough they actually play ::)
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 14, 2012, 06:53:57 AM
I cant sleep

so dont take this too seriously, im juts thinking aloud.. too much coffee does this too me.

whats the worst case Mab could be?

if 10^18-10^20 joules is a conservative estimate, whats an outer limit?

well.. lets assume that mabs was not doing it on purpose. ergo, it was a side effect from her pressence on earth... which was on demon reach

thats about 250 km from chicago, more or less, according to descriptions from Jim. throw in another 100 km to hit Joliet ( Murphy's place) and we can assume a cylinder with a height of 8.5 km and a rough radius of 350 km.

or 3,271,183,350,550,372 cubic meters

at 1.205kg per cubic meter, at average temp we get..

about 3,941,775,937,413,198,260 grams

now it take 1 joule to cool 1 gram of air (with considerable fudging for humidty, etc..)

so 21 c to 0 ..

82,777,294,685,677,163,460 joules. to accomplish this for one second. in may.

hmm thats not too bad..close to original figure.

ok, how much power does she lose in one second based on surface contact?

(asuming no convection, because there was no reports of tornados tossing the sears tower into the lake.)

(also assuming instant transfer, as im not getting into special relativity and times cones here.)

gives us via fourier's heat equation a transfer of  0.006804  calorie/centimeter^2-second

hmm now the surface area of that cylinder was (in cm):

  934,623,814,442,963 cm^2 (asuming contact surfaces only)

so along with the inital cost, she was burning 6,359,180,433,469 joules per second just to keep it cold.

thats another 4,944,898,705,066,212,572 just in the few days we saw in GS.



total cost of the cooling alone:


132,226,281,736,339,289,182 joules

or 2,098,829 small atomic bombs.

dont worry, im sure we can take her. all it will take is one iron bullet, right? um, peeps? who wants to shoot first?

 ;D





Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: wizard nelson on December 14, 2012, 06:59:10 AM
eh? "say hello to my... MINIGUN!" *motor starts to whirl*
seriously i'd go with something like a claymore trap. 'hot iron for the ms's?'
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: TheCuriousFan on December 14, 2012, 07:10:09 AM
*snip*
dont worry, im sure we can take her. all it will take is one iron bullet, right? um, peeps? who wants to shoot first?

 ;D

It's calcs like these that are the source of my "supernatural side stomps mortals in a fight" view....

And sure, if I get her full consent to do so in written form promising no form of vengeance (in more precise terms than that). Other than that, no way. ;D
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: wizard nelson on December 14, 2012, 07:19:11 AM
yea but mortals don't fight fair, especially if we wanna survive
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: TheCuriousFan on December 14, 2012, 07:21:32 AM
yea but mortals don't fight fair, especially if we wanna survive

Neither do supernatural fighters, but that's for another thread.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: madness on December 14, 2012, 07:27:33 AM
I don't suppose you feel up to doing a calculation on the energy that Harry had to use in order to create the iceberg in Cold Days, do you?

Turning a 6 foot deep volume of water (I don't know the exact square footage of the portion of the building that fell into the lake but it was big enough to result in a very significant volume of water/ice) into ice should be one hell of a lot of energy.  Water doesn't like to change temperature easily. :(

Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: TheCuriousFan on December 14, 2012, 07:30:49 AM
I don't suppose you feel up to doing a calculation on the energy that Harry had to use in order to create the iceberg in Cold Days, do you?

Turning a 6 foot deep volume of water (I don't know the exact square footage of the portion of the building that fell into the lake but it was big enough to result in a very significant volume of water/ice) into ice should be one hell of a lot of energy.  Water doesn't like to change temperature easily. :(

Speaking of iceburgs, I have to wonder why he didn't try to use the heat from the water he froze around Sharkface's barge to cook Sharkface.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: madness on December 14, 2012, 07:31:57 AM
It's calcs like these that are the source of my "supernatural side stomps mortals in a fight" view....

And sure, if I get her full consent to do so in written form promising no form of vengeance (in more precise terms than that). Other than that, no way. ;D

It seems obvious to me that starting somewhere around Mab's level of bad-assery that supernatural beings are far more limited by rules than they are by ability or internal power levels.

Once you have the power to will an end to life on earth the measuring of power becomes somewhat irrelevant.  Sort of like making bigger and bigger nuclear bombs.  Unless someone makes one that can split the Earth open like a gourd then it really doesn't matter if one nuke is more powerful than another.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: madness on December 14, 2012, 07:34:18 AM
Speaking of iceburgs, I have to wonder why he didn't try to use the heat from the water he froze around Sharkface's barge to cook Sharkface.

Opposite magic from what he did in White Night.

He didn't suck the heat energy out of the water (with the ice being a by-product of his magic) - he poured winter cold into the water (with the ice being the intended result).

