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The Dresden Files => DF Spoilers => DF Reference Collection => Topic started by: Pnt on June 29, 2011, 02:45:43 AM

Title: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Pnt on June 29, 2011, 02:45:43 AM
I've got a few opinions on the Three Eye drug and are ole friend Victor.   Victor Sells didn't seem smart enough to have created the drug on his own and what were his motives for making it at all?  He already had the Beckitts for financial support so it wasn't for money.  Apparently it was incredibly addictive and as Harry explained the after affects of seeing the world as it truly is would leave you insane.  Not to mention a target for any magical creature that wants to keep itself hidden in society.  Also we learn from Changes that the spell was Victor was using to rip out people's hearts is the same spell that the Red King intended to use against Maggie Jr and her blood line.  But we don't know that it originated from the Red King.  It makes sense that whoever taught Victor Sells the curse probably taught him how to make the Three Eye drug also.  But I don't see why the Red King would give anybody the ability to see past their flesh masks least we have another Stocker-geddon like what happened to the black court.  I don't even think the White Court would want this.  They would be almost as vulnerable as the Reds.  Another thing, we never see the Red King use magic, just his will.  My opinion is that the Red King and Victor Sells learned about the curse from someone else, someone who wants the vanilla mortals to be aware of how the world truly is.   
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Linamar on June 29, 2011, 02:55:58 AM
You're right, Victor wasn't smart enough to make the 3 eye drug on his own.  Whoever taught him magic must have been the one who taught him how to make the drug.  I'm not sure if it was to help reveal the Red Court, or if it was just an easy way to sow a lot of chaos.  We'll find out, I suspect.

The Beckitts only supported Victor because he promised to bring down Marcone.  If Victor hadn't been doing that, they wouldn't have been doing anything to help him.  Nobody likes a squatter.

I think the Red Court already knew the curse.  Vadderung said that the curse hadn't been used in thousands of years, but it had been around.  Maybe there just wasn't a big enough target for the Reds to justify using that kind of power until now.  Most likely, whoever taught Victor learned the curse from someone in the Red Court.

Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Electric MacButters on June 29, 2011, 02:57:19 AM
Actuall, Victor contacted the Becketts to help him make more Three-Eye, not the other way around.  Other than that one out of order issue, you do have a valid theory.  

Personally, I think that the Three-Eye may be a by-product of some other potion that someone was trying to teach him.  In SF Harry and Bob state several times that every potion recipie is different for every mage and will have slightly different effects depending on who made it.  It could be that someone gave Victor his recipie for straight up crazy juce, but when Victor makes it it opens the user to The Sight.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: sociotard on June 29, 2011, 03:06:22 AM
yeah, one running speculation is that
*Person who gave Victor the Three Eye recipe to attack Marcone
*Person who gave hexenwulf belts to the FBI to attack Marcone
*Person who got Denarians to attack Marcone
are the same person. It makes me wonder if Marcone is even more important in the BAT than Harry is. 
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: ballplayer72 on June 29, 2011, 05:22:40 AM
Actuall, Victor contacted the Becketts to help him make more Three-Eye, not the other way around.  Other than that one out of order issue, you do have a valid theory.  

Personally, I think that the Three-Eye may be a by-product of some other potion that someone was trying to teach him.  In SF Harry and Bob state several times that every potion recipie is different for every mage and will have slightly different effects depending on who made it.  It could be that someone gave Victor his recipie for straight up crazy juce, but when Victor makes it it opens the user to The Sight.

Or maybe, vic was having trouble getting his sight to open up and so the potion was made to knock him off the fence so to speak.   And seeing how trippy it was (and hopelessly addictive) vic couldve seen the profit in it.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: spinningcats on June 29, 2011, 07:12:00 AM
I don't see why it couldn't be Victor's own creation.  We have only seen Harry make potions and he seems pretty terrible at it since Bob needs to constantly hold his hand.

Remember that Victor could easily have been experimenting on other people until he perfected the potion.  He could have also been constantly perfecting the formula as he sold it until it became what Harry found.  I doubt he ever took it himself at all, epecially since the original purpose seems like it was to make his wife and others see things like he could.  When he gives it to his wife he acts very happy that its addictive like he didn't necessarily know before.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Phariah on June 29, 2011, 08:29:31 AM
well i think you would be giving Victor too much credit. he has no idea that another wizard can take control of his demon he uses its name in front of Harry. he had no idea Harrry could mentally smack his shadow self. he only knows specific things that his teacher taught him and he worked on. he is a one trick pony.

Harry doesn't know most of the formula for the potions, Bob is his recipe book. those recipes are elementry compared to 3eye. Victor isn't a magic genius, 3 eye is like an advanced biochemistry, while Victor would be ranked elementry school chemistry. so no i think he was given the recipe and it took awhile for him to gain enough knowledge of his power to bring that potion to its fruition.

i think 3eye was meant to destabilize Chicago. if anyone knows how devestating the crack epidemic was, and 3 eye being more addictive, wow.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: DominicJ on June 29, 2011, 08:48:04 AM
Quote
well i think you would be giving Victor too much credit. he has no idea that another wizard can take control of his demon he uses its name in front of Harry. he had no idea Harrry could mentally smack his shadow self. he only knows specific things that his teacher taught him and he worked on. he is a one trick pony.

Sells' limited knowledge points to him NOT having a teacher, not not having a teacher.

I'd bet that he was self taught, using an extensive library of books, and *someone/thing* made sure those books were the real deal

Why make third eye?  Because he can.
Why go to war with Marcone?  Because Marcones in the way of his three eye trade
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Arjan on June 29, 2011, 10:09:34 AM
yeah, one running speculation is that
*Person who gave Victor the Three Eye recipe to attack Marcone
*Person who gave hexenwulf belts to the FBI to attack Marcone
*Person who got Denarians to attack Marcone
are the same person. It makes me wonder if Marcone is even more important in the BAT than Harry is. 
The red court wanted to expand in the chicago criminal underground so it makes sense to get rid of competition. That is marcone. Harry was not yet that important 

The red court got help from wizzards (or the wizzards used them). I think they did not want to confront Harry because they hoped he would turn warlock and become a potential ally.

The denarians are not in this list because they captured marcone to get to Harry to get the Archive.
which lists them in order of importance. It tells something about the rise of Harry.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Phariah on June 29, 2011, 11:23:48 AM
Sells' limited knowledge points to him NOT having a teacher, not not having a teacher.

I'd bet that he was self taught, using an extensive library of books, and *someone/thing* made sure those books were the real deal

Why make third eye?  Because he can.
Why go to war with Marcone?  Because Marcones in the way of his three eye trade

so how did he come up with the formula for 3eye? that is a far advanced potion. how did he get the bloodline curse? how did he get an extensive library as they would be expensive? and he was never said to have one just a few books. no he isn't self taught someone taught him specific things and set him on his path. someone had wanted Sells to do specific things, he was a tool. it is obvious.

 so no if i wanted to make a weapon that could cause problems i could capitalize on, Sells would be it. i taught him enough to make 3eye to cause havok and a spell that would wipe out his enemies without a trace. yet still be inept enough that he would be no danger to me, and i could take care of easily later on if he became a problem. so no his limited knowledge ( which is advanced knowledge to be sure ) does not point to being self taught. it points to being taught enough to be usefull.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Jefe on June 29, 2011, 02:54:12 PM
I think it is worth considering (as has been proposed before), that whoever put Victor on the path of black magic, passed out the wolf belts, etc., is a person or group of persons trying to engineer situations which would put Harry into a position to leave the White Council (or get kicked out).  This also goes for manipulation of the Red Court.  The entire war starting incident at Bianca's can be read as a situation manipulated to force Harry into actions which would get him kicked out of / severed from the White Council.

IMO, most of the antagonists Harry has faced to directly to this point (to include the Red Court in Changes) are more than likely sock puppets for a background player who would like to see Harry unaffiliated or outright hostile to the White Council, and ready for recruitment to their cause.

Also, the bloodline curse in Changes and the heart exploder in SF killed in similar ways, but the ritual in SF was NOT a bloodline curse, it used a thaumaturgic link powered by ritual sex.  I don't think it needs to be the same person teaching sells and the Red Court.  If two coaches who have never met each other both grew up knowing the rules of football and watching the same games, it is not unlikely they will both draw up similar plays.  So I don't know if the connection is necessarily there, other than Arianna getting nudged into action that involved Harry.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Me Grimlock King on June 29, 2011, 04:03:57 PM
So basically, the whole series and everything that harry has gone up against so far, has been to try to get Harry to leave the White Council, and join "someone".  I would say that sounds like overkill just to get Harry.  I also think that it was overkill to set up the outrageously powerful Bloodline spell just to take out EB, but that's me.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Jefe on June 29, 2011, 04:26:02 PM
So basically, the whole series and everything that harry has gone up against so far, has been to try to get Harry to leave the White Council, and join "someone".  I would say that sounds like overkill just to get Harry.  I also think that it was overkill to set up the outrageously powerful Bloodline spell just to take out EB, but that's me.

If that was the ONLY goal, I would agree.  It is possible to work toward a larger objective (what - ?) while having a secondary or ancillary effect of having Dresden unaffiliated as opposed to just dead.  Most of Harry's major conflicts are set up around him making a choice to violate a law of magic, do something "wrong", or suffer horribly and prevail against long odds (not the percentage play).  Cowl certainly could have killed Harry, if at no other time than when Bob got taken during DB.  The denarians have actively tried to recruit him as a strategy (as opposed to kill him outright, regardless of the possible outcomes of tactical encounters).  The climax of SF (IMO) was not the big fight at the end, it was Harry's decision to fight rather than obliterate the house just before the fight.  Everything in SF and FM point to an outside agency tryuing to manipulate events.

I am not saying it is only one group or individual.  I am not saying their primary goal is Harry's recruitment (actually I find that unlikely).  I am saying that a lot of the messes Harry has found himself lead me to believe they are not messes in and of themselves but parts of larger designs that we have not learned of yet, and that if any number of folks wanted Harry dead instead of turned, he would be dead right now.  Instead it looks as though one (not the only, but one) of the goals of the string pullers is bringing Harry over to their side.

