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The Dresden Files => DF Spoilers => DF Reference Collection => Topic started by: knnn on June 27, 2011, 05:55:52 PM

Title: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: knnn on June 27, 2011, 05:55:52 PM
Title really says it all, let's just get into the meat of things...


The Gatekeeper:

The mystery of PG really starts with the Gatekeeper and his cryptic warning to Harry about "Black Magic" in Chicago.   Bob comes up with the interpretation that the Gatekeeper cannot give any more information because it will lead to paradoxeggedon - i.e. that even more black magic is potentially coming to Chicago and this warning is the best the Gatekeeper can do.

But when you think about it, other than Molly's mind-control stuff, is there any other Black Magic going on in Chicago?  What exactly is the Gatekeeper trying to prevent?  Initially, Harry thinks that the psychic mauling of Pell (the theater owner) is black magic, but this turns out to merely be a Fetch.  Somehow, this feels more "animalistic" to me rather than "evil".  Is the blackout that the Fetch induced any more "black magic" than the Myrk that the Hobs bring during SmF?

The other (and to me, more plausible) explanation is of course that the Gatekeeper is foreseeing Molly's greased (by the mind control she's already attempted) slide into black magic, and is getting Harry to prevent that.

Which leads me to my next point...

Black Council actions in PG:

Talk to anyone about BC activity in Proven Guilty and they'll immediately think about the attack on Arctis Tor.  It was swift, powerful, and it very clearly implied that there were forces at work that had their own agenda.  However, two things always bothered me:

1) The frontal assault

The BC is a group that has consistently worked from the shadows and through layers of cats-paws.  Why would they conduct a full-scale frontal assault on one of the most powerful creatures in the DV in her place of power (i.e. we've seen that Erlking thought he had a chance against her should she be summoned to his domain)?  Furthermore, we have the WoJ that any assault by the like of Namshiel would not only be defeated, but utterly crushed.  Sanya excepted, why would any intelligent creature (and nigh-immortals count, certainly once they are at least a century old) pursue such a futile course of action?  This smacks as either desperation (i.e. Harry), or temporary insanity (i.e. Harry).

I've seen the various theories that they had some hold or bargain over Mab, or that maybe this was a strike to remove the Athame from Mab's possession (heck, I made that one myself at some point), but then this never really explained why Harry needed to come to Arctis Tor - the real attack was already defeated.

2) BC in Chicago:

Fact is, we have circumstantial evidence of Black Council activity in Chicago during PG:

- Madrigal is a known cats-paw for the BC.  Someone invited him over a year before the convention started.  Speculation is that he covering for **something**

- Sandra Marlin is the one who gets Molly thinking about using magical fear to stop a drug addiction.  She also used to work at a homeless shelter (Marva warning bells here).  If we believe the RPG as cannon, she also disappeared shortly after the events of PG.

---------------->

The Theory
The answer struck me that the whole PG story might just have been an attempt to "turn" Molly.

Consider that:

- We've already seen that the general BC mode of operation is to give powerful-but-dangerous black magic tools to various people and let them run loose: 

- Victor Sells
- Hexunwulf FBI
- Kravos

...you might also include the Athame, the device from Love Hurts, and possibly even the Word of Kemmler itself.

Now we have Molly, who unlike Victor Sells, actually has the power to make the White Council, and she's rebellious enough to be touched by darkness.  All one needs to do is to nudge her in the right direction and give her a bit a of power and she could make a scary diversion from whatever you're trying to actually accomplish.  For extra points:

- If Marva is on the BC, corrupting the daughter of the guy who "killed your children" is certainly a bonus.
- If you are a Denarian (Namshiel?), then getting the magically-powered daughter of a Knight to take up a coin is certainly a bonus.
- Maybe Molly is special (I'll speculate more about this at the end)

As a last thought, consider the following:

If Harry hadn't stepped in and taken Molly to her parents, she would have gone with Nelson to greet "Darby Crane".  Given who he really is and Molly's looks, don't you think he would have tried (and probably succeeded) to "shake hands" with her?  If he did shake hands, isn't it a reasonable assumption that he would have realized her potential, given his ability to feed on fear and Molly's recent fear-inducing magic?

Enter Mab:
Mab sees the BC trying to turn Molly and she decides to intervene.  The actual reason for intervention doesn't quite matter:

- Perhaps it's retaliation for infecting Lea with the Athame.
- Perhaps she sees a them as threat to her Accords.
- Maybe it's some sort of Intellectus.
- or perhaps Molly is special.

In any case, her intervention is to send in the Fetches to kidnap Molly.  From Mab's point of view, this makes perfect sense.  It messes up the goal of the BC plans (i.e. recruiting Molly), it puts a blinding spotlight (Wizards/mortal authorities/etc) on BC operations, and has potential for just the type of mayhem that Mab can later take advantage of.

And that is the neat part of it.  Harry is not the only person in the dark about what is really going on.  The BC operatives are also not sure who is summoning the Fetches (remember that Harry also initially dismisses the thought that the fetches are actually being sent).  Glau and the rest of the operatives (maybe Marva/Namshiel) are not sure what is going on, except that the fetches (on their own) have kidnapped their target and taken her to Winter.

So they mount an attempt to take Molly back from the fetches wherever they may have stashed her.  Lucky them, Mab happens to have put the entirety of her forces on her border (and doesn't even appear to be home).  "This snatch-and-grab is so elegant in its simplicity it cannot fail"...     ;D ;D ;D

Mab thus succeeds in bringing a portion of the BC into the open, and bringing the smack-hammer down on them (though apparently Namshiel managed to get away).

Now, to complete her victory, she only needs to get Harry to come and claim Molly so that he can stop her from turning to the dark side, and then she can call her army back from the border and stomp on the Reds in concert with Summer.  So why does she let Harry battle it out with Scarecrow?

1) Scarecrow is not that important to her that she wouldn't risk him in an attempt to gain something.
2) Maybe Molly is not that important, so she doesn't care if Molly dies (think Hobs from SmF).
3) Harry had the means to kill Scarecrow (the butterfly).  Mab was *right there* - I'm sure she considered the possibility (Lily certainly did).
4) Harry battle with the Scarecrow was a situation where Mab had absolute control.  I'm sure she could have stopped Scarecrow from killing Harry if she needed to.  It was a perfect opportunity to see if Harry would take the mantle of Winter Knight under external pressure.

Perfect solution, except for one thing....
Harry accidentally blows up the wellspring of Winter during the fight - wounding Mab (that's right, Harry wounded Mab, not the Hellfire attack), and calling back the hosts of Winter.

Oops...

Now, re-read this WoJ with my theory in mind:

Quote
Yeah.  It sure looks that way from here, don't it. Smiley

But to correct some minor stuff:  the fetches aren't even /close/ to her strongest servitors.  They're her couriers, harassers, spies and occasional assassins.  Captain Kudzu was a being that was deemed more-or-less sufficient on the badassometer, but nothing to write home about.  The fetches main use, to Mab, isn't as battlefield thugs.  She's got /plenty/ of other things for that.  Another mild correction:  who says Mab /lost/ the battle at Arctis Tor, before Harry and Company arrived?  At the end of the day, the Winter Queen was still in her fortress--but you didn't see anyone standing around assaulting the place, did ya. Smiley  Also, it has probably occurred to more than one of you that if Mab was /really/ in trouble, she could have had the entire military might of Faerie back at the fortress in moments--exactly the way they *did* come back when Harry smacked the Winter Well with the fires of Summer.

(Which goes to show that while Mab may be canny to an inhuman degree, she isn't infallible.  Just way closer to infallible than us.)


See above regarding "the question is *why*?"

Ask yourself why Mab had Molly brought in.  What chain of events did that set in motion?  What secondary effects came about because of it? 

P.S.
I bold-faced the part that I think implies that Harry's "pour Summer Fire into Winter's heart" was not by design.

....
Darn Tootin' it works!!


And finally:
Some speculation about the importance of Molly:

I'll leave the really crazy theories to the "quacks", but I think we have some evidence that Molly is important.

- Lea attempts to bargain with Michael for Molly in PG.
- Father Forthill's "hunch" at the end of PG -> it implies that the WG wanted Harry to teach Molly.
- The fact that there was a BC operation targeting her.

Here's my final thought:
- We know that Harry is an "outsiderbane".
- We have the WoJ that he's not that unique and that there are others.

What if all it takes to make an outsiderbane is a Mother who is a Wizard and a Father who is a "Good Man"?
- It makes sense from a wizard+cleric dnd point of view
- That would certainly make Harry an outsiderbane (it's certainly explains why people keep telling Harry "Your father was a good man")
- It would make Molly an outsiderbane, and therefore doubly attractive as a BC recruit...
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Shecky on June 27, 2011, 05:58:42 PM
I still think that what we're looking at as a "frontal assault" was a rope-a-dope.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: contraducktory on June 27, 2011, 06:32:32 PM
It may not have been a rope-a-dope, totally.  Could be that Mab was trying to manipulate Harry into being there when the BC attacked, but he was a bit slow on the uptick to get there in time.  Either way, Harry knows the nickleheads were involved in attacking her.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: wildone654 on June 27, 2011, 06:32:42 PM
Here's something that bothers me about the BC attack on Arctis.  The BC must have known that the only thing keeping the Summer court from helping the council against the vamps was that winter was on summers borders.  So why would they attack Arctis and risk winter pulling back to defend its own territory, thus leaving Summer open to help the Council just as it did when harry 'attacked' Arctis?  