BTW, does anyone else get a nifty 'fuel/air bomb' type of vision when reading some of the scenes where he is sucking power to use?  The lightning powered spell in Storm Front or the "sucking the heat out of things to power fire" spells in White Night as examples.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: wizard nelson on December 14, 2012, 07:35:07 AM
Speaking of iceburgs, I have to wonder why he didn't try to use the heat from the water he froze around Sharkface's barge to cook Sharkface.
good point, he does it quite nicely in changes. maybe cause he's not moving ambient energy but creating cold power this time? it wouldn't have amounted to alot. plus has he been using fire much at all in CD?
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: madness on December 14, 2012, 07:37:35 AM
I think in Cold Days Harry was *powering* the creation of the ice. 

In the previous examples he was stealing power from the environment and the ice was just a byproduct.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: TheCuriousFan on December 14, 2012, 07:39:25 AM
Opposite magic from what he did in White Night.

He didn't suck the heat energy out of the water (with the ice being a by-product of his magic) - he poured winter cold into the water (with the ice being the intended result).

BTW, does anyone else get a nifty 'fuel/air bomb' type of vision when reading some of the scenes where he is sucking power to use?  The lightning powered spell in Storm Front or the "sucking the heat out of things to power fire" spells in White Night as examples.

Fair enough, though you have to wonder where the heat is going when he throws "spheres of condensed, absolute zero cold" at people.

And what do you mean fuel/air bomb vision?
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: salahaldin on December 14, 2012, 08:58:05 AM
ms duck, think you might be a little low on your power estimates, if only because any magic emanating from Mab (either by choice or by happenstance) should have been grounded by the water (ie the big damn lake). so any cold front would actually require much more energy (Im remembering molly and the fog and the fairies on jet-skies). I see it this way: if the cold front would usually take some amount of energy to create, and water counteracts this (both due to "leaching" the magic away and due to the high specific heat of water) Mab would have to use some amount of magic in serious excess to any calculation. we know that fairies are limited in their magic in/on/around water (see the above mentioned fog incident with the fairy assassins). Anyway, just my two cents.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: madness on December 14, 2012, 08:58:25 AM
Fair enough, though you have to wonder where the heat is going when he throws "spheres of condensed, absolute zero cold" at people.

And what do you mean fuel/air bomb vision?

I will make the science geeks cringe if I try to explain it but when a fuel/air bomb detonates it sucks in all of the air around it and then that oxygen creates a secondary (and larger) explosion.

When they used them on/in tunnels in Afghanistan they could kill people who weren't even burned (either the force of the oxygen being sucked down the tunnels or simply the lack of oxygen after the explosion uses it all).

It is just one of those visually fascinating reactions (sort of like some of the scenes in the movie backdraft or like the videos of a nuclear blast) that sticks in your mind. 

I just sort of get the same 'vibe' from the way that some of the acts of magic are described in the series.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: wizard nelson on December 14, 2012, 09:23:21 AM
ms duck, think you might be a little low on your power estimates, if only because any magic emanating from Mab (either by choice or by happenstance) should have been grounded by the water (ie the big damn lake). so any cold front would actually require much more energy (Im remembering molly and the fog and the fairies on jet-skies). I see it this way: if the cold front would usually take some amount of energy to create, and water counteracts this (both due to "leaching" the magic away and due to the high specific heat of water) Mab would have to use some amount of magic in serious excess to any calculation. we know that fairies are limited in their magic in/on/around water (see the above mentioned fog incident with the fairy assassins). Anyway, just my two cents.
water seems to be mabs domain though, as she tells harry in GS and the lady in the lake act in DB.running water is different maybe, but is just a lake.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: TheCuriousFan on December 14, 2012, 09:25:43 AM
water seems to be mabs domain though, as she tells harry in GS and the lady in the lake act in DB.running water is different maybe, but is just a lake.

The lake is still a massive stopper for spells, it's part of why Demonreach was built there according to Odin IIRC.

Though she's probably a good enough water magic user that running water doesn't really bother her.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Bakoro on December 14, 2012, 09:28:28 AM
Did Winter ever even stop in Chicago? Seems like winter just stayed a while longer. Sound like a magic bio-dome.

I don't think we should be getting to worked up about trying to make magic to real world power conversions. It's fun to see what the the effects of magic are in realistic energy units, but there's no way we could even begin to figure how much a magic unit is to the joule (or whatever). Harry talks a lot about his poor efficiency and how other, less metaphysically substantive wizards do a lot more with a lot less, so who knows how any one stacks up against each other beyond Harry:little Mab:Big.

As far as conservation of energy, that's almost meaningless as far as I can tell. All magic is in equilibrium all over the world and fills in gaps instantly barring circles. Maybe pure magic permeates the NN veil and the "closed system" is the entire multi-verse. Maybe a lot of things.
If magic can convert to heat or cold or whatever, even temporarily, that just throws everything totally out of whack. You change physical forms and borrow NN material to "make" mass, you use purer magic to "make" heat, and it all goes back to being NN material to magic.

There is just no accounting for this stuff because magic. Maybe Jim should write a Dresdenverse Meta-physics book. We can learn those power calculations Harry talked about re: Little Chicago.
Oh snap, I was kidding about that last part, but an illustrated Dresdenverse Cryptozoology book would be awesome. It wouldn't even take much of Jim's time. Maybe have Wayne Barlowe do it, or a bunch of artists.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: wizard nelson on December 14, 2012, 09:34:11 AM
The lake is still a massive stopper for spells, it's part of why Demonreach was built there according to Odin IIRC.