As far as Eb goes, I agree with you.  That is why I think someone was manipulating Arianna to go that route, because it would surely get Harry involved.  The manipulator either didn't know that Harry had Winter Knight in his pocket, didn't expect it to be his choice, or it is Mab behind it and it was an elaborate plot with one intended consequence of putting Harry in extremis so he would take up the mantle.  Either way, it appears as though one goal was to get at Eb, but another goal (hence the bloodline curse and all that) was to put Harry into a position where he HAD to make a choice.  Of course, there are lots of free radicals on the battlefield not affiliated (the Eebs, frex) to the alrger design which makes life that much more difficult for Harry.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: wildone654 on June 29, 2011, 04:35:06 PM
and that if any number of folks wanted Harry dead instead of turned, he would be dead right now

well . . . .
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Jefe on June 29, 2011, 04:52:29 PM
well . . . .

Ooops.  Touche.  Please insert "up until the events on the last two pages of Changes" anywhere appropriate.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: KeyMasterOfGozer on June 29, 2011, 05:07:16 PM
so how did he come up with the formula for 3eye? that is a far advanced potion. how did he get the bloodline curse? how did he get an extensive library as they would be expensive? and he was never said to have one just a few books. no he isn't self taught someone taught him specific things and set him on his path. someone had wanted Sells to do specific things, he was a tool. it is obvious.
Where do we have evidence that 3eye is a "far advanced" potion?  He did not have the "Bloodline Curse", though the curse he used did have a similar effect, it did not target a bloodline.  He had a demon summoned, it is possible that the bound demon was compelled to tell him something about curses, or even potion making.  Or it could have been another demon that he summoned.  All of this is speculation, of course.

Edit:
I looked it up, and from Changes Chapter 21...
(click to show/hide)
  That could mean that Sells Spell is the exact same spell as the Bloodline Curse and Sells just needed more power to go bloodline, but it doesn't mean that that the spell would not need to be changed as well as need more power to go bloodline.  It's hard to tell exactly what's going on, since we know Harry (and therefore us) have only a small portion of the picture.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: contraducktory on June 29, 2011, 05:07:27 PM
So basically, the whole series and everything that harry has gone up against so far, has been to try to get Harry to leave the White Council, and join "someone".  I would say that sounds like overkill just to get Harry.  I also think that it was overkill to set up the outrageously powerful Bloodline spell just to take out EB, but that's me.

Think like the "bad guy"

SF - VS, three eye.  Hrmm, we got thwarted there.  Good thing we have
FM - Wolfbelts.  Tried to take out Marcone(why?), thwarted agian..."WTH is going on!"
GP - Bianca/Mavra/Kavros  - "What do you mean our new Countess is dead? "
/leap/
DB - necromancers.  "No god/God for us...that guy in Chicagao is getting pretty annoying, maybe we should kill him..."  (of course they can't out and out kill him.  That would make the WC investigate)
PG - Take Molly/Take on Mab - "what do you mean Summer got involved?!?  we really need to kill that guy"
WK - culling of the kine - "damnit! he stopped us again, and we lost some vampires in the process."
SmF - Marcone/Archive - "we didn't get Marcone, we didn't get the Archive.  Ok, really we need to kill this guy.  Who can we get?"
TC - Shagnasty- "OMFG!!!  He survived again?!?!  ok, time to be more direct."
Changes -
(click to show/hide)

All to get Harry to turn?  No.  For the bad guys though, he's kicking their butts and he doesn't even know what the end game is yet.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Lord Rae on June 29, 2011, 05:09:59 PM
I can see Cowl as teaching Victor about the drug so that he could sow chaos and fear in the city as part of the groundwork for the DB and the ascension ritual.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: wildone654 on June 29, 2011, 05:11:46 PM
I think the fact that Harry, an admittedly young yet still powerful and knowledgeable enough to be on the WC Wizard, thought the potion to be literally impossible implies it is very advanced.   I mean we are talking about a guy that makes fire, a potion that made everyone ignore him, and another one that was like super lust in a bottle.  If he thinks something is impossible to do(not for him but for anyone), it must at the very least be incredibly hard to do.  
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Vryce on June 29, 2011, 05:16:38 PM
Im personal belief is that 3rd-eye is a failed experiment to get sight to normal people so they can see the truth of the magic around them.  Given a evil twist and poof its also additive.  Maybe a wizard trying to get the world to belive in magic again.  Or someone trying to start the next witch trials.   
But ya failed experiment that could make baddies make money.  Think Vector was being used to try to make 3rd eye better.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Phariah on June 29, 2011, 05:41:03 PM
Also, the bloodline curse in Changes and the heart exploder in SF killed in similar ways, but the ritual in SF was NOT a bloodline curse, it used a thaumaturgic link powered by ritual sex.  I don't think it needs to be the same person teaching sells and the Red Court.  If two coaches who have never met each other both grew up knowing the rules of football and watching the same games, it is not unlikely they will both draw up similar plays.  So I don't know if the connection is necessarily there, other than Arianna getting nudged into action that involved Harry.

Where do we have evidence that 3eye is a "far advanced" potion?  He did not have the "Bloodline Curse", though the curse he used did have a similar effect, it did not target a bloodline.  He had a demon summoned, it is possible that the bound demon was compelled to tell him something about curses, or even potion making.  Or it could have been another demon that he summoned.  All of this is speculation, of course.
Changes page 161-162 for whole convo. i am just using the important piece.
Harry,"How does it work?"
Vadderung,"it tears out the heart. rips it to bits on the way out, too. sound familiar?"
Harry," hell's bells." it had been years since i had even thought about Victor Sells or his victims.
Vaderung, "it's all connected, Dresden. the whole game. and you're now beginning to learn who the players are. the sorcerer who used the spell in Chicago before didn't have strength enough to make it spread past the initial target. the RC does.no one has used Power on that scale in more than a millennium."

Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Tesla on June 29, 2011, 07:12:13 PM
Yanno 3E does seem like it could be a variation of the Gatekeepers eye ointment... :o
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: KeyMasterOfGozer on June 29, 2011, 08:03:26 PM
Changes page 161-162 for whole convo. i am just using the important piece.
Harry,"How does it work?"
Vadderung,"it tears out the heart. rips it to bits on the way out, too. sound familiar?"
Harry," hell's bells." it had been years since i had even thought about Victor Sells or his victims.
Vaderung, "it's all connected, Dresden. the whole game. and you're now beginning to learn who the players are. the sorcerer who used the spell in Chicago before didn't have strength enough to make it spread past the initial target. the RC does.no one has used Power on that scale in more than a millennium."
Yes, I put that in my edit above as well, but it doesn't specifically say that it is the same spell, just that they are similar, and that Sells' version didn't have enough power to go bloodline.  One could infer that it was the same spell, but it doesn't seem definitive.  You can feel from the whole conversation that Vadderung *can't* fill Harry in on all the details.  It seems to me that Vadderung is using this to point something out to Harry so he can find a method to defeat it, but he can't go into more specifics.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: kazimmoinuddin on June 30, 2011, 03:51:26 AM
imagine the effect of third eye on all those minor talents, the WC trying to deal thousand of dark mini warlocks.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Eleyctra on June 30, 2011, 05:04:25 AM
This thread made me remember a part of SF that bothers/confuses me:
Its when Harry go visits Murphy after getting concussed, and in the precinct hallway a 3E junkie trying to escape runs into Harry. The junkie then screams out (something like) "I see you! I see you wizard! I see those who come before, and He Who Walks Behind!"

Now while 3E does give the user the ability to see the metaphysical, how does this junkie know the name of an demon/outsider?
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Sh33p on June 30, 2011, 05:30:14 PM
I like to think the Sells version of the curse was inspired by the White Court. Papa Raith just switched over to the Red Court version for the satisfaction of shanking Thomas to death.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: contraducktory on June 30, 2011, 05:40:58 PM
Now while 3E does give the user the ability to see the metaphysical, how does this junkie know the name of an demon/outsider?

if it gave him the sight, maybe he gained an understanding of what he saw as well?

I like to think the Sells version of the curse was inspired by the White Court. Papa Raith just switched over to the Red Court version for the satisfaction of shanking Thomas to death.

the porn-cerouses were using a ritual entropy curse, not the same as VS or the RC.
when PR was going to kill Thomas, they were calling up HWWB to kill Harry(IMO), Thomas would have been the sacrifice and vessel for him.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Arjan on July 01, 2011, 09:40:59 AM
I like to think the Sells version of the curse was inspired by the White Court. Papa Raith just switched over to the Red Court version for the satisfaction of shanking Thomas to death.
It was like the Red Court curse so why not just blame the red court?
Or their known associates. The wizzards who called outsiders?

In Blood Rites pappa Raith employed a totally different technique. One that he could have learned Sells as well.
But at that point in time the red court was far more aggressive as the white (because of Maggies curse).
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Taer on July 01, 2011, 10:31:49 AM
imagine the effect of third eye on all those minor talents, the WC trying to deal thousand of dark mini warlocks.

^ I like this theory.

We know that the Black Council is very much against White Council. The 3-Eye drug might have been an initial attempt to spread the resources of the council thin. Think about it - Luccio already confirmed that with the huge population explosion, Wardens are stretched thinner than ever and it's very difficult to effectively find and educate new wizards before they turn warlock.

We also know that everyone in DF has some potential for magic. Most people don't have enough oomph to become full-blown wizards but everyone can learn some magic.

So, there's probably plenty of people who would be capable of some black magic shenanigans, but who would otherwise never even think of trying anything magical - the Masquerade is in place. However, if they take a drug like 3-Eye, they might just start thinking 'What if magic is real?'.

Suddenly, you have entire leagues of minor talents dabbling in magic(some of whom will inevitably try Black Magic), spreading the Council's resources even thinner and creating a lot of potential recruits for the Black Council.

My guess is that Sells didn't manufacture 3-Eye for profit or personal reasons. He did it in return for knowledge of magic. Ie. his deal with whatever entity that granted him power or knowledge was that he would manufacture and distribute 3-Eye.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: toodeep on July 01, 2011, 02:06:35 PM
imagine the effect of third eye on all those minor talents, the WC trying to deal thousand of dark mini warlocks.