Also I think we can all agree that whatever the BC is, they aren't stupid.  What did they think they could possibly gain from this attack?  They must have known going in that they where unlikely to significantly hurt winter or get to Mab.  As per WOJ you can infere that although Mab is pissed about the attack, she didn't think it was all that big a threat as she didn't call for help.


OOOh now I just had another idea.  if Mab did call for help, harry would have had zero chance of breaking in to get Molly.  So maybe Mab would have called in some bigger guns during the fight if it wasn't for the fact that she wanted Harry to come to Molly's rescue (for some reason).  So what if some how the BC KNEW that Mab wouldn't pull her forces off the border, because she needed Harry to be able to get to Molly, so instead she did the whole ' I'll just freeze myself, haha you can't get me' thing and let her normal contingency of guards to beat on.  Maybe thats why Mab is soooo pissed, because for a brief moment her own plans made her vulnerable and the BC was able to act on it... to do... something.... still not sure what they where after.

This could also explain why Mab had most of her muscle on the border to begin with, she needed them away from her center of power or Harry wouldn't have stood a chance.  They did say more then once that what Mab was doing threatening Summer at a time like this didn't make much sense, even for her.  I don't buy into the whole "her knight was off the field" thing cause she could have gotten a knew one at any time.  I think she just needed her Army occupied doing something else right then...  Yeah, I like that idea.  
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: knnn on June 27, 2011, 06:36:08 PM
It may not have been a rope-a-dope, totally.  Could be that Mab was trying to manipulate Harry into being there when the BC attacked, but he was a bit slow on the uptick to get there in time.  Either way, Harry knows the nickleheads were involved in attacking her.

My whole point is that **it was never supposed to be an attack on AT**.   they were just trying to get Molly back from the Fetches.  Then all of a sudden Mab springs her trap...
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Phariah on June 27, 2011, 07:07:02 PM
i very much like it Knnn. well done.

also maybe there was a test for Mauve in there at the end. Mab knows Mauve and Lilly worked together to save the WCouncil and take some vengeance on the RC for the Summer Court? she is happy to see Mauve start to think and take some type of mature actions. also Summer is part of the Accords so this allows them to settle the score and Mab allowed it to happen.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: BillTheB on June 27, 2011, 07:26:59 PM
I think this theory has legs.

Another train of thought on this is that if Harry didn't save Molly it is likely the WG would have had Michael in Chicago not in a position to help the WC.  Would also probably mean Michael couldn't help Harry on Demonreach.  I think there were some communications between Uriel and the Gate Keeper. 

I am not sure there is a black council so much as some angry entities that are looking to take their places back.  Dragons, Black Court, elder gods, etc.  I think that I should probably look over the guest list at Bianca's again as I think there were some serious bad guys in attendance.  I don't think Bianca was really much of a player but I think she was one of their pawns.  I would guess that the White King was among the alliance of evil until Harry defanged him.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: TheCulinaryWizard on June 27, 2011, 07:27:19 PM
Here's something that bothers me about the BC attack on Arctis.  The BC must have known that the only thing keeping the Summer court from helping the council against the vamps was that winter was on summers borders.  So why would they attack Arctis and risk winter pulling back to defend its own territory, thus leaving Summer open to help the Council just as it did when harry 'attacked' Arctis?

This assumes that the BC wanted the red court to win and not for the war to be a distraction for both parties involved. An alternate, albiet unlikely, scenario is the BC attacked Arctis Tor to force mab to call reinforcements giving summer the chance to strike the red court.  In this theory the red court is doing too well and the BC needs the White Council to survive their current crisis.(Eb states how bad things are for them atm at the beginning of PG).   Unlikely I know but its fun to propse off the wall theories.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: TheWinterEmissary on June 27, 2011, 09:36:59 PM
Interesting theory. 

As far as Mab goes, my take is that she was not free to retaliate against the Red Court for their incursion, but that she wanted to, and that she set up and/or used a lot of the events here so that everything would happen exactly as it did.  My hypothesis is that she was in an alliance with someone, or made a bargain with something, or had to agree to not retaliate against the RC.  And technically she didn't.  But I think that she wanted to, and had to figure out a plausible workaround that would allow the RC to be punished. 

What happens accomplished exactly that.  Remember that Lily was a big factor in things going down as they did, but Lily was the youngest and least experienced of the Queens and Harry remarked that when she was human she wasn't known for her intelligence.  My guess is that her alliance with Maeve was sanctioned (and maybe even ordered) by Mab.  Neither Mab nor her forces ever actually retaliated against the RC (which would have held to the letter of whatever deal that she had made), but by allowing the attack at AT, and allowing Harry to use the Summer Fire, then she assured that her forces were pulled from the borders and that Summer was free to attack the RC.  No one can argue with her forces being pulled away for an attack of such seriousness. 

Mab made it very clear in Small Favor that anyone who trespassed against her was going to regret it.  I believe that all of this was an elaborate ploy, but a necessary one to ensure that the RC didn't go unpunished.  If I'm right, the question is who Mab is allied with, has made a bargain with, or holds enough power to make such machinations necessary.  For that, I am not sure, though I wouldn't be surprised if it wasn't BC related. 
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: cmprostreet on June 28, 2011, 03:02:34 AM
First, I like the theory, Knnn.

Second, In my pre-GS backwards order re-read, I'm in the middle of PG now.  I've piled up a bunch of questions already, and this seems like a good place to dump some of them (some may have obvious answers, my memory of PG is always hazy since I still don't know what the big picture is.


I might have to re-read this one twice this time.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Don on June 28, 2011, 03:17:07 AM
Interesting...
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Serack on June 30, 2011, 02:34:14 AM
First, I've gotta say that this is an awesome theory.  You did a great job of laying out the evidence, and coming up with a new and innovative way of explaining what's going on in the background.  Bravo.

Now as to your speculation at the end, I have a few holes to poke.  I think they are patchable, I just have to point some things out.

Some speculation about the importance of Molly:

I'll leave the really crazy theories to the "quacks", but I think we have some evidence that Molly is important.

- Lea attempts to bargain with Michael for Molly in PG.
- Father Forthill's "hunch" at the end of PG -> it implies that the WG wanted Harry to teach Molly.
- The fact that there was a BC operation targeting her.

Here's my final thought:
- We know that Harry is an "outsiderbane".
- We have the WoJ that he's not that unique and that there are others.

What if all it takes to make an outsiderbane is a Mother who is a Wizard and a Father who is a "Good Man"?
- It makes sense from a wizard+cleric dnd point of view
- That would certainly make Harry an outsiderbane (it's certainly explains why people keep telling Harry "Your father was a good man")
- It would make Molly an outsiderbane, and therefore doubly attractive as a BC recruit...

Leme quote what we have on this WoJ (directly from the forum member that asked the question of Jim, emphasis added)

…I asked him the question :)
The full question was if he had stated in the past, during an interview, that Elaine also was a candidate to have the potential to wield power over Outsiders.  His longer answer was yes, he had said that before, that Harry and Elaine are just a few months apart age wise so for all intensive purposes the same age.  He then told me that was one of the reasons that Justin had picked both of them to adopt, it wasn't just random kids with power.  The key word in my question and his answer was potential.

We don't know that there are others, just that there is potential for others.  (not a big deal)

However, I interpret this WoJ to mean that timing was a part of the "complex confluence of events, of energies, of circumstances that would have given a child born under them the potential to wield power over Outsiders." (WK ch.41)  This doesn't mean that Molly doesn't also have potential to be an outsider bane, just that I'm pretty sure you didn't cover "all it takes"

I'ma gonna hafta archive this one.

Edit:  P.S.  somewhere in the cobwebs, I'm trying to find how all this pertains to any significance in Summers actions in PG, as well as Mab's odd actions that interacted with Summer.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: knnn on June 30, 2011, 11:19:22 AM
First, I've gotta say that this is an awesome theory.  You did a great job of laying out the evidence, and coming up with a new and innovative way of explaining what's going on in the background.  Bravo.

Now as to your speculation at the end, I have a few holes to poke.  I think they are patchable, I just have to point some things out.

Leme quote what we have on this WoJ (directly from the forum member that asked the question of Jim, emphasis added)

Thanks Serack.  Coming from you, that is a great compliment.

I was actually looking for that specific WoJ you quoted, as I wanted to see if it helps my case in any way. 
As you pointed out, it doesn't. :P

Isn't there another, more general WoJ saying something like "there are other potential Outsiderbane candidates" floating around somewhere? 

