The Dresden Files > DF Spoilers

Why Attack Arctus Tor?

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dspringer1:
In Proven Guilty, someone attacked Arctus Tor.  They killed a lot of fey.  They left traces of hellfire.  Key questions: 
*  Who attacked?
*  Why did they attack?


Second Key Question - why did they survive (if you believe they survived)?  Presumably Mab is fully capable of defending her realm and is a frigging nightmare.   Mother Winter is an order of magnitude more dangerous even without her staff and presumably could do the same thing.   Almost inconceivable that Mab could not "hold them off" long enough to summon ten thousand winter fey guardians to defend her castle.   Yet none of this happened -- or at least no obvious evidence in the books that this mega-battle occurred. 

dspringer1:
My personal theory -- which feels right, but there is little direct evidence - is as follows

* Black Council attacked Mab
* Black Council had "earned" a big favor from Mab at some point and used that favor to prevent Mab from directly attacking them -- including sending her people against them. 
* BC attacked Arctus Tor for several reasons, but the primary reason was to kill Mab -- an action triggered by their new knowledge that Maeve is nemfected.  Getting a nemfected individual as the new Mab would be a massive victory.    Secondary reason would be the free Lea, but this is a clearly secondary objective.   

As a result, the battle was primarily the BC forces against the normal defenders of Arctus Tor.  Mab provided no direction at all, which allowed her guards to fight against the attackers.   But her debt oath prevented her from summoning aid or taking the battle herself or calling in another queen to help.  Mab used the time her guards bought her to hide herself and Leah from any intruders --- which was also why Harry had to accidentally uncover Lea during his battle.  The other queens either did not know, or were prevented from acting for some reasons (nemfection or perhaps clearly defined roles of each queen). 


Indirect evidence.
*  Lea and mab were hiding
*  No forces of winter were summoned to defend the place
*  Mab did not kill the intruders
*  Mab discovered Maeve's nemfection soon afterwards
*  Nik freaked out (slightly) when he heard someone with hellfire attacked arctus tor
*  Major Red offensive was occurring.   Major red court attacks seem to be almost always tied to major black council operations.  Not exclusively, but the correlation is pretty high
*  Fey must fulfil obligations earned through debt

raidem:
I do agree with the belief that mab had made agreements in which she partly, perhaps via constraining lea from hers, had to act against herself. 

Griffyn612:
I think Nemesis arranged for the attack (via Maeve).  Maybe her cohorts were infected, or maybe they were just guns for hire that were willing to help Maeve unseat Mab for reasons (she's mad, she's a bitch, I'm more agreeable and will owe you favors, etc). 

Best case scenario, they free Lea and they take Mab out, replacing Mab with an infected agent who would be in charge of defending the Gates.

I think Mab was tied down with healing Lea, so the defense of Arctis Tor fell to her time travelin' Winter Knight from the future.

Arjan:
Nemesis needed to get Lea before she could tell about Maeve. Mab wanted to know about her enemies so she made her fortress seem more vulnerable to invite an attack. They probably thought she was not there but she monitored everything.

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