I like this as well.  Keep in mind, it is people like the formor who are taking the mini-talents right now, and they are experts at modifying creatures.  So take someone with a little talent.  Modify them up to be like a mini-denarian in shapeshifted form (to make them tougher) and then amp them up on some kind of magic increasing juice and you get some serious warmachines that can think (depending on how mind-bent they are by the formor as well).  Or even worse, mind-lock them, alter them in virtually invisible ways, amp them up and addict them, and return them to society as internal sabatours.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: MegaPuff75 on July 04, 2011, 06:18:16 AM
I think it is quite likely Victor developed 3 eye himself, Harry says the curse was impossible once he realizes 3 eye is a potion he understands Victor is just running at a bigger scale using the power from the orgies. Monica says that Victor had been angry and that he gave her a sample of the 3 eye so she would understand him,which is probably why he created and he realized later that he could sell it as a drug. I'm also pretty sure that Victor was set up with the Beckitts by someone who wanted him to eliminate Marcone so that Bianca could take over more of the Chicago underworld. Had they succeeded Bianca's court would have a stranglehold on Chicago by the time she was elevated to the rank of Duchess in GP giving the RC a foothold to take control of most of the U.S. before starting their war with the WC.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: biggs on July 06, 2011, 04:40:39 AM
If you're going to assume the larger conspiracy, ask yourself who benefits from getting rid of the red court. Seems to me that people DIDN'T want Harry dead until the reds were killed off. Otherwise, the last two pages of changes would have happened at the end of book (insert number here). Nicodemus proved that he isn't above using firearms, and wouldn't have had any trouble rolling over Dresden even if he didn't. Same for cowl and his groupies. If you really think about it, nobody (groupwise) has tried very hard to kill dresden until changes
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: MegaPuff75 on July 06, 2011, 04:59:29 AM
You're assuming that Harry turning the curse against the RC was all part of the plan of the BC, but that doesn't really make sense if Arriana is BC the entire plan is suicide, if however Arriana assumes that the RK will side with her against Harry then the BC may have intended to weaken the WC by killing Eb and then finishing them off with another major offensive led by one of the Lords of Outer Night replacing the RK, but Harry does his thing and the whole plan falls to pieces so when he gets back to Chicago they have him whacked.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: biggs on July 06, 2011, 05:05:04 AM
With the red court gone there is a huge power vacuum in about 15% of the planets surface. All I'm saying is that people just didn't seem to be trying very hard to kill him, and he's been used as a cats paw before
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Zolt on July 07, 2011, 10:56:35 AM
I think it is worth considering (as has been proposed before), that whoever put Victor on the path of black magic, passed out the wolf belts, etc., is a person or group of persons trying to engineer situations which would put Harry into a position to leave the White Council (or get kicked out).  This also goes for manipulation of the Red Court.  The entire war starting incident at Bianca's can be read as a situation manipulated to force Harry into actions which would get him kicked out of / severed from the White Council.

IMO, most of the antagonists Harry has faced to directly to this point (to include the Red Court in Changes) are more than likely sock puppets for a background player who would like to see Harry unaffiliated or outright hostile to the White Council, and ready for recruitment to their cause.
We shouldn't work on the basis that all of Creation revolves around Harry. Even though it does (this is the Dresdenverse, after all).

Also, the bloodline curse in Changes and the heart exploder in SF killed in similar ways, but the ritual in SF was NOT a bloodline curse, it used a thaumaturgic link powered by ritual sex.  I don't think it needs to be the same person teaching sells and the Red Court.  If two coaches who have never met each other both grew up knowing the rules of football and watching the same games, it is not unlikely they will both draw up similar plays.  So I don't know if the connection is necessarily there, other than Arianna getting nudged into action that involved Harry.

It was the exact same curse, Vadderung himself says so. That noob Sells simply didn't have enough ooomph to make it spread to the family. He used sex rituals and a thunderstorm just to boost his power level. Harry could probably have achieved the same thing with a chalk circle, five minutes of preparation, and a spongebob action figure instead of a live rabbit.

The question is how Sells got his hands of those in the first place. The recipe for Three-eye, the name of a fairly bad-ass demon, his extremely nasty scorpions, and an ancient Maya death curse. It's unlikely that he just bought those from Amazon for his Kindle (although he might have had better luck with ebay).

Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Arjan on July 07, 2011, 12:01:27 PM
We shouldn't work on the basis that all of Creation revolves around Harry. Even though it does (this is the Dresdenverse, after all).
All creation does revolve around Harry. But at that point in time most players did not now yet so it could not influence their decisions.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on July 07, 2011, 12:45:04 PM
yeah, one running speculation is that
*Person who gave Victor the Three Eye recipe to attack Marcone
*Person who gave hexenwulf belts to the FBI to attack Marcone
*Person who got Denarians to attack Marcone
are the same person. It makes me wonder if Marcone is even more important in the BAT than Harry is. 

I can but Nicodemus being 1 and 2, there, and there not being any need for someone to get the Denarians to attack Marcone.  Marcone has a pretty major mundane power base, which might be reason enough even given what we know in SF; I would like to at some point find out with a bit more clarity precisely when Marcone became aware of the supernatural world, and whether he was doing anything relevant to it before Gard showed up in DM.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on July 07, 2011, 12:46:55 PM
I don't see why it couldn't be Victor's own creation.  We have only seen Harry make potions and he seems pretty terrible at it since Bob needs to constantly hold his hand.

Yep, and Sells knows a lot less about what he is doing than Harry even in SF.  I don't believe that Sells on his own managed to invent a potion to do something the Council believed was flat-out impossible, and doubly not when we have confirmation in Changes that he was definitely a guinea-pig for the curse.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on July 07, 2011, 12:47:57 PM
So basically, the whole series and everything that harry has gone up against so far, has been to try to get Harry to leave the White Council, and join "someone".  I would say that sounds like overkill just to get Harry. 

Not if he's the only Outsiderbane anyone knows about, and may well be the last hope of the whole planet when the coming Outsider apocalypse arrives.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on July 07, 2011, 12:56:12 PM
All creation does revolve around Harry. But at that point in time most players did not now yet so it could not influence their decisions.

This is one of those assumptions a lot of people make that I just do not get.

We can, I think, safely deduce from Maggie's message to Harry in BR that Maggie knew Harry would be an Outsiderbane.  She apologises for laying such a difficult burden on him.

I think any player who was a known associate of Maggie's can have know how important Harry was since before he was born.

We have textual evidence that this definitely includes Justin, Lord Raith, and Lea.  Lea knowing it means Mab knows it and seems to me to be Winter's motive for Lea making the deal with Harry when he was sixteen in the first place.  We have Nicodemus in DM talking as if he knew Maggie; I think he's lying through his teeth but if he's not, then he can plausibly know how important Harry is from the get-go. We have plausible options for Cowl being connected to Maggie's former cabal, so he could well know how important Harry is.

We also have players in action who have intellectus or something akin to it and who can thereby Just Know Harry is important without an evidence trail of this sort.  I count the Faerie Queens, Uriel, and Odin at this level.  

The combination of all these, and people working for them or being played by them, adds up to pretty much everyone can have known that Harry was important.  I've argued before for not only everything in the books but everything of importance in Harry's entire life being the product of a bunch of competing agendas for people trying to win him over to their sides.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Arjan on July 07, 2011, 12:57:24 PM
So basically, the whole series and everything that harry has gone up against so far, has been to try to get Harry to leave the White Council, and join "someone".  I would say that sounds like overkill just to get Harry.  I also think that it was overkill to set up the outrageously powerful Bloodline spell just to take out EB, but that's me.
Mab does not know the word overkill when she tries to recruit Harry  ;D
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: ebliss1 on July 07, 2011, 01:39:11 PM
Here's another thought. I'm going in the opposite direction of the "lets make a lot of warlocks to spread the White Council too thin" theory). We know that the White Court came up with a plan to rid the world of wizards by getting rid of females who had some talent. The reduction of the available breeding-stock and the long time required to get a wizard from "lucky embryo who has the spark of magic" to "Dresden-Level Battleship on Legs" is exceedingly long. Wizards are very vulnerable to supernatural baddies for most of that time, and for many, longer than Dresden took. Perhaps, this was a White Council, or someone from the White Council working on his own, plan to instill the magical spark a little more widely throughout the population.

Sure, it affects a lot of people badly, and we never saw any evidence that it imparted magical ability to any of its addicts, but what if, for example, a woman was on it while pregnant, the baby would have been exposed to magic from the get-go. In real life, we have heroin and crack babies, in the Dresdenverse, perhaps this was a plan to boost the wizarding population by creating 3Eye babies who, by being essentially bathed in magic from conception, would be much more likely to develop into full-blown wizards at puberty.

Victor could have been the tool to create and distribute the drug in Chicago as an initial test, with national and evetually world-wide distribution following.

If successful, then in 12 years or so, the world would have seen an initial spike in emerging wizards, with more appearing each year. At around 20 years, the White Council would have started swelling appreciably. Also, by that time, with a couple decades worth of addicts getting pregnant and having magic-infused babies, the wizarding community would be exploding in size. It could be like when homosapiens started to get born more and more and the cro-magnon was well on his way to extinction.

At the time, Harry was a non-entity in the wizarding world. But, he was perfectly positioned to take the fall should a Warden catch on that 3Eye was magic-related. Harry was already considered to be a warlock who got lucky at his trial, and the local Warden on the lookout for magical badness, Morgan, was not looking out for magical badness, but was rather looking at Harry waiting for magical baddness to show up. If Victor's sponsor had started 3Eye in, say, Seattle, where there was no Warden presence, once there was a hint of magical badness happening, the Wardens would have descended in force and started looking for the problem. In Chicago, Morgan's presence would have meant that the Wardens would not need to descend and start looking around: if any showed up to help Morgan, they all would have been looking at Harry. This would be, essentially, an early warning system for Victor's sponsor so that when Harry showed up decapitated, or brought before the council to explain, he would know to tell Victor to skip town.