Or, I can always revise my theory to be "Molly is special because she is Mab"...  ;)
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Serack on June 30, 2011, 11:36:43 AM
Thanks Serack.  Coming from you, that is a great compliment.

I was actually looking for that specific WoJ you quoted, as I wanted to see if it helps my case in any way.  
As you pointed out, it doesn't. :P

Isn't there another, more general WoJ saying something like "there are other potential Outsiderbane candidates" floating around somewhere?  

Or, I can always revise my theory to be "Molly is special because she is Mab"...  ;)

Occasionally, I just post the releavant WoJ's in a reply and maybe leave some comments on how they support or poke holes in someone's ideas.  This time around you had done such a great job of supporting stuff yourself that the only thing I could do was poke a few holes in the very last bit, and I wasn't going to do that without first acknoledging how much I liked the rest.

Sometimes I go back and read my responses and think along the lines of, "Maybe I should have been more constructive there" rather than just doing driveby WoJ and text quote dropping.

Edit:  As to your question about outsiderbane canidates, as laura118b's quoted post indicates there is an old WoJ that is lost in the ether somewhere that pertains to outsiderbanes.  I've only seen it referenced as "something I remember hearing about," so I can't say if it addresses your question.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Serack on June 30, 2011, 11:49:38 AM
I'm on page 246 of 404 in DB for my pre GS reread of the series.  I'm glad you posted this when you did so that I can litmus it during my reread of PG.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Cruness on June 30, 2011, 01:15:32 PM

Perfect solution, except for one thing....
Harry accidentally blows up the wellspring of Winter during the fight - wounding Mab (that's right, Harry wounded Mab, not the Hellfire attack), and calling back the hosts of Winter.


I think you are dead on here. Harry wounded Mab, and I think that this is what Jim meant when he said the Mab never really figures Harry quite right.

The rest of your theory is well supported, I'll buy it, as the best explaination I have seen thus far.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Piotr1600 on June 30, 2011, 03:29:17 PM
Wow - why didn't I see this earlier?
This is awesome-good theoretical work knnn!


To throw a little more fuel on, consider this...
If we extend that future vision just a little bit, it makes more sense to me that Raschid would be more concerned with saving massive quantities of WC casualties/fatalities than he would be concerned about one still very minor warlockette.

By moving the pieces just so, he* arranged for Michael to accompany a whole lot of WC personnel thru the NN back to Chicago - thus preventing the RCV+ Outsider ambush from becoming a rout & a slaughter. 
In PG, Eb himself seems to think that the RCVs combined with the outsiders they encountered would have been much more deadly without a KOC there to deal with 'tentacles and things'.

While I'm certain (from his actions / word choice) that Raschid was offended by what the Merlin was intent on doing to Molly,  IMO the real goal was probably to save all those young wardens - and the experienced wizards accompanying them. It was also an effective action against outsiders, which is admittedly something that Raschid has a professional interest in... :)

So, I'm positing that the Gatekeeper was warning Harry about black magic as part of a goal to save WC lives AND act against outsiders. Saving Molly may have been just a nice bonus... 

It is a case of wheels within wheels...



*As food for thought: Were two seemingly unrelated plans (Mab and Gatekeeper) that just happened to wind up supporting each other quite well a mere coincidence?
It is possible I suppose, but if there is some kind of communications channel between the Gatekeeper and Mab (which I have suspected at least somewhat since the Gatekeeper turned up with that chunk of stone table AND when Mab recognized his anti-Fae eye-unguent) then I think it hangs together somewhat better...

Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Serack on June 30, 2011, 03:41:55 PM
Wow - why didn't I see this earlier?
This is awesome-good theoretical work knnn!


To throw a little more fuel on, consider this...
If we extend that future vision just a little bit, it makes more sense to me that Raschid would be more concerned with saving massive quantities of WC casualties/fatalities than he would be concerned about one still very minor warlockette.

By moving the pieces just so, he* arranged for Michael to accompany a whole lot of WC personnel thru the NN back to Chicago - thus preventing the RCV+ Outsider ambush from becoming a rout & a slaughter. 
In PG, Eb himself seems to think that the RCVs combined with the outsiders they encountered would have been much more deadly without a KOC there to deal with 'tentacles and things'.

While I'm certain (from his actions / word choice) that Raschid was offended by what the Merlin was intent on doing to Molly,  IMO the real goal was probably to save all those young wardens - and the experienced wizards accompanying them. It was also an effective action against outsiders, which is admittedly something that Raschid has a professional interest in... :)

So, I'm positing that the Gatekeeper was warning Harry about black magic as part of a goal to save WC lives AND act against outsiders. Saving Molly may have been just a nice bonus... 

It is a case of wheels within wheels...



*As food for thought: Were two seemingly unrelated plans (Mab and Gatekeeper) that just happened to wind up supporting each other quite well a mere coincidence?
It is possible I suppose, but if there is some kind of communications channel between the Gatekeeper and Mab (which I have suspected at least somewhat since the Gatekeeper turned up with that chunk of stone table AND when Mab recognized his anti-Fae eye-unguent) then I think it hangs together somewhat better...

I'll have a lot more to say within the week, but there's another dimension here for the "communications channel" in that I'm pretty sure that Michael was already leaving Chicago on a calling before Harry even spoke with him after getting the Gatekeeper's message.  Implying that someone on that side of things had a toe in the mud too.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: knnn on June 30, 2011, 04:00:55 PM
*As food for thought: Were two seemingly unrelated plans (Mab and Gatekeeper) that just happened to wind up supporting each other quite well a mere coincidence?
It is possible I suppose, but if there is some kind of communications channel between the Gatekeeper and Mab (which I have suspected at least somewhat since the Gatekeeper turned up with that chunk of stone table AND when Mab recognized his anti-Fae eye-unguent) then I think it hangs together somewhat better...

Ooh, good catch!  The Gatekeeper-Mab connection is something I usually keep in the back of my mind, but totally missed in connection with this theory.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: knnn on June 30, 2011, 04:07:55 PM
I'll have a lot more to say within the week, but there's another dimension here for the "communications channel" in that I'm pretty sure that Michael was already leaving Chicago on a calling before Harry even spoke with him after getting the Gatekeeper's message.  Implying that someone on that side of things had a toe in the mud too.

Other possible WG touches:
- The whole "Molly coincidentally interrupted me before I could disastrously use Little Chicago" seems very WG in flavor.
- Father Forthill's hunch at the end of PG ("You're being prepared for something").


Based on the thing you and Piotr have suggested, it sounds like nearly every major power in the DV had a hand in the events surrounding Molly's abduction.  This makes it *much* more plausible to me that "Molly is Special" is a valid theory.


P.S. Serack.
I'm interested in seeing what else you come up with after your re-read.  Let me know!
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: laura118b on June 30, 2011, 04:30:49 PM
On the surface, Molly does seem to match up with a few of the same things that happened with Harry.  Both of their mothers were rescued by good men, Charity from a Dragon and Maggie from Hell itself.  Both mothers turned away from their associates.  Now Charity put aside her magic, we don't have enough info to know if this was needed or something she just did because Michael had an archaic view of magic.  We also don't know enough about those two years where Maggie ran and stayed off the radar, I could see her not using her magic for two years right up until her death curse.  Add in that Lea has had more than a passing interest in both and the list starts getting even similar.

And there's enough years between Harry and Molly that the stars could have aligned once again, literal or figuratively.

If we find out more about Elaine's parents soon that would answer a lot of questions.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Serack on June 30, 2011, 05:14:24 PM
Other possible WG touches:
- The whole "Molly coincidentally interrupted me before I could disastrously use Little Chicago" seems very WG in flavor.
- Father Forthill's hunch at the end of PG ("You're being prepared for something").


Based on the thing you and Piotr have suggested, it sounds like nearly every major power in the DV had a hand in the events surrounding Molly's abduction.  This makes it *much* more plausible to me that "Molly is Special" is a valid theory.

I think it's possible that a large part of any special value Molly has is defined by her value to Harry, both as a means of catalizing his magical development, and as a resource later in the series/in the BAT.  However, this might be completely off, because dispite the narrowing of scope from the readers perspective caused by the 1st person character, Jim seems to have a broad view of the DV as it's creator.

But her end value might be that she's Harry's Robin.

P.S. Serack.
I'm interested in seeing what else you come up with after your re-read.  Let me know!

Oh, I intend to.  Sometimes I feel like I am better at bringing interesting details together than I am at interpeting what they mean though.  Which is why I highly value posts like this and so many of AcornArmy's posts.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: contraducktory on June 30, 2011, 05:27:49 PM
I think it's possible that a large part of any special value Molly has is defined by her value to Harry, both as a means of catalizing his magical development, and as a resource later in the series/in the BAT.

It could also be her association, (-1) to a dragon.  Charity had talent, Gregor was making deals with a dragon to gain more power.  It could be that there was an unknown, or heck maybe even Gregor she never says he died, that is playing around in the background.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Serack on June 30, 2011, 05:43:51 PM
It could also be her association, (-1) to a dragon.  Charity had talent, Gregor was making deals with a dragon to gain more power.  It could be that there was an unknown, or heck maybe even Gregor she never says he died, that is playing around in the background.

