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[Spoilers for all books] Theories index

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Elegast:
Theories index
What is it?
An attempt to gather all the theories concerning the Dresden Files. This is NOT a place to make new theories.  All theories should be posted in their own thread.

How can I help?
Yes, Cthulhu has a hat. The editor said so.
The only way to keep this thread up-to-date and exhaustive is to share the work between the forum members. I would be glad if some forum members could take the time to share their theories on this thread.

Only theories which have already been widely discussed/criticized by the community can be nominated: typically, that means at least a thread dedicated to it.

A theory is expected to come as a one sentence proposition (it can be right or wrong).

BAD:
Why has Harry build LC? (That's not a statement, it can't be right or wrong)

GOOD:
 A. A. Summers is Aurora's daughter (Slate as the father?)

BETTER: add a link to the theory
A. A. Summers is Aurora's daughter (Slate as the father?) (source)

BEST: add a link to the profile of the user who proposed the theory
A. A. Summers is Aurora's daughter (Slate as the father?) (source)-GrandPanjandrum

I reserve the right to refuse a theory if no link is given with it.

How are the theories organized?
The theories are gathered in three different categories:

Mystery solving theories :
those are theories trying to solve a problem that Jim has been specifically dangling right before our noses. Example: "Mab fixed Little Chicago". Harry and Bob spend many lines explaining that there is a mystery to solve. Those have far better chances of success, and have less unexpected solution.

WAG (Wild Ass Guess) :
 that's a theory which basically creates a problem where there may be none, and then solves it. Example: "Harry=Kemmler". We know who Harry is, we know who Kemmler is, so there was no real problem in the first place. Those theories have lower probabilities of success, but when they are right it's quite spectacular.

Mini-theories
not plot-relevant, and few argument for/against.

Inside a category
Subjects are ordered alphabetically

Inside a subject
Theories are ordered by credibility.

Conventions
Theories about published books in mystery-solving section, future ones in WAG.

How are the theories rated?
I gave the theories ratings to give newcomers a vague idea of the strength of a theory according to the prevailing consensus on the boards. I could not (I had not the courage ;)) to organize a poll for all theories, so I classified them in a very subjective manner in four categories:
75%-100% chances of being true
35%-75% chances of being true
15%-35% chances of being true
0%-15% chances of being true

I still followed some principles:

Green is for nearly certain
 
I gave green rating only there is WOJ (Word of Jim) supporting it (Mab captured Molly), or if a scene in the books shows it (Odin leader of the Hunt).

Blue is the default for great mystery solving theories

Ex: Cowl=Simon

Orange is the default for great  WAGs

Ex: Infected objects come the hoard of Siriothiax. The rating may seem harsh, but those theories tend to fail: for instance the 'Statue in Graceland was made with Demonreach's stone' was great, but failed simply because Jim hadn't thought about it.

All time-travel/mind-wipe are viewed with suspicion

I gave a red rating to all Time-travel theories, except the Little Chicago one which is very strong and solving a mystery.

"Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence"(Sagan)

When rating, I'm not measuring the quality of the theory, but comparing the strength of the claim to the evidence provided.

Ex: my Blackstaff= Raven Banner, where I'm actually arguing that a walking stick in wood is a banner, gets immediately thrown into red.

How to change the rating of a theory?
The easiest way: ask me on this thread, I'll comply in most cases.

The best way: make a poll. Any poll with more than 20 answers supersedes the previous rating.
 
Who can edit the index?
Serack, Knnn, TheCuriousFan, Elegast.

