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The Dresden Files => DF Spoilers => DF Reference Collection => Topic started by: Cenphx on December 20, 2012, 02:00:15 AM

Title: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Cenphx on December 20, 2012, 02:00:15 AM
Suspects
Lord Raith: Teacher for Victor Sells?

Considered a likely suspect because Sells worked at SilverCo, reminiscent of the other named Raith company, SilverLight, from Blood Rites. Sells was friends with his boss at work. He obtained books about magic and Raith has an extensive, locked away library. Furthermore, Sells learned to fuel his rituals with sex; to fuel his magic from other people’s emotions, each a very-WCV modus operandus.

However, much of this evidence could suggest any WCV actively affiliated with the Raith family and businesses. Lord Raith did work with or teach “assistant” magical practitioners, see Madge in Blood Rites, but it seems that he uses females not males (Madge, Margaret LeFay, Lara).

Most importantly, Lord Raith could potentially at least be responsible for Sells and the entropy curse in BR, he is not a viable suspect for the love seatbelts or the hexenwolf belts. By the time of Love Hurts, which takes place between Turn Coat and Changes, Lord Raith is ostensibly a puppet of Lara’s. Even if he is not Lara’s puppet, the love seatbelts were being used to cut down on potential food for the WCV. Whoever was teaching LeBlanc need not share her goals, but certainly Lord Raith would not help her cull the WCV’s food supply.

We can eliminate Lord Raith.

Erlking: Distributor of the Hexenwolf belts? (see Reply #7, 29)

Considered a likely suspect because the belt creates a predator-hunter in the wearer; the FBI base connects to his place in the NN; and the FBI are hunters, the belt is a tool of hunters. The proposed motive for the Erlking to give out the belts was because the Erlking’s goal is to be left alone to hunt and he deals harshly with those who interfere. Others, like Odin, can lead the Wild Hunt, and thus interfere. Marcone is very connected to Odin. Therefore, the guess is that Erlking is messing with Marcone because Marcone is one of Odin’s descendants

However, the hexenwolves are driven to kill in a way that is not sporting and would not be condoned by the Erlking and the victims are not prey worthy of a hunt. When Harry soulgazes Denton, the agent’s soul, beyond the erosion caused by his years working as a cop, is covered in a layer of filth and slime, most likely a result of the belt. The Erlking’s magic would not be corruptive like this. Also, Odin and the Erlking do not seem to be at odds with one about who leads the hunt; they were okay with Harry taking over briefly. 

Most importantly, the Erlking has no connection at all to the love seatbelts, to Victor Sells or to the entropy ritual/curse used in Blood Rites. We should also consider the WoJ about whether we have met the people who created the belts where  he answered, “That's another "I'm not gonna tell you" question. I will say, "kind of," "not really," and "yes." But we'll get into more of that during Cold Days as well.”  [See http://www.jimbutcheronline.com/bb/index.php/topic,22558.msg1252323.html#msg1252323]

This WoJ could refer to three characters being involved, one of whom we’ve seen but don’t really know (e.g. Cowl; Mavra, if the body saw her in is a puppet), one of whom we’ve heard of but never met, (e.g. Margaret LeFay; Justin) and one we definitely know (e.g Lord Raith, Elaine, Erlking). It could also all be referring to the same character, who we have met, but who is infected by Nemesis, which has not yet been revealed to us, such that “yes” we’ve met the character, but we only have “kind of” met the creator of the belts, which is more Nemesis than the infected character. The second interpretation makes more sense because it incorporates the second part of Jim’s statement that we got information about the creator of the belt in Cold Days, which I take to refer to us learning about Nemesis and how it infects people.

We can eliminate the Erlking.

Cowl:

Certainly would have the magical power/ability to create the belts, the ThreeEye potion and has probably been around long enough to be aware of the bloodline curse. But in DB when Cowl first meets Harry outside of Bock Ordered Books he says something like, “I want to see what has the Wardens so nervous.”  This suggests Cowl wasn't around in SF or FM.  He does not have the knowledge of Harry which would be shared by whoever was involved with the Hexenwolves or Victor Sells. 

Mavra: (see Reply #36, 43, 55; 50; plus Drakul connection at #57)

Also would have the magical power/ability to create the belts, the ThreeEye potion and has probably been around long enough to be aware of the bloodline curse. Additionally, in Grave Peril, we see her actively teaching magic to lesser practitioner, which fits with Sells.

I haven’t thought about her as much as the first few suspects. I don’t think she is a good fit for all LH=FM=SF=BR. But Mavra could use more consideration.

Nemesis:

Given the WoJ that we learned something about the makers of the hexenwolf belts in Cold Days, I concluded he was referring to Nemesis. However, knowing someone is infected with Nemesis does not help to narrow our suspect pool.

Red Court vamps (see Reply #30)

My WAG:

I am trying to operate on the principle that my theory should be as simple as possible, but no simpler. So I will not introduce an unnecessarily complicated scenario, if a more straightforward one works for all of the relevant plots in Storm Front, Fool Moon, Blood Rites and Love Hurts. I know that just because the resulting theory is simple, does not mean it is valid.

We know that there is at least one person above LeBlanc (LH) and Denton (FM). There is no reason to presume that this person is other than the person who created the belts. Therefore, we are looking for a wizard. Given the complexity of the ThreeEye potion and the belts, I believe the wizard in question must great ability, if not brute strength like Harry.  In other words, a White Council level wizard. A consistent pattern emerges from the fact that the most likely suspect for each event is *inconsistent*. In other words, a fall guy is in place, so none of the suspected groups is where we will find our suspect. Given Lord Raith’s penchant for working with female wizards, I believe he would continue with this pattern after Maggie Sr. escaped him, so we are looking for a female wizard of WC strength. Finally, given the WoJ about the wolf belts, I believe this strong female wizard is infected with Nemesis.

Here’s where I get crazy. The connections between these events are better at eliminating suspects, than positively identifying anyone, but I’ve never been afraid of lobbing a WAG.

My two suspects are Elaine and/or Luccio.

Beyond the above reasoning, one reason I consider Elaine especially is as follows: the tag word Jim uses for the magic in the belt is “delicate”. Harry says that “LeBlanc was no practitioner. She can’t be the one who was working the whammy….This is a delicate, difficult magic. There might not be three people on the entire White Council who could pull it off.” [LH (331)]. (Don’t forget that whammy is also a reference to the magic in the wolf belts.) Jim uses tags, or short phrases or specific words, to call to mind a certain character: “Tags are words you hang upon your character when you describe them. When you're putting things together, for each character, pick a word or two or three to use in describing them. Then, every so often, hit on one of those words in reference to them, and avoid using them elsewhere when possible. By doing this, you'll be creating a psychological link between those words and that strong entry image of your character.” http://jimbutcher.livejournal.com/1698.html.

One tag for Elaine is that her magic is “delicate” and graceful: grace, style, elegance [SK 152]; elegant, slender, graceful, grey storm cloud eyes [SK 115]. She is responsible for the mind fog in Summer Knight, [SK 363], which was a “dangerous and delicate spell”, and which was rare [SK 295] and so strong that Harry was not sure that even a Queen could pull it off outside of faery [SK 304]. I also think this mind fog shows a precision with mind magic that is echoed in the way each of the belts gets inside the heads of the wearers. I think the belts are a form of mind magic more than just a plain spell.

As for Luccio, in order to be able to pull off the belts in LH, she would have to be faking whether she still has magic after the body swap in Dead Beat. Setting that aside, there is some evidence that Luccio was around in Storm Front.

Harry goes to the police station: “the desk sergeant wasn’t the mustached old warhorse whom I had run into before, but a graying matron with steely eyes who disapproved of me and my lifestyle in a single glance, then made me wait while she called up Murphy.” [SF 151.] Given that this is the first book and we’ve never met the usual desk sergeant, why did Harry *need* to tell us that the desk sergeant was new? Consider Luccio’s description: “solid old matriarch of a woman, as tall as most men and built like someone who did plenty of physical labor. Her hair was a solid shade of iron grey, cropped into a neat military cut.” [DB 349]. Perhaps he had to point out the new sergeant so we could later figure out that Luccio was around?

There is other evidence that magic is being done at the police station during SF. Harry specifically noted in this book that static during a phone call usually happened on his end of the phone. [SF 171-72]. Early on in the book, the telephone connection to Murphy at the station was so clear Harry could hear her drop an Alka-Seltzer into a glass. [SF 108]. Later, Harry tried to call Murphy at her desk at the police station, but Carmichael answered because Murphy had left to go arrest Harry. Carmichael acted someone was standing next to him, he pretended like he was talking to someone other than Harry. There was static on Carmichael’s end of the call, which was scratchy, noisy, and which squealed with static, [SF 281-82], which is a signal that someone is doing magic at the other end. Harry then immediately called Murphy at his office and there was no problem with static. [SF 282].

Now consider that in LH, Harry calls the WC and gets Luccio. He asks her about whether any black magic pinging in Chicago. Luccio has no info for him, but does asks what he thinks is going on. Harry also uses a few lines to explain that because of all the magic at the other end of the call he may have trouble hearing Luccio [LH 308-09], reminiscent of how he has problems only on the other end of the line in SF. What is unusual about these lines is that so much is dedicated to telling us very little. In contrast, Harry later summarizes using all his other supernatural contacts in about one line. So what purpose does the long exchange with Luccio serve? Is it a signal to remember where else similar problems happened?

Luccio as a suspect answers several unanswered questions. A question left over from Storm Front is why did Morgan show up when he did in SF and how did he know about the murders of Tommy Tom and Jennifer Stanton?  Morgan says, “Someone killed two people with sorcery last night, I think it was you.”  Was it just a coincidence or did someone point him in the right direction at the right time? Luccio, as Morgan’s mentor, would be in a position to provide him information he would not question.

If Luccio is infected with Nemesis/is a traitor, it explains why Cowl is constantly moaning about how the WC is corrupt. It could bring LaFortier’s death into a different light. Could it explain why Mab sent the hobs to the train station in SmF-were they after Luccio, not the Archive? Could it explain where Thorned Namshiel’s coin disappeared to? She was in the helicopter as well. Could this explain that funky letter that is sent to Harry where she claims the WC has turned on the wardens, causing him to look elsewhere for help? Could it explain why her versions of Harry’s mother differ from the other accounts we get of her? Could it explain why her story about Ivy’s mother is not only wrong, per the Archive’s own account, but wrong in a way which seems calculated to make Ivy despair? Could it explain why she tries to convince Harry not to console Ivy after SmF? Could it explain why she receives a non-fatal, non-maiming wound in the first moments of the battle against Shagnasty at Chateau Raith which allows her to be left behind at Harry’s apartment, perhaps so she could be one of the two wizards we know appeared at DemonReach during TurnCoat? Could it explain how the ghouls knew where Camp Kaboom was?

There was more, but my brain is melting.

Edit:  I added a line for the Red Court vampires as a suspect and I listed the replies which contained the theories supporting each suspect so its easier to find what you are looking for in the thread.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Mars447 on December 20, 2012, 02:14:27 AM
Unlikely on both counts, IMO, because the world is not that small.  Elaine is most likely not the only practitioner of "delicate", "intricate", and "graceful" magic out there, plus we've seen nothing from Elaine that indicates that she's any great shakes at crafting enchantments or that she'd be okay with making a love spell belt (especially since she would have just come off from recovering from her mental trauma from Justin's enthrallment).  Likewise with Luccio, I'm going to go out on a limb here and say that pre-body swap Luccio was not the only tough old bird in the White Council, let alone the world.  Plus, you would think that Harry, who by SF would still be living under the threat of death by a Warden's sword, at any moment, would be able to recognize what their leader looked like.