Harry's power rise, successful evasion of Morgan, killing of Victor, imprisonment of the Beckitts, and destruction of the 3Eye messed everything up and probably kick-started Victor's sponsor to change tactics and form the Black Council.

I dunno - its just my theory. Take it for what its worth (and bear in mind I've had quite a few head injuries - I was a clumsy child).

Oh, BTW, someone quoted Vadderung in Changes saying that "no one has used power on that scale in more than a millenia" when referring to the bloodline curse. If thats true, what historical event if Jim pointing at? Could it be the Bubonic plague that reduced the human population by between 25% and 50% from 550 to 700 AD? Could it have been a variant of the spell that was responsible for the first-born male of every family in Egypt being killed on the same night before pharoah freed the slaves that we know of from the Bible? Could it be something else? Just a thought.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: LexVIII on July 07, 2011, 03:04:10 PM
How About this....

I have personally engaged in the debate of the Black Council. Who are they? Who is in Who is out, Etc. I realized that most of the answers could be gleaned rather than speculation of who is on the Black Council by analyzing what their operations and Goals have been as well as their successes. I would like to begin with a brief overview of what we do know about them. It also became too big to put in one brief so heres the first part. I hope that everyone is interested and can catch some of the things I miss...

 

Black Council Overview:

 

What is known about the Black Council, Circle, etc. is that its organization must be one that relatively new considering that most lifetimes in the Dresdenverse are measured in the span of centuries. Some of its high level members may have been around for some time as may be the motivation for such a group (a la Maggie Le Fay) but as an organization no group could exist as a cohesive unit for long enough to develop operations such as we have seen without gaining some attention quickly (remember among some of its enemies is a little girl that knows anything that is written and a group of people capable of tracking someone from a hair sample) and the group is obviously not strong enough to survive in a direct war with the White Council, the Vampire Courts, The Fae Courts, The Knights of the Sword, The Denarians, et al or it would have made itself known already.

 

I would have to think that its organization is loose in hierarchy with a relatively tight command structure; I would imagine like a Magical version of Al'Qaeda; the small leadership calls the shots with facilitators being the go-betweens to the grunts but there is little interaction between middle managers and none between the foot soldiers.

 

The Black Councils goals would have to be to place its members at the top of the magical hierarchy specifically of magically endowed human beings while at the same time organizing the weakening of the other supernatural powers to facilitate a smooth transition during the takeover. Recruitment is ironically probably the easiest thing for the Black Council as it would probably look for operatives from the ranks of the disenfranchised wizard community (as pointed out in Turncoat) and those minor wizards that are effectively ignored by the White Council until they mess up. Maintaining security with these groups is relatively easy. Up until Harry Dresden and Elaine Mallory established the Ordo/Paranet no one seemed to really be interested in lower powered wizards, if one or two mess up and spill the beans the damage can be contained as they don’t have the access to the supernatural community that a full blown wizard does. Second they all have something to lose if they do come forward in that they probably broke the rules and unlike Dresden are not in the position to protect themselves.

 

Black Council Operations and their Successes and Failures:

 

Storm Front:

 

It is clear that while Victor Sells is not in the same league power wise as Dresden, He is clearly well trained and has some resources that would surprise some wizards, including the true name of a minor demon, summoning talismans, and the know how to produce something that was never thought possible. He is below the radar in regards to the supernatural community exactly the way the Black Council likes them. He is also doing something that really has never been tried before, utilizing modern techniques to create magical effects.

 

Suspected Operational Goals:

 

Produce Third-Eye as a means of increasing the number of people aware of the supernatural (the more people aware of that which lurks in the dark the more people will look for solutions which would not be forthcoming from the removed White Council). Utilizing Chicago’s drug population as a testbed to see if the drug would work and if the White Council is as asleep as it seems or is it a ruse to lure rebels into the open where the Wardens can pounce.

 

Develop controllable underworld contacts in a critical transportation hub (Chicago) by muscling out the current Kingpin that is an obstacle for three reasons: 1) Marcone’s interests are in crime alone, he has no further ambition in terms of power, political or otherwise. 2) Marcone works only for himself; making him uncontrollable by the Black Council 3) Marcone wants to reduce the number of killings within Chicago with includes supernatural killings and has the means to do so through his contacts, wit, and ruthlessness. Black Council operations in any form would likely increase deaths among innocents prompting Marcone to act. Limiting him would be helpful in the future.

 

Finally, if discovered by the White Council see if more focus can be placed upon Wizard Dresden in order to recruit him into the organization. He was under the Doom of Damocles and if under suspicion may run right into the Black Councils arms for safety. If he will not join up then he can be killed by some of the highly powered operatives in the Council and his body hidden. The Black Council could then blame Dresden for any wrongdoing for the next couple of years. In effect the Wardens would be chasing shadows for years.

 

Analysis of What Went Wrong?

 

Victor Sells became far to corrupted by Black Magic far too quickly, his failure to take into account his wife’s background leads Monica Sells ends up alerting Wizard Dresden to the activities of Sells and company precisely at the same time that operations against Marcone begin. It is at this point that operations could not be stopped due to the need/desires of several of Sells associates and the fact that if stopped Marcone would surely find the culprit sooner or later.

 

Monica Sells provided information that allowed Dresden to work a case from two different ends utilizing Chicago’s Special Investigations Department (whose competence is an exception rather than a rule) to fill in the gaps as to the activities of Sells and company.

 

Dresden was discovered to be far more resilient than suspected. Rather than running from White Council justice Dresden stayed to uncover the Sells operation killing Sells, capturing his associates, and destroying the production center for Third Eye. Worse, he clears himself of any wrongdoing and of the Doom meaning it will be more difficult to place blame on him in future events.

 

Operational Cost/Benefit Analysis:

 

Clearly the entire operation was ruined and almost a complete loss. None of the objectives were achieved. Due to the interference of Dresden; Third Eye could not be either reproduced or it was deemed a security risk as its production after Dresden proved he was innocent would have let on that Sells had compatriots.

 

Marcone survived and was able to consolidate power in Chicago with greater understanding of the supernatural.

 

Finally, Dresden was proven innocent and further ensconced in the White Council camp rather than an isolated enemy or pawn.

 

On the positive side; operational security was maintained as no one has any evidence that tied Sells to any larger conspiracy. Dresden’s actions with Bianca St. Claire give the Black Council the opportunity to influence the Red Court using her as a proxy. The White Council is proven to be completely blind to the goings on within its own community except when the most gross of actions are taken and even then they turn on their own before looking to other culprits.

 

Fool Moon

 

The activities of Black Council during the events of Fool Moon seem to be more of the same and in many respects on the surface the operation seem the same: Use allies to build influence in Chicago at the expense of the White Council and Marcone. Give agents of the Black Council resources like the Hexenwolfen belts and information (like the existence of MacFinn) in order to carry out what seem to be mutually beneficial goals. However the difference is the ambition and scope of the operation; The Black Council is attempting to gain operatives in the 600lb. gorilla that is vanilla mortal institutions.

 

Suspected Operational Goals:

 

Gain allies and operatives within the federal government utilizing supernatural favors to influence members. The Black Council having members of mortal institutions under their control could not be overestimated; it would be like possessing the keys to a nuclear arsenal in regards to the supernatural community. In terms of power of numbers one other group could overall hamper the entire supernatural community like mortals if scared and directed properly The Black Council hidden from even the supernatural community could pick up the pieces afterwards. If it comes down to a shooting war with the White Council; every Senior Council member or supporter being on an Interpol wanted list would clearly be problem especially since mortal wizards could doubtfully stave off an entire SWAT team. Giving agents Denton, Benn, Harris and Wilson the wolfpelts is probably only the tip of this operation, however it is also a sign of good faith in order to exert more control over other agents in the future.

 

Eliminating Marcone is also a priority in that it opens Chicago for the Black Council Agent Bianca St. Claire and it stops Marcone who is now recruiting supernatural thugs (the Streetwolves) into his organization.

 

Analysis of What Went Wrong?

 

The first thing that went wrong is the short term nature of the operatives that were provided to the Black Council; Agents Denton, Harris, Benn, and Wilson were probably looked upon by higher-up members of the FBI as collateral damage just as the agents looked upon their innocent victims in the same way. The agents failed to kill Marcone in their first attempts. Marcone is far harder to kill due to skill, ruthlessness and luck, the only thing that is positive is that Marcone immediately suspects MacFinn and the Alphas rather than looking deeper.

 

Evidently the Hexenwolfen sociopathic effects are also accelerated by the panic of discovery by Dresden who informs Special Investigations exactly what to look for. It is unknown if the relationship between the mortal authorities and Black Council remained intact however it is doubtful due to the public nature of Denton’s teams corruption and the survival of Marcone.

 

Operational Cost/Benefit Analysis:

 

The loss of the FBI team under the Black Council is damaging particularly due to its publicity. Most mortal authorities after such a public defeat would retreat from anyone associated with it.

 

However there are several positives, one is that again there are no direct ties to the Black Council, second Marcone loses his supernatural enforcers meaning that he would have to start from scratch. Third, Special Investigations loses several good men hampering that organizations potential threat in the near future. Finally, and not to be underscored is the loss of a minor practitioner and the damage to Dresden’s credibility with other practitioners. I am sure it underscores the Black Council dogma (subtly through back channels) that the White Council can not or is unwilling to help those outside its direct membership. Dresden’s failure to help can surely be spun in the Black Councils favor.

 

Grave Peril

 

Grave Peril is the coming out party for the Black Council in many ways. It is the ramp up to all the future operations that the Black Council has in play against all of the major players. The war is clearly orchestrated to the maximum benefit of the Black Council to the detriment of the Red Court, White Council and the allies of both.