Elegast:
75%-100% chance of being true
35%-75% chance of being true
15%-35% chance of being true
0%-15% chance of being true


Mystery solving theories from A to L

Black Court
There is a link between the Black Court and the outsiders. Very strong evidence  or Highly Speculative (missing WOJ)
Black court vampires have gone beyond the outer gates. Speculative

Blackstaff
The Blackstaff is Mother Winter's walking stick. (Reference, Discussion) Very strong evidence 
The Blackstaff is the Raven Banner. (Source) -Elegast Highly speculative
The Blackstaff is Dagda's staff. (Source) Bakoro Highly speculative

Blood Rites
Mavra under veil seen in Sight behind Kincaid. Speculative
Mavra's objectives were: revenge on the White Court, planning DB. Speculative

Calvin & Hobbs comic
Mab brought it. -MsDuck Strong evidence
Time-travelling Harry brought it. Speculative
   
Changes
The bloodcurse true target was Merlin. Speculative -GrandPanjandrum

Cowl
Cowl = Simon (Reference) Strong evidence
Cowl is a fomor. -MsDuck Speculative
Cowl = Klaus (Reference) Speculative
Cowl = Harry Highly speculative
Cowl = Gatekeeper Highly speculative
Cowl = Justin Highly speculative
Cowl is an incarnation of Nyarlathotep. (source) Wizard Nelson Highly speculative

Dead Beat
Word of Kemmler was "released" to trap (and kill) Kemmlerites.  -the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh Speculative
Kincaid was working for Mavra. Speculative
Cowl wanted the Darkhallow to fail.  -the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh Highly speculative

Demonreach
Merlin is trapped in Demonreach. Very strong evidence
Tartarus is on the other side.Strong evidence
Hell is on the other side. Speculative

Father Vincent
His flesh was used to make a suit. (source) -KevinSig Speculative

Fitz
Fitz is the son of Terra West. (Source) -Serack Very strong evidence

Grey Chrysler attack (PG)
Ace Strong evidence
Time-travelling Harry Speculative
Gatekeeper Speculative
Larry Fowler Highly speculative
Vampire Highly speculative

Hexenwulfen belts/Love Hurts/Storm Front (analysis of the problem)
There is a connection between whoever gave out the Hexenwulf belts in Fool Moon, the Love Hurt seat belts. Cenphx Strong evidence
The reds made the HW belts.  Speculative (reference)
Mavra made the HW belts. Speculative (source)
Raith made the HW belts. (source) Speculative
Erlking made the HW belts. (discussion, source) Speculative
Cowl made the belts. Speculative
Luccio was implicated. (source)  Speculative

Kumori
Kumori = Larisa Yevtushenko  -Elegast Strong evidence
Kumori = Elaine Speculative
Kumori = Molly  Highly speculative

Little Chicago (Doylist analysis of LC)
Time Travel Harry fixed LC.  (source, discussion/reference) -Gryffin612 Strong evidence
Thomas was present when LC was fixed. (source)  -Serack Strong evidence
Mab fixed LC. (source, source 2) -MsDuck -AcornArmy  Speculative
The Gatekeeper fixed LC. (source) Highly speculative

Elegast:
Mystery solving theories from M to Z

Mac
Mac is a Grigori/former angel. Strong evidence
Mac is Heimdall. Speculative

Mothers Winter/Summer
Their name is Gaia. -Dust Bunny  Speculative
They are the White God.  Highly speculative
Their name is Sekmet/Hathor.(source) -GrandPanjandrum Highly speculative

Namshiel's coin
Mab took it. Speculative
Hendricks took it. Speculative
Marcone took it Speculative
Eldest gruff took it. Highly speculative

Proven Guilty (Pre-Cold Days: source (neuro), source (Knnn), discussion about Knnn's work,discussion, Post-Cold Days:source/reference, Post CD 2.0)
Mab wanted to kidnap Molly. Very strong evidence
Mab didn't want Harry to pour Summer fire in the Well. Strong evidence
The Gatekeeper wanted to prevent the infection of Molly. Strong evidence
Maeve was at Splattercon disguised as a vampire. (source) -Elegast Strong evidence
Eldest Fetch is infected/possessed by an outsider. (source)-the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh Strong evidence
Nemesis wanted to pour Summer fire in the Well. Speculative

Relics/Weapons from Hades' vault in Skin Game
Discussion 1, Discussion 2.