As for the events of SmF, we know that by then Luccio had been compromised... by Peabody's mind whammy, alongside the entire Senior Council and a good half of the Wardens.  After all, it was in SmF that she started putting the moves on Harry, which at the time seemed pretty out of the blue but we now know to have been due to Peabody's influence.  Whether or not Mab sicced hobs on her because she knew Luccio had been compromised by somebody under Outsider influence is anyone's guess, but I will say that the information she gave us on the Archive actually made more sense than "The Archive is the Archive starting from birth", which you'd think would turn vessels of the Archive into raving loons 100% of the time.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Cenphx on December 20, 2012, 02:23:33 AM
I agree that other people may practice magic that is "delicate", but that's not the point. The point is that Jim uses this word specifically as a shorthand for Elaine. He does not use that tag for other people.

As for whether Harry should have recognized Luccio if he saw her in SF, he didn't recognize Martha Liberty when he saw her in SK, because he has limited contact with the WC. The first and only time before SK he was at a meeting, he had a bag over his head. The better question is why, when Harry saw Luccio again in DB, did he not remember her from SF? Harry's memory seems to have been futzed with any number of times. Whoever is responsible for these belts seems to be adept at mind magic. If they did not want Harry to remember something vital, I don't think he would.

That being said, my guesses about the suspects is weak, I know. I think the connections I've made between the various plots is really useful at eliminating certain people, but its not conclusive proof against anyone, at this point.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: madness on December 20, 2012, 05:32:00 AM
The whole reason that Rashid was the one to help put Luccio's mind back together at the end of Turn Coat was so that he could inspect her for Nemesis infection, IMO.

We know that Rashid was inside of Luccio's mind and we know that he cleared her of Nemesis infection (unless he is using her as an unknowing double agent) so it seems wise to assume that she is not and was not infected.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Elegast on December 20, 2012, 08:20:27 AM
Why no one talks of the Reds? IMHO, the most likely suspect. I'll post a more detailed answer later.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Paladino on December 20, 2012, 10:36:13 AM
If Love Hurt didn't happen after Turn Coat, I'd say Peabody was the perfect suspect..

Now, I'm not sure about Elaine, but I think she is on the level, she came really close to die on WN fighting against an outsider plan..
 
As for Luccio, I think the Gatekeeper took the oportunity to give her a good scam after the events on TC.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: nick012000 on December 20, 2012, 11:12:02 AM
Why no one talks of the Reds? IMHO, the most likely suspect. I'll post a most detailed answer later.
Considering that the spell they were using in Changes was a fully-powered version of the same spell Sells was using, I definitely think that a Nemesis-infected Red Court vampire was behind him, at least.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ms Duck on December 20, 2012, 11:24:54 AM
I agree that other people may practice magic that is "delicate", but that's not the point. The point is that Jim uses this word specifically as a shorthand for Elaine. He does not use that tag for other people.

As for whether Harry should have recognized Luccio if he saw her in SF, he didn't recognize Martha Liberty when he saw her in SK, because he has limited contact with the WC. The first and only time before SK he was at a meeting, he had a bag over his head. The better question is why, when Harry saw Luccio again in DB, did he not remember her from SF? Harry's memory seems to have been futzed with any number of times. Whoever is responsible for these belts seems to be adept at mind magic. If they did not want Harry to remember something vital, I don't think he would.

That being said, my guesses about the suspects is weak, I know. I think the connections I've made between the various plots is really useful at eliminating certain people, but its not conclusive proof against anyone, at this point.

Molly also gets the 'delicate' moniker, im afraid.

Im 90% certain that the actual creator of the belts, at least, is the erlking.

for these reasons:

his statements in changes about how he competes with those who interfere with his hunts

Jim's woj about how such competition is settled:
Quote
All of which doesn't even TOUCH on the way power is actually balanced in Faerie, because neither Mab nor the Erlking would attempt such a thing, or /consider/ attempting such a thing.  It would upset the natural order.  Conflicts between most of the Fae powers are very subtle, and generally involve proxies, pride, sex or all of the above


the fact we see in CD odin competeing with Erlking

Odin's connection to Marcone

The Erlking's connection to the FBI

a lost WOJ, in which someone (not me, may have been Landing I think) had put 2+2 together a few years back, and Jim had remarked on the forum that someone had figured it out. Jim , as i recall, did not say which theory was correct but many of us assumed from the timing and the comments that it was the Erlking one, largely because no one had suggested it before.

so that uneliminates the Erlking  :D



on the other hand Im very impressed with what youve done so far. would you be able to redo your ideas under the assumption that Erlking made the belts, but someone else bargained for them, and see where it goes?

for example, we know the Red Court had an inside agent in the police department.  w ealso know the reds and the erlking were not enemies prior to changes in any major fashion- he didnt just shoot them on sight.

it quite plausible that the person who made the belts was not the same person who did the open heart spell.. or even that the red court may have bought both from indpendant contractors.

 ;)
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Elegast on December 20, 2012, 12:12:20 PM
Here is a new WOJ found by Knnn in the LKH yahoo group, which may be relevant:

Appearance: before or after losing the glamor? An Ash quote comes to mind "You got real ugly."

...it had a bat-like face, horrid and ugly, the head too big for its body.  Gaping, hungry jaws. Its shoulders were hunched, powerful, and membranous wings stretched between the joints of its almost skeletal arms. Flabby black breasts hung before it, spilled out of the black dress that no longer did anything to make it look more feminine. Its eyes were wide, black, and staring, and a kind of leathery, slimy hide covered its flesh, like an inner tube lathered with Vaseline...

Powers: unknown, but enough to scare Harry who does things like float elevators on wind at the drop of a hat with a minor charm bracelet.

Their ability to mask themselves could potentially be used to look like someone else--or /you/, for that matter. They also have narcotic saliva that renders a victim passive while the vamp feeds, and is addictive and habit-forming, to boot. They get the standard vampire package of 'stronger and faster than you,' and Harry harbors some suspicions that looking one of them in the eyes could be bad for him and way bad for someone without his
kind of mental defenses.

That's only the Red Court's vampires, though, and they're just one of the vampire factions. They just happen to be the first ones Harry makes want to kill him. ;) The White Court, Black Court, and Jade Court are way different.

/shamelessselfpromotion off

Jim
LALA
AAA
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Cenphx on December 20, 2012, 02:27:25 PM
@ Ms. Duck-I can see what you mean about the timing of that WoJ you mentioned. And I have no problem reevaluating my thinking on any of this. Idid think about 'what if there are 2 layers of suspects above the players we see', but that would lead to an endless series of combinations to consider and my 2 threads are already waa-a-y too long. Which is why I tried to look at whether one suspect could work for each plot. Variation on occams. I know that doesnt make it more accurate, but I was curious if it could work. And I think it could, with some hiccups.   
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ms Duck on December 20, 2012, 02:33:46 PM
@ Ms. Duck-I can see what you mean about the timing of that WoJ you mentioned. And I have no problem reevaluating my thinking on any of this. Idid think about 'what if there are 2 layers of suspects above the players we see', but that would lead to an endless series of combinations to consider and my 2 threads are already waa-a-y too long. Which is why I tried to look at whether one suspect could work for each plot. Variation on occams. I know that doesnt make it more accurate, but I was curious if it could work. And I think it could, with some hiccups.

well then by all means continue. im curious as to whast you will come up with :)
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Cenphx on December 20, 2012, 02:37:49 PM
@ Elegast-re: the RCVs. That theory just doesnt sing for me like the others do. Bianca doesnt seem to know whats going on in SF and shes the ranking, just moved in RCV. She doesnt appear to learn magic until after her aide is killed, so its unlikely that she was teaching Sells complicated magic before SF. Also, im not convinced Marcone was the real reason the wolf belts were passed out. I think eventually he became the direction the hexenwolves were aimed, but a helluva lot of unrelated people died before that. Finally, which mortal wizard called the outsiders for the RCVs in their battle w/the WC? Simplest answer is the reds were also being helped by the same high level wizard 
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ms Duck on December 20, 2012, 02:42:51 PM
@ Elegast-re: the RCVs. That theory just doesnt sing for me like the others do. Bianca doesnt seem to know whats going on in SF and shes the ranking, just moved in RCV. She doesnt appear to learn magic until after her aide is killed, so its unlikely that she was teaching Sells complicated magic before SF. Also, im not convinced Marcone was the real reason the wolf belts were passed out. I think eventually he became the direction the hexenwolves were aimed, but a helluva lot of unrelated people died before that. Finally, which mortal wizard called the outsiders for the RCVs in their battle w/the WC? Simplest answer is the reds were also being helped by the same high level wizard

Cowl? or Mavra? both could fit those options nicely and both have possible motives and opportunity  ;)
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Cenphx on December 20, 2012, 02:45:16 PM
Ms. Duck- re Molly and her magic being labelled delicate, too. I think you are right. Sigh. Well, the evidence for Elaine isnt strong, other than that and she's a powerful female wizard and the female part isnt even necessary.  In your theory, who do you think got the belts from the Erlking? How would you explain the connection to the love hurts belts? Did someone leanr how to make them based on the Erlkings design?
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: 123456789blaaa on December 20, 2012, 02:48:48 PM
Cowl? or Mavra? both could fit those options nicely and both have possible motives and opportunity  ;)

Outsiders can only be called by mortals so Mavra doesn't fit the last point. It's also possible that there are other mortal practitioners in the Circle who could call the outsiders or perhaps infected practitioners.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ms Duck on December 20, 2012, 02:52:03 PM
Ms. Duck- re Molly and her magic being labelled delicate, too. I think you are right. Sigh. Well, the evidence for Elaine isnt strong, other than that and she's a powerful female wizard and the female part isnt even necessary.  In your theory, who do you think got the belts from the Erlking? How would you explain the connection to the love hurts belts? Did someone leanr how to make them based on the Erlkings design?

mehtinsk they were bought. the sidhe love bargains, and they love causing a mess.

lets say the reds want help. who better to make a bargain with then the erlking? hes not exactly mr nice. and he keeps his deals. and it would have the added bonus of letting him annoy his rival, Odin.

his statement in changes was very oddly specifc to that point-

as to the tutur, im betting on mavra. she had a long standing plan to cause a war between the red court  and the white council- they are both old enemies of hers- and we know shes involved.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: knnn on December 20, 2012, 03:08:25 PM
I am most intrigued by the WoJ:
Quote
Q: Have we met the people who created the Hexenwolf belts yet?

A: That's another "I'm not gonna tell you" question. I will say, "kind of," "not really," and "yes." But we'll get into more of that during Cold Days as well.

I don't see the second part referencing anything but Nemesis, that would fill out either "kind of" or "not really" (probably the latter).  Not really sure who could be the "yes" part.

FWIW, I personally never saw the Erlking as the origin of the wofl-belts.  There is a certain "demonic" vibe going on there, something I don't get at all from the Erlking.