Though she's probably a good enough water magic user that running water doesn't really bother her.
no running water is a purifying force, your getting it backwards. still water is located in mabs domain. running water would be worse
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: TheCuriousFan on December 14, 2012, 09:39:06 AM
no running water is a purifying force, your getting it backwards. still water is located in mabs domain. running water would be worse

Wasn't that fire? And what part do you think I'm getting backwards?

And why do you think she'll have problems with running water?
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: wizard nelson on December 14, 2012, 09:43:19 AM
Wasn't that fire? And what part do you think I'm getting backwards?

And why do you think she'll have problems with running water?
running water washes away magic, still water grounds it out. unless your a water mage
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: TheCuriousFan on December 14, 2012, 09:45:37 AM
running water washes away magic, still water grounds it out. unless your a water mage

Ah. All of this was because I referred to the lake as a stopper rather than a more general term to explain why it's a pain to cast spells over the lake?
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: wizard nelson on December 14, 2012, 09:47:01 AM
Ah. All of this was because I referred to the lake as a stopper rather than a more general term to explain why it's a pain to cast spells over the lake?
Though she's probably a good enough water magic user that running water doesn't really bother her
no thats why... ;)
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: TheCuriousFan on December 14, 2012, 09:48:31 AM
no thats why... ;)

You don't think she can deal with both running and still water? ;)
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: wizard nelson on December 14, 2012, 09:51:21 AM
prolly she can but not as good, unless she's manipulating the water itself
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: knnn on December 14, 2012, 01:33:03 PM
I cant sleep so dont take this too seriously, im juts thinking aloud.. too much coffee does this too me.
whats the worst case Mab could be?

Challenge accepted!   ;D

well.. lets assume that mabs was not doing it on purpose. ergo, it was a side effect from her pressence on earth... which was on demon reach thats about 250 km from chicago, more or less, according to descriptions from Jim. throw in another 100 km to hit Joliet ( Murphy's place) and we can assume a cylinder with a height of 8.5 km and a rough radius of 350 km. or 3,271,183,350,550,372 cubic meters

Ok, so first of all, as I pointed out before, you are overstating the size of the disruption Mab is making.  Google maps says that the distance from Chicago to Joilet is about 50 miles, and that's not in a straight line.  The actual distance is more like 30.  Just to illustrate things, I took the liberty of attaching a map of the area, and I carefully drew a circle with a radius of approximately 350km.  You'll notice that Joilet is WAY inside the circle, as well as a large chunk of lake Michigan.  Just how far out do you think Demonreach can be? (How long does Harry say it takes to get to the island?  I don't have CD in front of me right now).

(http://i45.tinypic.com/30c7yg8.jpg)

Let's make the radius 70km instead.  -- that already makes the size of the volume 25 times smaller.

at 1.205kg per cubic meter, at average temp we get..

about 3,941,775,937,413,198,260 grams

now it take 1 joule to cool 1 gram of air (with considerable fudging for humidty, etc..)

so 21 c to 0 ..

82,777,294,685,677,163,460 joules. to accomplish this for one second. in may.

Respectively, but no, this is the total amount of energy it takes to cool the air off by 20 degrees.  If Mab cooled it all in one second this number would be right, but if she was willing to take just 24 hours to cool off the air, you need to divide things by 384,000.  Mab had 6 months. 

As I pointed out before, a much better  estimate is that the temperature drops by 30F at night, and that's just because the sun isn't giving out her 100 Watts per square foot


(asuming no convection, because there was no reports of tornados tossing the sears tower into the lake.)
(also assuming instant transfer, as im not getting into special relativity and times cones here.)
gives us via fourier's heat equation a transfer of  0.006804  calorie/centimeter^2-second
hmm now the surface area of that cylinder was (in cm):

  934,623,814,442,963 cm^2 (asuming contact surfaces only)

Whoa -- You're assuming that she needs to shield against heat from the entire surface.  This is a BIG nono.  Consider that most of the surface area you are getting is from the top of your 8km cylinder.  In fact, the average temperature of the air at that height is already close to or below freezing, so little to no heat will escape that way.   Instead, lets take the surface area of the sides of the cylinder.

Even using your sizes (and remember that you probably won't be losing heat from the top half of your cylinder) You've got a height of 8km and a radius of 350km = 800,000* 35,000,000 * 2pi = 1.6*10^14, that's 6 times smaller. 


so along with the inital cost, she was burning 6,359,180,433,469 joules per second just to keep it cold.

Actually, this about double the 3 trillion watts I had come up with.


thats another 4,944,898,705,066,212,572 just in the few days we saw in GS.

total cost of the cooling alone:

132,226,281,736,339,289,182 joules

or 2,098,829 small atomic bombs.

dont worry, im sure we can take her. all it will take is one iron bullet, right? um, peeps? who wants to shoot first?