 

Suspected Operational Goals:

 

Starting a large scale conflict between The Red Court of Vampires and the White Council is clearly the most important goal of the events. The Black Council has had prior dealings with Harry Dresden; they know what makes him tick and specifically manufacture an event that will cause him to react. Bianca St. Claire is clearly misled on how Dresden will react to the situation. A child is threatened, a woman is threatened, his friends are threatened, and finally his beloved is threatened. He is forced to be there by his duty to the White Council, the Red Court is already looking for war. These are all specifically tailored to make him react violently and (in the opinion of the White and Black Councils) excessively. Dresden is merely a large spark for a large powder keg. If Dresden surprises everyone by allowing these actions to take place then it only underscores the weakness of the White Council to a predatory species that would merely find some other pretext to act on that weakness.

 

Dresden being killed in the meantime is all the better as he has interfered in several operations killing in chronological order agents Kravos, FBI Hexenwolfen, and Sells disrupting each of their operations. If he survives then it is of no matter as he is isolated further from the White Council.

 

The second goal is probably to eliminate one of the Knights of the Cross by means of destroying the sword in order to solidify the help of several Denarians that would be used as heavy hitters in later conflicts.

 

The third is begin to sow the seeds of conflict against the other major powers specifically the Winter and Summer Courts of the Fae, The Denarians, and the White Court of Vampires. Introduce destabilizing elements into their stable systems and let them run. Leanansidhe is given a powerful object potentially as a deal to recruit her or to use her as a Cats’ paw against Mab.

 

Finally utilize a killed operative to stir up local the ghost population increasing fear among those that can not protect themselves.

 

Analysis of What Went Wrong?

 

Not much Dresden reacted exactly planned; war between the two major groups is accomplished. The loss of Bianca St. Claire while unfortunate is not critical. The failure to eliminate one of the swords (and thus its knight) is not overly necessary however helpful it would be.

 

Operational Cost/Benefit Analysis:

 

The Operation as stated was a success. The war between the White Council and The Red Court of Vampires will rage for years with the Black Council aiding both sides to prolong the conflict. The White Council will be stretched to its breaking point underscoring its weakness and allowing more open recruitment to the Black Council ranks. The Red Court will be weakened in the war as well. Warden Morgan almost kills the Red King in open combat several of their major court members are killed in conflicts and they would not have needed to accept the peace offer eventually proposed unless their losses were substantial as well.

 

The Red Court’s first strike against Senior Council Member Simon Petrovich and Archangel is clearly done with advanced intelligence from Black Council agents. It also probably has It is also certain the that Black Council agents (hidden of course) are aiding the White Council to maintain the conflict equilibrium probably through agents in the Order of St Giles and Venatori Umbrorum

 

The Attack on Archangel is a message from the Red Court to the White Council that the war is so serious that the Red Court kills the White Council member that they trust the most first. It also has a practical reason for The Black Council, Petrovich had the most access to the Red Court if something was awry Petrovich was in the position to perhaps backtrack the activities of Black Council members leading them to discovery.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Rasins on July 07, 2011, 03:19:04 PM
If successful, then in 12 years or so, the world would have seen an initial spike in emerging wizards, with more appearing each year. At around 20 years, the White Council would have started swelling appreciably. Also, by that time, with a couple decades worth of addicts getting pregnant and having magic-infused babies, the wizarding community would be exploding in size. It could be like when homosapiens started to get born more and more and the cro-magnon was well on his way to extinction.

One hole in your theory is this ... The WC has to identify folks with magical ability.  They've been spread thin and have been missing folks, thus the rise in Warlocks.

To piggy-back on your idea, I wonder if the 3eye was supposed to do the opposite of what you propose.  Not increase the number of Wizards, but of Warlocks and drown the WC.

Just my thought.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: ebliss1 on July 07, 2011, 05:30:06 PM
Quote
One hole in your theory is this ... The WC has to identify folks with magical ability.  They've been spread thin and have been missing folks, thus the rise in Warlocks.

But remember, in Storm Front, the Wardens and the White Council were not spread thin. They were at peace with the Red Court, they had not started taking any losses and Morgan could afford to spend plenty of time just lurking around Dresden waiting for him to screw up. I would assume that (assuming my idea was the correct one) someone planning for that far in advance would have some sort of plan to make sure that the White Council was extra-alert in about 12 years and had been keeping an eye on children born of addicts. Its also possible that the 3Eye drug somehow marked its users in some way that Dresden just hadn't found - or possibly children born with it in their systems were traceable.

Again, a lot of speculation, but I don't think your hole in my theory was a hole at the time. A challenge to be addressed, yes, but not a hole.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Rasins on July 07, 2011, 05:48:47 PM
The hole is the spell Victor was using to kill with.  It was mentioned that it was the same as or similar (though less powerful) than the one the RC was using at CI.  

That being the case, it's not a sure thing, but reasonable to guess that Victor had been taught it by someone from the RC to test it out (it hadn't been used for 1000 years according to Odin and magic changes about every 300 years according to Bob).  I'd bet they taught him the curse, and the means to make the 3eye.  And if what you said is true, then in about oh, 20 years, the WC would have it's hands full of potential wizards/warlocks.  And if you remember Ortega said that the War was started about 20 years early.

We also don't know what, if any, plans the RC had for the iterim, for weakening the WC.  

Also, remember that Molly was about 17 before her powers showed up.  Check the Timeline (http://www.jimbutcheronline.com/bb/index.php/topic,1592.msg28576.html#msg28576).

THAT timing fits right into the RC's plan for war with the WC.  They are overrun with Warlocks, and active war breaks out.

[edited for HER powers, not HE powers.]


Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: ebliss1 on July 07, 2011, 05:56:11 PM
OK - that bit of logic is really good. I like it and it dovetails very nicely with what we've seen. Good work!
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: kazimmoinuddin on July 08, 2011, 12:08:00 AM
who wants to bet some of those warlocks found during the war, were due to someone sliping them third eye.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on July 08, 2011, 02:10:16 AM
Here's another thought. I'm going in the opposite direction of the "lets make a lot of warlocks to spread the White Council too thin" theory). We know that the White Court came up with a plan to rid the world of wizards by getting rid of females who had some talent. The reduction of the available breeding-stock and the long time required to get a wizard from "lucky embryo who has the spark of magic" to "Dresden-Level Battleship on Legs" is exceedingly long.

It would appear to be of the order of twenty to thirty years, and to beings with ages measured in millennia, as many of the candidate plotters are, I am not sure that would feel like an overly long investment.

I like the rest of your notion rather a lot.  It also gives an additional layer of resonance to my notion that one of the things WN is doing as a novel is echoing SF with Helen Beckitt in the Harry part and Harry playing Morgan, is they're both closely related parts of the same plan.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on July 08, 2011, 02:12:35 AM
But remember, in Storm Front, the Wardens and the White Council were not spread thin.

I thought from what Eb says in PG that the Council were being spread unfeasibly thin in finding new wizards by global population growth well before the time period of the books.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on July 08, 2011, 02:33:11 AM
Taking, as an axiom of this debate, a position which I do not actually believe, to wit, that there is a Black Council:

The Black Councils goals would have to be to place its members at the top of the magical hierarchy specifically of magically endowed human beings while at the same time organizing the weakening of the other supernatural powers to facilitate a smooth transition during the takeover.

Why ?  What do we have to demonstrate they want to conquer and use rather than to destroy ?

Quote
It is clear that while Victor Sells is not in the same league power wise as Dresden, He is clearly well trained

I disagree with that entirely.  It seems very clear from his fight with Harry that he's an idiot who's been handed a bunch of odd and powerful recipes but has no real handle on magic  as a larger thing, no systemic or strategic understanding.   He's disposable.

Quote
Finally, if discovered by the White Council see if more focus can be placed upon Wizard Dresden in order to recruit him into the organization. He was under the Doom of Damocles and if under suspicion may run right into the Black Councils arms for safety.

I can believe that pushing Harry to go dark is part of the point, even if not recruiting him directly.  The flip he nearly has outside Sells' house, before the mysterious female voice brings him back to himself, seems to me like it very well might be the whole point of the operation.

Quote

Dresden was discovered to be far more resilient than suspected. Rather than running from White Council justice Dresden stayed to uncover the Sells operation killing Sells, capturing his associates, and destroying the production center for Third Eye. Worse, he clears himself of any wrongdoing and of the Doom meaning it will be more difficult to place blame on him in future events.

I would say that considering what anyone with a White Council agent could have found from the public record about Harry, thinking he would fold easily here is way too dumb for any plausible Black Council.

Quote
Clearly the entire operation was ruined and almost a complete loss. None of the objectives were achieved. Due to the interference of Dresden; Third Eye could not be either reproduced or it was deemed a security risk as its production after Dresden proved he was innocent would have let on that Sells had compatriots.

They did however get data on how well the curse worked, which may well have been useful for designing the implementation in Changes.
 

Marcone survived and was able to consolidate power in Chicago with greater understanding of the supernatural.

Quote

The White Council is proven to be completely blind to the goings on within its own community except when the most gross of actions are taken and even then they turn on their own before looking to other culprits.

I disagree here too.  The Council investigation in SF focuses most attention on the only plausible candidate. To have reason to look elsewhere they would need to have much information they do not and it is not plausible to expect them to have.
 
Quote
Gain allies and operatives within the federal government utilizing supernatural favors to influence members

Really ? Considering the extent to which those FBI agents' self-control is being undermined by the belts, how long can we envision them remaining useful ?  The belts destroy the users in pretty short order.

Quote
Eliminating Marcone is also a priority in that it opens Chicago for the Black Council Agent Bianca St. Claire

You are positing a plan where at this point they want to keep her alive and replace Marcone ?
 
Quote
Evidently the Hexenwolfen sociopathic effects are also accelerated by the panic of discovery by Dresden

Not evident at all to me.  The belt Harry wears comes very near corrupting him in a matter of minutes.

Quote
However there are several positives, one is that again there are no direct ties to the Black Council, second Marcone loses his supernatural enforcers meaning that he would have to start from scratch.

What supernatural enforcers ?

Quote
Starting a large scale conflict between The Red Court of Vampires and the White Council is clearly the most important goal of the events. The Black Council has had prior dealings with Harry Dresden; they know what makes him tick and specifically manufacture an event that will cause him to react. Bianca St. Claire is clearly misled on how Dresden will react to the situation. A child is threatened, a woman is threatened, his friends are threatened, and finally his beloved is threatened. He is forced to be there by his duty to the White Council, the Red Court is already looking for war. These are all specifically tailored to make him react violently and (in the opinion of the White and Black Councils) excessively.