Other options include:

- Arianna: Strong Raith and RC connection, but maybe not powerful enough as a wizard.  Also unsure of why she would take an interest in Chicago so far back, unless she was following up on Maggie's progeny.

- Tessa: Certainly has the magical capability and a "demonic" background, but the Raith connection is weaker.

----------

Personally, I'd vote for Mavra. 

- Per the first two books, there's someone going around giving people magical help, and then in GP we see Mavra onscreen helping out Bianca and Kravos. 

- Mavra has a grudge against the Whites, so belts ain't a bad thing.

- One of the PG theories is that Sandra Marlin (person who suggest that Molly use fear) is an agent for someone trying get Molly to use black magic (same as Victor Sells and Kravos).  Molly met Sandra at a homeless shelter, giving us a definitive Mavra connection.  Note that this might be the connection Jim was referencing when he mentioned that "someone figured it out".
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Cenphx on December 20, 2012, 03:11:31 PM
I hope we learn more about the Black Court soon, especially about Mavra and her capabilities. If she was a wizard before she was turned, does the magic she does now still count as 'mortal'? I would guess not, but who knows?          I will say, I dont think the motive of our suspect is RCV vs WCV, or BCV vs everyone else. I think we've seen exactly the goal--the dissemination of magic. Why? Im not sure. I wonder if it has something to do with making it easier for Outsiders to get in.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Elegast on December 20, 2012, 03:26:35 PM
I am most intrigued by the WoJ:
I don't see the second part referencing anything but Nemesis, that would fill out either "kind of" or "not really" (probably the latter).  Not really sure who could be the "yes" part.

I had the same thoughts. The quote was made after Ghost Story, so the vast ajority of the culprits don't fit the "not really" requirement. That being said, it was a live interview, so I'm not sure if it is wise to parse every single word.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ms Duck on December 20, 2012, 03:26:48 PM
I am most intrigued by the WoJ:
I don't see the second part referencing anything but Nemesis, that would fill out either "kind of" or "not really" (probably the latter).  Not really sure who could be the "yes" part.

FWIW, I personally never saw the Erlking as the origin of the wofl-belts.  There is a certain "demonic" vibe going on there, something I don't get at all from the Erlking.

Other options include:

- Arianna: Strong Raith and RC connection, but maybe not powerful enough as a wizard.  Also unsure of why she would take an interest in Chicago so far back, unless she was following up on Maggie's progeny.

- Tessa: Certainly has the magical capability and a "demonic" background, but the Raith connection is weaker.

----------

Personally, I'd vote for Mavra. 

- Per the first two books, there's someone going around giving people magical help, and then in GP we see Mavra onscreen helping out Bianca and Kravos. 

- Mavra has a grudge against the Whites, so belts ain't a bad thing.

- One of the PG theories is that Sandra Marlin (person who suggest that Molly use fear) is an agent for someone trying get Molly to use black magic (same as Victor Sells and Kravos).  Molly met Sandra at a homeless shelter, giving us a definitive Mavra connection.  Note that this might be the connection Jim was referencing when he mentioned that "someone figured it out".

that woj can also be read as confirming erlking, as before cold days the connection between odin and the wild hunt was only suspected; now that the two are competitors for it is confirmed
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Elegast on December 20, 2012, 05:59:08 PM
So it could be:

Raith
Arriana
Cowl
Mavra
Erlking
Luccio
Elaine

Such madness...

Cenphx, can I add a poll to this thread?
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Cenphx on December 20, 2012, 06:56:21 PM

Cenphx, can I add a poll to this thread?
Absolutely!!
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Cenphx on December 20, 2012, 07:03:53 PM
Two additional things I thought of again when I was rereading everyone's posts here. 1) With regard to Rashid examining Luccio, such that she isn't likely to be infected. I think we were told Rashid's ability to find Nemesis isn't perfect specifically because it will fail at some critical point. But I concede this is a point to keep in mind indicating Luccio might not be infected. 2) With regard to the RCVs or a particular one being our suspect, from a storytelling perspective, I wouldn't think the bad guy behind all these acts would already be dead and not be a player in the BAT.

I really hoped making the connections between these events would narrow our list of suspects, but it doesn't seem like that's happening.  :o
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Elegast on December 20, 2012, 07:07:25 PM
Two additional things I thought of again when I was rereading everyone's posts here. 1) With regard to Rashid examining Luccio, such that she isn't likely to be infected. I think we were told Rashid's ability to find Nemesis isn't perfect specifically because it will fail at some critical point. But I concede this is a point to keep in mind indicating Luccio might not be infected. 2) With regard to the RCVs or a particular one being our suspect, from a storytelling perspective, I wouldn't think the bad guy behind all these acts would already be dead and not be a player in the BAT.

I really hoped making the connections between these events would narrow our list of suspects, but it doesn't seem like that's happening.  :o


I'm not  a fan of the Luccio theory, but there is another clue supporting it:
Quote from: SK
Peabody nodded. "Wizard Luciozzi."

"Sabbatical," said the blue-bearded and tattooed wizard behind me. Ebenezar frowned, and one of his cheeks twitched in a nervous tic.

That was the year the war started...
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Mars447 on December 20, 2012, 07:23:17 PM
Eh.... that's very, very thin.

If you are to create a poll, be sure to include an option for "None of the Above".  The world is large enough that I'm sure there are players in the game that Harry has not met yet.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Cenphx on December 20, 2012, 07:23:58 PM
I know that my gut instinct has been to hold both Elaine and Luccio in very, very high suspicion, so anytime I connect something to them, I worry about it being confirmation bias more than pure theorizing based solely on the facts in front of me. That's why I put it in front of you all to shoot holes in! Keeps me grounded in reality. But that list of unanswered questions I included at the end of my rant about Luccio seemed more compelling to me as I went on. She really is in a position to have caused much of everything. Does anyone find this important or am I just seeing it that way cause my gut tells me she's bad news?

Re: Lucciozzi. I noticed that, too. I've even wondered, based on that (plus the idea that the BC was trying to get a member on the Senior Council and when this failed because Eb stepped up, they repeated the process by having Luccio kill LaFortier; plus the fact that Luccio and Luciozzi are the same name, just with a regional place indicator added to one), whether Lucciozzi is Cowl and Luccio is Kumori. That's pretty scant evidence to go on.

There doesn't seem to be any reason to eliminate Mavra outright. Possibly not being able to call up Outsiders might be a point against her, but otherwise she could work. [HEY--that might be a good question to ask JIm-something innocuous seeming so that he would answer it, but which might help rule her in or out as the suspect. If a mortal wizard is made a BCV, is their magic still mortal or is it considered something else?]
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Cenphx on December 20, 2012, 07:26:23 PM
Eh.... that's very, very thin.

If you are to create a poll, be sure to include an option for "None of the Above".  The world is large enough that I'm sure there are players in the game that Harry has not met yet.

Which part is thin? (and relatedly, did you read the other thread where I lay out the connections themselves? I ask only because this thread is mainly for the WAG and speculation based off the information I provided in the other thread. So there may not be much hard evidence in this thread, but the other one will make your eyes bleed there so much to read.)
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: wizard nelson on December 20, 2012, 07:54:13 PM
don't forget injun joe! i still say it was him in the dining room, with a spork lol :P
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Cenphx on December 20, 2012, 07:56:32 PM
don't forget injun joe! i still say it was him in the dining room, with a spork lol :P

Oh, yeah. Let me see if I can add it for you. I've never added a poll to my threads before...
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ms Duck on December 20, 2012, 08:06:26 PM
heres the woj about figuring out the belts:

Quote
Are we going to find out where the Hexenwolf belts came from in Fool Moon?”
Several folks have already worked it out, actually. The pieces are there if you want to put them together, though eventually I’ll state it outright.

its from early 2010, pretty much exactly when i remembered.

Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Elegast on December 20, 2012, 09:02:48 PM
The Red Court was behind SF-FM-LH

Intro

Having read the two threads by Cenphx (part 1 (http://www.jimbutcheronline.com/bb/index.php/topic,36011.0.html), part 2 (http://www.jimbutcheronline.com/bb/index.php/topic,36012.0.html)), I'm still unable to say who is behind all the plots in SF-FM-LH. In some ways I'm even more puzzled, with new possible suspect being proposed. Here is the list:

I did not put Luccio, as I see it as different version of the Cowl hypothesis (reference to a "he" in Fool Moon).

This an attempt to make the case for the Reds. I don't have proof they are the ones, but feel it's a real possibility.

New WOJ

First there is a new WOJ found by Knnn in the LHK yahoo group:

Appearance: before or after losing the glamor? An Ash quote comes to mind "You got real ugly."

...it had a bat-like face, horrid and ugly, the head too big for its body.  Gaping, hungry jaws. Its shoulders were hunched, powerful, and membranous wings stretched between the joints of its almost skeletal arms. Flabby black breasts hung before it, spilled out of the black dress that no longer did anything to make it look more feminine. Its eyes were wide, black, and staring, and a kind of leathery, slimy hide covered its flesh, like an inner tube lathered with Vaseline...

Powers: unknown, but enough to scare Harry who does things like float elevators on wind at the drop of a hat with a minor charm bracelet.

Their ability to mask themselves could potentially be used to look like someone else--or /you/, for that matter. They also have narcotic saliva that renders a victim passive while the vamp feeds, and is addictive and habit-forming, to boot. They get the standard vampire package of 'stronger and faster than you,' and Harry harbors some suspicions that looking one of them in the eyes could be bad for him and way bad for someone without his
kind of mental defenses.

That's only the Red Court's vampires, though, and they're just one of the vampire factions. They just happen to be the first ones Harry makes want to kill him. ;) The White Court, Black Court, and Jade Court are way different.

/shamelessselfpromotion off

Jim
LALA
AAA

That WOJ seems to imply that the Reds where we ones who tried to kill Harry first. Not the Whites, not the Blacks.

Secondly, we should consider when those books were written. When Jim wrote Storm Front, he wasn't sure he was going to get published, and he had spent just one week plotting the whole serie. So there is a high probability that some of the minor characters described didn't even exist at the time.

For instance, the Erlking, Mavra, Cowl may have not existed when Storm Front was written. (BTW, if anyone as more info on how the first books were written, plz share).

The reds were already described in Storm Front, so it would fit.

Storm Front

The Reds are the most credible culprit. The only absolute connection to one of the suspect is the bloodcurse, which is known by the Red Court:
Quote from: Changes
As a former priest, Martin must have known of the bloodline curse, and its potential for destruction.

Bianca knew nothing, as she was a low level operative. That changed after SF:
Quote from: Storm Front
She paused and then said, “In a way, I’m grateful to you, Dresden. If I hadn’t wanted so very badly to kill you, I would never have amassed the power and the contacts that I have. I never would have been elevated to the Court.” She gestured to the crowd of vampires below, the courtyard, the darkness. “In a way, all of this is your doing.”

Fool Moon

No direct link to anyone.

Love Hurts

The belts are possessed by a Rampire.

Why it's not Raith

Raith didn't know that Harry was an anchor of the curse before BR, and the plot in LH had the aim to harm the WC. And it would mean the WOJ is wrong, as the White were not the first.

Why it's not the Erlking

The Erkling is savage, not evil. He has no motivation what so ever to attack the White court (LH). It's improbable is infected, and Nemesis seems to be part of these plots.