 ;D

Again, Over the course of 6 months.  Think about it this way:  An average-sized nuclear power plant produces 1 billion watts, or 1 billion joules per second.  Multiply this by 384000 seconds in a day, multiply by 150 days in 6 months, and you get roughly 60,000,000,000,000,000 joules, or the equivalent of 1000 atomic bombs (by your same estimate).  The difference is of course that the atomic bomb is released all in one fraction of a second, while the power plant takes it slow

Bottom line is, using only your math and your numbers, your final figure "upper limit" means that Mab has the power of about 2000 nuclear reactors.  This is only about double what I posted, and I humbly suggest that if you made all the amendments I suggested, you'd get a figure **far** smaller.

(Quick calculation shows, using your math but my numbers would yield 20 Billion watts, or about the output of about 20 nuclear reactors).

------------------

So yes, the feat is still very impressive, but not crazily so.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Bakoro on December 14, 2012, 02:05:11 PM
Challenge accepted!   ;D

Just how far out do you think Demonreach can be? (How long does Harry say it takes to get to the island?  I don't have CD in front of me right now).


Pretty sure Demonreach takes about an hour to get to by boat, give or take a bit. It's supposed to be in the middle of the lake. A speed boat goes in the 45-50Mph range so I'd say a 50-60 mile radius from Chicago is fair, with 100 mies being the generous far outlier.
The presence of Water would have zero negative effect on Mab as far as I'm concerned.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 14, 2012, 02:11:49 PM
I don't suppose you feel up to doing a calculation on the energy that Harry had to use in order to create the iceberg in Cold Days, do you?

Turning a 6 foot deep volume of water (I don't know the exact square footage of the portion of the building that fell into the lake but it was big enough to result in a very significant volume of water/ice) into ice should be one hell of a lot of energy.  Water doesn't like to change temperature easily. :(

take a Wag as to the volume will be the problem.. I have no idea how big the building is. anyone?

after that, the mass of water is 1,000 kg.. and assume 1 joule per gram will give you how many joules it takes.

to add in some fun, realize its a projected force, from his hand, take the surface area, the thermal conductivity of water (0.58)(its actually much easier to cool water then air) and you can calculate the projected energy costs

its probably quite a lot, but a chicken compared to mab's godzilla.

if someone wants to come up with some figures on the size of the building, ill give it a shot.

might tell us a idea on how strong harry is now. my theory on the knights is since there power source is by our POV near infinite (Mab's power can be matched by Humans, but only using nuclear recources) then the limit for knights is from their individual capacity, not from the source.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: wizard nelson on December 14, 2012, 02:20:54 PM
lets say the building is 100 ft by 50 ft in diameter, for conveniences. i wanna hear more numeromancy lol ;)
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 14, 2012, 02:24:47 PM
the isle, accoridng to Jim, is in the dead center of the lake or close to it. Thats about 250 Km from chicago itself, according to the map I found.

and as Salahaldin my 'high point estimate' is still too low, I didnt include the mass of the lake in my measurements. or, if we do assume a sphere and not a cylinder, the mass of the ground.

Oo

yea, im not working out that one. (whats the thermal coefficient for earth? or concrete? whats the ratio for both? never mind..)

as they say, assuming a spherical chicken..

were still getting numbers in the range of 10^16- 10^22

I think we can settle for that, its well within something to work with.

now, who wants to figure out how strong Harry is now?
 
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 14, 2012, 02:28:11 PM
lets say the building is 100 ft by 50 ft in diameter, for conveniences. i wanna hear more numeromancy lol ;)

I think we need more data, my young apprentice (evil cackle)

I need to head off and do soem work stuff.

we need the rough mass of half a warehouse.. we can assume sheet steel for the walls and concrete for the floor.

by rule of thumb, in the case of ice, 90% of the mass has to be below water. so take the mass of the warehouse, multiply by 9, and that will give us our lifitng body :)
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Serack on December 14, 2012, 03:24:42 PM
Ms Duck,
The original Badelynge has been moved to the DFRC

As new Quackiness is generated, just say the word and the curators will facilitate its proper place in the Badelynge in a manor similar to how the "Pancake Universe" addition got in.  I like how the ongoing discussion of newer editions is contained in newer threads (http://www.jimbutcheronline.com/bb/index.php/topic,35811.0.html), so in general pratice, this topic will remain locked when not trying to open formation for new editions to the Badelynge.  -Serack
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Paladino on December 14, 2012, 03:44:12 PM
Ms. Duck and Knnn. I have no idea of phisics like you guys doing, but I got something your not considerating, that might or not affect your calculation.

Mab was there since december, so she was there since high winter, wouldn't it cost her less energy to maintain the low temperature it was alredy present during winter, than to "cool down" the temperature on may?
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 14, 2012, 04:25:12 PM
Ms Duck,
The original Badelynge has been moved to the DFRC

As new Quackiness is generated, just say the word and the curators will facilitate its proper place in the Badelynge in a manor similar to how the "Pancake Universe" addition got in.  I like how the ongoing discussion of newer editions is contained in newer threads (http://www.jimbutcheronline.com/bb/index.php/topic,35811.0.html), so in general pratice, this topic will remain locked when not trying to open formation for new editions to the Badelynge.  -Serack

thanks boss!

Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 14, 2012, 04:40:54 PM
Ms. Duck and Knnn. I have no idea of phisics like you guys doing, but I got something your not considerating, that might or not affect your calculation.

Mab was there since december, so she was there since high winter, wouldn't it cost her less energy to maintain the low temperature it was alredy present during winter, than to "cool down" the temperature on may?

almost cetainly, but it requires multi variable differental equations. I can do that..probably. but ti would be hard work, im way out of practice.

an easier solution is a 'boundary problem' where you set limits of what the actual answer would be.

for example, imagine you have this wierd blob shaped thingy and want to know its volume. you can either map it out entirely and derive it, or you can set 'boundary limits' - imagine a sphere smaller then it but close, and then say a sphere a bit bigger but close, and well know that the actual value is between those two.

My boundary limits are around 10^17- 10^22 joules

Knnn hasnt specified thiers yet, but im thinking more like 10^13- 10^18

we are debating which range is best, im willing to halve the differnece and call it 10^16- 10^18

thus we know Mab's power is somewhere in between 'can fllatten Texas' and ' can flatten all of Europe'.

harrys power when i do it will be the same sort of range, Im thinking:

circa PG- can flatten a car
circa TC- can flatten a house
circa now.. could take out a decent skyscraper?

the fun part is if Knnn, Elegast and I can come up with ranges that we think are reliable, we can then use them to answer some long term arguments..

like just how scary is a black court, anyway?

(im thinking 'xmen' level for mavra right now and 'flying brick' for an elder, but MATH must be done.)

 ;)
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: knnn on December 14, 2012, 05:23:42 PM
I will admit that I have raised my estimate since doing all this math.  Given everything, I think a value of 10^17 joules is not an unreasonable starting point for the energy of the entire feat or keeping Chicago cool.  I personally think it's 100 times lower, Duck thinks 100 times higher.  We're in the right ballpark.

-------------------

The big difference between us is that I'm seeing it in terms of powerplants:  Mab = 1000 nuclear power plants. 

Duck is seeing it more in terms of a casting a single spell to produce the outcome -- giving you a single energy expenditure (i.e. a bomb):  Mab = 2,000,000 nuclear bombs.

-------------------

IMHO, looking at Mab as a powerplant gives you a better understanding of her capabilities.  I feel that computing the amount of power Mab can sustain is a better estimate of how powerful she is.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 14, 2012, 05:41:57 PM
I will admit that I have raised my estimate since doing all this math.  Given everything, I think a value of 10^17 joules is not an unreasonable starting point for the energy of the entire feat or keeping Chicago cool.  I personally think it's 100 times lower, Duck thinks 100 times higher.  We're in the right ballpark.

-------------------

The big difference between us is that I'm seeing it in terms of powerplants:  Mab = 1000 nuclear power plants. 

Duck is seeing it more in terms of a casting a single spell to produce the outcome -- giving you a single energy expenditure (i.e. a bomb):  Mab = 2,000,000 nuclear bombs.

-------------------

IMHO, looking at Mab as a powerplant gives you a better understanding of her capabilities.  I feel that computing the amount of power Mab can sustain is a better estimate of how powerful she is.

actually i got that larger figure from assuming the total output fro three months. youre right, its a power plant, not a bomb; i was just putting bombs in as a way for non scientist people to visualize the output. its very hard to imagine what a power plant can do, but everyone understands this thing:

(http://www.wired.com/images_blogs/thisdayintech/2010/02/easy_buster_cropped.jpg)
the question is Mab dropping one a week or one a day or one an hour... either which way, tis a power output no mortal wizard can match.

 :)
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Paladino on December 14, 2012, 06:31:05 PM
but everyone understands this thing:

(http://www.wired.com/images_blogs/thisdayintech/2010/02/easy_buster_cropped.jpg)

 :)

Baradur colapsing?
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 14, 2012, 10:10:19 PM
only if the one ring was forged from uranium  ;)
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 16, 2012, 01:42:30 AM
hmm new woj..

Quote
Jim: 3) Everything revolves around /this/ earth, in the Dresden stories. But not necessarily around all (or even a majority of) the other earths that exist in the continuum of possibility created by free will. Other, parallel realities have other worlds playing a more central role, and some of them have earth in a nice quiet backwater, peaceful, relatively conflict free, and boring.

so while worlds remain at the center of the NN, its not allways the same world? innnnteresssting...

thats how the outsiders are getting here :)
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: wizard nelson on December 16, 2012, 01:55:24 AM
@ms duck. x-men for mavra and flying brick for elder? :o what jacked up world do you live in were a brick outguns the x-men?
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 16, 2012, 02:14:39 AM
@ms duck. x-men for mavra and flying brick for elder? :o what jacked up world do you live in were a brick outguns the x-men?

the very geeky comic book/ sci fi kind.