*scratches chin*  interesting... we know that at least one dragon will be involved in the BAT.  Maybe she will have power over dragons rather than outsiders?
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: poppyhead on June 30, 2011, 06:35:03 PM


brief pause while i post to remember this thread....

now back to your regularly scheduled theory-gasms.

:)poppyhead
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Piotr1600 on June 30, 2011, 06:50:21 PM
I'll have a lot more to say within the week, but there's another dimension here for the "communications channel" in that I'm pretty sure that Michael was already leaving Chicago on a calling before Harry even spoke with him after getting the Gatekeeper's message.  Implying that someone on that side of things had a toe in the mud too.
Maybe more than one toe. <LOL>
Michael out to do some WG-work is *available* to come back via the ways, and chop up outsiders & RCVs, and essentially prevent his daughter from getting the chop.

Because if things had progressed the way they were going, the *least* bad thing that would have happened wold have been to make Harry/Molly fugitives from the WC (assuming they could even get away somehow.)
And it goes downhill rather precipitously from there, in terms of "bad outcomes"... (Imagine the repercussions of Michael & Harry trying to save Molly via force. Ugly doesn't even begin to cover it...)

IMO, I think Molly has her critical part to play yet. Or perhaps she has *more* critical parts to play. She's already sort-of responsible for Harry becoming a much better mage as it is.
Just the re-examination of the basics of wizardry she forced him to make (to be a good teacher) has really increased his skill level already.


On the other side, if your base theory is true, then the odds that the Gatekeeper is a Black Hat of some kind go down quite considerably...
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: laura118b on June 30, 2011, 08:41:46 PM

brief pause while i post to remember this thread....

now back to your regularly scheduled theory-gasms.

:)poppyhead
Welcome to the boards, it's what we do :D
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: AcornArmy on July 06, 2011, 03:35:38 AM
When I think about the Arctis Tor stuff, I keep coming back to Jim's comment telling us to think about the primary and secondary effects of Molly's abduction, and also about Jim's hint that Mab never foresaw Harry throwing Summer Fire into Winter's Wellspring. The latter would indicate that drawing Winter's forces back from the border was never Mab's intention, so it was also never her intention to allow Summer to retaliate against the Red Court.

So, what would've been the effects that she did expect to happen? Until Harry sicced the fetches on Molly, he didn't even know she was the wizard who was acting as their beacon on the Earth side. Going back further, the fetch attacks were what ultimately caused Molly to bring Harry in in the first place. Just prior to that point, Harry was gearing up to use Little Chicago to hunt down the source of the black magic-- a broken Little Chicago, which would've fried Harry's mind like a 10 cent fuse in a thunderstorm.

Could Mab possibly have foreseen events clearly enough that she could send fetches ahead of time, have them maul a random guy in a bathroom just to set up Molly's boyfriend, and trigger Molly to call Harry just in time to prevent him from using Little Chicago and frying his little wizard brain?

We know that, as of Harry's conversation with Mab in Dead Beat, Lea was unable to come to the phone and Mab was taking her calls and responsibilities. We know that for Harry's entire life, Lea has followed him in the Nevernever, set up base across from wherever he was, and guarded him from attacks via the Nevernever. It's not much of a leap to guess that this would also have allowed Lea the opportunity to enter Harry's home from the Nevernever if she wished to do so.

We know that when Harry went to Arctis Tor, Lea was still detained, which would mean that Mab was still acting in Lea's stead. I think we have to assume that, in addition to Lea's other responsibilities, Mab was forced to take up guardianship of Harry's residence on the Nevernever side while Lea was absent. Mab would've been the one guarding Harry's home from Nevernever predators-- admittedly, with the aid of Lea's giant centipede and murderous tulips and such. Mab would've had perfect access to Harry's home, and maybe even a certain right to enter, given Lea's responsibilities toward him.

In short, Mab might have been able to foresee that Harry was about to use Little Chicago and get himself killed. She was under obligation to protect his spiritual self. It's unclear(to me, anyway) whether or not this would obligate her to protect him from blowing himself up with magic. What is clear is that Mab had personal reasons to want to see Harry protected, as evidenced by her refusal to get rid of Lloyd Slate until Harry was ready to take his place. So, Mab sends a fetch to mess up the orphan kid's life, Molly calls Harry just in time to prevent him from using Little Chicago, Harry heads out to meet Molly, and by wild coincidence he finds himself already on the trail of the black magic that the Gatekeeper sent him to hunt down. Eventually, Harry goes back home and grabs Bob, and while they're out Mab goes and fixes Little Chicago.

This theory might even explain the car that drove Harry off the road. It could've been one of Mab's servants, under orders to slow Harry down so that events would play out in the right sequence.

Still, as nice as all that is, it doesn't explain why Molly would've been abducted. The abduction actually forced Harry back to trying to use Little Chicago, which had by then been fixed. It also doesn't explain why the Scarecrow attacked Harry and Thomas outside of the Fool Moon warehouse. Unless the Scarecrow and the abduction were a distraction, maybe? Something to keep Harry's mind off of Madrigal Raith and what he was doing in Chicago? But no need to bring Molly all the way to Arctis Tor, unless Mab wanted Harry to see what had happened there. The bones of an army of trolls and the smell of Hellfire.

Maybe Mab was accomplishing multiple small goals all at once, and Harry ended up throwing something unexpected into the mix when he sent the Fire into the Wellspring.

Which still doesn't tell us why Sandra whatshername would have manipulated Molly into using black magic, or what Madrigal was supposed to do in Chicago. Although, given the common factor that both parties involved were using magic to instill fear, maybe the two were connected. I have no idea how they might've been connected, I'm just taking a wild guess here.

On the other hand, why would Mab have gone to all that trouble rather than just popping over and fixing Little Chicago at the start of the whole mess? I dunno. Maybe she didn't want to be seen by Bob, or maybe she saw an opportunity to accomplish other goals at the same time, or...? Anyway, it's just a theory.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Agravaine on July 06, 2011, 05:11:27 AM
Really interesting lines of thought here.  I think that Gatekeeper's warning ends up saving Molly, saving Harry, saving Michael and saving the White Council (again). 

Let's focus on Molly Primary Effects first:

Molly's abduction: (1) removes her from Chicago and sends her to Winter -- where time flows differently (and as controlled by the Winter Queens); (2) her fear is fed upon and essentially drained.  In other words, Molly is made more open to turning herself in (lower fear) AND her trial is delayed. 

Secondary Effects:

(A) Harry is forced to mentor Molly.
(B) The White Council fails to execute Molly
(C) Michael saves the White Council from being crushed. 
(D) Karrin Murphy's police career begins its multi-book slide into the trash-heap and her new career in knighting opens.
(E) Lasciel's Shadow later witnesses the example of Molly "defying her nature." 

The White God wins on every front.

Now let's focus on the BC:

(A)  BC is making a play for Molly.  Molly is encouraged by her "friend" to consider using fear as a motivation to avoid drug abuse.  The seed is planted in Molly to use black magic "to do good." 
(B)  BC realizes that any Black Magic in the US -- particularly on the doorstep of a warden -- is going to be detected.  Therefore a fall-guy is needed.  So that the WC won't realize that Molly is behind it. 
(C)  Madrigal Raith is set up to be that fall-guy.   
(D)  Suborned Fetches abduct Molly and notably kill the Djinn/Lawyer cutting any link between the BC and Madrigal Raith. 
(E)  Fetches bring Molly to Arctis Tor -- which has been recently assaulted by the BC. 

So the questions we are left with are (1) why attack Arctis Tor at all; (2) why bring Molly to Arctis Tor after the unsuccessful assault. 

As to why attack Arctis Tor, clearly it was not truly an attack on Mab.  Attacking a being of that kind of power -- in her place of power, surrounded by her retainers -- is not a winning strategy.  Therefore, it was not an attack on Mab, but something else -- a diversion .... or a RESCUE!

Yes, the BC and Harry were both mounting rescue operations in Arctis Tor.  The BC was attempting to free Lea before she was properly chilled out by Mab, failed and was beaten off.  (Ironically, Harry and Thomas almost free Lea).  This leaves several possibilities for why Molly was even at Arctis Tor.  Either, the BC decided that Harry might free Lea if brought to Arctis Tor in the right mindset or Scarecrow expected the assault to be ongoing and that Molly had some kind of role to play. 
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: MegaPuff75 on July 06, 2011, 07:08:42 AM
Agravaine you are assuming that the assault failed in its goals, but the only bodies Harry & co. find are those of trolls so apparently no one from the assault team died, if no one died in the attempt it makes no sense to withdraw before completing your goal, I think the most likely reason for the attack was as a jail break.
By moving the pieces just so, he* arranged for Michael to accompany a whole lot of WC personnel thru the NN back to Chicago - thus preventing the RCV+ Outsider ambush from becoming a rout & a slaughter. 
In PG, Eb himself seems to think that the RCVs combined with the outsiders they encountered would have been much more deadly without a KOC there to deal with 'tentacles and things'.