Why it's not Mavra

The new WOJ says that the Reds are the first trying to kill Harry

The role of Cowl

Cowl was deeply involved with the Reds, and heavy-weight division wizard. I suspect he gave some magical support: helped trained Sells, made the Belts.

The role of Nemesis

Kravos is so insane (suicide for revenge?) that he was probably infected. It's also possible for the FBI guy and Sells. That fits with the Reds: Bianca helped spread the infection, Arriana may have been infected. The Nemesis connection also significantly weakens the Erkling hypothesis, as he's most probably non infected.

Motivation: killing Harry

What was the aim of the plots?

The WOJ says it, to kill Harry.

In Storm Front, the attacks by Sells had a very high probability of killing Harry: Sell was going to try, and Morgan would probably do it even sooner.

In Fool Moon, someone pointed Denton toward Harry, and pushed him to break the circle protecting the Loug-Garou.

Question: why the plots were so indirect?
Answer: Because Nemesis/the reds didn't have complete control, so each one still acted by its nature. Aurora still wanted to prevent bloodshed, Denton still wanted to fight crime, Kravos/Sells still wanted to become powerful wizards. They were not puppets.

Last WOJ
Quote
Q: Have we met the people who created the Hexenwolf belts yet?

A: That's another "I'm not gonna tell you" question. I will say, "kind of," "not really," and "yes." But we'll get into more of that during Cold Days as well.

I believe it was simply a reference to Nemesis.

If not: kind of=Cowl, not really=Nemesis, yes=Arriana.

Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: wizard nelson on December 20, 2012, 09:04:52 PM
so... you added joe but didn't make it so i could change my vote.. :-\
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ms Duck on December 20, 2012, 10:35:59 PM
my thought of 'who  is behind' is a flawed calculation.. its not necc just one person.

We Know Mavra was behind BR and DB. we can suspect she was involved in GP

we know Cowl was involved in GP, DB, WN, and now likely CD

we can be almost 100% certain the erlking was involved in some way in FM and LH, but we can also assume that he wasnt the instigator- he said so. his only interest was messing with Odin. Somone paid him.

we need a secret wizard:

to teach in SF and GP
to deal with the Erlking
to summon the outsiders

either Mavra or Cowl could be involved. possibly both; they have common interests and may work together but they also have reasons for backstabbing each other.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Elegast on December 20, 2012, 10:52:06 PM
my thought of 'who  is behind' is a flawed calculation.. its not necc just one person.

We Know Mavra was behind BR and DB. we can suspect she was involved in GP

we know Cowl was involved in GP, DB, WN, and now likely CD

we can be almost 100% certain the erlking was involved in some way in FM and LH, but we can also assume that he wasnt the instigator- he said so. his only interest was messing with Odin. Somone paid him.

we need a secret wizard:

to teach in SF and GP
to deal with the Erlking
to summon the outsiders

either Mavra or Cowl could be involved. possibly both; they have common interests and may work together but they also have reasons for backstabbing each other.

The new WOJ says it wasn't Mavra in SF. And the Erkling created love belts? Really?
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ms Duck on December 21, 2012, 01:14:48 AM
The new WOJ says it wasn't Mavra in SF. And the Erkling created love belts? Really?

why not? a lot of those old primal gods were alla bout the dualaties.. Freya was goddess of both love and war. He the sidhe of the dark side of summer, of passion 'red in tooth and claw'; of the hunt, of the dark desire. of need.

who else for dark forbidden love? for forcing love on people? for love that causes madness and death?

its sure as heck aint Mab- shes all about the cold reason and implacable logic. Nor Lilly either- shes all about healing and gentle growth.

Erlking is very much a sex god- all the sidhe are. but hes not a nice one.

 ;D
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Cenphx on December 21, 2012, 01:26:40 AM
Elegast-thats really well thought out!               Here's the question nagging at me about using the RCVs-dont you think its a little anticlimatic to build up the conspiracy and the mystery of the connections between these events, then kill off the antagonists before they are revealed as being responsible? So when the curtain gets pulled back on the goings-on in these early books, its really not going to matter because the bad guys are long dead?
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: GrandPanjandrum on December 21, 2012, 02:41:33 AM
I think everyone is missing the connection between Storm Front and Fool Moon.  The latter is just an escalation of the former.  They both are reflective of something that took place about a decade earlier.

Approximately 10 years prior to Storm Front:
Gregor is attempting a coven.  At some point, a warden of the White Council shows up and tells him to knock it off according to Charity.  This is likely Justin DuMourne or Simon Pietrovich looking for a patsy.  They found one in spades and inform Mavra.

Mavra goes to Siriothrax and asks if he is interested in acquiring Excalibur for his horde.  He’s interested, but puzzled as to how she could offer.  Mavra states that the sword will come to him.  He only has to provide the Word of Kemmerler to her once it does, for she happens to know it is part of his horde.  She tells him to cooperate with Gregor.  The arrogance of dragons never once suggests that he would lose against the wielder of Excalibur.

Soon after, Mavra shows up and starts mentoring Gregor in Black Magic, with the ambition of gaining the attention of the White God.  Soon sacrifices are taking place to Siriothrax tempting the White God to send his Sword of the Cross (specifically Excalibur).  Yet, he doesn’t come.  However, when he threatens to sacrifice a virgin to the dragon (come on, she married Michael…and he’s a prude, plus her name is Charity), Siriothrax is about to take a bite, and Michael shows up with Excalibur.

This is a win/win for Mavra.  If Michael falls, the dragon gets Excalibur and she gets The Word of Kemmerler.  If the dragon falls, she can gain the Word of Kemmerler from the Estate sale as well as other pieces of his horde.  If they are both injured sufficiently, she may walk away with both. 

What Mavra doesn’t count on is a petty thief working for John Marcone watching the obituaries in the newspaper.  Eduardo Anthony Mendoza (aka Bony Tony)  sees a death of a single male (Siriothrax) and proceeds to secure a key of some sort to a storage locker not opened since WW2.  He probably nicked it from a safe in the house.  Obviously, that’s where Kemmerler had stored Kemmerler’s Word and Nazi loot.  At this point, it is a retirement plan as he is planning on retiring in the next 10 years.  Marcone knows nothing about this little action on the side at this point.

10 years later (Just before Storm Front)
Mavra is livid, but she methodically researches who controls crime in the area around Siriothrax’s residence and eventually learns that it is Marcone’s territory.  She confronts him directly, which is likely Marcone’s introduction into the magical scene (he’s probably been wearing a huge crucifix ever since).  When Marcone tells her that he has no idea what she’s talking about, he is being truthful.  Mavra threatens to destroy his livelihood and take away his little kingdom.  Obviously, this doesn’t sit well with Marcone.  At the same time he decides to do a little research into his employees to determine who might have nicked this odd book.  It doesn’t take long to learn that Bony Tony Mendoza is shopping around two Monets, a Van Gogh and some other stuff including a weird book on necromancy.   As a peace offering, Marcone gets all three paintings, and Bony Tony can sell the rest for favors past.

Storm Front
Mavra starts her wave of terror to intimidate Marcone still assuming he has Kemmerler's Word (which is about the worst thing she could do).  Three Eye hits the streets (which was part of the black magic she is teaching Victor Sells...the other being the blood curse, which she will present to the Red Court in good time after working out the kinks) and its basis is to cut into Marcone’s profits in the drug trade.  Bianca, who controls the prostitution in the city and wants more, provides hair/blood/focus object for Tommy Thom from his constant visits to her girls.  Also, we learn later that Mavra is tutoring Bianca in magic in Grave Peril.  It starts well before that.

Marcone decides to explore his options, and takes Harry for a ride in his limo.  He starts off by suggesting Harry take a vacation (paid) and let Marcone deal with something “on his side of the fence.”  Initially, Marcone thinks this is something he can handle, and he doesn’t want Harry airing his dirty laundry in public (by exposing Nazi loot and theft).  He, also, approaches Harry for the first time to be an employee.  It doesn't go well for Marcone.  At this point, Marcone is a piker in the magic world, and doesn’t realize just what’s out there, and what Mavra is capable of. 

Marcone, eventually, sits back and lets Harry take care of business.  End of threat?  No way.

Fool Moon
Fool Moon is about Mavra turning up the heat on Marcone (in a way, a continuation of Storm Front with different pressures).  First, she uses a talisman of the Erlking that was probably available in Siriothrax’s estate sale to create the Hexenwolf belts.  These belts are presented to an FBI team (probably under a thrall).  In the soulgaze between Harry and Denton there is quite a bit of attention paid to decay, black sludge, filth and dun-colored flies.  Harry believes this reflects a worn down cop.  He is an unreliable narrator in this case.  It is the coating provided by a Black Court vampire’s thrall.

The FBI team is another patsy, just like Gregor.  They are frustrated at being able to do nothing to get Marcone behind bars.  The Hexenwolf belts open up another option, but they lose control in the process.   Their first move is to kill Spike (a trusted Lt. of Marcone).  This is just turning up the pressure.   Marcone’s response is to try and add Harry to his staff again, even though he knows it would never happen.  He realizes that he’s in WAY over his head, and needs someone who understands the supernatural world.  One book later, Gard is at his side.

Mavra sets up an elaborate effort to scare the ever living crap out of John Marcone, and force him to turn over Kemmerler's Word (even though Bony Tony still has it).  She uses the adversarial relationship with MacFinn and the FBI (under thrall) to turn up the volume to 11.  Of course, it's also possible that Cowl got wind of Bony Tony trying to sell Kemmerler's Word by this time as have all the other Kemmerlerites.  If he passed this onto Mavra, she would not intervene with the FBI, who obviously planned on serving Marcone up to the Loup Garou.

Whatever the details at the end of Fool Moon, the pressure is off in Grave Peril (the next book) for two reasons.  One...Gard is there representing Monoc Securities.  Two...Bony Tony is likely taking bids on the black market removing Marcone from the picture, and entering Cowl into the picture as Mavra's representative.  However, the fact that Bony Tony uses a portable computer drive to hide the coordinates tells me that Marcone is advising him on the supernatural world.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: phoenixjustice on December 21, 2012, 07:20:21 AM

theory



That is one of the best, and well thought out, theories I've heard yet! *claps* Kudos!
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: wizard nelson on December 21, 2012, 08:20:51 AM
Quote
Why it's not the Erlking

The Erkling is savage, not evil. He has no motivation what so ever to attack the White court (LH). It's improbable is infected, and Nemesis seems to be part of these plots.
well i've not read love hurts so can anyone explain how a red vamp was possessed by the belt or in the belts or whatever you mean.
but one thing apparently being overlooked here is the hexxen belts were possessed by a spirit of the hunt, though i don't agree with it being erl either this is a strong clue in his favor. he (usually) leads a bunch of hunter spirits after all...
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Cenphx on December 21, 2012, 08:47:32 AM
Crazy coincidence. I just read 'I was a Teenage Bigfoot' for the first time. Harry is considering a vampire as th potential bad guy. When the spell hits, it knocks out the fancy thermometer and he says that only mortal magic causes problems like that with tech. So not vamps. So even though the RCV had a spy in the police station, that wasnt who was causing the phone to short out during SF--it was a mortal magic practitioner at the police station.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: knnn on December 21, 2012, 11:50:45 AM
I think everyone is missing the connection between Storm Front and Fool Moon.  The latter is just an escalation of the former.  They both are reflective of something that took place about a decade earlier.