a flying brick is the term for a kind of charchter that has certain very popluar and common powers that in and of themselves, makes no sense whatsoever:

flight
super strenght
invulnerability
super speed
super boobs (for females)

hence the term 'flying brick'

aka: superman, wonder woman, captain marvel, apollo, thor...

they are generally the strongest people in their respective comic book world- or at least, the strongest hero

http://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/FlyingBrick (http://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/FlyingBrick)

other common charcters include:

glass cannon- cyclops, green fire, (Harry, Lea)
tank- hulk, thing, colossus (Magog, Tiny)
scrapper- spider man, wolverine (Thomas)
bad ass normal- batman, captain america (Murphy, Marcone)
magnificaent bastard- dr doom, lex luthor (Mab)

weve had every other main stay here, I suspect the Black Court is Jim's flying bricks- it fits their abilites and power levels nicely
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: wizard nelson on December 16, 2012, 02:26:01 AM
one problem with that, murphy is wonderwoman not batman :P
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 16, 2012, 02:33:04 AM
one problem with that, murphy is wonderwoman not batman :P

well elaine is the one who amde the wonder woman joke in WN...

that being said, since murphy is not a 6' tall demi goddess with super stregth, speed, flight, super human weapons skills, and lesbian tendacies ill have to assume shes not ;)
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Second Aristh on December 16, 2012, 02:34:56 AM
well elaine is the one who amde the wonder woman joke in WN...

that being said, since murphy is not a 6' tall demi goddess with super stregth, speed, flight, super human weapons skills, and lesbian tendacies ill have to assume shes not ;)
So Lara is Wonder Woman?  :o
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 16, 2012, 02:36:50 AM
So Lara is Wonder Woman?  :o

that.. I could buy

actually, Lara is annother classic charchter..

 Kinky female vampire (http://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/LesbianVampire)

Jim is a very good writer, and quite entertaining, but he does tend to use classic charchter builds
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Second Aristh on December 16, 2012, 02:45:51 AM
that.. I could buy

actually, Lara is annother classic charchter..

 Kinky female vampire (http://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/LesbianVampire)

Jim is a very good writer, and quite entertaining, but he does tend to use classic charchter builds
Agreed.  Lara isn't quite brick-like enough for me to be Wonder Woman in the big leagues.  Lea seems to be a better fit as we progress.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: wizard nelson on December 16, 2012, 02:51:50 AM
anyone notice harry was gollum in changes compared to susans frodo? or is that backwards?
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 16, 2012, 03:06:36 AM
anyone notice harry was gollum in changes compared to susans frodo? or is that backwards?

I suspect Lash was gollum, actually.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Orbweaver on December 16, 2012, 03:08:15 AM
anyone notice harry was gollum in changes compared to susans frodo? or is that backwards?

I just thought about the Ring being Maggie in either case, and I got very creeped out by the image of Harry throwing his own kid into an active volcano. This is why I don't try to do analogies to other characters in other books. It never ends well, either for me or for the initial characters.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: cass on December 16, 2012, 03:13:01 AM
anyone notice harry was gollum in changes compared to susans frodo? or is that backwards?

Harry was identified as Samwise to Susan's Frodo.  Gollum was never assigned, even if Harry wondered about it. (My own opinion matches the Duck's-- probably Lash.  I equate the Rampire inflection carried by both Martin and Susan to be the equivalent to the Ring's call, which equates Susan's transformation to Frodo's claiming the Ring.  Boromir also attempted to claim it, yes?  And Sanya-as-Aragorn has already experienced and rejected the temptation of power.)
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Bakoro on December 16, 2012, 01:21:21 PM
If any corporeal person was Gollum it was Martin or Susan. Martin was the pitiful creature that lead them to Mt. Doom and it was him dieing that allowed the battle to be won. I guess that would mean Susan turned into the ring at the last moment. Or Susan was Gollum since Gollum's death was kind of a predetermined sacrifice that Gandalf (Lea) foresaw.   
Of course it's never going to be a perfect analogy.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: wyltok on December 17, 2012, 04:52:26 PM
hmm new woj..

Quote
Jim: 3) Everything revolves around /this/ earth, in the Dresden stories. But not necessarily around all (or even a majority of) the other earths that exist in the continuum of possibility created by free will. Other, parallel realities have other worlds playing a more central role, and some of them have earth in a nice quiet backwater, peaceful, relatively conflict free, and boring.

so while worlds remain at the center of the NN, its not allways the same world? innnnteresssting...

thats how the outsiders are getting here :)

I'm afraid I don't follow. Mind expanding a bit?
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 17, 2012, 04:54:42 PM
Ok.. the DF earth is at the center of the NN

but in some alternate universe, the center of the NN is not the earth, its another planet.

mars? qunos? who knows?

but thats how the aliens are getting here.. not traveling thru space, because the magic doenst go that far..
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: wyltok on December 17, 2012, 04:59:59 PM
So your suggestion is that Outsiders are merely aliens from others planets in other alternate universes, who use some sort of connection between their Never Never and ours to reach our Earth because although their planet and ours don't share the same geographic location, they share the same symbolic "Center of the Universe" location?