While I'm certain (from his actions / word choice) that Raschid was offended by what the Merlin was intent on doing to Molly,  IMO the real goal was probably to save all those young wardens - and the experienced wizards accompanying them. It was also an effective action against outsiders, which is admittedly something that Raschid has a professional interest in... :)

So, I'm positing that the Gatekeeper was warning Harry about black magic as part of a goal to save WC lives AND act against outsiders. Saving Molly may have been just a nice bonus... 
This seems to fit with Bob's explanation of sending messages back in time, The Gatekeeper couldn't tell Harry what he needed to know to save the WC but he could tell Harry what he needed to know to save molly and as a side effect save the WC.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: DominicJ on July 06, 2011, 07:44:23 AM
What if it wasnt an attack, it was a recue?
Lea was still encased in ice at the time wasnt she?

Winter forces were at the border, leaving Arctis Tor mostly undefended.

Mabs powerful but I really struggle to believe shes click my fingers and armies die powerful, we did see her at war once remember....
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Grey Knight on July 06, 2011, 07:53:21 AM
Agravaine you are assuming that the assault failed in its goals, but the only bodies Harry & co. find are those of trolls so apparently no one from the assault team died, if no one died in the attempt it makes no sense to withdraw before completing your goal, I think the most likely reason for the attack was as a jail break..

Yes, but do you really think Mab couldn't dispose of any bodies she wanted to?


What if it wasnt an attack, it was a recue?
Lea was still encased in ice at the time wasnt she?

Winter forces were at the border, leaving Arctis Tor mostly undefended.

Mabs powerful but I really struggle to believe shes click my fingers and armies die powerful, we did see her at war once remember....


We have seen her against Summer, with her exact equal Titania countering everything she did.  The Queens balance each other, and The war between the Fae court really boils down to the small pieces. (like Toot in SK :))
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Dresdenus Prime on July 06, 2011, 04:00:49 PM
Being a huge Molly fan Knnn I love this topic. And Proven Guilty is my favorite of the series. I'm going to have to read it again keeping in mind all the great points you made. 8)
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: AcornArmy on July 07, 2011, 05:45:44 AM
Apologies for my previous post, I do think the OP had some good ideas about Molly being the focus of whatever was originally going on at SplatterCon!!! Someone did seem to be interested in Molly, specifically, since she seems to have been led to the decision to use neuromancy on her friends. The addition of Madrigal, a known associate of Vitto Malvora/Cowl/the Black Council, would seem to indicate their involvement. Whether or not Molly was chosen because of an inherent specialness, or simply because she was a new wizard with ties to Michael and Harry, though, I don't think we can be sure yet.

I got sidetracked earlier because I started trying to trace Molly's involvement in the PG mess, and then I suddenly realized that, after Changes, it was finally possible to make a guess about who fixed Little Chicago and have some confidence that the guess was correct.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: kazimmoinuddin on July 07, 2011, 11:52:43 PM
so vitto and the jann, are pawns of the BC, also the woman who spoke to molly about fear was one too. she might have even influenced molly into casting such magic. there are theories she was a plant.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Jersey on July 09, 2011, 03:20:43 PM
I think this is all about Lea myself.

1) There was a special connection between Maggie Sr and Lea. Then Maggie Sr dies leaving Lea to play godmother to Harry.

2) I've had a theory that Harry's father was a retired Knight of the Cross. A stage magician would be an excellent cover for a retired Knight considering the church's views on magic. It would help to conceal him from both supernatural predators ad the church itself.

This makes Harry the son of a Knight and a wizard.

Lea assists Harry in overcoming Justin. But her bargain is for his life and he skips out on it. Then proceeds to keep as much distance from Lea as he can.

Fast forward to the party at Bianca's. Lea attempts to make a deal with Michael for Molly (the daughter of a Knight and a wizard). Obviously he says no. But she keeps her eyes on the situation and takes the opportunity to place one of her own agents (the SplatterCon coordinator) close to Molly at the shelter where she sometimes lives and helps out.

Forward again to Proven Guilty where Molly is recently come into her powers. The coordinator makes some suggestions to Molly giving her the idea to use her powers to help her friends with addiction. Probably the same ploy Lea used on Maggie Sr when she was a young girl. Appealing to her idealist nature about the role of the WC.

So now we sum up. Lea has appeared to Maggie Sr, Harry, and Molly (but not Elaine who sought refuge with the SUMMER court). She has influenced or attempted to influence each of them at about the same time in their lives. And along the way the BC gives her the athame. All of this to further her attempt to overthrow Mab.

But Mab has growing doubts about her top lieutenant and she sends the fetches to take Molly. So now Lea leads the attack on Arctis Tor to try an seize Molly for her own. And all the dead winter monsters were ones she had persuaded to join her in overthrowing Mab. Mab kicks all their a##$%. Then she confronts Lea, takes the athame, and freezes her in ice. Now Harry shows up and Mab conceals herself and watches Harry take back Molly. Mab wins.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: itari on July 09, 2011, 03:31:33 PM
2) I've had a theory that Harry's father was a retired Knight of the Cross. A stage magician would be an excellent cover for a retired Knight considering the church's views on magic. It would help to conceal him from both supernatural predators ad the church itself.
Couldn't Malcolm be a vanilla mortal, and just a decent person who had to take care of his talented son?

But Mab has growing doubts about her top lieutenant and she sends the fetches to take Molly. So now Lea leads the attack on Arctis Tor to try an seize Molly for her own.
Lea was already unavailable in DB, sorry.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on July 10, 2011, 02:33:06 AM
But when you think about it, other than Molly's mind-control stuff, is there any other Black Magic going on in Chicago?  What exactly is the Gatekeeper trying to prevent?

I'm inclined to read what the Gatekeeper is trying to prevent is not Molly's fall because Molly is important, but the likely consequences for Harry's relationship to the Council if they execute Molly; that would fit with his explicitly warning Harry on that matter in TC. Dead Molly could easily mean berserk Harry having to be put down by Eb or Morgan, for example.

Quote
I've seen the various theories that they had some hold or bargain over Mab, or that maybe this was a strike to remove the Athame from Mab's possession (heck, I made that one myself at some point), but then this never really explained why Harry needed to come to Arctis Tor - the real attack was already defeated.

For completeness' sake, if we're summing up the options, I'd like to throw in another hypothesis:

The real "attack" on Winter is via the means of the athame, warping Mab and Lea, and possibly also via the means of Lea being required to make bargains that are not for Winter's good (like swapping the athame for Amoracchius in the first place).  The Scarecrow a) has power entirely outside the nature of any of the other Fetches, which Harry identifies at the end of PG as "Black Council" modus operandi and b) has Harry's power fade out when it somes to near, in ways much more similar to Lord Raith's Outsider-backed immunity in BR than to just being too strong for it (cf. Ursiel in DM, "Grum" in SK).  This leads me to suspect the Scarecrow is an Outsider-plus-allies agent who has the run of Arctis Tor.

The frontal assault by some Denarian - supposedly Namshiel though Mab avoids confirming this directly and makes great effort to distract Harry when he suggests it - is a rescue mission.  The whole point is to blow away enough goblins and trolls that Harry and company have a hope of getting into Arctis Tor.  

Mab's reason for going to such lengths to keep Harry in the dark about this ? Is that if he realised he could claim it as one of the favours he owes her paid.

Quote
- Madrigal is a known cats-paw for the BC.  Someone invited him over a year before the convention started.  Speculation is that he covering for **something**

Harry seems pretty clear that Madrigal is there as a distraction; a known fear-feeder to distract his attention from what the real phobophages are up to.  We know that Lucius the Jann actually arranged that invitation for Madrigal, and I find the Scarecrow making a point of killing the unconscious Lucius rather than taking the advantage of surprise rather than using the advantage of surprise against any of its more dangerous foes also indicative of the Scarecrow's motivations.

Also, I'd say that technically we know Madrigal has links to the Circle alluded to in WN; whether this is the Circle alluded to in Changes, or the "Black Council". is entirely unproven.

Quote
that the general BC mode of operation is to give powerful-but-dangerous black magic tools to various people and let them run loose:  
- Victor Sells
- Hexunwulf FBI
- Kravos

I think it's arguable whether any of those is let run loose at all, rather than attempts to lure Harry into something specific and totally different.  Indeed, the deeper purpose for which Kravos is used is pretty solidly established in the text of GP.  

Quote
1) Scarecrow is not that important to her that she wouldn't risk him in an attempt to gain something.

That seems a kind of weaker motivation than "Getting rid of Scarecrow is important to her." I am not seeing why Mab would need to hide in disguise and do nothing unless Harry's actions there are both important and things she can't do directly.  Mab does not strike me as someone who rolls dice.

Quote
Harry accidentally blows up the wellspring of Winter during the fight - wounding Mab (that's right, Harry wounded Mab, not the Hellfire attack), and calling back the hosts of Winter.
Oops...

I don't find that plausible because the results of it so very neatly punish the Reds for a transgression against Winter (and not Summer) in DB.