GrandPanjandrum -- you just made my list of people to follow.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Elegast on December 21, 2012, 01:18:14 PM
I think everyone is missing the connection between Storm Front and Fool Moon.  The latter is just an escalation of the former.  They both are reflective of something that took place about a decade earlier.

Thx for making a Mavra theory.

I like the connection with the paintings.

Question: who is the 'he' in Fool Mon?
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ms Duck on December 21, 2012, 02:47:21 PM
my only quible is i think its fairly certain Mavra knew the word would be found in chicago prior to BR.. hence the whole trap for Harry and Murphy.

Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: GrandPanjandrum on December 21, 2012, 03:02:25 PM
my only quible is i think its fairly certain Mavra knew the word would be found in chicago prior to BR.. hence the whole trap for Harry and Murphy.

Well, that's where it gets convaluded alright.  But, I think the relationship between Mavra and Cowl is similar to the one he had with the other Kemmerlerites.  They pretend to work together, but they'll never buy each other a beer.

Plus, you have to assume that everyone knew that Grevane had the highest bid for Kemmerler's Word.  And, all the Kemmerlerites decided (probably well in advance) that Chicago would be where they would pull off the Darkhallow (due to its Lae lines as well as the historical artifacts available at the time).    Of course, if they knew a certain wizard would animate a dinosaur, they might have reconsidered. 

Summary:  Cowl is on Team Mavra, but he is also on Team Cowl...
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: UKlvrBM on December 21, 2012, 03:32:07 PM
GrandPanjandrum -- you just made my list of people to follow.

Seconded!!!!
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ms Duck on December 21, 2012, 03:37:24 PM
Well, that's where it gets convaluded alright.  But, I think the relationship between Mavra and Cowl is similar to the one he had with the other Kemmerlerites.  They pretend to work together, but they'll never buy each other a beer.

Plus, you have to assume that everyone knew that Grevane had the highest bid for Kemmerler's Word.  And, all the Kemmerlerites decided (probably well in advance) that Chicago would be where they would pull off the Darkhallow (due to its Lae lines as well as the historical artifacts available at the time).    Of course, if they knew a certain wizard would animate a dinosaur, they might have reconsidered. 

Summary:  Cowl is on Team Mavra, but he is also on Team Cowl...

the way I seed DB is it was a trap, set by Mavra, for the necromancers. The Word was the bait, she likely had it all along.  ;D
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: GrandPanjandrum on December 21, 2012, 03:54:01 PM
the way I seed DB is it was a trap, set by Mavra, for the necromancers. The Word was the bait, she likely had it all along.  ;D

Oh, man...you have to explain THAT.  Otherwise, you're cruel and inhuman. 
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: GrandPanjandrum on December 21, 2012, 04:23:33 PM
Incidentally, here's a something to add to the above.  SF, FM ties into Grave Peril as well.  Ferrovax is likely the most influential member of the Unseelie Accords (should he choose to be).  Unless, you bribe him with a "princely gift...in this world of paupers" from another Dragon's hoard.  Then, he just might look the other way when a certain party(s) purposefully breaks the Unseelie Accords down the road.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: wizard nelson on December 21, 2012, 04:50:54 PM
i agree with grandpanjandrum. cowl is out for number one. maybe he's been infected, maybe he makes schemes with other shady characters and maybe he gets tooled out sometimes but ultimately cowl is doing what he thinks is best overall. :-\ yes that involves murdering countless innocents and taking out the WC, which btw if i interpreted his DB monologue correctly has been corrupted by other necromancers and dark magic users besides himself. at the end of the day he's a classic vader archetype. why it wouldn't surprise me at all if in the end he dies fighting a larger malignancy than himself  ???
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: GrandPanjandrum on December 21, 2012, 05:00:15 PM
i agree with grandpanjandrum. cowl is out for number one. maybe he's been infected, maybe he makes schemes with other shady characters and maybe he gets tooled out sometimes but ultimately cowl is doing what he thinks is best overall. :-\ yes that involves murdering countless innocents and taking out the WC, which btw if i interpreted his DB monologue correctly has been corrupted by other necromancers and dark magic users besides himself. at the end of the day he's a classic vader archetype. why it wouldn't surprise me at all if in the end he dies fighting a larger malignancy than himself  ???

No where is this more obvious than when he first meets Harry.  He states something like... "I don't want to hurt you...I have a certain amount of respect for you...but I will if I have to." 
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ms Duck on December 21, 2012, 05:03:04 PM
Oh, man...you have to explain THAT.  Otherwise, you're cruel and inhuman.

Im a duck   ;)

ok.. it has to do with when Harry threatens Mavra at the end of DB. he threatened her with a pile of stuff, but what worried her was the word. And WOJ is that Harry was not bluffing. there is something in the word that can scare vampires, and yet its not the darkhallow.

we also know that as the word was in german, and it was translated by Lash, the translation was not ..100%.. correct. Lash altered things, like how the darkhallow actually works.

we also know that circa 1890, there was a major war between the black court and just about everyone else. How major is being debated, but i don think its a coincidence that Eb used weapons of mass destruction around this time. Now is it coincidence that demonreach was abandonded, or there was likely a meeting between the duchess arriana, maggie sr, lord raith and eb around this time. Nor that, according to Lash, the Black Court was Maggie sr's enemy, nto the Black Council.

I think the war went very very bad ( as The Merlin noted, Harry has no ideas of how bad it can get).. and the white council went to the bench, and started breaking the laws. (thus forming the original Black Council)

there are two options, i believe:

either Kemmler created the black court, and the spell he used is in the word ( they were his servants)

or

Kemmler is a tragic figure. knowing the black court is necromatic, he used the dark powe rof demonreach to smite them hard- and save the world- but was driven mad by it. the spell he used is in the word.



so:

imagine you are Mavra. you have the word (you captured it years ago.)

you are planning to once again try and BWAHAHAHA rule the world

you know the last time your masters tried, they were stopped by an alliance of the major powers, using a combination of sheer firepower, holy weapons, and the magic of necromancers.

the fire power you can handle, youve been planning for years

but you have to mop up those pseky necromancers..

and you know the word, can be used by a necromancer, to make themselves a god .. if its used in chicago on halloween

and you know if the white council finds out they will hunt down the necromancers and kill them..

now all you need to do is:

- put the word someplace where it will be found in time

- set up a catspaw to make theu the WC finds out

-make sure you get the word back afterwards

 ;D
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: GrandPanjandrum on December 21, 2012, 05:19:21 PM
Im a duck   ;)

ok.. it has to do with when Harry threatens Mavra at the end of DB. he threatened her with a pile of stuff, but what worried her was the word. And WOJ is that Harry was not bluffing. there is something in the word that can scare vampires, and yet its not the darkhallow.

we also know that as the word was in german, and it was translated by Lash, the translation was not ..100%.. correct. Lash altered things, like how the darkhallow actually works.

we also know that circa 1890, there was a major war between the black court and just about everyone else. How major is being debated, but i don think its a coincidence that Eb used weapons of mass destruction around this time. Now is it coincidence that demonreach was abandonded, or there was likely a meeting between the duchess arriana, maggie sr, lord raith and eb around this time. Nor that, according to Lash, the Black Court was Maggie sr's enemy, nto the Black Council.

I think the war went very very bad ( as The Merlin noted, Harry has no ideas of how bad it can get).. and the white council went to the bench, and started breaking the laws. (thus forming the original Black Council)

there are two options, i believe:

either Kemmler created the black court, and the spell he used is in the word ( they were his servants)

or

Kemmler is a tragic figure. knowing the black court is necromatic, he used the dark powe rof demonreach to smite them hard- and save the world- but was driven mad by it. the spell he used is in the word.



so:

imagine you are Mavra. you have the word (you captured it years ago.)

you are planning to once again try and BWAHAHAHA rule the world

you know the last time your masters tried, they were stopped by an alliance of the major powers, using a combination of sheer firepower, holy weapons, and the magic of necromancers.

the fire power you can handle, youve been planning for years

but you have to mop up those pseky necromancers..

and you know the word, can be used by a necromancer, to make themselves a god .. if its used in chicago on halloween

and you know if the white council finds out they will hunt down the necromancers and kill them..

now all you need to do is:

- put the word someplace where it will be found in time

- set up a catspaw to make theu the WC finds out

-make sure you get the word back afterwards

 ;D

Ok...I'm definitely intrigued...but this puts Harry and Cowl (presumably) on the "don't make future plans" list because your days are numbered...since they both know what's in the book.  And, I keep going back to Grave Peril (Cowl and Kumori are allegedly there...the two in the hooded cloaks when they're passing out gifts).  This implies that after Dead Beat, Mavra is going to be gunning for Cowl (even though he was a cohort until that point).  What I have trouble with is that Mavra's plans would be all for naught if Harry had been a tiny bit slower or less ingenious during the Darkhallow.  Cowl would have been Godly, and Mavra wouldn't have a prayer.  He's not stupid...she would have been one of his first targets.  That's a huge risk for someone who seems to be a qualified behind the scenes manipulator...it's a sloppy risk.

PS: Oh, and Evil Bob's out there with the contents of the book as well...and he could make a deal with just about anyone.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ms Duck on December 21, 2012, 05:51:14 PM
Ok...I'm definitely intrigued...but this puts Harry and Cowl (presumably) on the "don't make future plans" list because your days are numbered...since they both know what's in the book.  And, I keep going back to Grave Peril (Cowl and Kumori are allegedly there...the two in the hooded cloaks when they're passing out gifts).  This implies that after Dead Beat, Mavra is going to be gunning for Cowl (even though he was a cohort until that point).  What I have trouble with is that Mavra's plans would be all for naught if Harry had been a tiny bit slower or less ingenious during the Darkhallow.  Cowl would have been Godly, and Mavra wouldn't have a prayer.  He's not stupid...she would have been one of his first targets.  That's a huge risk for someone who seems to be a qualified behind the scenes manipulator...it's a sloppy risk.

PS: Oh, and Evil Bob's out there with the contents of the book as well...and he could make a deal with just about anyone.

assuming she wasnt there the whole time, ready to take action as needed... (like she was in BR)

or that she didnt trap the spell somehow...

heck planting a small tac nuke under the mesuem green and blowing it at the right time owuld have done the job. but letting the white council finish would have been so much better, as its deniable.

but yes, i think Cowl is very much on Mavra's 'to do' list.

hes the one that got away .

as to evil bob, I dont think mavra knows he exists. She had a chance to examine the real bob in GP, and wasnt worried. the darkhallow was in bob's head, but whatever the black court spell is shes afriad of is probably not
 
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: knnn on December 21, 2012, 06:19:24 PM
Another possibility is that the Darkhallow spell (as written in the Word) was very subtly booby-trapped. 

Consider if in order to really complete the Darkhallow what you really need is some poor sap who is going to inhale the magic whirlwind,  destroying himself.  Then you kill that person and safely transfer the power to you.

Ditto for all the "control the Black Court" magic.  If Mavra had her hands on the book, she could have well changed a key ingredient, so that anyone who tried to use the Word against her would be in for a nasty surprise.