Unless Outsiders come from an alternate universe made of anti-matter and/or a galaxy of said alternate universe made of the same (since current science can't tell which of the galaxies out there are matter vs. antimatter), it certainly wouldn't explain the properties of Mordite. Also, it doesn't really explain why they are so hard to affect with magic, if they are so symbolically linked to us.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 17, 2012, 05:02:06 PM
So your suggestion is that Outsiders are merely aliens from others planets in other alternate universes, who use some sort of connection between their Never Never and ours to reach our Earth because although their planet and ours don't share the same geographic location, they share the same symbolic "Center of the Universe" location?

Unless Outsiders come from an alternate universe made of anti-matter and/or a galaxy of said alternate universe made of the same (since current science can't tell which of the galaxies out there are matter vs. antimatter), it certainly wouldn't explain the properties of Mordite. Also, it doesn't really explain why they are so hard to affect with magic, if they are so symbolically linked to us.

well i doubt they are antimatter. they dotn explode, and neither do we. more like 'skewed magic'- they come from a world that has a very different form of magical energy then we do.

they eveolved in a different way, from a markedly different environment.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: wyltok on December 17, 2012, 05:27:27 PM
You're basically suggesting that Outsiders come from a place more stable (for lack of a better term) than the Never Never. Maybe it's my reading of the Ender's Game series of books (and Homestuck), but I always pictured Outside as being less stable than the Never Never, rather than your current conjecture. I always saw Outside as being those aspects of reality that exist outside of space-time.

On the other hand, if you're right and Outsiders come from a place that has a parallel in our Universe, it might explain why a particular conjunction of stars could impact a human's magic to create an Outsiderbane.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Arjan on December 17, 2012, 06:47:13 PM
I suspect Lash was gollum, actually.
Susans vampire spirit/half/mantle/demon actually.

Followed all the time unseen to get her precious (Susan/ Susans Soul/ Body). Took her precious just before she died. Taking her precious and dying was linked together and both were esential for fullfilling the quest.

Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: taishojojo on December 17, 2012, 06:59:13 PM
hmm new woj..

so while worlds remain at the center of the NN, its not allways the same world? innnnteresssting...

thats how the outsiders are getting here :)
Its all Snowflake theory... Jim's borrowing from Planetary on this one.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 17, 2012, 07:11:17 PM
Its all Snowflake theory... Jim's borrowing from Planetary on this one.

I love planetary, bit im pretty sure the idea predates both. One thing about Warren Ellis and Jim Butcher is both of them are very good at giving fresh spins to old tropes.

robert heinlien was playing with this one back in the 60s, and im pretty sure he didnt invent it either.

 ;D
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on December 17, 2012, 07:48:21 PM
You're basically suggesting that Outsiders come from a place more stable (for lack of a better term) than the Never Never. Maybe it's my reading of the Ender's Game series of books (and Homestuck)

The only real downside of being a Homestuck and also active on this forum is the continual mental snag of remembering which CD one is talking about, I'm finding.

Quote
but I always pictured Outside as being less stable than the Never Never, rather than your current conjecture. I always saw Outside as being those aspects of reality that exist outside of space-time.

Before CD I was inclined to tend in this direction, that they would be sort of chaotic in a Far Realm/Lovecraft/Titans/Chaos and Old Night sort of way.  Harry's assertion in CD that all Outsiders are really acting in concert sort of pulls away from that, though.  (Though I am not at all sure where Harry gets that idea from or how reliable it is; could equally well be his general conspiracy-theorist tendencies looking for another Theory Of Everything now that the "Black Council" being behind everything is scuppered.)
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 17, 2012, 07:53:09 PM
The only real downside of being a Homestuck and also active on this forum is the continual mental snag of remembering which CD one is talking about, I'm finding.

Before CD I was inclined to tend in this direction, that they would be sort of chaotic in a Far Realm/Lovecraft/Titans/Chaos and Old Night sort of way.  Harry's assertion in CD that all Outsiders are really acting in concert sort of pulls away from that, though.  (Though I am not at all sure where Harry gets that idea from or how reliable it is; could equally well be his general conspiracy-theorist tendencies looking for another Theory Of Everything now that the "Black Council" being behind everything is scuppered.)

i suspect the outsiders are something like a divine virus, spreading from and consuming worlds.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: taishojojo on December 17, 2012, 08:11:11 PM
I love planetary, bit im pretty sure the idea predates both. One thing about Warren Ellis and Jim Butcher is both of them are very good at giving fresh spins to old tropes.

robert heinlien was playing with this one back in the 60s, and im pretty sure he didnt invent it either.

 ;D
I was being cheeky...  :P
Douglas Adams touched on it a little with Earth being a monster supercomputer.
One of my personal (and favorite) wags is Harry being Job, the subject of a cosmic bet betwixt "gods" (as it were).
Its probably too cerebral and over-thought if the DV were one 'slice' or instance in a cosmic parallel/quantum computer and Harry was some pivotal q-bit (a bet amongst super beings); where Harry's quantum state 'flipping' some way means a 'good', 'bad', 'better', 'worst' outcome.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: wyltok on December 17, 2012, 08:24:46 PM
i suspect the outsiders are something like a divine virus, spreading from and consuming worlds.