Quote
I bold-faced the part that I think implies that Harry's "pour Summer Fire into Winter's heart" was not by design.

I can see how you might read that that way, but to my mind that also works for a reading that being rid of the Scarecrow is what Mab needs Harry there for and trashing the Reds is a side-effect, though a very useful one.

Quote
- Lea attempts to bargain with Michael for Molly in PG.

Faerie wanting people's firstborn is a traditional bargaining chip, and Maeve asks for Harry's in SK, so I do not read this as likely very significant.

Quote
- Father Forthill's "hunch" at the end of PG -> it implies that the WG wanted Harry to teach Molly.

But remember that at the start of SmF Michael explicitly says that if he does not know who's behind what appears to him to be random good luck he will thank the WG for it.  Michael, and to my mind Forthill as well, are philosophically inclined to credit any good they get to the WG, no matter who is actually behind it.  (Some small part of me wants one day to see one of them misattribute something to the WG that is a beneficial act of, say, Odin, and then have them called before Odin to answer for that insult.  But then I'm mean that way.)
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on July 10, 2011, 02:42:57 AM
Oh, and one other thing:

Harry accidentally blows up the wellspring of Winter during the fight - wounding Mab (that's right, Harry wounded Mab, not the Hellfire attack)

To make that work requires one to see Mab's reaction to Kemmler's name in DB as something inherent to her psychology rather than the first sign of her wounding. I find the notion of Mab actually being scared enough of a mortal to lose her composure very much out of character.

I favour the notion that Mab and Lea both are wounded by the means of the athame.  Your notion here requires some other explanation to be found for the damage done to Lea as visible in PG, and as starting to affect her at some time prior to DB.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on July 10, 2011, 02:49:20 AM
Yes, but do you really think Mab couldn't dispose of any bodies she wanted to?

The question would then, be, why would she not want to dispose of the trolls and goblins ?

Quote
We have seen her against Summer, with her exact equal Titania countering everything she did.  The Queens balance each other, and The war between the Fae court really boils down to the small pieces. (like Toot in SK :))

Every single time we do, the end result benefits both Courts. the war between the Faerie Courts seems to me to be an unfortunate consequence of their nature that in practice the Queens put most of their efforts into working around.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: co99p on July 10, 2011, 03:20:02 AM
Wonderful OP and equally fun feedback and counterpoint - definitly worth staying up past my bed time  :)


One thought on the motives for the Black Council - Why would they Not want to see the Red Court taken down a peg or two?
Nic thought they were a nuisance and a danger to his plans - even if the BC and RC were working together the RC had been, up to that point, having extrordinary success, and likely causing them to flex their muscles in any arrangement with the BC "who needs you / time to renegotiate the partnership"  a sound defeat would weaken them, and restore some of the BC's leverage.
 
The original strike on Arctis Tor probably had multiple potential benefits, as have been listed in prior posts. Drawing the forces of Winter back to ArcT was could have been just one of them. 

I suppose its also possible that the BC wasn't behind the attack and there is another group moving behind the scenes, though I really don't like mutilplying bad guys, the conspiracy theories are hard enough to keep track of!

Mab's behavior - I think its the nature of the Sidhe, especially the powerful ones, to plan long range and every act is working on 7 or 8 levels at the same time.  Mab's wink ? If she can't always predict Harry, she doesn't seem to hold it against him.

And in honor of an absent Duck  - a note on the Mab Rashid Connection
Molly=Mab
Gatekeeper=Time Travelling Harry
Good friends working together through the years ;D
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Kettu on July 10, 2011, 09:39:37 AM
The question would then, be, why would she not want to dispose of the trolls and goblins ?

This is the second time that you mentioned that there were dead goblins on Arctis Tor, so I just had to check, and that is indeed what Harry says (Proven Guilty, paperback pg. 357):

Quote
I rose and nudged a smaller skull with my staff. "The littler ones were goblins," I said. "Foot soldiers."

But goblins are the Erlking's subjects, no? They wouldn't be defending Mab's stronghold. So, is this a clue that the Erlking was one of the attackers, or is Harry just mistaken? If Harry is right then it would explain why Erl was lurking close enough to almost catch Harry later when he's making his escape, but it doesn't explain why the returning hosts of Winter let him join them instead of attacking him. On the other hand, if Erl's goblins were in league with Mab would it also imply that Titania was involved, since Erl is the Summer King, not Winter?

Damn those faeries, it's always questions with them, and never answers.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on July 10, 2011, 02:01:34 PM
But goblins are the Erlking's subjects, no? They wouldn't be defending Mab's stronghold. So, is this a clue that the Erlking was one of the attackers, or is Harry just mistaken?

I had not thought of that before. Good point. I thought the remains were there were all defenders, but I do not recall where I got that impression.

I think from what we see in SK that any wyldfae can be recruited by  Summer or Winter if need be, so them being Winter goblins is not a problem for me. The trolls definitely are Winter, Harry gets a memory flash from one of them IIRC.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Kettu on July 10, 2011, 03:04:17 PM
I had not thought of that before. Good point. I thought the remains were there were all defenders, but I do not recall where I got that impression.

I think from what we see in SK that any wyldfae can be recruited by  Summer or Winter if need be, so them being Winter goblins is not a problem for me. The trolls definitely are Winter, Harry gets a memory flash from one of them IIRC.

Harry knows the trolls were Mab's elite guard because he remembers seeing them during the battle in SK.

On Arctis Tor the gates are broken and the bodies of the attackers are littering the field outside, the tunnel under the walls, and the part of the courtyard closest to the gates. The bones of the defenders lie in small piles here and there in the courtyard. It's not exactly clear which pile the skull Harry identifies as goblin came from, though.

Good point about the Courts recruiting wyldfae, but I still find Mab Calling the Erlking a bit odd.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on July 10, 2011, 03:35:08 PM
Good point about the Courts recruiting wyldfae, but I still find Mab Calling the Erlking a bit odd.

I don't think Mab called the Erking at all; I think Erl noticed the Winter host moving, figured Harry was there (Thomas can sense his presence through having been part of the Hunt, I can buy this as mutual) and was moving in independently.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: WarlocksRUs on July 10, 2011, 04:48:16 PM
This is the second time that you mentioned that there were dead goblins on Arctis Tor, so I just had to check, and that is indeed what Harry says (Proven Guilty, paperback pg. 357):

Quote
I rose and nudged a smaller skull with my staff. "The littler ones were goblins," I said. "Foot soldiers."

That's weird. Because on page 294 of Changes is this exchange between Harry and Susan:

Quote
"I..." I shuddered. "I think they're goblins."
"You think?"
"I've never seen one before," I replied. "But... they match the descriptions I've heard."

Sure, thecnically he'd still never seen a live goblin before. But he seemed to recognize a dead one awfully quickly. I've kept dogs, cats, and rats as pets my whole life, but I'm not sure I'd recognize the skulls of any of them on sight. My tin-foil hat wonders if that's significant, if someone has been messing with Harry's memory again.

On a side note, the above quote is followed by this exchange:

Quote
"Shouldn't we be able to handle, like, a million of them?"
I snorted. "You liked those movies too, huh?"
Her reply was a smile, one touched with sadness.
"Yeah, I was thinking of you when I saw them, too."

This places the events of Changes between the years 2004 (after The Return of the King released) and 2011 (if Pricille's estimate of changes occurring in ASF 11, which is an outside estimate I think), no sooner and no later.

ETA: well, it could happen as early as 2003 ("those" referring to "Fellowship" and "Two Towers") and as late as 2012 (since "Fellowship" was released in December 2001), but that's the limit.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: itari on July 10, 2011, 04:59:14 PM
Nice catch. Harry, though, has seen goblins in SK:

Quote
Another troop of battered, lantern-jawed, burly humanoids with wide, batlike ears, goblins, dragged their dead and some of their wounded over to the sylphs

I wonder... is this significant?
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: WarlocksRUs on July 10, 2011, 05:17:09 PM
There you go.

Continuity error or mind whammy. You be the judge.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: AcornArmy on July 10, 2011, 05:38:27 PM
Fact? ...
(click to show/hide)

Don't know why I was suddenly reminded so strongly of that movie, but there it is.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Sm0kEyNy on July 10, 2011, 05:45:31 PM
There you go.

Continuity error or mind whammy. You be the judge.


 :o
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on July 10, 2011, 08:02:13 PM
Continuity error or mind whammy. You be the judge.

Probably not, but if you'll be the actress I can be the bishop.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: WarlocksRUs on July 10, 2011, 08:07:17 PM
Probably not, but if you'll be the actress I can be the bishop.

I think I may have sad something dirty and I don't even know what. That's a new feeling...
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Kettu on July 10, 2011, 08:39:26 PM
That's a new feeling...

...said the maid to the vicar.

 ;D
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: WarlocksRUs on July 10, 2011, 08:47:52 PM
/facepalm
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Serack on July 11, 2011, 01:22:04 AM
Ok, here's my promised assessment of PG after this reread.