I don't really buy this one either.

We are looking at a Council which has, for centuries, held not starting a war with the Red Court more important than protecting any individual Red victim.  Bianca misread Harry, but I don't think that takes being misled; it takes Harry in this particular situation being wildly atypical for a Council member.  Nor is he forced to be at the party by his duty; he makes that clear when first invited.

Quote
If Dresden surprises everyone by allowing these actions to take place then it only underscores the weakness of the White Council to a predatory species that would merely find some other pretext to act on that weakness.

No, it wouldn't.  The Council have already been not interfering with the Red Court for centuries.  Continuing to not interfere says nothing about weakness.  The Council don't react to Red Court provocation because they basically have no need to; we see in Changes that when they finally do bestir themselves, the Red Court survive a matter of days.  The Council are in the position of a martial arts master walking down the street refusing to be provoked by the taunts of a small child into killing that small child with one blow.
 
Quote
Dresden being killed in the meantime is all the better as he has interfered in several operations killing in chronological order agents Kravos, FBI Hexenwolfen, and Sells disrupting each of their operations.

This whole analysis is excluding his value as an Outsiderbane.
 
Quote
Not much Dresden reacted exactly planned; war between the two major groups is accomplished. The loss of Bianca St. Claire while unfortunate is not critical.

I would say it's absolutely critical.  She is another sacrifice; her death is a casus belli.
 
Quote
The Red Court’s first strike against Senior Council Member Simon Petrovich and Archangel is clearly done with advanced intelligence from Black Council agents.

If you believe that Simon is dead, and that the point of that operation was not to give him a deniable escape, perhaps.

Quote
The Attack on Archangel is a message from the Red Court to the White Council that the war is so serious that the Red Court kills the White Council member that they trust the most first.

Alternatively, given that we know Ortega planned it, it's the "no war now" faction of the Reds' best hope to end the war.  Trade Simon for Bianca, an eye for an eye, payment in kind under the Accords, and the justification for the war goes away.  Otherwise there would not be a peace offer at the Council meeting in SK.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on July 08, 2011, 02:34:49 AM
That being the case, it's not a sure thing, but reasonable to guess that Victor had been taught it by someone from the RC to test it out (it hadn't been used for 1000 years according to Odin and magic changes about every 300 years according to Bob

Where are you getting that one from ? That sounds like you're reading something as meaning there's a major change periodically rather than slow drift over time, and I'm not recalling anything in the text to suggest that.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on July 08, 2011, 02:35:58 AM
who wants to bet some of those warlocks found during the war, were due to someone sliping them third eye.

I'll bet against.  We have no evidence at all that the drug does anything other than opens the Sight.  We know the Council hunts warlocks all the time, we know the number is long-term increasing because the population of the planet is increasing.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Eleyctra on July 08, 2011, 03:14:58 AM
Where are you getting that one from ? That sounds like you're reading something as meaning there's a major change periodically rather than slow drift over time, and I'm not recalling anything in the text to suggest that.

There's a WOJ on that. (I tried again, and gosh I have the worst trouble finding the ones I need..)
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Rasins on July 08, 2011, 04:05:57 AM
Where are you getting that one from ? That sounds like you're reading something as meaning there's a major change periodically rather than slow drift over time, and I'm not recalling anything in the text to suggest that.

Sorry, it wasn't Bob.  It was in a WoJ (http://www.jimbutcheronline.com/bb/index.php/topic,20960.msg917591.html#msg917591) from DragonCon .
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Phariah on July 08, 2011, 05:28:23 AM
well Harry says it in one book that Bob keeps track of the ever changing metaphysics of magic for him. no specific timeline though.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Zolt on July 08, 2011, 10:06:45 AM
I usually hesitate to jump into any thread the Neurovore has been in.  Bob-like memory combined with a predator's instinct for pointing out contradictions are though to go up against. Also, the use of pronouns becomes a death trap.

That being the case, it's not a sure thing, but reasonable to guess that Victor had been taught it by someone from the RC to test it out (it hadn't been used for 1000 years according to Odin and magic changes about every 300 years according to Bob).  I'd bet they taught him the curse, and the means to make the 3eye.  And if what you said is true, then in about oh, 20 years, the WC would have it's hands full of potential wizards/warlocks.  And if you remember Ortega said that the War was started about 20 years early.

Actually Vadderung's comment meant that this level of power hasn't been used for 1000 years, I don't think he meant that particular spell or ritual.

The WOJ about magic changing every 300 years or so didn't necessarily mean big, fundamental changes - Jim was originally talking about the side effects of magic, such as its effect on technology when he made that comment. Even so, a skilled wizard could probably make his calculations and compensate for any deviations in the magic field - I seem to recall Harry and Bob doing something vaguely like that at some point.      

I can believe that pushing Harry to go dark is part of the point, even if not recruiting him directly.  The flip he nearly has outside Sells' house, before the mysterious female voice brings him back to himself, seems to me like it very well might be the whole point of the operation.
I try to avoid any theory that assumes that Harry is the center of creation (even though he actually is). Both Nick and Cowl have tried to turn him, and shown an interest in keeping him alive when they had the opportunity to kill him, but they have also made it clear that his death is perfectly acceptable to them, and that he is kind of secondary in their respective plans.

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They did however get data on how well the curse worked, which may well have been useful for designing the implementation in Changes.
Point there: Making people's heart explode for no apparent reason usually draws wardens pretty quickly. Using a fuse to experiment was a good decision.

My question however is: Who exactly did the experiment benefit? It wasn't the vampires, or at least Bianca was not involved. That curse seems to be something that the vampires have used in the past - Martin knew about this ritual even before he started his whole double-agent thing. This isn't even a theory at this point, but *someone* wanted to experiment with , and get more data on that spell, then 12 years later *someone* manipulated the vamps to use the same curse, and make it massively overkill.

The after said spell goes off - on a different target than intended - Night of Bad dreams, which looks very much like an omen of Bad Things to come. My pet theory is that it's the ritual itself, not the death of the Red Court, that triggered the Bad Dreams, and whatever is coming next. And *someone* wanted that to happen.

[About Bianca's death]
Quote
I would say it's absolutely critical.  She is another sacrifice; her death is a casus belli.
As a principle, I hate omniscient villains (and I suspect that the Neurovore might be one, but that's another story). Look at the sequence of event that led to Bianca's death
- Lea manages to steal Amorrachius - purely opportunity based, due to Harry getting hit in the head and making some very bad decisions. This happens at the last minute before the party.
- Susan decides to show up at Bianca's party.
- Harry blows a fuse, throws the accords and everything else out the window and goes up against Bianca.
- He actually succeeds in killing her, even though he was captive , deprived of most of his power, and locked in a room with a bloodthirsty half-vamp.

Now, we know that players like Mab, Uriel or Vadderung have incredible foresight. But even so, Harry manage to surprise Mab a couple times. Predicting this precise chain of event seems far-fetched, even for players in their weight class. The only character we know of who had a shot at that is Rashid, and he cheats.

What I think is that the Red Court - or at least a faction of it, was indeed planning to start a war with the WC. Harry surprised them by starting that war earlier than they'd planned, and they just went with it. Whether by doing this he doomed the White Council or put a big wrench in the bad guys plan, only time will tell. Or Jim. But I suspect that Jim has some manner of control over time, the month of July feels entirely too long this year.  
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Zolt on July 08, 2011, 10:25:42 AM
I'll bet against.  We have no evidence at all that the drug does anything other than opens the Sight.  We know the Council hunts warlocks all the time, we know the number is long-term increasing because the population of the planet is increasing.

Indeed the Third-Eye has nothing to do with the increasing number of warlocks. But since I doubt Sells invented it himself so whoever gave him the formula must have had something in mind. I have a few ideas what that might be:

- Having lots of people see the "unseen" world wight help cause general panic, and weaken the barrier between both world (as a preparation for the events of Grave Peril).

- Having "mundane" underlings with the Sight can be exceedingly useful. They can help watch for supernatural menaces, or find people with a potential for magic in the general population. The only problem is that said underlings would go insane all too quickly. 

- Maybe that's why they decided to distribute Third Eye to the general population. From a large pool of addicts, they can pick those who are most resilient and retain some sanity. Furthermore, these can be controlled through their addiction.   



Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on July 08, 2011, 03:37:07 PM
Sorry, it wasn't Bob.  It was in a WoJ (http://www.jimbutcheronline.com/bb/index.php/topic,20960.msg917591.html#msg917591) from DragonCon .

OK, thank you.  I'd note that "the side-effects of magic change" does not seem to say that anything else about magic changes.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on July 08, 2011, 03:48:05 PM
I usually hesitate to jump into any thread the Neurovore has been in.  Bob-like memory combined with a predator's instinct for pointing out contradictions are though to go up against. Also, the use of pronouns becomes a death trap.

If I ever publish any fiction of my own, you've just made the go-to list for blurbs...

Quote
I try to avoid any theory that assumes that Harry is the center of creation (even though he actually is).

I don't think he's the centre of creation, but I think he is, without having figured it out enough to really be aware, at manhattan project levels of important in supernatural politics.


Quote
My question however is: Who exactly did the experiment benefit? It wasn't the vampires, or at least Bianca was not involved. That curse seems to be something that the vampires have used in the past - Martin knew about this ritual even before he started his whole double-agent thing. This isn't even a theory at this point, but *someone* wanted to experiment with , and get more data on that spell, then 12 years later *someone* manipulated the vamps to use the same curse, and make it massively overkill.

I tend to include that in the same direction as the someone who persuaded the vampires that the attack they carried out in DB was a good idea because they were going to get necrogod support, deliberately threw the Darkhallow, and left the Reds to take a major hit from Faerie in PG, myself.

Quote
[About Bianca's death]As a principle, I hate omniscient villains (and I suspect that the Neurovore might be one, but that's another story).

Hardly; I'm really quite nice when you get to know me.