Small Favor (Pre-CD: source Post CD:source/reference)
Nemesis moved first. Strong evidence
The denarians wanted to kidnap Ivy from the very beginning. Strong evidence
Nemesis wanted to weaken the accords. Strong evidence
Nicodemus was tricked by Namshiel, he's not infected. Strong evidence
Titania simply countered Mab (it's a responsibility OR communication breakdown). Strong evidence
Janitor at the train station is Uriel.  Strong evidence
Nemesis wanted to infect Ivy. Speculative
Maeve sent the Hob Speculative

Swords
Thomas will get Amoracchius. Speculative
Faith Astor will get Fidelacchius. Highly speculative

Victor Sells
He was trained the Reds. Strong evidence
He was trained by Mavra. Speculative
He was trained by Raith. (source) Speculative
He was trained by Luccio. Highly speculative

Elegast:
WAG from A to L

A.A. Summers
A. A. Summers is Aurora's daughter (Slate as the father?). (source)-GrandPanjandrum Speculative

Aesir
The Aesir were the guardians of the Outer Gates preceding the Unseelie (Winter) court. (source) -Mortax & Electric MacButters Speculative

BAT (Big Apocalyptic Trilogy)
Reference topic 123456789blaaa

Black Court
The surviving member of the Black Court are plotting their revenge. (source) -MsDuck Speculative

Blackstaff
The Blackstaff is similar to mordite (black tendrils), and it can cure the infection. (source)-Knnn Speculative

Book 19
Harry will be summoned. Speculative
 
Cowl
Cowl's true aim is the extermination of the vampires. Speculative

Demonreach
The roots of Yggdrasil go into Demonreach. Speculative
Demonreach is Avalon (apples). Speculative
Demonreach made Harry Warden because he is a blood relation to Merlin. (source) -Tami Seven Speculative

Dresden Files
Dresden Files are an actual journal that Harry is writing. Very strong evidence

Drakul
Is the scion of a Demon. Strong evidence
Is the scion of a Dragon. Speculative

Elaine
Elaine carried the infection to Aurora. Speculative

Erlking
The Erlking will eventually be changed by Harry nicknaming him Erl in Changes.  -TheCuriousFan Highly speculative

Harry
Harry is also infected by Nemesis.  Speculative
Harry is Merlin's descendant (and Odin's).  Speculative
Harry = Merlin Highly speculative
Harry = Kemmler (Reference) Highly speculative
Harry = Gatekeeper Highly speculative

Hendriks
His sword is Gram. -MsDuck Speculative

Infection
Source of infection is Maggie Sr. -SirBrettski Speculative
Source of infection is Lord Raith. -SirBrettski Speculative
Wizards can break their oaths when infected. Speculative

Kemmler
William Kemmler, first electric chair execution = DF Kemmler Highly speculative

Kincaid
Kincaid is Dracula's brother. -madness Speculative

Langtry
The Merlin is a member of the grey council. Speculative

Lara
Is controlled by Thomas. Highly speculative

Lasciel
Lasciel has been speaking in Harry's head since TC. (source) Speculative

Little Chicago
Mab removed from Harry's and Bob's mind the knowledge of LC in SmF. -MsDuck Strong evidence
LC was a Chekov's gun. (source) -Serack Speculative
LC became sentient. Highly speculative

Luccio
Luccio is evil. Cenphx Highly speculative

Elegast:
WAG from M to Z

Mab
Mab has been playing with Harry's head in TC. -MsDuck Strong evidence
Mab wanted to bring Harry to DR. -MsDuck Speculative
Mab still has a soul. (source) 123456789blaaa Speculative

Margaret le Fey
Margaret made contact with Outsiders during her travels. (source) Speculative
Margret & Lord Raith timed conceiving Thomas so he would be born on Halloween.  (Source)-Tami Seven Speculative

Marlings
Marlings is BC/infected. Speculative
Marlings is a Malvora (homeless shelter, name). Speculative

Marci
Marci is  a plant. (source) -KevinSig Strong evidence
Marci = Carmilla -MsDuck Speculative

Marcone
Marcone is Odin's descendant. -MsDuck Strong evidence

Mavra
Mavra main motivation is revenge on the White Court. Speculative
Mavra = Morgan le fey (source) GrandPanjandrum Highly speculative

Merlin
Merlin's magic comes from Atlantis. Speculative
Merlin = Odin  (source) Highly speculative
Merlin is an Einherjar. -TheCuriousFan Highly speculative