I'm not sure how much of this will be a direct response to the OP, but I have several things to point out, and one WAG.

#1
Sandra Marling is usually pointed to as the main orchestrator for all things nasty that happened at Splattercon since she motivated Molly to use fear, and people point out that she didn't touch Harry.  However, if she were powerful enough to knock out the lights and set up the cold wards around the Fetch attacks, she might have trouble using a cell phone:

Quote from: PG ch.24
"How did you know where I was"
"Sandra." he [BF Nelson] said."I called her cell.  She told me you'd checked in."

This doesn't definitively show that she wasn't the one throwing around magic but.  It's a strike against her, and indicates there was another player in the background, that might have been using her as a cutout.  

#2
If Glau was another cutout for who set Madrigal Raith up to take the fall for the Fetch attacks, and the Scarecrow took him out to silence him, then that implies that Mab was involved in that setup.  

#3
Someone directed Harry's wammy reversal to detect Molly from within his web on the Theater.

Up to this point, the phages showed up either in close proximity to Nelson (same bathroom as him), or next to Rosanna from her GF's makeup mirror.  This time Rosanna, was in the hospital, Nelson was on his way to St. Marry's with a paranoiagasim, and Molly was at her Mom's.  So in the last Fetch attack on the Theater, Harry had his web up to detect the entrance of the phages, and to detect their summoner under the assumption that the summoner was within the hotel.

Quote from: PG ch23
"Their summoner is going to draw them in," I finished, following the line of reasoning.  "It's like... I could blanket the surrounding area in fog, but if they have someone on this end, the phages will have a beacon they can use to home in on the hotel."

I'm projecting here, but if someone is on this end of the NN veil throwing up wards and hexing lights and stuff, and this person anticipates Harry setting up a classic White Council doctrine response to a summoner of bad juju, and yet the bad juju is actually being sent, not summoned, maybe they put up a "single, quiet, quivering pulse" thaumatalogically (did I spell it right that time?) linked to Molly within the bounds of the Hotel for Harry to latch onto knowing he would be looking for it.

Here's the description of what happened from Harry's PoV

Quote from: PG ch.25
...Streamers from the lure whipped out along the lines of power that constituted my detection web, brushing lightly at the entities, attracting their attention, giving them a whiff of rich sustenance. 
And somewhere in the middle of all that, I felt a single, quiet, quivering pulse- A living presence that could only be the phages' summoner and beacon. 

This scenario seems likely to me because Molly wasn't inside his web, she was at her parent's home.  Maybe Mab couldn't send the Fetches to "fetch" Molly, but if another mortal sent them after her that would get the trick done.

WAG
This is a stab in the dark.  I don't think it is necessarily true, but it kinda tickled my intuition a little so I'm sharing.
I think it's possible that Rawlings is involved with the Black Council.  

I was paying close attention to the sequence of events leading up to the last phage attack on the theater, and noticed that right before the attack Rawlings checked in on Harry and saw how he had things set up.  This tied in with the idea that someone had set up their own spell to direct Harry's "lure" to Molly makes me think that Rawlings might have been checking up on Harry as a form of recon for this other spell slinger.  Another thing that makes me wonder about Rawlings, is his ties to Jack Murphy.  He is the only one living other than Karrin that interacted with "Jack" Murphy, and maybe he's actually a tie to the bad things that happened to him.

Edit:  Reworked  #3 a little.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on July 11, 2011, 01:46:37 AM
#2
If Glau was another cutout for who set Madrigal Raith up to take the fall for the Fetch attacks, and the Scarecrow took him out to silence him, then that implies that Mab was involved in that setup.  

Only if the Scarecrow is actually working for Mab, which as I have stated, I see strong reason to doubt.

Quote
#3
Someone directed Harry's wammy reversal to detect Molly from within his web on the Theater.

I'm unconvinced that takes conscious intervention.  Harry structured his spell to bounce the phages back at their summoner (I get the impression from this and BR that that may be a standard White Council defensive practice)  fetches don't have a summoner, but Molly's acts of black magic in warping the minds of Nelson and Rosie is set up as the initial hook for them, the fear that they first home in on, no ? I can see a generalised spell that's meant to hit "human who caused these beings to be here through magic" treating Molly as the closest thing these fetches have to a summoner and bouncing the phages back to her by default.  Harry does seem to believe something like that to be the case, considering how he takes responsibility for her kidnap with Charity in the church.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Sm0kEyNy on July 11, 2011, 02:02:49 AM
I get the impression from this and BR that that may be a standard White Council defensive practice


i could be wrong but doesnt Bob actually say something right along those lines????
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on July 11, 2011, 02:06:02 AM
i could be wrong but doesnt Bob actually say something right along those lines????

he might well. My memory, contrary to rumour, is frequently imperfect.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Sm0kEyNy on July 11, 2011, 02:08:50 AM
Bob’s eyelights brightened even more. “Ooooooo, classic White Council doctrine. When the phages come through, you point them straight at the guy who summoned them. Give him a dose of his own medicine.”

Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on July 11, 2011, 02:10:58 AM
Bob’s eyelights brightened even more. “Ooooooo, classic White Council doctrine. When the phages come through, you point them straight at the guy who summoned them. Give him a dose of his own medicine.”

Thank you.

That suggests, to my mind, that the enemy might well understand that well enough to use it against Harry; I like the idea of the conceptual judo involved in the strategy misfiring because Harry is wrong about the situation in ways the enemy anticipates, rather than the enemy hacking Harry's wards, because a) it's more elegant and b) I am not thinking offhand of anywhere else in the series where one wizard really hacks another's workings that way.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Serack on July 11, 2011, 02:53:19 AM
Some fleshing out of what I said earlier

#3
Someone directed Harry's wammy reversal to detect Molly from within his web on the Theater.
In the last Fetch attack on the Theater, Harry had his web up to detect the entrance of the phages, and to detect their summoner. 

Quote from: PG ch.25
...Streamers from the lure whipped out along the lines of power that constituted my detection web, brushing lightly at the entities, attracting their attention, giving them a whiff of rich sustenance. 
And somewhere in the middle of all that, I felt a single, quiet, quivering pulse- A living presence that could only be the phages' summoner and beacon. 

I'm projecting here, but maybe someone with a thomatalogical (msp) link to Molly had their own little spell going, and dangled that link out in Harry's web for him to latch his lure onto.  I say this, because Molly wasn't inside his web, she was at her parent's home.  Maybe Mab couldn't send the Fetches to "fetch" Molly, but if another mortal sent them after her that would get the trick done. 

Harry was using the web to find the phages "beacon" under the assumption that the "beacon" was within the hotel. 

Quote from: PG ch23
"Their summoner is going to draw them in," I finished, following the line of reasoning.  "It's like... I could blanket the surrounding area in fog, but if they have someone on this end, the phages will have a beacon they can use to home in on the hotel."

Up to this point, the phages showed up either in close proximity to Nelson (same bathroom as him), or next to Rosanna from her GF's makeup mirror.  This time Rosanna, was in the hospital, Nelson was on his way to St. Marry's with a paranoiagasim, and Molly was at her Mom's. 

So if someone is on this end of the NN veil throwing up wards and hexing lights and stuff, and this person anticipates Harry setting up a classic White Council doctrine response to a summoner of bad juju, and yet the bad juju is actually being sent, not summoned, maybe they put up a "single, quiet, quivering pulse" thaumatalogically (did I spell it right that time?) linked to Molly within the bounds of the Hotel for Harry to latch onto knowing he would be looking for it. 

As to the idea of the Scarecrow not working for Mab, the following WoJ is enough to resolutely convince me that he was.

But to correct some minor stuff:  the fetches aren't even /close/ to her strongest servitors.  They're her couriers, harassers, spies and occasional assassins.  Captain Kudzu was a being that was deemed more-or-less sufficient on the badassometer, but nothing to write home about.  The fetches main use, to Mab, isn't as battlefield thugs.  She's got /plenty/ of other things for that.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Sm0kEyNy on July 11, 2011, 03:08:04 AM
ok so i reread this section again it seems to ME that the "web" is a warding spell to detect when the phages cross over from the never never and is linked to the ward candles and is simply used for Timeing a SEPERATE spell the one he is activly holding ready to cast at the beacon of fear he senses.

idk if that clear an makes sense or not but basically your dealing with two seperate spells NOT one
1 is the warding spell he already cast with playdoh an candles and requires no aditional effort
2 is the spell he is holding ready in the circle useing his own fear to create a thalmaturgic link to the summoner/beacon who is also useing fear
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: AcornArmy on July 11, 2011, 03:10:01 AM
#2
If Glau was another cutout for who set Madrigal Raith up to take the fall for the Fetch attacks, and the Scarecrow took him out to silence him, then that implies that Mab was involved in that setup.  