- If Mavra knows this, she could might have well  released the Word.  Anyone who gets their hands on it will just be destroyed.
- If Cowl knows this, it explains why he keeps on suggesting that Harry "take the bounty of the Darkhallow" for himself, and why he let Grevane live all the way to the end.

Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ms Duck on December 21, 2012, 06:26:29 PM
annother option for Mavra is 'why chicago?'

does the word have to be used there?

and what was her plan in gP, really?

Cowl has his goals. nemesis has its. Mavra..

well lets specualt that the balckc ourt elders (who were immortal) are trapped in demon reach ( seems plausible.)

everyone says 'dont touch the dark line'.. why not? because its corrupting? 

or maybe because if you do it, the master can escape?

what better way to make certain some idiot touches the dynamite then to put it at ground zero?

- white council kill necromancers: mavra wins

-necromacners win, cast spell using the power of the line she booby trapped in GP: <boom!>
     BCE released, mavra wins.

and hey, theyd be hungry.

demi god cowl makes a great snack..
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: GrandPanjandrum on December 22, 2012, 12:46:55 AM
assuming she wasnt there the whole time, ready to take action as needed... (like she was in BR)

or that she didnt trap the spell somehow...

heck planting a small tac nuke under the mesuem green and blowing it at the right time owuld have done the job. but letting the white council finish would have been so much better, as its deniable.

but yes, i think Cowl is very much on Mavra's 'to do' list.

hes the one that got away .

as to evil bob, I dont think mavra knows he exists. She had a chance to examine the real bob in GP, and wasnt worried. the darkhallow was in bob's head, but whatever the black court spell is shes afriad of is probably not

First of all, Kudos and applause to Cenphx for starting all this off with such a thought provoking and encompassing thread.  And, apologies if I go off on tangents periodically (Butcher's fault entirely).

I've had some time to think about the possibility that Mavra set this all up to rid the world of the Kemmerlerites.  And, it makes quite a bit of sense.  But, first, a little side issue:

None of this works if Murphy stays in town.  Harry would spill it that blackmail is going on, or she would figure it out...or more likely, she would read the lie on Harry's face.  So she has to be out of town.

Either:
1.  Mavra hired Kincaid to get Murphy out of town.
2.  A cutout of Mavra's hired Kincaid to get Murphy out of town.
3  A cutout of Mavra's hired Kincaid to take care of a little business in Hawaii  ( Kaupe the cannibal dog man was out of control) and part of the deal was a suite at the The Ritz-Carlton in Kapalua for two.  Mavra witnessed the little attraction during Blood Rites and hoped he'd take her.  Although, that's leaving too much to chance.

Face it...Kincaid was hired by Mavra to get Murphy out of town so she could have an unobstructed gun (Harry) to point at the Kemmerlerites.  Harry should just change his name to "Tool."  First, Mavra turns him into a loaded gun.  In Changes, Odin turns him into a loaded gun.  Both point him at their respective targets.

I don't think Mavra ever had Kemmerler's Word until he handed it to her at the end of Dead Beat, however.  I think she knew it was on the market (and by whom...Bony Tony) as soon as he started taking bids.  Cowl, as a Kemmerlerite, would have told her.  Getting it wasn't important because of the nature of the Darkhallow.  Cowl knew about Bob.  He might have learned about him during Grave Peril (or from Mavra).  They both, likely, had the opportunity to evaluate what he was.  Although, I think it more likely that Cowl has a previous relationship with Justin DuMourne, and was well aware of Bob's history and knowledge of Kemmerler.  He never really needed the book...but was more interested in keeping it out of Corpsetaker and Grevane's hands.  And, even that didn't matter due to his strategy during the Darkhallow. 

The simple fact of the matter is that whomever performed the Darkhallow was at their most vulnerable.  Each Kemmerlerite tried to counter this by having a sidekick.  Corpsetaker/ The Ghoul ;  Grevane/ Liverspots (and his zombie army);  Cowl/ Kumori.  One does the Darkhallow.  One watches the primary's back.  Cowl's obvious strategy was to let the other two fight it out while he stayed out of sight.  When the "last one standing" performed the Darkhallow, he would pop out and take that one down, and the Darkhallow was all his.  The wildcard was Harry.

At the same time this was all going on, Mavra goes to the Red Court (which she has been using all along) and instructs them to attack the White Council with all they've got.  It was bloody and prolonged fighting that even proceeded to poison gas at mortal hospitals.  The Red Court even violated Faerie and probably the Unseelie Accords  (of course when you payoff Ferrovax with a princely gift to look the other way...who cares).  But, the White Council must be put on the defense so they couldn't field a full team of Wardens to stop the Darkhallow before it got started.  I disagree with Ms. Duck on this issue.  She needed the Darkhallow to go all the way forward because by that time only one would be left standing...because of the vulnerability of the party performing the ritual.  If the White Council shows up in bulk, it would probably never get started, and all the Kemmerlerites wouldn't be fighting it out amoung themselves.  They would be hightailing it out of there.  Mavra's hope was that they would not provide anyone to assist Harry, which has been the norm in the past. 

As it turns out  Corpsetaker gets taken out early.  Then Grevane, while occupied controlling the Darkhallow gets taken by Carlos.   If Mavra is under a veil watching this, she's nervous at this point because the sometimes ally she wants dead (Cowl) hasn't showed himself yet.  But, she has her loaded gun (Harry) there to draw him out.  Cowl makes his play (dropping his zombie disguise) and presumably disables Harry. 

Mavra thinks this is golden.  She waits for Cowl to turn his attention to the Darkhallow.  Kumori is focussed on Harry, and she can step in and take out the final two (or three counting Kumori) individuals with knowledge of Kemmerler's Word without breaking a sweat.  But, Harry messes up her perfect plan.  He regains control of Bob, and Bob flies a dinosaur into Cowl releasing all the built up energy and power into a tree flattening shock wave.  By the time Mavra regains her senses, Harry has acquired the book, Cowl and Kumori are gone as well.  Cowl is alive, and Kumori is questionable. 

So...yeah...I agree with you that Mavra had two goals:
1.  Get the Book of Kemmerler
2.  Take out all those with detailed knowledge of The Book of Kemmerler

I don't think she had it previously.  And, I still think her goal is to return to life (I still believe Mavra to be Morgana).  But, I think Kemmerler's Word is a severe threat to wiping out the Black Court in mass....and also a clue on how to raise the Black Court in mass (sort of a reverse Darkhallow in the middle of a cemetery 8) )

Bonus:  Kumori annagram is Miroku, which is an anime character that performs exorcisms and demon exterminations... :P
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Cenphx on December 22, 2012, 01:11:33 AM
I need to reread and absord the great Mavra theorizing, but I wanted to drop a quick note--I dont think your off on tangents at all! I just wanted to get the connections between these events laid out and hope that everyone would jump in, riffing off where I started, building, going different directions, figuring things out. So I think what everyone's been doing in the thread is awesome and really impressive!                     But now youve got me reeeaallly worried about why Mavra was trying to kill Thomas in Blood Rites and what the heck he did to 'betray' her. 
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Elegast on December 22, 2012, 01:29:58 AM
Quote
First of all, Kudos and applause to Cenphx for starting all this off with such a thought provoking and encompassing thread. 

Seconded.

I've had some time to think about the possibility that Mavra set this all up to rid the world of the Kemmerlerites.  And, it makes quite a bit of sense.  But, first, a little side issue:

None of this works if Murphy stays in town.  Harry would spill it that blackmail is going on, or she would figure it out...or more likely, she would read the lie on Harry's face.  So she has to be out of town.

Either:
1.  Mavra hired Kincaid to get Murphy out of town.
2.  A cutout of Mavra's hired Kincaid to get Murphy out of town.
3  A cutout of Mavra's hired Kincaid to take care of a little business in Hawaii  ( Kaupe the cannibal dog man was out of control) and part of the deal was a suite at the The Ritz-Carlton in Kapalua for two.  Mavra witnessed the little attraction during Blood Rites and hoped he'd take her.  Although, that's leaving too much to chance.

Face it...Kincaid was hired by Mavra to get Murphy out of town so she could have an unobstructed gun (Harry) to point at the Kemmerlerites.  Harry should just change his name to "Tool."  First, Mavra turns him into a loaded gun.  In Changes, Odin turns him into a loaded gun.  Both point him at their respective targets.

Ah. This is the ideal occasion for me to explain one of my pet theories.  :D

I've noticed that in the Dresdenverse, family seems to be very important: Mab and Maeve, Titania and Aurora, Ortega and Bianca, Marva and her "children". When you kill someone's child they get pissed, even immortal gods/badass.

Now, we know that Dracula was a Blampire. His father was Drakul. Dracula was killed.

WAG: Drakul is enraged by the death of his son, and is planning his revenge.

That's why he sent the skinwalker in Turn Coat: Harry protected the White Court in a big way in White Night, so Drakul decided to kill him. Notice that the skinwalker was especially tough on the whites: many killed, Thomas tortured. (Other possibility: the big D sent the skinwalker after the SmF disaster.)

So it's possible that Drakul himself asked Kincaid to help Mavra in Dead Beat.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ms Duck on December 22, 2012, 01:53:16 AM
@GP - good catch on the murphy angle and Hawaii, i never thought of that before.. hmmm.

and some folks have wondered about kinkaid and Mavra, in regards to the pictures themselves.

about the word. im very, very, very very sure Mavra had thw rod prior to DB, or knew where it woudl eb found. She started the ball rolling four years before the book was 'found'. Thats a loong time to plan ahead for a 'random event'.

its downright Mab like.  ;)

now we coudl explain this with either prophecy or time travel, but occam razor here. it sone prediciton. not the half dozen Mab does every book.

sometimes, even in a fantsay novel, magic is explained by tricks behind the screen, and i think this is such a case.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ms Duck on December 22, 2012, 02:01:44 AM
I need to reread and absord the great Mavra theorizing, but I wanted to drop a quick note--I dont think your off on tangents at all! I just wanted to get the connections between these events laid out and hope that everyone would jump in, riffing off where I started, building, going different directions, figuring things out. So I think what everyone's been doing in the thread is awesome and really impressive!                     But now youve got me reeeaallly worried about why Mavra was trying to kill Thomas in Blood Rites and what the heck he did to 'betray' her.

ive often assumed its not thomas himself, per see (hes way too young) but the white court in gerneal. they were the ones who set up and betrayed the blacks in 1890, something the blacks didnt figure out for quite a while- maybe as long as a century.

in order to take out the blacks, its not enough to send in the mrotals. the elders would just have lunch. you need to take out the elders first, in their secret, hidden fortress, and in a way that it will take them a long time to regenrate.