Quote
- Lea manages to steal Amorrachius - purely opportunity based, due to Harry getting hit in the head and making some very bad decisions. This happens at the last minute before the party.

The Nightmare is Mavra's sock-puppet.   I think; throwing Harry against a tombstone to crack his skull so Lea has to save him is predictable; telling Michael to put the sword down or you crush his wife has a predictable result;  injure Charity so that Michael picks her up before the sword is predictable; harry taking the sword and Lea then taking a grab at it is predictable given Harry's sense of duty and Faerie obligations.  That whole scene reads to me as stage-managed in real time.

Quote
- Susan decides to show up at Bianca's party.

Predictable if you know Susan at all.

Quote
- Harry blows a fuse, throws the accords and everything else out the window and goes up against Bianca.

Predictable if you know Harry at all.

Quote
- He actually succeeds in killing her, even though he was captive , deprived of most of his power, and locked in a room with a bloodthirsty half-vamp.

Partly plausibly predictable and partly plausibly stage-managed in realtime.

I'm not saying that all of this chain of events was set up in advance (though I'd believe it of Francis Crawford of Lymond, and Mab and Uriel are supposed to be well beyond even the extremes of human capacity there.)  I am saying the plan was outlined in advance and events visibly managed as they occurred to keep it on track.

Quote
What I think is that the Red Court - or at least a faction of it, was indeed planning to start a war with the WC. Harry surprised them by starting that war earlier than they'd planned, and they just went with it. Whether by doing this he doomed the White Council or put a big wrench in the bad guys plan, only time will tell.

I am more inclined to believe he served the bad guys' plan to a T, there.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: pobabylon on July 08, 2011, 05:12:00 PM
The Council don't react to Red Court provocation because they basically have no need to; we see in Changes that when they finally do bestir themselves, the Red Court survive a matter of days.  The Council are in the position of a martial arts master walking down the street refusing to be provoked by the taunts of a small child into killing that small child with one blow.

reading your posts on the last page, this was the one thing that rang bells in my mind. have i missed something? if the WC could have so easily handled the RC, why wouldn't they have earlier during their war? iirc, the WC was reported as being on the losing side of the war several times. the results of Chances wasn't the WC killing a small child in my eyes, it was Martin's manipulation to get harry an extremely low blow that would hit the entire RC, the WC wasn't even a presence at the final conflict (sure a few of it's members where, but they were all Grey Council)
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: biggs on July 08, 2011, 07:35:10 PM
It was Arthur Langtry, remember? His policy was to stop the RC with wards, which his were very powerful. If you remember the various battle references, when the WC takes an offensive campaign, the RC get their balls caved in (paraphrasing Harry) by the WC. The reason they kept losing was because the Merlin was a pompous coward, politically speaking. Or something else entirely...
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: logistics on July 08, 2011, 07:42:00 PM
reading your posts on the last page, this was the one thing that rang bells in my mind. have i missed something? if the WC could have so easily handled the RC, why wouldn't they have earlier during their war? iirc, the WC was reported as being on the losing side of the war several times. the results of Chances wasn't the WC killing a small child in my eyes, it was Martin's manipulation to get harry an extremely low blow that would hit the entire RC, the WC wasn't even a presence at the final conflict (sure a few of it's members where, but they were all Grey Council)

I have to second this. If the White Council version of a nuke strike was able to be pulled off easily, surely the strategic situation in Dead Beat would have merited such a response - Peabody's manipulations could only go so far. Incidentally, the strike called up in Changes never materialized due to the Reds interference. Dresden managed to turn their own weapon upon them, but it still doesn't signify the White Council having the practical ability to do such a strike, even if they have the skill to do so. They tried and got slapped down before it ever occurred.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: biggs on July 08, 2011, 07:44:06 PM
Maybe Arthur is lying about his age, and is much more prone to influence than we thought... ;D
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: kazimmoinuddin on July 09, 2011, 02:02:13 AM
to a mortal it give a pseudo sight ability, what would it do to practioners, could they become addicts, easier to manipulate, mentally, corrupt them so become warlocks. possible power boost or ability.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on July 09, 2011, 02:14:33 AM
I have to second this. If the White Council version of a nuke strike was able to be pulled off easily, surely the strategic situation in Dead Beat would have merited such a response - Peabody's manipulations could only go so far.

They don't need to.  The strike in DB takes place by the Reds trespassing on Faerie.  Faerie will handle that, and do in PG - hard enough that whatever advantage the Reds (who lost all their war-later faction at the end of DM, and appear now to be entirely run by hardline hawks) had at the end of DB, PG reduces it to the point where the hard-line hawks come looking for a ceasefire.

Quote
Incidentally, the strike called up in Changes never materialized due to the Reds interference. Dresden managed to turn their own weapon upon them, but it still doesn't signify the White Council having the practical ability to do such a strike, even if they have the skill to do so. They tried and got slapped down before it ever occurred.

I disagree entirely.

The Council totally took out the Reds in Changes.  They did it by a combination of sending in a bunch of their best people dressed in grey, and denying Harry overt help so that he would turn to Mab for power, which she wants to give him and not any of the rest of them.  I don't for an instant believe that either Chandler's letter or Eb's report of illness among the Council are proven true; they work for me as motivations for Harry.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on July 09, 2011, 02:18:54 AM
It was Arthur Langtry, remember? His policy was to stop the RC with wards, which his were very powerful. If you remember the various battle references, when the WC takes an offensive campaign, the RC get their balls caved in (paraphrasing Harry) by the WC. The reason they kept losing was because the Merlin was a pompous coward, politically speaking.

For values of "pompous coward" equal to "not actually wanting to commit genocide".

He doesn't even have to have humanitarian* reasons for doing so.  It seems entirely possible to me that we will discover in the next couple of books that the consequences of the annihilation of the Red Court are much much worse than the consequences of their existence.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: kazimmoinuddin on July 09, 2011, 03:57:30 AM
the thing is humans may be cattle, for them to survive, alot of us needed to live, any one wanting to wipe out humanuty, will have an easier time.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: pobabylon on July 09, 2011, 05:20:00 AM
The Council totally took out the Reds in Changes.  They did it by a combination of sending in a bunch of their best people dressed in grey, and denying Harry overt help so that he would turn to Mab for power, which she wants to give him and not any of the rest of them.  I don't for an instant believe that either Chandler's letter or Eb's report of illness among the Council are proven true; they work for me as motivations for Harry.

that's .. interesting, I don't think the WC to be incompetent, but i wouldn't have thought to give them that much credit. How many people could really have known that Mab was on such good terms with harry, and had been pushing for him to become her Knight? I think there are still too many doubters in Harry on the council for that idea to have made it past "Those powers will finally turn him evil. not going to put our hopes of the RC's destruction in those hands"

you think the grey council is just a puppet organization for the WC do get things done? (sorta like.. abunch of blackstaffs?) I thought that alot of the Grey council members weren't even on the WC..


and biggs, you have a good point, i forgot that was the merlin's strong suit. but still, I think if the council could have so easily annihilated the entire red court so completely as at the end of changes, at literally any time they had wanted, they wouldn't have weathered an entire war with the RC before leaving if up to Harry to stumble his way into doing the task. Whether the WC was going to win the war or not, no one can say there weren't heavy losses among the wizards, and those losses would have continued to pile up.


Any way it's looked at, I'm excited to see the waves caused from the sudden absence of the entire RC, that certainly is a worldwide Change.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh on July 09, 2011, 03:31:37 PM
that's .. interesting, I don't think the WC to be incompetent, but i wouldn't have thought to give them that much credit. How many people could really have known that Mab was on such good terms with harry, and had been pushing for him to become her Knight?

Plausibly ? Ancient Mai, who seems to handle supernatural diplomacy for the Council generally, and who had an envoy visiting Mab in SK. Rashid with his spooky foreknowledge. Any other wizard with a working knowledge of Faerie.

Quote
I think there are still too many doubters in Harry on the council for that idea to have made it past "Those powers will finally turn him evil. not going to put our hopes of the RC's destruction in those hands"

I was not proposing they had much invested in Harry surviving the operation.  Besides, I think Harry under Mab's control might well strike some of those people as a less dangerous wild card than Harry as he was pre-Changes.

Quote
you think the grey council is just a puppet organization for the WC do get things done?

Yep.

Pretty much the first thing we're told about Arthur Langtry is that he plots on multiple levels.  The official denial that there is a Black Council and the existence of the Grey Council read to me as two halves of the same plan.

Quote
(sorta like.. abunch of blackstaffs?)

I'm not proposing that any of them other than Eb have sanction to ignore the Laws.  Just that they are set up to carry out the operation without it being visibly a White Council operation.

Quote
I thought that a lot of the Grey council members weren't even on the WC..

Only direct evidence we have for that is Odin showing up with them at the end, and I am not at all sure that just because he shows up to help he could be counted on as a member.

Quote
but still, I think if the council could have so easily annihilated the entire red court so completely as at the end of changes, at literally any time they had wanted, they wouldn't have weathered an entire war with the RC before leaving if up to Harry to stumble his way into doing the task.

He doesn't stumble.  He's steered every step of the way.  There are very few chapters in Changes where Harry is not being managed by some combination of a) the Merlin b) Eb c) Mab or Lea d) Uriel/the White God e) Odin.  It's not a complicated set of chances left to run, it's an operation micromanaged every step of the way.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: pobabylon on July 09, 2011, 07:02:13 PM
Besides, I think Harry under Mab's control might well strike some of those people as a less dangerous wild card than Harry as he was pre-Changes.

[/quote


woah, never thought of it that way, the WK mantle being a lash for keeping harry tame...
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Lord Rae on July 16, 2011, 04:43:58 PM
I'm not sure anyone who met Slate would consider being the winter knight as being "leashed". Rather if he's the winter knight he's "no longer our responsibility" would be the reasoning. But I'm not sure I buy it. If I did that would be the outcome they were going for.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Talion on July 17, 2011, 05:22:11 AM
For values of "pompous coward" equal to "not actually wanting to commit genocide".

He doesn't even have to have humanitarian* reasons for doing so.  It seems entirely possible to me that we will discover in the next couple of books that the consequences of the annihilation of the Red Court are much much worse than the consequences of their existence.