Not necessarily. Assuming the Scarecrow was working for Mab(which I think is likely, now), all this point shows is that Mab didn't want Harry to know whatever it was that Glau might have been able to tell him. And since the fetches had just snatched Molly and taken her to Mab's Winter wonderland on the parapet, it would seem to indicate that that's where Mab wanted Harry to be. If Glau had started talking about some third party's involvement, Harry might have gotten sidetracked and not even noticed that Molly was gone until after he'd become entangled in some Black Council mess.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Serack on July 11, 2011, 03:15:32 AM
ok so i reread this section again it seems to ME that the "web" is a warding spell to detect when the phages cross over from the never never and is linked to the ward candles and is simply used for Timeing a SEPERATE spell the one he is activly holding ready to cast at the beacon of fear he senses.

idk if that clear an makes sense or not but basically your dealing with two seperate spells NOT one
1 is the warding spell he already cast with playdoh an candles and requires no aditional effort
2 is the spell he is holding ready in the circle useing his own fear to create a thalmaturgic link to the summoner/beacon who is also useing fear

your #2 uses your #1 to send the lure out to the phages for them to sense it.

Not necessarily. Assuming the Scarecrow was working for Mab(which I think is likely, now), all this point shows is that Mab didn't want Harry to know whatever it was that Glau might have been able to tell him. And since the fetches had just snatched Molly and taken her to Mab's Winter wonderland on the parapet, it would seem to indicate that that's where Mab wanted Harry to be. If Glau had started talking about some third party's involvement, Harry might have gotten sidetracked and not even noticed that Molly was gone until after he'd become entangled in some Black Council mess.

Quite likely.  When I read the scene, I was thinking it was possible that the Scarecrow might have been sent to make sure Harry didn't end up getting transferred to the Duchess.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Serack on July 11, 2011, 03:23:01 AM
I was just going to say that maybe Glau was the practitioner who was behind a lot of the stuff I am theorizing about, but I just remembered that he was the one on the computer in the Fool Moon garage.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Sm0kEyNy on July 11, 2011, 03:27:26 AM
I stood on the sidewalk outside the house with my mouth hanging
open. The streetlights were all out. Only the lights of the van showed the
damage, and Thomas turned them off after only a moment. There was
no disturbance on the street, no outcry, no police presence. Whatever
had happened, something had taken steps to keep it from disturbing the
neighbors.

further reading makes me think maybe ur onto something but i stand by the fact that he cast 2 spells not one
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Serack on July 11, 2011, 03:40:39 AM
further reading makes me think maybe ur onto something but i stand by the fact that he cast 2 spells not one

Although I don't disagree, I don't think of them as entirely discrete spells either.  One was a long standing "web" and the other was a reactive spell that built on the lattice the first layed out. 
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: laura118b on July 11, 2011, 05:27:35 AM
I was just going to say that maybe Glau was the practitioner who was behind a lot of the stuff I am theorizing about, but I just remembered that he was the one on the computer in the Fool Moon garage.
Except it does still work, Glau wasn't human and non humans don't have the tech problems. 
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Arjan on July 11, 2011, 01:10:47 PM
Except it does still work, Glau wasn't human and non humans don't have the tech problems. 
Glau is half human like Kincaid. We don't know how it works out in these cases.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Sm0kEyNy on July 11, 2011, 02:16:50 PM
kincaid has no magical talent tho so that not really a good comparison
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Piotr1600 on July 11, 2011, 02:42:27 PM
#1
Sandra Marling is usually pointed to as the main orchestrator for all things nasty that happened at Splattercon since she motivated Molly to use fear, and people point out that she didn't touch Harry.  However, if she were powerful enough to knock out the lights and set up the cold wards around the Fetch attacks, she might have trouble using a cell phone:

This doesn't definitively show that she wasn't the one throwing around magic but.  It's a strike against her, and indicates there was another player in the background, that might have been using her as a cutout.  
If Sandra Marling is non-human (or potentially half human) that would answer the cell phone use issue.
I'm not saying that's how it was, just that it is a possibility...


Love the WAG about Rawlins (though I don't actually buy it.  ;D ) but the premise that there's an infiltrator from the Bad GuysTM planted/working in SI is probably worth examining, particularly if we assume that Rawlins is a Renfield/thrall, rather than an actual power.
It could/would just mean that he reported Harry's preparations to... someone else... like say a handler for the 'event', named, just perhaps, Sandra...
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Arjan on July 11, 2011, 02:57:47 PM
kincaid has no magical talent tho so that not really a good comparison
We actually don't know scions with magical talents.
Maybe it is even more difficult. If the magic comes from the human parent.........
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: knnn on July 11, 2011, 03:17:45 PM

#1
Sandra Marling is usually pointed to as the main orchestrator for all things nasty that happened at Splattercon since she motivated Molly to use fear, and people point out that she didn't touch Harry.  However, if she were powerful enough to knock out the lights and set up the cold wards around the Fetch attacks, she might have trouble using a cell phone:

This doesn't definitively show that she wasn't the one throwing around magic but.  It's a strike against her, and indicates there was another player in the background, that might have been using her as a cutout.  

Ooh, I didn't even think of her as anything more than a catspaw with no talent (i.e. maybe nothing more than an enthralled mortal).  I mean, she was friends with Molly for quite a while, so if there was any talent there, you'd think Molly might have picked up on it.

I like this idea, but as you point out, she does use a cell phone....  Unless maybe we want to say this was really Marva in disguise?  Marva didn't seem to have any problem with the photos she took while under a veil...

 ;D ;D ;D


#2
If Glau was another cutout for who set Madrigal Raith up to take the fall for the Fetch attacks, and the Scarecrow took him out to silence him, then that implies that Mab was involved in that setup.  

Glau could have been the cutout to set Madrigal up with Molly, and Mab could simply be trying to take out the opposition.  I also like AA's suggestion that Mab sent Scarecrow to help Harry escape (as a distraction?).


#3
Someone directed Harry's wammy reversal to detect Molly from within his web on the Theater.

I had a bit of trouble with this one myself, here's what I came up with.  It's not great, but I think it kinda fits:

- According to the MITT ("Molly is the Target Theory"), the BC members are just trying to keep a low profile while they convert Molly.  

- All of a sudden, the convention they are hiding in is attacked by unknown Phobophages, shining a spotlight on their activeties.  Cops arrive and so does Harry (Sandra would have reported it, and certainly Glau).

- Just like Harry, the BC members are probably going to be assuming that there is some other agency summoning the Phobopages (because sending them is much harder).  This means that they believe there is another group of BMW ("Black Magic Wizards") working at cross purposes to them.  They need to find them and take them out, all while avoiding Harry.  

- Maybe this even means casting a spell to block Harry so they can reach (and take out) the BMW before they cause even more damage.

- Then Harry sets up his spell to turn the Fetches on "however is summoning them", and maybe hits one of the BC members, who manages to deflect it.  Unfortunalty fetches then seemingly go and abduct Molly instead of the hypothetical BMW they believe are messing with their plans.

- In desperation, they send a force to save Molly from the Fetches.  

In reality of course, Mab sent the Fetches specifically to pick up Molly,  so that it was never the fault of Harry's spell.  It just hit one of the BC wizards, who managed to deflect it.

----------------
Final thought:

No matter who is behind the events in Splattercon, it seems likely that Namshiel and a bunch of other
"not-heavy-enough-weights" were lurking around town during that time.  It would be interesting to look again and see if someone of Namshiel's humanfrom description (from SmF?) is described in the book.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on July 11, 2011, 08:02:50 PM
In reality of course, Mab sent the Fetches specifically to pick up Molly,  so that it was never the fault of Harry's spell.  It just hit one of the BC wizards, who managed to deflect it.

Whatever the larger strategic situation, that has a superfluous moving part.

Harry's defence against the phages is standard Council doctrine, we've established that.  Mab knows how it's supposed to work. Mab sending fetches in a way that she knows will interact with Harry doing the standard Council defence for the apparent situation to give her Molly still seems to need no deflection, from my perspective, even if getting Molly is the whole point.
Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: knnn on July 11, 2011, 08:08:32 PM
Whatever the larger strategic situation, that has a superfluous moving part.

Harry's defence against the phages is standard Council doctrine, we've established that.  Mab knows how it's supposed to work. Mab sending fetches in a way that she knows will interact with Harry doing the standard Council defence for the apparent situation to give her Molly still seems to need no deflection, from my perspective, even if getting Molly is the whole point.

Good point!

I was trying to Occam Razor it with my theory, but if you take "I know Harry will use a deflection spell" as a given, your solution certainly has one fewer variables.

Title: Re: A fresh perspective on Proven Guity (Spoilers for everything)
Post by: Serack on July 13, 2011, 03:36:41 PM
- Then Harry sets up his spell to turn the Fetches on "however is summoning them", and maybe hits one of the BC members, who manages to deflect it.  Unfortunalty fetches then seemingly go and abduct Molly instead of the hypothetical BMW they believe are messing with their plans.

If it was "deflected" (I prefer intentionally lured), and if the BC wasn't in some sort of collusion with Mab (I like the theory that they were just as befuddled by Mab's involvement, but I don't take it for granted), then I am proposing that the deflector was Mab's agent.  Evidence towards this is how the wards Harry had to muck through to get to the fetches in the theater were cold