(http://stigoftheinternet.files.wordpress.com/2012/09/tunguska.jpg)

Tungaska blast, courtesy of Eb..

yup, they got betrayed. hard. and are quite..ticked.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: lilylis on December 22, 2012, 02:45:34 AM
Quote
Luccio as a suspect …Could it explain why Mab sent the hobs to the train station in SmF-were they after Luccio, not the Archive?
  I have wondered about/suspected both Elaine and Luccio at various times in the Dresden series. I'm just not certain about either wizard. However,  if Luccio was indeed guilty then Rashid would seem to be a  accomplice and Im not willing to accept that possibility...but then that would be the ultimate treachery.
As for the hobs, Mab more or less admits to Harry that she sent the hobs for the Archive   
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Cenphx on December 22, 2012, 02:46:23 AM
Well, the reason I thought something specific was going on with Thomas was because she referred to Lara as 'Raith's second in command', Inari as 'Raith's favorite' and Thomas as the one who betrayed us. Someone mentioned it could be something with Thomas helping Harry at the GP party, but that doesnt work for me because they were gunning for Thomas at that party, it could hardly be considered a betrayal for him to fight back.  It may be nothing, but Im definitely going to keep my eyes open for any more warnings signs between Mavra and Thomas. You've been saying for a while that the Black Court was behind more of this than anyone thought--now, because of all the good stuff in this thread, I'm starting to see it.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: rad on December 22, 2012, 06:39:29 AM
Seeing as people are going off on the whole Mavra thing I will post my opinion but it only goes so far as the most easily observable stuff in the books:

I say that Mavra is not Black Council.  The Black Council struck a deal with the Reds so that they would attack Edinburgh when everyone was forted up.  Mavra could have blackmailed Harry for any number of things that would have made it easier for Cowl to become a demi-god.  Instead Mavra did something that would make Harry fight them.  Also, if Mavra were black council they would have gone ahead and used the Darkhallow however many times and there would be a dozen Kemmlers running around. 

Mavra may have been at the ball and instrumental in certain things but I think that she is actively against Nemesis.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: 123456789blaaa on December 22, 2012, 08:22:58 AM
As you said Cenphx, Cowl says in DB that he wants to see why Harry makes the wardens so nervous. Wouldn't he have known if he had been involved involved in the events of SF and FM? Even if you don't think that the events of SF and FM don't demonstrate that, I think he would have chosen a different choice of words.

I'm not saying it's impossible or even unlikely that he was involved, I just wanted to point this out once again.

Also, Harry says that Vamp wizards do not draw from the same pool of power that normal wizards do. Instead they draw from the same "greasy" pool of power that necromancers draw from.

@GrandPanjandrum: that is some fantastic, indepth theorizing you got goin on there. Kudos! ;D
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: wizard nelson on December 22, 2012, 12:05:23 PM
does no one remember that luccio was set to take the fall for lafortier's murder before morgan accidentally walked in on it? technically luccio was to be put DOWN right there.. iirc luccio opposed merlin and morgan trying to dismiss dresden as warden and take him for interrogation as a red court spy. WAG merlin was the other one with peabody on DR. if luccio's set up had worked he would have been free to act against dresden having placed his sock puppet morgan as new leader of the wardens. couple of corroborative clue's, merlin was described as having a silent insanity about him, he demanded he find the real culprit, luccio was sent to harry directly afterwards, if harry hadn't had such a blindspot for women he'd have realised same as molly. no one actually expected him to catch peabody. also merlin getting that 'shark gaze' at peabody was a metaphoric clue, sharks eat their wounded. merlin was preparing to 'eat' peabody rather than let his own status be comprised.. more on this all later when i canwrangle it
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: lilylis on December 23, 2012, 04:33:15 PM
As you said Cenphx, Cowl says in DB that he wants to see why Harry makes the wardens so nervous. Wouldn't he have known if he had been involved involved in the events of SF and FM? Even if you don't think that the events of SF and FM don't demonstrate that, I think he would have chosen a different choice of words.

 Cowl could have set things in motion in SF and FM and then just stepped back not monitoring the events that closely....moving on to other trouble making. The purpose was to stir things up between around the borders of the NN. He could accomplish that even if someone stopped those involved after a bit. As Cowl, he probably suspected the Wardens would eventually get involved....he didn't have to keep track that closely.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: 123456789blaaa on December 23, 2012, 04:35:06 PM
Cowl could have set things in motion in SF and FM and then just stepped back not monitoring the events that closely....moving on to other trouble making. The purpose was to stir things up between around the borders of the NN. He could accomplish that even if someone stopped those involved after a bit. As Cowl, he probably suspected the Wardens would eventually get involved....he didn't have to keep track that closely.

Yeah, I thought of something similar...still I think we should keep it in mind.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: wizard nelson on December 23, 2012, 04:37:33 PM
ahhh but the key clue in what he says is he's had connections with wardens saying harry is worrysome :o implying both he's not a warden and he's in a position to talk business with wardens.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: lilylis on December 23, 2012, 04:59:39 PM
Yeah, I thought of something similar...still I think we should keep it in mind.

agreed
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: wizard nelson on December 23, 2012, 05:17:31 PM
 >:(so no discussion on my luccio was real target post? granted it wasn't discussed much in the book. but the entire book harry is busy postulating about why someone would frame morgan and its repercussions.. he doesn't find out til the end luccio was the frame and no theoretical whys come up after that. it seems largely overlooked by the luccio is evil shippers...
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Cenphx on December 23, 2012, 05:30:02 PM
Whoever was involved withthe FBI agents didnt do it in a hands off fashion like they did with Sells. I have to go back and look at the notes I pulled from FM to get the precise quote, but I believe it was after Denton started killing people he was warned about the WC and Harry. There was definite interaction between he and the person who gave him the magic. I remember this specifically because it was at odds with how Sells was left on his own. 
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: wizard nelson on December 23, 2012, 05:39:25 PM
Whoever was involved withthe FBI agents didnt do it in a hands off fashion like they did with Sells. I have to go back and look at the notes I pulled from FM to get the precise quote, but I believe it was after Denton started killing people he was warned about the WC and Harry. There was definite interaction between he and the person who gave him the magic. I remember this specifically because it was at odds with how Sells was left on his own.
you take notes ??? lmao...  >:( comment on luccio being the real target or i shall smite thee!

oh and they were warned when getting the belts iirc. plus maybe they were warned specifically because of the events in SF?
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Cenphx on December 23, 2012, 05:58:08 PM
I started writing something on your Luccio comments but stopped because 1) I need to reread TC because I wasnt positive about what I was saying and 2) the reply was getting waaaay too long. So im thinking I will work on a  'is Luccio evil thread' and shore up all the stuff I touched on in my WAG part of the OP. Save your point about Luccio in TC and we can try to hash it out.   But re: Denton-im nearly positive he was given additional info *after* he was given the belts.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ben de Wal on December 23, 2012, 06:03:31 PM
you take notes ??? lmao...  >:( comment on luccio being the real target or i shall smite thee!

oh and they were warned when getting the belts iirc. plus maybe they were warned specifically because of the events in SF?
i can agree with you that  luccio being the real target in tc , but  i think the is more to the story then that  she had been with harry for over a year,  so the question is  why get rid of a tool no one suspects unless that tools job is done? so what did she do to harry that  she wasn't need any more?
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: wizard nelson on December 23, 2012, 06:04:23 PM
yea i've been skimming TC recently. thought it odd nobody comments on luccio being the real target. morgan was an accident. lol one i think backfired on peabody and probably the merlin spectacularly.. it explains why the merlin is going silently insane over whats going down. ;D
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Cenphx on December 23, 2012, 06:06:51 PM
Ok, I found the reference. Its in ch 30 of FM-Denton and Harry are talking about how the belts have led the FBI agents to kill people and they sent Harry after the lycanthropes. Denton says 'After the deaths (the people the FBI agents killed the month before), I was warned about a governing body. A sort of magic police. The White Council. That you worked for them.'.  So Denton was given the belts and killed people. Then someone warned him about the WC. Assuming he wasnt being helped by 2 unrelated people, whoever helped him was not hands off. Therefore, if it was Cowl, he shouldve known more then he did in DB.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: wizard nelson on December 23, 2012, 06:07:44 PM
i can agree with you that  luccio being the real target in tc , but  i think the is more to the story then that  she had been with harry for over a year,  so the question is  why get rid of a tool no one suspects unless that tools job is done? so what did she do to harry that  she wasn't need any more?
i already explained this in my original post, its to place morgan as head warden. notice in the past few books the wardens are getting out of council control? it would have avoided this situation too. its a direct result of the failure to replace luccio.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ben de Wal on December 23, 2012, 06:08:24 PM
yea i've been skimming TC recently. thought it odd nobody comments on luccio being the real target. morgan was an accident. lol one i think backfired on peabody and probably the merlin spectacularly.. it explains why the merlin is going silently insane over whats going down. ;D
well i wonder if  the idea was to take out luccio  and morgin it in the same  swoop morgin did havea couple mill in the bank that he didn't know about
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ms Duck on December 23, 2012, 06:09:54 PM
i already explained this in my original post, its to place morgan as head warden. notice in the past few books the wardens are getting out of council control? it would have avoided this situation too. its a direct result of the failure to replace luccio.

the thing about luccio that always got to me is that the voice she hears in her dreams is female..

ive thought before that there were two seperate mind messes with luccio: the stuff peabody was doing and the stuff someone else was doing, to make her love harry.

:)

Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: wizard nelson on December 23, 2012, 06:10:30 PM
well i wonder if  the idea was to take out luccio  and morgin it in the same  swoop morgin did havea couple mill in the bank that he didn't know about
that was quickly set up after morgan became implemented in the murder instead. probably they were on standby to be used against luccio at first.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: wizard nelson on December 23, 2012, 06:11:07 PM
the thing about luccio that always got to me is that the voice she hears in her dreams is female..

ive thought before that there were two seperate mind messes with luccio: the stuff peabody was doing and the stuff someone else was doing, to make her love harry.

:)
ummm what dreams?
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ben de Wal on December 23, 2012, 06:12:44 PM
ummm what dreams?
ditto!
that was quickly set up after morgan became implemented in the murder instead. probably they were on standby to be used against luccio at first.
seem kinda week why take out one power figure when you can take2 outfor the price of one
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: wizard nelson on December 23, 2012, 06:16:21 PM
ditto! seem kinda week why take out one power figure when you can take2 outfor the price of one
and in what situation do you see them taking out the both? ??? thats a WEAK theory.... :P
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ms Duck on December 23, 2012, 06:18:42 PM
ummm what dreams?

In WN, when Harry and luccio are flirting in the flashback. Luccio mentions she cant sleep, becuase of strange dreams and memmories that arent hers, and a womans voice..

she thinks its residual memmories of the original body, but now that we know her mind has been messed with..
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ben de Wal on December 23, 2012, 06:21:46 PM
In WN, when Harry and luccio are flirting in the flashback. Luccio mentions she cant sleep, becuase of strange dreams and memmories that arent hers, and a womans voice..

she thinks its residual memmories of the original body, but now that we know her mind has been messed with..
aww could be
 luccio getting caught  morging being her accomplice  with the mill in the bank and the phone records  whats the saying to heads fall almost as fast as one?
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ben de Wal on December 23, 2012, 06:47:27 PM
the thing about luccio that always got to me is that the voice she hears in her dreams is female..

ive thought before that there were two seperate mind messes with luccio: the stuff peabody was doing and the stuff someone else was doing, to make her love harry.