*cough*CodexAlera*cough*

Harry's assertion in CD that all Outsiders are really acting in concert sort of pulls away from that, though.  (Though I am not at all sure where Harry gets that idea from or how reliable it is; could equally well be his general conspiracy-theorist tendencies looking for another Theory Of Everything now that the "Black Council" being behind everything is scuppered.)

Given no space and no time, there is only Here and Now. If there is only Here and Now, if there is action (as we see in the attack on the Outer Gates), it implies purpose, and for there to be Purpose, there must also be consensus. Even if there are others who don't agree with the consensus, they probably don't oppose it, but rather, ignore us altogether.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on December 17, 2012, 08:37:14 PM
Given no space and no time, there is only Here and Now.

In incline to read Mother Summer at the Gates as saying that Winter holds this duty in this age of the world, as it were, but that there have been other before; that and Rashid appearing to talk to Harry in a manner consistent with being linearly timebound to their previous conversations appear to me rule out the no-space-and-time posit on the Outside.

Quote
If there is only Here and Now, if there is action (as we see in the attack on the Outer Gates), it implies purpose,

Not following your logic here either; does a spinal reflex pulling away from a flame imply purpose ?

Quote
and for there to be Purpose, there must also be consensus.

On largest-scale goal, perhaps, but on strategy, and smaller goals along the way ?
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: Ms Duck on December 17, 2012, 08:46:15 PM
that and it seems clear to me the higher level outsiders, at least, are cpable of planning.
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: wyltok on December 17, 2012, 09:17:19 PM
In incline to read Mother Summer at the Gates as saying that Winter holds this duty in this age of the world, as it were, but that there have been other before; that and Rashid appearing to talk to Harry in a manner consistent with being linearly timebound to their previous conversations appear to me rule out the no-space-and-time posit on the Outside.

I don't believe that the area outside the Gates is truly Outside, nor truly part of the Never Never. Rather (in my opinion) it's an in-between place like Chicago-ove-Chicago or the Valley of the Stone Table. I agree with you that time and distance appear to be nice and stable there, which is probably something the Gates are designed to accomplish so that the defenders are actually capable of defending instead of succumbing to madness trying to navigate the Non-Eucledian Landscape (http://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/AlienGeometries) (TVTropes Warning).

If there is only Here and Now, if there is action (as we see in the attack on the Outer Gates), it implies purpose, and for there to be Purpose, there must also be consensus.

Not following your logic here either; does a spinal reflex pulling away from a flame imply purpose ?

Apologies for using anthropomorphic speech. They should have sent a poet, but alas, I'm but an engineer. What I mean by purpose does not necessarily imply that there is sentience or reason behind it. Your quote above is a clear example of purpose without reason (namely, evolution). Another classic example is a bubble's circular shape (with the purpose being that nature tends toward the lowest energy state possible, no sentience required). I suppose I could have used "reason" instead of "purpose", but that word is even more correlated in my mind with sentience, so I stuck with purpose.

In any case: try to picture a situation where secrets are impossible. Where your very name reveals every aspect of your being. Where it is impossible to go into the corner and work out an alliance with a few; where everyone hears everything you have to say in favor of some action, and has already heard it all before, so you are incapable of changing his mind, and you know you are incapable of changing his mind, because he has no secrets from you, either. There are but two possibilities I can envision: total chaos, as that only available instant of indecision becomes permanent, due to lack of advancing time. Or unity of purpose, as some sort of consensus is reached that has always been reached and will have always been reached (again, when I use the word "purpose" here, I don't imply all the beings on the Outside are sentient, held a vote, and reached a decision, so much as they all obey the same rules of nature, as it were).

I propose that the beings of chaos of the Outside, when they enter into the non-chaos of our reality, becomes somewhat like Harry's description of goblins in Changes: all different, yet curiously similar. And that's why they all seem to act toward a single purpose: it's not so much a choice they made, as an inevitable rule of their nature.

On largest-scale goal, perhaps, but on strategy, and smaller goals along the way?

That is certainly an interesting question: are all those infected by Nemesis connected? Did He Who Walks Before recognize Harry as He Who Walks Behind did back in Blood Rites?
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: vultur on December 18, 2012, 03:57:01 AM
The "all outsiders connected" bit makes me wonder if they're "cross-sections" or whatever of a single multidimensional being (Old One?)
Title: Re: A Badelynge of Quackiness, Part Two
Post by: wizard nelson on December 18, 2012, 07:04:18 AM
The "all outsiders connected" bit makes me wonder if they're "cross-sections" or whatever of a single multidimensional being (Old One?)
the outsiders are discussed in harrys internal monolog in DB. the outsiders are servants of the old ones, evil gods from before known time banished beyond the outergates. this supports my theory outside the gates is the immortals version of hell.