Mirror-Mirror (book 17)
Marcone is the hero, Harry is more evil. Speculative
Morgan is there. Speculative

Molly
Molly=Mab (source, revamped source) -MsDuck Highly speculative
This topic is a forum legend -Serack
Molly has changeling blood -Quantus

Morgan le fey (Morgana)
Morgana was infected. (source) -Knnn Speculative
Mavra = Morgana  (source, discussion) -GrandPanjandrum Highly speculative

Mortimer
There is something fishy about Mort's hairstyle and domicile changes through the series. (source) -Serack  Speculative
Mortimer's fishy appearance and domain changes are caused by time line fluctuations.(source) Wizard Nelson Highly speculative

Mouse (Analysis of Mouse's origines)
cowl has mouse's sibling.Highly speculative

Mortal Magic
MM can open the OuterGates due to free will. -Richard Chilton Strong evidence
Black magic taint is the infection. (source) -Knnn Speculative
The Laws were created as a defense against the infection. (source) Knnn Speculative
Black magic activity help the Outsiders to cross into the mortal world.(source) Cenphx Speculative
The Laws are focused on restraining wizards from doing too much harm to humanity. (source) -Serack Speculative
Mortal magic comes from the outside. (source) -Lunyboy Highly speculative
All Wizards have Fae blood in the family history. Highly speculative

Mothers (and the queens)
Mother Winter is Death. -Dust Bunny Strong evidence
4 sets of teeth corresponds to the weapons of death during the Apocalypse: wild beast, sword, famine, plague. (source)-Elegast Speculative
The Summer and Winter mantles are related to Nidhogg and the Eagle on Yggdrasil (source) Bacail Speculative
The bad guys aim is to kill Death (Mother Winter) -MsDuck Speculative

Namshiel
Namshiel has been working for Mab all along (opened the way in PG, took the coins in TC). -the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh Highly speculative

Nemesis
Nemesis is a blood born contagion. (source) Cenphx Speculative
Nemesis is the missing 3rd fate. (source) Wizard Nelson Highly speculative

NeverNever
Travel between the NN and Earth depends on the person opening the portal as well as geography. -the neurovore of Zur-En-Aargh Highly speculative
The NN, which exists in multiple dimensions, contains vast numbers of alternate worlds. (source) Highly speculative

Nick Christian
Nick Christian (running a business called Angel Investigations) is working for Uriel. (source)-GrandPanjandrum Highly speculative

Numerology
The denarians come back in books 5*N  Very strong evidence

Odin
Is one of the leaders of the Hunt. -MsDuck Very strong evidence
Odin = Merlin (source) Highly speculative

Outsiders
Meta theory/reference on Magic Vs Outsiders -Serack
The third walker is an infiltrator/spy: He-Who-Walks-Beneath, or He-Who-Walks-Besides, He-Who-Walkes-Between.(source ) Cenphx Speculative
This parasite walker is in Raith, or Harry. (source) Cenphx Speculative
The third walker is Nemesis. -123456789blaa Highly speculative
The 3rd Walker is Loki. (source) Electric MacButters Highly speculative
Outsiders = Tehom (source) 123456789blaaa Highly speculative

Peabody
Peabody was connected to Cowl and/or the Fomors (mildew smell). Strong evidence

Sidhe
All Sidhe Royalty have to be related to Humans. (source) -Tami Seven Strong evidence

Starborn
Starborn = (at least partially) wizard parent + "good" parent (source) -Knnn Speculative
Uriel, Mab, and Odin teamed up to spawn a Starborn to fight in the coming big showdown (aka Team UMO) (source)-neuro Speculative
Alternative to team UMO (Grey Council) ([u=http://www.jimbutcheronline.com/bb/index.php/topic,44599.0.html]source[/u]) -Foxed

Time Travel
Odin saw Future Harry in the past. Speculative

Vault 7
The 5 artefacts will be used for a summon. (source) cornyphil Speculative

Whispers
Some of Harry's inner monologue is actually a third party manipulating him. (source) Highly speculative

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