:)
i still say that there was more to  luccio  relationship with harry then keeping tabs on him
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Cenphx on December 23, 2012, 06:53:17 PM
I wonder if this forced love thing between Harry and Luccio has any distant connection to the experiments that resulted in the love belts? Using mind magic to force two people to love each other? Love Hurts happens between TC and Changes, so it must've started a bit before that... Hmmm
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: lilylis on December 24, 2012, 12:54:43 AM
Ok, I found the reference. Its in ch 30 of FM-Denton and Harry are talking about how the belts have led the FBI agents to kill people and they sent Harry after the lycanthropes. Denton says 'After the deaths (the people the FBI agents killed the month before), I was warned about a governing body. A sort of magic police. The White Council. That you worked for them.'.  So Denton was given the belts and killed people. Then someone warned him about the WC. Assuming he wasnt being helped by 2 unrelated people, whoever helped him was not hands off. Therefore, if it was Cowl, he shouldve known more then he did in DB.

 Perhaps. But Harry wasn't all that powerful in Fool Moon or in Storm Front for that matter. In Storm Front...he didn't even use magic to take down Victor Sells. As for Fool Moon, sure  he knew about Harry...but not why the WC was so worried about Harry...he just didn't see Harry's strengths.... even in SK... Harry was just lucky and a little bit smart.  He didn't really take on the Summer Lady...he just bribed alot of dewdrop fae to do it.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ben de Wal on December 24, 2012, 01:06:18 AM
 
Perhaps. But Harry wasn't all that powerful in Fool Moon or in Storm Front for that matter. In Storm Front...he didn't even use magic to take down Victor Sells. As for Fool Moon, sure  he knew about Harry...but not why the WC was so worried about Harry...he just didn't see Harry's strengths.... even in SK... Harry was just lucky and a little bit smart.  He didn't really take on the Summer Lady...he just bribed alot of dewdrop fae to do it.
knowledge is power lol harrys  no more stong  in changes  as he was in storm front he just better at using his magic
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: lilylis on December 24, 2012, 01:11:47 AM
  harrys  no more stong  in changes  as he was in storm front he just better at using his magic
I disagree with that. Harry has had several power ups since SF.  He has worked out more physically and with his magic...he also now has Soul Fire and is a fare hand at magic he never could use before...thanks to training an apprentice. He is a much stronger man and wizard...and now he also has the mantle of WK...which happened in Changes.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ben de Wal on December 24, 2012, 01:17:41 AM
 there is a woj that say harry just better at  using his magic more efficiently now than at the begging   exculiding soulfire
 in storm front he had to put way more magic to cover his mistakes so to speek  training molly made him better a the refining his abiltys
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: lilylis on December 24, 2012, 02:08:35 AM
there is a woj that say harry just better at  using his magic more efficiently now than at the begging   exculiding soulfire
 in storm front he had to put way more magic to cover his mistakes so to speek  training molly made him better a the refining his abiltys
Refining his abilities makes him stronger.  There are the books themselves that show Harry working out to be more physically stronger....jogging...training in martial arts with Murphy...etc.... 

Since you don't include the link to the woj...it could be outdated, you know.

Still...I think what is actually shown in the story should supercede woj...since writers sometimes forget what they've written.  :o
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ben de Wal on December 24, 2012, 02:13:56 AM

Refining his abilities makes him stronger.  There are the books themselves that show Harry working out to be more physically stronger....jogging...training in martial arts with Murphy...etc.... 

Since you don't include the link to the woj...it could be outdated, you know.

Still...I think what is actually shown in the story should supercede woj...since writers sometimes forget what they've written.  :o
sorry i don't know howto do a link
but  he is a copy and paste
2011 Bitten by Books Q&A
Now that Harry has used magic in this book without and tailismans, will he be a stronger/more adept wizard with his magic in the next book?”
Harry really hasn’t gotten all that much stronger since the series started. He’s gotten more efficient, more skilled, and smarter, and inasmuch as that makes him more powerful, that will continue. I mean, what doesn’t kill you only makes you stronger…
Oh wait.
  and your right physicaly he has imporved
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ms Duck on December 24, 2012, 02:22:50 AM
sorry i don't know howto do a link
but  he is a copy and paste
Quote
2011 Bitten by Books Q&A
Now that Harry has used magic in this book without and tailismans, will he be a stronger/more adept wizard with his magic in the next book?”

Harry really hasn’t gotten all that much stronger since the series started. He’s gotten more efficient, more skilled, and smarter, and inasmuch as that makes him more powerful, that will continue. I mean, what doesn’t kill you only makes you stronger…
Oh wait.
  and your right physicaly he has imporved

well Jims being half serious and half snarky there. after all, he did get killed, and it did make him stronger :)

there is another woj in which he compars Harry to Tavi, and notes that even as Harry gets better, he is moving into a much deeper sectionn of the pond.. the bad guys are so much stronger in the later books Harry is still outclassed and will have to outthink them.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ben de Wal on December 24, 2012, 02:26:29 AM
 k so i got it wrong then?
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: TheCuriousFan on December 24, 2012, 02:27:08 AM


well Jims being half serious and half snarky there. after all, he did get killed, and it did make him stronger :)

there is another woj in which he compars Harry to Tavi, and notes that even as Harry gets better, he is moving into a much deeper sectionn of the pond.. the bad guys are so much stronger in the later books Harry is still outclassed and will have to outthink them.

You mean this one?

Quote
The character progression of Tavi seems to parallel that of Harry, where he starts off low, gets a little more power, and then at the end, he gets a massive power boost between the 5th and 6th books.  I was just wondering if something similar to that is going to happen to Harry, maybe before the Apocalyptic Trilogy?
I never want Dresden to be the big fish in the pond.  I want Dresden to be the smart, fast, medium sized fish, who is constantly outclassed by all the actual big fish. And I don’t see how we’re going to get out of that. I’m not planning on skyrocketing Dresden anytime soon, although the next book should be pretty interesting to see how that turns out. I think Dresden is in the process of finding out that the pond is whole lot bigger than he thought it was, and there’s going to be a whole lot of new doors opening after this book.  Or, as I told my shocked editor after she read the end of Changes, I think she said something along the lines of “What were you thinking?”  And my response was [enthusiastic] “That now we can do the good stuff!”

http://www.jimbutcheronline.com/bb/index.php/topic,21772.msg1324827.html#msg1324827
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ms Duck on December 24, 2012, 03:05:40 AM
You mean this one?

http://www.jimbutcheronline.com/bb/index.php/topic,21772.msg1324827.html#msg1324827

yup

well one of them. there are several other posts in the same vein he did on that tour.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: kytheros on December 24, 2012, 03:27:35 AM
Ok, I found the reference. Its in ch 30 of FM-Denton and Harry are talking about how the belts have led the FBI agents to kill people and they sent Harry after the lycanthropes. Denton says 'After the deaths (the people the FBI agents killed the month before), I was warned about a governing body. A sort of magic police. The White Council. That you worked for them.'.  So Denton was given the belts and killed people. Then someone warned him about the WC. Assuming he wasnt being helped by 2 unrelated people, whoever helped him was not hands off. Therefore, if it was Cowl, he shouldve known more then he did in DB.
Well ... somebody was either (badly) misinformed and/or lying outright. As of Fool Moon, Dresden is most definitely not working for the White Council - and while the White Council has the Wardens for policing magic users, that's far from all that the Council does or its primary function.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ben de Wal on December 24, 2012, 03:32:15 AM
Well ... somebody was either (badly) misinformed and/or lying outright. As of Fool Moon, Dresden is most definitely not working for the White Council - and while the White Council has the Wardens for policing magic users, that's far from all that the Council does or its primary function.
thats the warden primary fuction
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: kytheros on December 24, 2012, 04:14:24 AM
thats the warden primary fuction
The Wardens are not the entirety of the White Council ... but they probably are the most visible portion.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Ben de Wal on December 24, 2012, 04:16:44 AM
 
The Wardens are not the entirety of the White Council ... but they probably are the most visible portion.
sorry my bad skim reading missed part of it
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: lilylis on December 25, 2012, 01:03:49 AM
The Wardens are not the entirety of the White Council ... but they probably are the most visible portion.

Harry wasn't a warden in Fool Moon although he was considered a council member....he didn't work for them or get a paycheck yet.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Cenphx on December 25, 2012, 01:18:47 AM
Well ... somebody was either (badly) misinformed and/or lying outright. As of Fool Moon, Dresden is most definitely not working for the White Council - and while the White Council has the Wardens for policing magic users, that's far from all that the Council does or its primary function.

Well, the reason I found that particular quote was only to point out that whoever was helping Denton, it wasn't a situation where they handed him the belts and then left him to his own devices. If Cowl was the one who helped Denton and he did not just abandon him, and given the quote, he did not, then in DB, Cowl should've had more first hand knowledge about Harry's capabilities than his statement would suggest.

Re: how bad the info is about Harry working for the WC--I agree, its terrible. Harry even bursts out laughing when Denton tells him about it. There are so many different reasons that statement could've been made that way, I think its impossible to know the specifics. Did Denton just conflate the Wardens and the WC when whoever it was told him about them? Did the person lie on purpose to get Harry killed in a preemptive strike by Denton? Did the person just not know that Harry wasn't working for the WC, let alone the Wardens? I don't think we have any evidence to point us any particular direction.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: kytheros on December 25, 2012, 04:27:59 AM
Well, the reason I found that particular quote was only to point out that whoever was helping Denton, it wasn't a situation where they handed him the belts and then left him to his own devices. If Cowl was the one who helped Denton and he did not just abandon him, and given the quote, he did not, then in DB, Cowl should've had more first hand knowledge about Harry's capabilities than his statement would suggest.

Re: how bad the info is about Harry working for the WC--I agree, its terrible. Harry even bursts out laughing when Denton tells him about it. There are so many different reasons that statement could've been made that way, I think its impossible to know the specifics. Did Denton just conflate the Wardens and the WC when whoever it was told him about them? Did the person lie on purpose to get Harry killed in a preemptive strike by Denton? Did the person just not know that Harry wasn't working for the WC, let alone the Wardens? I don't think we have any evidence to point us any particular direction.
Fair point - it does indicate that Denton's source for the belts didn't just leave him to his own devices.
On the information front ... Denton pretty clearly had bad information. I'm dubious about it having been an attempt to get Dresden killed preemptively - there's no known reason (or entity) as of Fool Moon that wants Dresden dead. It is a strong point against Cowl being closely involved - his info seems to be better than that, plus no reason to want Dresden dead. It also pretty well wipes out any possibility of the Erlking being involved.
I don't see any apparent reason for the belt-distributor to lie about Dresden the White Council solely existing to police magic users and Dresden being one of them, or to attribute everything the Wardens do onto all of the White Council.
I'm inclined to suspect that the entity that gave Denton the belts also had bad information, but I'm not quite sure why or who that would - or could - have been.
Title: Re: Connections pt. 2: Suspect for SF-FM-BR-LH (Cold Days Spoilers)
Post by: Phariah on December 26, 2012, 06:12:15 AM
there is no one individual. it is the circle.
belts were given to FBI agents an let loose. they were going after Marcone. Marcone who claimed Harry was working for him in SF which was where Bianca's aide was killed. she wanted revenge on Harry why not Marcone? also Reds were working to gain territory in Chicago while Marcone was holding them off. not saying Bianca created them but could have been motivational as to where they were aimed. than lets not forget the Bloodline curse is based fom the RCV.

remember the Outsiders look all chaotic an stuff but are big time team work faction. so why wouldn't their operatives? infected beings of differing factions work together. trying to hang it all on one person doesnt work for me. though Cowl seems to be the point man in certain missions.