Well, thats pretty much a given since it was due to Harry ;-)
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Roverbey on July 17, 2011, 06:31:33 AM
He doesn't stumble.  He's steered every step of the way.  There are very few chapters in Changes where Harry is not being managed by some combination of a) the Merlin b) Eb c) Mab or Lea d) Uriel/the White God e) Odin.  It's not a complicated set of chances left to run, it's an operation micromanaged every step of the way.

Well nuerovore, while I agree we can't discount your theory of a group of Illuminati level conspirators controlling things from behind the scenes, neither is there much direct evidence to support it. Many events can be explained/justified if your theory is true, but by assuming the level of near omniscience and competence you give this proposed group you could easily link truly random and unrelated events (say me not having my morning tea causing a collapse of tea futures).  My main objection to this is largely personal in that such a conspiracy would be beyond complex with the potential for catastrophic failure if there is the equivalent of a rounding error in the plan. Depending upon the successful completion of, say, 200 events needing to happen in sequence just seems a needless complication. If such a conspiracy does exist in the Dresdenverse, I firmly expect Jim will show it toppling under its own weight simply because his universe seems to place a great store in free will and by its very nature such manipulation would be anti free will.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: ebliss1 on July 18, 2011, 12:09:58 PM
Quote
He doesn't stumble.  He's steered every step of the way.  There are very few chapters in Changes where Harry is not being managed by some combination of a) the Merlin b) Eb c) Mab or Lea d) Uriel/the White God e) Odin.  It's not a complicated set of chances left to run, it's an operation micromanaged every step of the way.

Gotta WAY DISAGREE on this one. If this was so carefully micromanaged as you state, then there is no way that Harry could have made the whole thing a TON worse - and he easily could have. The hijacked bloodline curse worked as it did because he goaded Susan into turning into the absolutely newest Red Court vampire in the world and then he used her to trigger the curse. If she had died before getting to that point (an easy-to-imagine scenario given the odds we saw stacked against out intrepid little band), the curse doesn't wipe out the entire Red Court, just some of it. Also, if Harry had just managed to take out the Red King, by his own words, that would have made the war against the White Council a lot harder since the Red King's instability and lack of coherent leadership were crippling the Red Court in the war. A Red Court with a sane and focused leader would have been brutal on the White Council. Also, had Harry's bloodline curse been used on, say, one of the Lords of Outer Night instead of a fledgling Susan, then all he would have done would have been to wipe out the leadership cadre (since the curse does not go down the family tree, only up), and thus leave thousands of Red Court vampires all over the world without restrictions. The could feed on and turn humans at will and we could have seen a population explosion among the Red Court.

There were way to many variables with too many available paths to being seriously up the creek for the CI scenario to have been micromanaged. MAYBE if we had seen Lea whisper to Harry that turning Susan and sacrificing her was tha answer I could by into your theory, but Harry came up with it all on his own that we could see. An no one, anywhere, wants to leave any plan up to Harry's bolshevik muppet thinking bringing him to the right conclusion.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: MegaPuff75 on July 18, 2011, 04:19:23 PM
Also the only reason Harry became the WK is because he broke his back falling off that ladder and landing on something, no one could have predicted that this would have happened.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Vryce on July 18, 2011, 04:21:57 PM
i think Marcon did....
something about he does not have to kill him because Harry's over developed sense of honor/morals would get him killed of offed anyway.

No predicting that would exactly happen... No
but i think there have been a lot of people and things that have been waiting for Dresden to jump into something he could not handle
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: itari on July 18, 2011, 05:31:03 PM
Also the only reason Harry became the WK is because he broke his back falling off that ladder and landing on something, no one could have predicted that this would have happened.
Oh? I'm sure it wasn't an accident.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Rasins on July 18, 2011, 06:05:09 PM
He doesn't stumble.  He's steered every step of the way.  There are very few chapters in Changes where Harry is not being managed by some combination of a) the Merlin b) Eb c) Mab or Lea d) Uriel/the White God e) Odin.  It's not a complicated set of chances left to run, it's an operation micromanaged every step of the way.

WAIT A MINUTE ... Changes was set up by Susan telling Harry they had a child.  Do you believe that the Merlin, Eb, Mab/Lea, Uriel/the White God, AND (not or), Odin all knew he had a kid and that that child was going to be used in a bloodline curse?

I could see one or two of them knowing, but not all, and not all being on the same page with a plan that ultimately won the war for the WC.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: contraducktory on July 18, 2011, 06:12:25 PM
Everyone but the Merlin and Eb could have known.  As for the bloodline curse, it would all depend on the 'foresight' that particular entity possessed.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Rasins on July 18, 2011, 06:40:41 PM
Everyone but the Merlin and Eb could have known.  As for the bloodline curse, it would all depend on the 'foresight' that particular entity possessed.

I agree that those three COULD have known, but I doubt that all three DID know.  In fact, I'd bet that the WG and Lea/MAB did know.  Odin - maybe after Harry's visit.  But enough for them to micromanage the events in Changes ... I find that doubtful.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Kettu on July 18, 2011, 09:42:33 PM
There were way to many variables with too many available paths to being seriously up the creek for the CI scenario to have been micromanaged. MAYBE if we had seen Lea whisper to Harry that turning Susan and sacrificing her was tha answer I could by into your theory, but Harry came up with it all on his own that we could see. An no one, anywhere, wants to leave any plan up to Harry's bolshevik muppet thinking bringing him to the right conclusion.

Read the conversations that Harry had with Odin, Mab/Lea and Uriel again. They don't quite draw him a chart but close... Odin at least was practically hammering him over the head with "See, bloodline curse will follow the bloodline up, remember this, it's important, and did I mention that all Red Court vamps are family-as-in-related-by-blood, geddit? Get what I'm saying?" Susan wasn't going to randomly die in the battle either, because Lea gave her magical protections that made her completely undetectable and she had Amorrachius to boot. Sanya conveniently appeared after Harry was injured, not ten seconds before when he could have stopped it from happening. Both Odin and Uriel directed Harry towards becoming the Winter Knight. And from where exactly did the idea to sacrifice Susan come into Harry's head, anyway? Mab was whispering in his mind during that battle.

I agree that those three COULD have known, but I doubt that all three DID know.  In fact, I'd bet that the WG and Lea/MAB did know.  Odin - maybe after Harry's visit.  But enough for them to micromanage the events in Changes ... I find that doubtful.

There's no doubt that they knew. They all mention Maggie before Harry himself brings her up, and Odin is the very person who volunteers the info about the bloodline curse and Chichen Itza.

ETA: And on top of all this we know for a fact that Mab's highest ranking servant, Lea, and Odin were working together to bring the Grey Council to CI. There had to be coordination and planning going on.

Oh? I'm sure it wasn't an accident.

Same here.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: itari on July 18, 2011, 10:00:39 PM
Susan wasn't going to randomly die in the battle either, because Lea gave her magical protections that made her completely undetectable and she had Amorrachius to boot.
And totally by accident, Harry wore conquistador outfit, while Susan was dressed up as a human sacrifice. A not-so-subtle hint from the Sidhe?

Heh, it's even in the WoJ compilation:
Quote
Did anyone else note that the costume that Lea gave Susan was sacrificial robe to Harry's conquistador?
GOD I LOVE AN OBSERVANT READER!
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Serack on July 19, 2011, 02:22:29 AM
And totally by accident, Harry wore conquistador outfit, while Susan was dressed up as a human sacrifice. A not-so-subtle hint from the Sidhe?

Heh, it's even in the WoJ compilation:

Your WoJ foo is strong
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: itari on July 19, 2011, 09:40:40 AM
Your WoJ foo is strong
Why, thanks! (and this coming from the WoJ Rock Star himself ;D)
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: ebliss1 on July 19, 2011, 11:56:49 AM
Quote
And totally by accident, Harry wore conquistador outfit, while Susan was dressed up as a human sacrifice. A not-so-subtle hint from the Sidhe?

Heh, it's even in the WoJ compilation:

Ahh, true - BUT the Spanish Conquistadores were trying to wipe out the "savages" who practiced human sacrifice because that was contrary to Catholic dogma. The Spanish were not the ones doing the sacrificing - though one could argue that the numbers of deaths caused by the conquistadores would have been dramatically lower if they had bought into the Aztec/Inca/Maya religions as opposed to doing the whole genocide thing.

All that being said, it seems somehow hypocritical of Jim to have all of Harry's actions micromanaged to the point of him almost blindly following some divine plan when he hammers home to us in the text so often that humans actually have free will. If we get som many occurrences of exposition talking about the merits of free will and the ability to make choices, and then have the whole series as being a human who was herded into making the only possible choices to follow a divine plan will be a serious cop out.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Kettu on July 19, 2011, 12:04:21 PM
All that being said, it seems somehow hypocritical of Jim to have all of Harry's actions micromanaged to the point of him almost blindly following some divine plan when he hammers home to us in the text so often that humans actually have free will. If we get som many occurrences of exposition talking about the merits of free will and the ability to make choices, and then have the whole series as being a human who was herded into making the only possible choices to follow a divine plan will be a serious cop out.

Being manipulated is not the same thing as not having free will. Harry still made his own choices every step of the way.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: Phariah on July 19, 2011, 09:28:50 PM
And totally by accident, Harry wore conquistador outfit, while Susan was dressed up as a human sacrifice. A not-so-subtle hint from the Sidhe?

Heh, it's even in the WoJ compilation:
the sacrifice on the table had no robe nor did Lil Maggie. the outfit Susan wore was more like the vamp priestess robes. not a human sacrifice. the only play at anything i see would be Arianna and Ortega. she was a Mayan priestess and he was a conquistador. Lea knew of this and even talked about it in the limo. the robes like the one at the RC warehouse. they were props for the ceremony worn by the people committing the sacrifice.
Title: Re: Origins of the Three Eye drug. (Changes spoiler)
Post by: itari on July 19, 2011, 09:45:18 PM
So why did Jim write that he loved an observant reader, if the outfits weren't significant at all?